2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • vitterd
    Restricted User
    • 09-14-17
    • 58460

    #1261
    Dems early vote

    +16 Arizona
    +24 Michigan
    +14 NC
    +22 Wisconsin

    You trumptards better wake up and start looking at who is voting. You’re getting pounded and will have to outnumber better than 2-1 on Election Day to make up for the beating. Not gonna happen

    Low frequency and newly registered voters are also heavy in dems column right now.
    Comment
    • RudyRuetigger
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-24-10
      • 65086

      #1262
      Originally posted by vitterd
      Dems early vote

      +16 Arizona
      +24 Michigan
      +14 NC
      +22 Wisconsin

      You trumptards better wake up and start looking at who is voting. You’re getting pounded and will have to outnumber better than 2-1 on Election Day to make up for the beating. Not gonna happen

      Low frequency and newly registered voters are also heavy in dems column right now.
      i love how stupid you are


      must be related to dante1
      Comment
      • DwightShrute
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-17-09
        • 102357

        #1263
        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
        i love how stupid you are


        must be related to dante1
        Comment
        • vitterd
          Restricted User
          • 09-14-17
          • 58460

          #1264
          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
          i love how stupid you are


          must be related to dante1
          It’s fact you dummy. Go drink and suck off dipshit foreigner Dwight. You are both equally dumb.
          Comment
          • jt315
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-12-11
            • 21700

            #1265
            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
            i love how stupid you are


            must be related to dante1
            Comment
            • burdman
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-13-20
              • 140

              #1266
              Originally posted by vitterd
              Dems early vote

              +16 Arizona
              +24 Michigan
              +14 NC
              +22 Wisconsin

              You trumptards better wake up and start looking at who is voting. You’re getting pounded and will have to outnumber better than 2-1 on Election Day to make up for the beating. Not gonna happen

              Low frequency and newly registered voters are also heavy in dems column right now.
              This.

              and think we can keep voting for 11 more days until the election and even a few days after in some states.

              told you all I have friends who see the votes coming in. This will be a bloodbath!

              Comment
              • RoyBacon
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 09-21-05
                • 37074

                #1267
                Originally posted by burdman
                This.

                and think we can keep voting for 11 more days until the election and even a few days after in some states.

                told you all I have friends who see the votes coming in. This will be a bloodbath!

                Yepppp just like 2016. Trump has no chance!! You Marxists never learn. Too funny.
                Comment
                • Judge Crater
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-05-20
                  • 2024

                  #1268
                  Very plausible prediction, though I disagree with AZ
                  In your scenario, Biden wins

                  Originally posted by homie1975
                  In swing states I see Donnie taking AZ FL GA NC OH. Some of them very close but Joe won't argue.

                  I see Joe taking MI PA WI and then Donnie contests the results screaming VOTER FRAUD and off to Congress, Court, etc etc right down the line.
                  Comment
                  • RoyBacon
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-21-05
                    • 37074

                    #1269
                    Originally posted by vitterd
                    Dems early vote

                    +16 Arizona
                    +24 Michigan
                    +14 NC
                    +22 Wisconsin

                    You trumptards better wake up and start looking at who is voting. You’re getting pounded and will have to outnumber better than 2-1 on Election Day to make up for the beating. Not gonna happen

                    Low frequency and newly registered voters are also heavy in dems column right now.
                    Actually republicans are turning out in record numbers. Republicans out registered tards too.

                    Hot off the press. Joe and Hunter's Biden's 12 point lead? GONE. Down to 4% and dropping fast.

                    Oct 18-22, 2020 A/B


                    IBD/TIPP
                    972 LV Biden 50% 46% Trump Biden +4
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15442

                      #1270
                      Originally posted by Judge Crater
                      Very plausible prediction, though I disagree with AZ
                      In your scenario, Biden wins
                      AZ has gone Red in 16 of the last 17 prez elections (clinton 96 the exception) and the DNA is very republican. i know there has been a shift in demographics there but not a seismic one and Trump won it by 3.5% in 2016.

                      i think Donnie carries AZ again.
                      Comment
                      • RudyRuetigger
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 65086

                        #1271
                        I think trump could lose arizona but i really dont care about arizona
                        Comment
                        • RoyBacon
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-21-05
                          • 37074

                          #1272
                          McSally looks like toast in AZ.

                          Watching the senate races is telling but not gospel.

                          But for her to be losing this badly makes an ole boy wonder about Trump in AZ. The McCain republicans and mexicans are not helping the cause.
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65086

                            #1273
                            Originally posted by RoyBacon
                            McSally looks like toast in AZ.

                            Watching the senate races is telling but not gospel.

