Which Big Favorite Loses Outright In NFL?

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  • trobin31
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-09-14
    • 9853

    #1
    Which Big Favorite Loses Outright In NFL?
    I vote Browns Eagles Dolphins in that order
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82839

    #2
    Browns are not a favorite.
    Comment
    • Eddy Munny
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-13
      • 15768

      #3
      I also think Browns lose outright. I'm not afraid to call my shot.
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Giants. They are the biggest favourite
        Comment
        • asiagambler
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-23-17
          • 6827

          #5
          Wow Giants OL against that Buffalo DL

          How many sacks ?
          Comment
          • JIBBBY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-10-09
            • 83686

            #6
            Not KC tonight
            Comment
            • stevex
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-02-10
              • 5122

              #7
              I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.
              Comment
              • asiagambler
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-23-17
                • 6827

                #8
                Originally posted by stevex
                I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.
                Have you seen the Giants OL ?

                They are in complete shambles
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 65603

                  #9
                  Originally posted by asiagambler
                  Wow Giants OL against that Buffalo DL

                  How many sacks ?
                  Ten.
                  And I'm the biggest G-Man homer on the boards.

                  I like Tyrod Taylor, but I can see him going down too, and I don't wish injury on anybody.
                  Giants QB's should be getting combat pay.
                  Comment
                  • asiagambler
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-23-17
                    • 6827

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stevenash
                    Ten.
                    And I'm the biggest G-Man homer on the boards.

                    I like Tyrod Taylor, but I can see him going down too, and I don't wish injury on anybody.
                    Giants QB's should be getting combat pay.
                    They get a little break because Buffalo got some injuries too. DaQuan Jones put on IR. Rousseau hurt and limited in practice. But Von Miller is also back

                    If they could get Barkley back it would be huge since Buffalo gives up lots of rushing yards

                    But do you know if Justin Pugh is on track to play ?

                    He could actually make a difference here because they really need a veteran presence on that line. So many plays I see them completely out of sync, one guy blocking nobody (usually Neal), other guys whiffing on their assignments, half the guys running one play while half do something else. They are a complete trainwreck right now without Thomas
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65603

                      #11
                      Originally posted by asiagambler
                      They get a little break because Buffalo got some injuries too. DaQuan Jones put on IR. Rousseau hurt and limited in practice. But Von Miller is also back

                      If they could get Barkley back it would be huge since Buffalo gives up lots of rushing yards

                      But do you know if Justin Pugh is on track to play ?

                      He could actually make a difference here because they really need a veteran presence on that line. So many plays I see them completely out of sync, one guy blocking nobody (usually Neal), other guys whiffing on their assignments, half the guys running one play while half do something else. They are a complete trainwreck right now without Thomas
                      I know Pugh's been practicing this week, I'm going to presume he'll see snaps.
                      Bark was limited in practice today but insiders say don't expect to see him Sunday night.
                      Comment
                      • trobin31
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-09-14
                        • 9853

                        #12
                        Of course I meant to say Niners lose outright
                        Comment
                        • hehfest
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-28-08
                          • 7934

                          #13
                          Just wait JV will tell ya so
                          Comment
                          • JIBBBY
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-10-09
                            • 83686

                            #14
                            Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.
                            Comment
                            • Enkhbat
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-18-11
                              • 3145

                              #15
                              Eagles most likely to lose, almost lost at home to the commanders.
                              Comment
                              • Aunty808
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-18-22
                                • 193

                                #16
                                Has anyone here ever used the website called SurvivorGrid? Google it.

                                Here's how I use it to help me figure out who's gonna get upset.
                                First, I use my contest Pick percentages and find the Road Favorites with a pick % of 90% or higher and on the other end, find the Road Dogs with a pick % of 9% or lower.
                                Then I go to survivorgrid and see who everyone's picking in the ESPN, Yahoo and the OfficeFootballPool survivor pools.


                                I like to click on the P% column to find the top picks 5 on the GRID page. This week it's Buffalo, Miami, LAR, KC (W) and Phil. It's rare that all five win. KC already won on the TNF game. Armed with that info, at the top of the page, I click the KNOCKOUT page. This is where they list all the Top Upsets by Win%, and Top Upsets by Pick% . Also listed there are the Teams Responsible for Eliminations.


                                Elimination Pick Distribution shows the percentage of eliminations on the season where each team was the pick.

                                My favorite is the Elimination OPPONENT Distribution which shows how often a team was an opponent who defeated a picked team.




                                My guess would be LAR playing Arizona. Why? Because......


