MLB bases 5/4

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  • veriableodds
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-17
    • 5093

    #1
    MLB bases 5/4
    volume value... will try 300 sample size
    wsh/+184
    det/+165
    pitt/+176
    laa/+130
    balt/-161
    minn/-128
    bstn/+153
    ptt/tb/ov-8/-115
    atl/mia/un-8.5/-110
    ok thats 9
  • veriableodds
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-17
    • 5093

    #2
    6-3 total 9/300 (+4.72 graded as flat 1u each play)
    5/5
    mia/cbs/u-9.5/-120
    hou/sea/ov-7/+100
    kc/-143
    thats 3
    Last edited by veriableodds; 05-04-23, 09:21 PM. Reason: forgot the hook
    Comment
    • veriableodds
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-22-17
      • 5093

      #3
      2-1 +0.83 total 12/300 (+5.55u)
      5/6
      mlw/+155
      blt/+225
      thats 2
      Comment
      • veriableodds
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-22-17
        • 5093

        #4
        0-2 -2.00 total 14/300 (+3.55)
        5/7
        bst/phi/u-9.5/-110
        wsh/az/o-9/-115
        csw/cincy/u-10/-115
        bstn/+112
        tb/+108
        pick 5
        Comment
        • mjsuax13
          Moderator
          • 03-14-15
          • 24810

          #5
          Good luck today.
          Comment
          • veriableodds
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-22-17
            • 5093

            #6
            Originally posted by mjsuax13
            Good luck today.

            you also

            wife is in for a suprise today, by the time she gets home the house will be repainted, and gonna make her some steak stir fry on the new out kitchen area(75% veggies 25% steak) lol...lol
            Comment
            • veriableodds
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-22-17
              • 5093

              #7
              3-2 +0.86 19/300 (+4.41)
              5/8
              pitt/-158
              cws/kc/u-9/-120
              txs/+140
              3 plays
              Comment
              • veriableodds
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-22-17
                • 5093

                #8
                one more add this doesn't happen very often, guess I forgot to catch it
                stl/cbs/o-7/-105
                4 plays
                Last edited by veriableodds; 05-08-23, 07:57 AM. Reason: who knows?
                Comment
                • veriableodds
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-22-17
                  • 5093

                  #9
                  2-2 +0.03 Total 23/300 (+4.44)
                  5/9
                  pitt/-157
                  nym/cinn/u-10.5/-125
                  stl/chi/o-8/-105
                  cws/kc/u-9.5/-125
                  sd/mnn/u-9/-110
                  wsh/sf/o-8/-120
                  6 picks
                  Comment
                  • veriableodds
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-22-17
                    • 5093

                    #10
                    3-3 -0.34 29/300 (+4.10)
                    5/10
                    mlw/+152
                    mia/+135
                    tx/+175
                    wsh/+139
                    laa/+120
                    cinn/+153
                    kc/+130
                    7
                    Comment
                    • veriableodds
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-22-17
                      • 5093

                      #11
                      4-3 +2.79 36/300 (+6.89u)
                      taking Thursday off
                      Comment
                      • veriableodds
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-22-17
                        • 5093

                        #12
                        5/12
                        blt/-147
                        bst/-106
                        tx/-165
                        3 p
                        Comment
                        • mjsuax13
                          Moderator
                          • 03-14-15
                          • 24810

                          #13
                          Originally posted by veriableodds
                          5/12
                          blt/-147
                          bst/-106
                          tx/-165
                          3 p
                          Good luck today.
                          Comment
                          • veriableodds
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-22-17
                            • 5093

                            #14
                            1-2 -1.06 32/300 (+5.83)
                            5/13
                            cincy/+158
                            det/+152
                            atl/+115
                            wsh/+129
                            tx/-130
                            bstn/-125
                            clv/+109
                            pitt/+157
                            mlw/-159
                            sd/+135
                            hou/+117
                            sfg/+165
                            cld/+146
                            13 p
                            Comment
                            • veriableodds
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-22-17
                              • 5093

                              #15
                              nyy/+121 add forgot
                              14 p
                              Comment
                              • veriableodds
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-22-17
                                • 5093

                                #16
                                5-8-1 -2.7 46/300 (+3.13)
                                5/14
                                phi/cld/u-11/-110
                                sf/az/o-8.5/-120
                                nym/wsh/u-9/-110
                                det/+160
                                mlw/-158
                                az/+135
                                bst/+110
                                hou/-129
                                tx/-135
                                9 p
                                basically, just using league trends. Finding teams that are equal @ have value
                                Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)


                                Away Teams 286-306 48.3%
                                Home Teams 306-286 51.7%
                                Favorites 342-248 58.0%
                                Dogs 248-342 42.0%
                                Comment
                                • veriableodds
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-22-17
                                  • 5093

                                  #17
                                  *side note
                                  after 100 picks I will be employing this theory, or strategy, link below. Obviously their will not be as much volume but better quality which will result into staying the season longer. Jesus I really didt want to get this proactive with just 300 picks
                                  Anyone wager these inherent type senario's??? (sportsbookreview.com)
                                  Comment
                                  • veriableodds
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-22-17
                                    • 5093

                                    #18
                                    the nym/wsh was g1 sorry missed. Typically never play g2 of a dbl header
                                    7-2 +4.92 55/300 (+8.05)
                                    5/15
                                    bst/+104
                                    mlw/-105
                                    sea/bst/u-9.5/-115
                                    cnn/cld/u-11.5/-110
                                    4 p
                                    Comment
                                    • veriableodds
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-22-17
                                      • 5093

