Trump to win Florida -155

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  • DwightShrute
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-17-09
    • 103093

    #106
    Originally posted by thomorino
    +4 units on political bets

    I think Trump wins Florida, risking 3.5 units to win 2.

    The polls in Florida have been inaccurate the last several elections in favor of democrats, and they have predicted Republicans such as Senator Rick Scott would lose even though he has won repeatedly.

    The Cuban and latino community had a strong connection to Hillary Clinton because of actions her husband took, but Obama deported massive numbers of mostly latino illegal immigrants, and Biden is much weaker than Hillary with younger Latinos and the Cuban Latino community. Many younger latinos remember Obama's massive deportations which have stopped under Trump, and much of the Cuban community sees how far left the democrats have gone, and many in this community hate socialism because of their experiences with leaders such as Castro.

    The Republicans are also far better organized on the ground, where the democrats have almost no ground game and early voting in Miami Dade suggests the democrats are already significant behind because they are underperforming historical averages with blacks and Latinos.

    Trump may lost some senior voters he won in 2016 because of misinformation about covid, but he will max his base out and likely do better with black and latinos.
    cash it!

    Comment
    • thomorino
      Restricted User
      • 06-01-17
      • 45842

      #107
      I’m sure fake news cnn will wait another 2 hours to call Florida just because they think it hurts Trump
      Comment
      • mjsuax13
        Moderator
        • 03-14-15
        • 25084

        #108
        Originally posted by thomorino
        I’m sure fake news cnn will wait another 2 hours to call Florida just because they think it hurts Trump
        Morino, this is a good one. They are going to play with this until late in the night.
        Comment
        • thomorino
          Restricted User
          • 06-01-17
          • 45842

          #109
          Originally posted by DwightShrute
          cash it!

          Trumps strength with the Latino community is impressive
          Comment
          • Emily_Haines
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-09
            • 15917

            #110
            yes

            Comment
            • thomorino
              Restricted User
              • 06-01-17
              • 45842

              #111
              I read multiple times months ago that Biden did zero outreach to the Hispanic community, that and how far left the part went with much of the Cuban community hating socialism made me think this was a good pick.
              Comment
              • thomorino
                Restricted User
                • 06-01-17
                • 45842

                #112
                Winner

                +2 units

                +6 units for political bets

                I would have had a perfect record but Klobechar and mayor Pete dropped out of the race after I bet before Texas
                Comment
                • Emily_Haines
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-14-09
                  • 15917

                  #113
                  Originally posted by thomorino
                  Winner

                  +2 units

                  +6 units for political bets

                  I would have had a perfect record but Klobechar and mayor Pete dropped out of the race after I bet before Texas
                  congratulations on your win

                  you have moved the ytd figure from -150 to -148

                  well done pal
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #114
                    Good call
                    Comment
                    • thomorino
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-01-17
                      • 45842

                      #115
                      Originally posted by Emily_Haines
                      congratulations on your win

                      you have moved the ytd figure from -150 to -148

                      well done pal
                      You are a dumb shit.
                      Comment
                      • Bostongambler
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-01-08
                        • 35581

                        #116
                        Thermaflu, you have lost 5 Mercedes, 3 BMW’s, a Tesla and a Bentley, but you just won a Honda. Congrats!
                        Comment
                        • teacher10
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-28-18
                          • 1821

                          #117
                          Originally posted by Bostongambler
                          Thermaflu, you have lost 5 Mercedes, 3 BMW’s, a Tesla and a Bentley, but you just won a Honda. Congrats!
                          Comment
                          • Unrivaled
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-24-11
                            • 6685

                            #118
                            Morino is sharp as hell. Gotta give respect here.
                            Comment
                            • shocka1212
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-06-12
                              • 16788

                              #119
                              Was free money
                              Comment
                              • Emily_Haines
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-09
                                • 15917

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                Morino is sharp as hell. Gotta give respect here.
                                election sharp
                                Comment
                                • Jerm3085
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-26-12
                                  • 1539

                                  #121
                                  Rove just said 2million mail in ballots still not counted yet in FL?
                                  Comment
                                  • thomorino
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 06-01-17
                                    • 45842

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by Bostongambler
                                    Thermaflu, you have lost 5 Mercedes, 3 BMW’s, a Tesla and a Bentley, but you just won a Honda. Congrats!
                                    Originally posted by teacher10

                                    Originally posted by Emily_Haines

                                    election sharp
                                    Dumb shits
                                    Comment
                                    • Poisec
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-22-18
                                      • 1216

                                      #123
                                      Easy money, I had the same bet.
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDofBA
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-30-09
                                        • 19313

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                        this post shows how ignorant you are
                                        Originally posted by beerman2619
                                        Liberals like your sorry ass will complain about this election being rigged and it was russia's fault. it's not looking good for you Biden supporters clown. Enjoy 4 more years of yours and my President Donald Trump biotch
                                        I said Trump would win Florida and lose the election. You guys didn't have a clue and started talking trash pre-maturely. Quit talking...you're making yourselves look bad and really foolish.

                                        The person that called me ignorant...who look's ignorant now bud? The person saying I would cried rigged...now looks like he is in the group of people crying rigged. Funny how that works...

                                        BTW, I'm not a Democrat. I just use common sense, facts, and logic. All of those things seem lost on some of you. Carry on...
                                        Last edited by BigDofBA; 11-04-20, 10:01 AM.
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDofBA
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 19313

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                          Fantastic crowd in Kenosha for @realDonaldTrump
                                          – with huge numbers of Democrats, Independents, and people who have still not voted:

                                          16,682 signups

                                          51% (!!) NOT Republican

                                          44.9% still have not voted

                                          25.4% did not vote in 2016 Thank you, Wisconsin!
                                          So you call me ignorant for predicting Trump to win Florida and lose the election...then you share statistics on crowds? LMFAO.

                                          How is that working out in Wisconsin right now?
                                          Last edited by BigDofBA; 11-04-20, 10:12 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65084

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                            So you call me ignorant for predicting Trump to win Florida and lose the election...then you share statistics on crowds? LMFAO.

                                            How is that working out in Wisconsin right now?
                                            wtf are you talking about


                                            Florida didnt matter, as I always said...that was the fukkin point


                                            Trump had to win Florida, just like Biden HAD TO WIN california



                                            reread the thread and try again, you clearly missed the fukkin point


                                            what a clown
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDofBA
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-30-09
                                              • 19313

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                              wtf are you talking about


                                              Florida didnt matter, as I always said...that was the fukkin point


                                              Trump had to win Florida, just like Biden HAD TO WIN california



                                              reread the thread and try again, you clearly missed the fukkin point


                                              what a clown
                                              I said Trump would win Florida. Then I explained why he would lose the election.

                                              You called me ignorant because my opinion upset you. What was I wrong about that made me ignorant? Can you answer that?

                                              Next time don’t talk s*** before the results are in. Anyway, let’s all move on from this and get back to sports.

                                              Politics are boring.
                                              Last edited by BigDofBA; 11-04-20, 11:44 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • BeatTheJerk
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-19-07
                                                • 31794

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                Was free money
                                                Solid write-up solid win here by Morino.
                                                Comment
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