2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

**RoyBacon** · 10-20-20, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

Every few minutes a thought pops into that tiny brain and you post it. Biden is the president....trump is going to prison. Accept it now.

"Parscale will never be fired"

Is that just a random thought as you shrieked??? I've never typed his name.

Give me something that compares to you saying the POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion?

BWHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

You have to admit, it takes a special kind of retarded to say that.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

"Parscale will never be fired"

Is that just a random thought as you shrieked??? I've never typed his name.

Give me something that compares to you saying the POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion?

BWHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

You have to admit, it takes a special kind of retarded to say that.

You mean when you said Biden was toe tagged in the primary and now he’s -200 to be president!! Bwaaaaahhhh!! Great call!!

You have so many mush predictions. If it wasn’t for jt315 you’d be king mush.

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 04:39 PM

Betfair is almost +200 on Trump. If you truly believe Trump in a landslide, you can double your money easily. However, be careful of depending on just one news channel and internal pollsters. Trafalgar was off by 40 points in some races. (Eric Cantor)

**Snowball** · 10-20-20, 04:43 PM

I will probably end up with both Trump Florida and Trump New Hampshire.

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 04:46 PM

I could easily bet Trump in Florida at a short price or dog. For New Hampshire, I am going to need some good odds, +300 does not cut it.

**RoyBacon** · 10-20-20, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

You mean when you said Biden was toe tagged in the primary and now he’s -200 to be president!! Bwaaaaahhhh!! Great call!!

You have so many mush predictions. If it wasn’t for jt315 you’d be king mush.

Didn't you say Biden was done too??

What kind of idiot fires a shot at someone over something they themselves said too? WTF??

Just admit your a very special kind of stupid for saying the POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion.

Then we can move on...

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 04:49 PM

Instead of guessing where the polls are going, why not simply bet according to value based on what the polls are now?

**ByeShea** · 10-20-20, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

Betfair is almost +200 on Trump. If you truly believe Trump in a landslide, you can double your money easily. However, be careful of depending on just one news channel and internal pollsters. Trafalgar was off by 40 points in some races. (Eric Cantor)

""""Everything which points to a Biden win has been based upon a model. Polls are models and we have learned from Covid-19, models can say whatever the author wants them to say.

Every metric on the ground: arena rallies, boat rallies, car rallies and early voting numbers point to a Trump victory.

In other words, all the evidence Biden will win is imaginary because models are imaginary. The REAL evidence says Trump wins big.""""

""""The early voting numbers are stunningly bad for Democrats.

Michigan, in which Democrats typically get 80% of the early vote is now seeing Republicans ahead. This is unprecedented and has Democrats in a panic.

Districts carried easily by Hillary in 2016 are now being dominated by Republicans.""""

------------------------------------

Maybe it's too early to take this sort of data seriously - but my view is the media/polling have already established a strong bias, they already committed to then semi-abandoned a mass-mail-in campaign before pushing the vote in person, they're having problems motivating young voters (Joe Biden? Seriously?), and for at least partly Covid reasons they have almost no ground game - got crushed by Trump's team in registering voters in battleground states.

Considering all this ... Trump +200? Yes please.

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 04:53 PM

Any sources not from Parler?

Originally posted by ByeShea

""""Everything which points to a Biden win has been based upon a model. Polls are models and we have learned from Covid-19, models can say whatever the author wants them to say.

Every metric on the ground: arena rallies, boat rallies, car rallies and early voting numbers point to a Trump victory.

In other words, all the evidence Biden will win is imaginary because models are imaginary. The REAL evidence says Trump wins big.""""

""""The early voting numbers are stunningly bad for Democrats.

Michigan, in which Democrats typically get 80% of the early vote is now seeing Republicans ahead. This is unprecedented and has Democrats in a panic.

Districts carried easily by Hillary in 2016 are now being dominated by Republicans.""""

------------------------------------

Maybe it's too early to take this sort of data seriously - but my view is the media/polling have already established a strong bias, they already committed to then semi-abandoned a mass-mail-in campaign before pushing the vote in person, they're having problems motivating young voters (Joe Biden? Seriously?), and for at least partly Covid reasons they have almost no ground game - got crushed by Trump's team in registering voters in battleground states.