                                1. Arizona is a Road Dog with a Pick % of 6. The game falls into my RED FLAG catagory.
                                2. At survivorgrid, check the Elimination OPPONENT Distribution. They (Ariz) are in second place with a 10.9% KNOCKOUT rate.
                                3. Who is Arizona's OPPONENT this week? The LA RAMS
                                4. Check the GRID. LAR is listed in my TOP 5 in the P% (#3-16.1%)and W%(#5-73%).
                                Now I go back to the Top Upsets by P% and W% on the KNOCKOUT page.. Top Upsets by P% falls between 21.1% and 2.6%. Top Upsets by W% fall between 82% and 65,2%.
                                Check out LAR's numbers (P% 16.1%)(W% 73%) and look who's their OPPONENT......Arizona, who's knocked out 10.9% of survivor players, who picked opponents they played against so far this season.


                                So sorry so long, but it's so easy to figure out once you get the hang of it.
                                So, my best guess would be ARIZONA upsetting the LA Rams-7.


                                but what do I know...........best of luck with all your bets!!
                                Comment
                                • teecee
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-18-09
                                  • 6298

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                  Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.
                                  NFL expansion teams?
                                  Comment
                                  • JIBBBY
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-10-09
                                    • 83686

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by teecee
                                    NFL expansion teams?
                                    Anything goes now.. LOL..
                                    Comment
                                    • stevex
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-02-10
                                      • 5122

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                      Dodgers, Braves and Orioles fit the bill so far.
                                      I didn’t know they are in the NFL?
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 37433

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by stevex
                                        I can see the Giants pulling it off. Something doesn’t seem right in Buffalo.
                                        Any chance Taylor is an UPGRADE over Danny Dimes?
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83686

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by stevex
                                          I didn’t know they are in the NFL?
                                          They are, ever heard of Bo Jackson and Michael Jordan? Cross over sports is the shits now, every athlete is doing it. ; )
                                          Comment
                                          • OldBill
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-02-21
                                            • 6416

                                            #22
                                            so 1 stupid fawwwking question what is a big favorite like - 6 - -10
                                            Comment
                                            • trobin31
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-09-14
                                              • 9853

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by OldBill
                                              so 1 stupid fawwwking question what is a big favorite like - 6 - -10
                                              I would say a TD or greater
                                              Comment
                                              • Headsterx
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-03-16
                                                • 23058

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by trobin31
                                                I vote Browns Eagles Dolphins in that order
                                                Browns as the most likely for upset!?

                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83686

                                                  #25
                                                  Going with the Seahawks as an outright dog winner.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bjb7223
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-03-12
                                                    • 10349

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                    Browns as the most likely for upset!?

                                                    he meant the 9ers
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Headsterx
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-03-16
                                                      • 23058

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by bjb7223
                                                      he meant the 9ers
                                                      Yeah, I knew what he meant. Guess I worded it wrong. He thinks Browns is the most likely to pull the upset. It’s still gets my same reaction. 😂😂😂
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Eddy Munny
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-13-13
                                                        • 15768

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Headsterx
                                                        Yeah, I knew what he meant. Guess I worded it wrong. He thinks Browns is the most likely to pull the upset. It’s still gets my same reaction. 
                                                        I hope he's right... I have Browns Over 9.5 wins.

                                                        Dolphins down 14-0 right now.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bjb7223
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-03-12
                                                          • 10349

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                          I hope he's right... I have Browns Over 9.5 wins.

                                                          Dolphins down 14-0 right now.
                                                          14-7
                                                          Comment
                                                          • OldBill
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-02-21
                                                            • 6416

                                                            #30
                                                            and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Str8Mush4Life
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-25-13
                                                              • 1030

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by OldBill
                                                              and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
                                                              That's the answer alright!!! Halfway through the 2nd quarter, definitely a wrap at this point!! And the QB wears #1, Miami going nowhere omggggg fawwwwkk
                                                              Comment
                                                              • k13
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 07-16-10
                                                                • 18104

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by OldBill
                                                                and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
                                                                Already winning.
                                                                -250 even when down 14-0.
                                                                Probably still cover.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Eddy Munny
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-13-13
                                                                  • 15768

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by OldBill
                                                                  and the answer to that question is MIAMI - 14.5 chalk started out losing 0--14
                                                                  Lol, calling the game in the first quarter because Miami is down two scores to the Panthers. You're good.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • OldBill
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-02-21
                                                                    • 6416

                                                                    #34
                                                                    and all of a sudden the panthers get bam pow boom kapow losing 28- 14 wtf did they do hand the ball off to miami defense or just sat on 14 points lead 4 unanswered td's
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bjb7223
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-03-12
                                                                      • 10349

                                                                      #35
                                                                      There you have it
                                                                      Comment
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