                            But for her to be losing this badly makes an ole boy wonder about Trump in AZ. The McCain republicans and mexicans are not helping the cause.
                            yea, i dont like trump there

                            shes going to lose so he probably will follow
                            Comment
                            • homie1975
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-24-13
                              • 15442

                              #1274
                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                              I think trump could lose arizona but i really dont care about arizona
                              it is 11 very important electoral votes. every single solitary electoral vote will matter this year.
                              Comment
                              • Judge Crater
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-20
                                • 2024

                                #1275
                                The only poll that matters is the odds
                                Betfair at 1:10pm EST
                                Biden -200
                                Trump +198

                                Matched so far Biden vs. Trump at Betfair USD 219,077,361

                                Comment
                                • RoyBacon
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 09-21-05
                                  • 37074

                                  #1276
                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                  it is 11 very important electoral votes. every single solitary electoral vote will matter this year.
                                  Trump must win NC or AZ. Both have rep senators in deep trouble.

                                  But I'd keep my eye on western Mich, Minn, Wisconsin and Iowa. Rumors are saying Trump is performing far better than expected.
                                  Comment
                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-24-10
                                    • 65086

                                    #1277
                                    Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                    The only poll that matters is the odds
                                    Betfair at 1:10pm EST
                                    Biden -200
                                    Trump +198

                                    Matched so far Biden vs. Trump at Betfair USD 219,077,361

                                    i dont want to bet 100 dollars on trump +198


                                    i would love to parlay states


                                    the question is...why wont they let you?


                                    Think about it


                                    Comment
                                    • dante1
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 10-31-05
                                      • 38647

                                      #1278
                                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                      I know we've all heard this before but if Trump doesn't win both Florida and Pennsylvania his chances of winning the election are slim to none.

                                      I took a look at 5Dimes state by state(and DC) odds and I narrowed down the 10 states that are the closest according to the current odds. Of the 41 states with odds of -350 or more Trump is winning 21 of them for 164 delegates. Dem's are winning 20 states for 229 delegates. There are 145 delegates remaining in the 10 closest contested states.

                                      Trump needs 106 of the remaining 145 delegates and Dems need 41. Below are the 10 states that are the most closely contested and their number of delegates.

                                      States Trump is favored:
                                      Georgia -190 16
                                      Iowa -210 6
                                      North Carolina -130 15
                                      Ohio -170 18

                                      States Dems are favored:
                                      Arizona -160 11
                                      Florida -140 29
                                      Michigan -295 16
                                      New Hampshire -270 4
                                      Pennsylvania -265 20
                                      Wisconsin -215 10

                                      If the -350's or higher hold up, then Trump needs to win at least 6 of the closest contested states to have any chance at all. There might be a couple -350's or higher that flip but I doubt there will be many. If 5Dimes is wrong on any of the -350's or higher... which states do you think that they are wrong about? If they are not wrong... which of the 10 states above do you think Trump wins?
                                      good job, 2020 is vastly different than 2016. if this is a fair election Trump gets killed, if Trump wins the R found a way to cheat. plain and simple, a week after election the results will be horrendous for the R party. just recently read an article that claims almost every single R knows they will lose.

                                      5 or 6 potential senate seats also. at least four the D's have a decent lead, another two or three it is close. we only need three because in an honest election even with electoral college rules Trump gets completely killed.
                                      Comment
                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 65086

                                        #1279
                                        yet none of you clowns will bet biden -120


                                        pretty sad



                                        galt started this "put your money where your mouth is"


                                        so i agreed


                                        where is galt?



                                        naming states in alphabetical order
                                        Comment
                                        • homie1975
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-24-13
                                          • 15442

                                          #1280
                                          Originally posted by dante1
                                          good job, 2020 is vastly different than 2016. if this is a fair election Trump gets killed, if Trump wins the R found a way to cheat. plain and simple, a week after election the results will be horrendous for the R party. just recently read an article that claims almost every single R knows they will lose.

                                          5 or 6 potential senate seats also. at least four the D's have a decent lead, another two or three it is close. we only need three because in an honest election even with electoral college rules Trump gets completely killed.
                                          Link?
                                          Comment
                                          • JohnGalt2341
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-31-09
                                            • 9138

                                            #1281
                                            Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                            Trump must win NC or AZ. Both have rep senators in deep trouble.

                                            But I'd keep my eye on western Mich, Minn, Wisconsin and Iowa. Rumors are saying Trump is performing far better than expected.
                                            I think Trump likely wins Iowa and probably NC and AZ.