                                      #19
                                      0-4 -4.00(holy shit lol) 59/300 (+4.05)
                                      5/16
                                      tb/+145
                                      mlw/+165
                                      az/-140
                                      ptt/det/o-8.5/-120
                                      4 p
                                      Comment
                                      • veriableodds
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-22-17
                                        • 5093

                                        #20
                                        2-2 +1.10 63/300 (+5.15)
                                        5/17
                                        az/-157
                                        tb/+100
                                        mlw/-114
                                        3 p
                                        Comment
                                        • veriableodds
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-22-17
                                          • 5093

                                          #21
                                          1-2 -1.36 66/300 (+3.79)
                                          5/18
                                          tb/+102
                                          clv/+129
                                          lad/-140
                                          3 p
                                          Comment
                                          • veriableodds
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-22-17
                                            • 5093

                                            #22
                                            1-2 -0.71 69/300 (+3.08)
                                            5/19
                                            lad/-114
                                            blt/tor/0-9/-120
                                            2 p
                                            Comment
                                            • veriableodds
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-22-17
                                              • 5093

                                              #23
                                              1-1 -0.12 71/300 (+2.96)
                                              5/20
                                              tx/-186
                                              tb/-185
                                              lad/+103
                                              atl/-142
                                              cbs/phi/u-9/-110
                                              5 p
                                              Comment
                                              • veriableodds
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-22-17
                                                • 5093

                                                #24
                                                2-3 -1.88 76/300 (+1.08)
                                                5/21
                                                nyy/-147
                                                atl/-107
                                                tb/-136
                                                lad/-132
                                                4 p
                                                Comment
                                                • veriableodds
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-22-17
                                                  • 5093

                                                  #25
                                                  2-2 -0.39 80/300 (+0.69)
                                                  5/22
                                                  cnn/+175
                                                  az/+186
                                                  lad/+150
                                                  det/+104
                                                  4 p
                                                  Comment
                                                  • veriableodds
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                    • 5093

                                                    #26
                                                    4-0 +6.15 84/300 (+6.84)
                                                    5/23
                                                    tb/-119
                                                    nym/-105
                                                    stl/cnn/u-10/+100
                                                    hou/mlw/u-9.5/-110
                                                    mia/cld/u-11.5/-105
                                                    5 p
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 36706

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by veriableodds
                                                      2-2 -0.39 80/300 (+0.69)
                                                      5/22
                                                      cnn/+175
                                                      az/+186
                                                      lad/+150
                                                      det/+104
                                                      4 p
                                                      Nice.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • veriableodds
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-22-17
                                                        • 5093

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        Nice.

                                                        thanks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • veriableodds
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-22-17
                                                          • 5093

                                                          #29
                                                          2-3 -1.14 89/300 (+5.74)
                                                          5/24
                                                          det/+104
                                                          nym/cbs/o-6.5/-120
                                                          oak/sea/o-8/-110
                                                          3 p
                                                          Comment
                                                          • veriableodds
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-17
                                                            • 5093

                                                            #30
                                                            1-2 -0.94 92/300 (+4.80)
                                                            5/25
                                                            tb/-146
                                                            atl/-105
                                                            mlw/+112
                                                            3 p
                                                            Comment
                                                            • veriableodds
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-22-17
                                                              • 5093

                                                              #31
                                                              2-1 +0.63 95/300 (+5.43)
                                                              sd/nyy/u-9/-105
                                                              nym/cld/u-11/+100
                                                              bst/az/o-8.5/-105
                                                              nyy/+110
                                                              atl/-145
                                                              wsh/+114
                                                              6 p

                                                              so for the last 199 plays
                                                              -totals will be normal if model shows a 1 run adv =play
                                                              -sides using basic model win% vs current line, if it yields over +105 it's a play example below..
                                                              team a has 44% chance to win @ the line is +140 the value is 105.6 so its a play
                                                              Last edited by veriableodds; 05-26-23, 06:22 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • veriableodds
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-22-17
                                                                • 5093

                                                                #32
                                                                4-2 +2.04 101/300 +7.47
                                                                5/27
                                                                will do the math first 3 days as to get the concept, its to time constraining 4 every pick
                                                                phi/atl/u-9/-115
                                                                lad/+107 (52.9% + +107=109.5 which is 4.5 over 105value) its the only pick im not betting the A's even if the line shows value, doubt Houston will have value
                                                                2 p
                                                                Comment
                                                                • veriableodds
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-22-17
                                                                  • 5093

                                                                  #33
                                                                  made a mistake betting into overnight lines, data inputs from previous nights stats. Now im seeing more value .. will just post late mornings now it appears to be a better indicator.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • veriableodds
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                                    • 5093

                                                                    #34
                                                                    rewrite 5/27 picks
                                                                    phi/atl/u-9/-115
                                                                    lad/+107
                                                                    sd/+145/ 4.5 over 105
                                                                    tor/+106/ 0.5 over 105
                                                                    cincy/+159/ 5 over 105
                                                                    5 p
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • veriableodds
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-22-17
                                                                      • 5093

                                                                      #35
                                                                      3-2 +1.53 106/300 +9.00u
                                                                      5/28
                                                                      wsh/-105/ (54% + -105 = 105.3) there are a few plays, but the math is to close-vs- record/home-adv just sticking to 1 p
                                                                      1 p
                                                                      Comment
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