Considering all this ... Trump +200? Yes please.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

Didn't you say Biden was done too??

What kind of idiot fires a shot at someone over something they themselves said too? WTF??

Just admit your a very special kind of stupid for saying the POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion.

Then we can move on...

By saying it looks like Sanders will win? I didn’t say he was toe tagged dead. You did. You have so many mush predictions and threads you’ve abandoned. You never get anything right.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

Any sources not from Parler?

Lmao. I would consider anything bye shea says. His previous predictions are some of the worst ever seen.

**ByeShea** · 10-20-20, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

Any sources not from Parler?

Took out the underlying link.

Also you might check, as I mentioned elsewhere, LarrySchweinkart on Twitter. Moving away from polls towards data rolling in ... they dig into individual states.

**RoyBacon** · 10-20-20, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

By saying it looks like Sanders will win? I didn’t say he was toe tagged dead. You did. You have so many mush predictions and threads you’ve abandoned. You never get anything right.

So we both said Biden was done and somehow you are not dumb??? LOL

I still laugh hysterically at this; POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

It shows how stupid hate makes you. I don't think you are normally that retarded.

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 05:03 PM

If you truly believed what Larry Schweinkart says, it looks like free money out there. Two hours ago he posted that McSally is tied, the current price at BetOnline is +325. You can get better odds elsewhere too. Why would you ever bet sports with these opportunities.
McSally is closing hard. Dead even now.

He also predicted a conservative estimate of a 4 seat gain for Republicans in the 2018 midterms (Democrats picked up 41 seats)

-

Originally posted by ByeShea

Took out the underlying link.

Also you might check, as I mentioned elsewhere, LarrySchweinkart on Twitter. Moving away from polls towards data rolling in ... they dig into individual states.

**RoyBacon** · 10-20-20, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

If you truly believed what Larry Schweinkart says, it looks like free money out there. Two hours ago he posted that McSally is tied, the current price at BetOnline is +325. You can get better odds elsewhere too. Why would you ever bet sports with these opportunities.

McSally is closing hard. Dead even now.

-

I compared this election to betting maiden quarter horses in their 1st race. No one really knows. A few will end up being right and claim they were/are geniuses but no one knows.

Biden will probably win but it's close.

**cane corso** · 10-20-20, 05:16 PM

Trump is the only president that does what he says he’s going to do. Take dementia joe and enjoy your 401k.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

So we both said Biden was done and somehow you are not dumb??? LOL

I still laugh hysterically at this; POTUS's son AND son in law will turn states witness against their father, the President of the United States, on the non-existent charge of collusion.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

It shows how stupid hate makes you. I don't think you are normally that retarded.

Look at Kush dad. He set his sisters husband and got caught. These are evil people. Donnie already had several flippers. They will all be flipping next year.

I said it looks like sanders after Iowa. You ran around screaming about Hunter s d saying he was toe tagged. Then you disappeared for 6 months.

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 05:21 PM

As odd as it sounds, lets leave politics out of this political thread. We are only looking for betting opportunities.

Originally posted by cane corso

Trump is the only president that does what he says he’s going to do. Take dementia joe and enjoy your 401k.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

If you truly believed what Larry Schweinkart says, it looks like free money out there. Two hours ago he posted that McSally is tied, the current price at BetOnline is +325. You can get better odds elsewhere too. Why would you ever bet sports with these opportunities.
McSally is closing hard. Dead even now.

He also predicted a conservative estimate of a 4 seat gain for Republicans in the 2018 midterms (Democrats picked up 41 seats)

-

ByeShea also predicted a net gain seats in midterms. Figures.

**cane corso** · 10-20-20, 05:23 PM

Trump will win Florida-that is a fact. I’m in Jax but the momentum is incredible.

**ByeShea** · 10-20-20, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

If you truly believed what Larry Schweinkart says, it looks like free money out there. Two hours ago he posted that McSally is tied, the current price at BetOnline is +325. You can get better odds elsewhere too. Why would you ever bet sports with these opportunities.
McSally is closing hard. Dead even now.

He also predicted a conservative estimate of a 4 seat gain for Republicans in the 2018 midterms (Democrats picked up 41 seats)

-

Okay, CottoGottfried on Twitter. Ignore his data and then pull up where he was wrong before.