                                            Do you have a link for those rumors in MI, MN, and WI? I'm not discrediting your claim. I just want to see a link if you have one. Thanks.
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65086

                                              #1282
                                              Originally posted by homie1975
                                              Link?
                                              cnn.com


                                              thats where

                                              fukkin clowns
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15442

                                                #1283
                                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                yet none of you clowns will bet biden -120


                                                pretty sad
                                                it will be very likely be contested by Donnie.

                                                i would NEVER wager with a complete stranger.

                                                i would LOVE nothing more then to put my 2900+ bet points up against you in a FAIR election but i believe Joe will get robbed by Congress, Courts, wherever it goes after the votes are counted and he wins.
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65086

                                                  #1284
                                                  Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                  I think Trump likely wins Iowa and probably NC and AZ.

                                                  Do you have a link for those rumors in MI, MN, and WI? I'm not discrediting your claim. I just want to see a link if you have one. Thanks.
                                                  i posted michigan facts


                                                  thats probably why you wont take biden -120
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Judge Crater
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-05-20
                                                    • 2024

                                                    #1285
                                                    Co-related for sure. I would like to take a shot with 4 or 5 fifty state parlays if they allowed it

                                                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                    i dont want to bet 100 dollars on trump +198


                                                    i would love to parlay states


                                                    the question is...why wont they let you?


                                                    Think about it


                                                    Comment
                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                      • 65086

                                                      #1286
                                                      Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                      Co-related for sure. I would like to take a shot with 4 or 5 fifty state parlays if they allowed it
                                                      can you parlay week 16 or 17 in nfl when playoffs on the line?

                                                      YES
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RoyBacon
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 09-21-05
                                                        • 37074

                                                        #1287
                                                        A preview of 2020
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheMoneyShot
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-14-07
                                                          • 28672

                                                          #1288
                                                          Late Wednesday night into Thursday morning... my Trump yard sign was stolen. My neighbor across the street Trump yard sign was stolen. My neighbor was like... I'll go get another one... did you want one? I said absolutely. Trump Yard sign replaced.

                                                          I wrote on the sign on the white border... "If You Take My Sign Again... You're JUST BUTTHURT"
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 08-24-10
                                                            • 65086

                                                            #1289
                                                            Originally posted by TheMoneyShot
                                                            Late Wednesday night into Thursday morning... my Trump yard sign was stolen. My neighbor across the street Trump yard sign was stolen. My neighbor was like... I'll go get another one... did you want one? I said absolutely. Trump Yard sign replaced.

                                                            I wrote on the sign on the white border... "If You Take My Sign Again... You're JUST BUTTHURT"
                                                            arent you in michigan?


                                                            probably the government workers







                                                            also, nice job in the pick6 contest so far pal, hate not seeing you around much lately
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoyBacon
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-21-05
                                                              • 37074

                                                              #1290
                                                              Probably the most famous SBR video, our own vitty


                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65086

                                                                #1291
                                                                I honestly think trump gets over 300 electoral votes this year


                                                                i RECKON im the new d2bets when he loses


                                                                i mean hes a big underdog, i just dont see it with the facts
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Judge Crater
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-05-20
                                                                  • 2024

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Looks like you can get +800 on 300-330

                                                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                  I honestly think trump gets over 300 electoral votes this year


                                                                  i RECKON im the new d2bets when he loses


                                                                  i mean hes a big underdog, i just dont see it with the facts
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 08-24-10
                                                                    • 65086

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                                                    Looks like you can get +800 on 300-330
                                                                    well i am a raging alcoholic and therefore raging gambler

                                                                    I need paypal to install cryptos by next week

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheMoneyShot
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-14-07
                                                                      • 28672

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                      arent you in michigan?


                                                                      probably the government workers







                                                                      also, nice job in the pick6 contest so far pal, hate not seeing you around much lately
                                                                      That's a funny read.

                                                                      Just having fun with the Pick 6 contest. Let's face it... you need luck. Rather be lucky than good. Thanks though.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 9138

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                        yet none of you clowns will bet biden -120


                                                                        pretty sad



                                                                        galt started this "put your money where your mouth is"


                                                                        so i agreed


                                                                        where is galt?



                                                                        naming states in alphabetical order
                                                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                        i posted michigan facts


                                                                        thats probably why you wont take biden -120
                                                                        You always assume that everyone is just as dumb as you are. Almost nobody is. You can get Trump for +175 at a real Sportsbook but you won't. And yet you are BEGGING people to bet with you even though you will have to take a FAR worse price than what ANY Sportsbook is offering.

                                                                        Do you see the contradiction here?

                                                                        Everyone on SBR knows you are a complete fraud and a lying sack of shit. Go bark somewhere else little doggy.
                                                                        Comment
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