Then go back to how you believed the national polling 4 years ago, right up until 8pm on Election Day.

Then remember that half of this forum stated the very simple pattern we're seeing right up to this week - huge polling numbers for Biden, tightens up at the end while noting IBD finally reeled it in today, suddenly Biden +2 nationally

**ByeShea** · 10-20-20, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by cane corso

Trump will win Florida-that is a fact. I’m in Jax but the momentum is incredible.

I was in Montauk this weekend when this 6 mile "train" of MAGA rolled in. MAGA gang signal: hold up four fingers for "Four More Years". Energy was off the charts - and no one is under the illusion Trump will win. Was very cool.

**jt315** · 10-20-20, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by cane corso

Trump will win Florida-that is a fact. I’m in Jax but the momentum is incredible.

He’s up to -125 in some places and it’s only gonna get higher . This state stays red . Not even 100 million of Mini Mike’s money can help .

**dustyy** · 10-20-20, 05:35 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

If you truly believed what Larry Schweinkart says, it looks like free money out there. Two hours ago he posted that McSally is tied, the current price at BetOnline is +325. You can get better odds elsewhere too. Why would you ever bet sports with these opportunities.
McSally is closing hard. Dead even now.

He also predicted a conservative estimate of a 4 seat gain for Republicans in the 2018 midterms (Democrats picked up 41 seats)

-

The dude was only 2 away from being perfect, the Pubs picked up 2 senate seats, leading to the direction of the SCOTUS for the next 3 decades.

The mythical "blue wave" narrative strikes again.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by jt315

He’s up to -125 in some places and it’s only gonna get higher . This state stays red . Not even 100 million of Mini Mike’s money can help .

See this.....Florida is now blue. This guy hadn’t been right in 13 years. Not one time. He’s known as king mush. 0-fer all time.

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 05:37 PM

He predicted 7-10 Senate seat pickup in the midterm

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by cane corso

Trump will win Florida-that is a fact. I’m in Jax but the momentum is incredible.

We know that Florida is the dumbest state in America with Texas close behind. The biggest idiots live in those states. Every weird news story.....comes out of Florida.

**jt315** · 10-20-20, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

See this.....Florida is now blue. This guy hadn’t been right in 13 years. Not one time. He’s known as king mush. 0-fer all time.

Not enough felons who’s fines have been paid by the midget so they can vote Biden will help either .

Good thing you’re an air bettor . You saved yourself some money running from my offer

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by dustyy

The dude was only 2 away from being perfect, the Pubs picked up 2 senate seats, leading to the direction of the SCOTUS for the next 3 decades.

The mythical "blue wave" narrative strikes again.

Huh?

**Judge Crater** · 10-20-20, 05:40 PM

I would bet Trump in Florida as a dog today.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by jt315

Not enough felons whos’s fines have been paid so they can vote Biden will help either .

Good thing you’re an air bettor . You saved yourself some money by running from my offer .

I will never bet you again. You welched once. I learned my lesson. You live in a trailer and off govt till.....you have nothing.

**jt315** · 10-20-20, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

I will never bet you again. You welched once. I learned my lesson. You live in a trailer and off govt till.....you have nothing.

You don’t bet . Only your character does .

The same character who has already had his limits reduced at books in Pa.

**vitterd** · 10-20-20, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by jt315

You don’t bet . Only your character does .

The same character who has already had his limits reduced at books in Pa.

I bet every day. And you have stalked me for 13 years so you know I’ve had thousands in bets with people at rx. All confirmed and verified. Try again trailer ready.

**jt315** · 10-20-20, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

I bet every day. And you have stalked me for 13 years so you know I’ve had thousands in bets with people at rx. All confirmed and verified. Try again trailer ready.

Fake

**jt315** · 10-20-20, 05:52 PM

Our new @trafalgar_group #2020Election#BattlegroundState#WIpoll conducted Oct 14-16 shows a shrinking Biden lead:

47.6% @JoeBiden

46.3% @realDonaldTrump

2.2% @Jorgensen4POTUS

1.1% Other,

2.8% Und. See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/wi-pres-1020/