2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • vitterd
    Restricted User
    • 09-14-17
    • 58460

    #911
    Originally posted by RoyBacon
    You're making my case. You STILL can not say you are a proud socialist. You are not proud about one thing about yourself.

    I can do a vid in 1 min. And show you real stuff, not pretend character stuff. LOL

    I get a lot of compliments on my beautiful flag. More than you get on being a socialist.
    A socialist? Lmao. You don’t know what that is. I’m proud of my life, my family....I don’t think in terms of politics that way. That’s really weird that you do. Did you ever think that’s why you’re alone at a fire pit talking about me?
    Comment
    • RoyBacon
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-21-05
      • 37074

      #912
      Originally posted by vitterd
      A socialist? Lmao. You don’t know what that is. I’m proud of my life, my family....I don’t think in terms of politics that way. That’s really weird that you do. Did you ever think that’s why you’re alone at a fire pit talking about me?
      You really like the fire pit. Yea it's cool. There are 7 of us so being alone ain't an option but thanks for your concern.

      You NEVER see a lib-socialist say they are a "patriot" or they love the country. Even pre Trump. AND you never see a patriot loot and riot and harass people at restaurants.

      I wonder why?
      Comment
      • vitterd
        Restricted User
        • 09-14-17
        • 58460

        #913
        Originally posted by RoyBacon
        You really like the fire pit. Yea it's cool. There are 7 of us so being alone ain't an option but thanks for your concern.

        You NEVER see a lib-socialist say they are a "patriot" or they love the country. Even pre Trump. AND you never see a patriot loot and riot and harass people at restaurants.

        I wonder why?
        They just try to kidnap governors and shoot up schools and churches.

        If you have to run around telling people you love your country.....you probably don’t.

        Trump has made morale in this country as low as it’s ever been. Once he’s gone and after the trumptards go into the streets with the proud boys and the other white supremacy groups.....we will get under control. Let’s face it.....right wing extremists are a huge problem. Just ask the fbi.
        Comment
        • RoyBacon
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-21-05
          • 37074

          #914


          Nope.

          As you can see Dem-tards are simply NOT patriotic.

          Even back 20 years only half of retards consider themselves very patriotic. That's pretty pathetic.
          Comment
          • vitterd
            Restricted User
            • 09-14-17
            • 58460

            #915
            Originally posted by RoyBacon


            Nope.

            As you can see Dem-tards are simply NOT patriotic.

            Even back 20 years only half of retards consider themselves very patriotic. That's pretty pathetic.
            You say you’re patriotic and you have a flag but you would never fight for your country, you root against American teams if they don’t like the president. You just have words....your actions are very unamerican
            Comment
            • RoyBacon
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-21-05
              • 37074

              #916
              Originally posted by vitterd
              You say you’re patriotic and you have a flag but you would never fight for your country, you root against American teams if they don’t like the president. You just have words....your actions are very unamerican
              OK, nice to see you agreeing/deflecting.

              I just don't get how you guys can hate the country and potus. Even when Obama was in there you guys were not patriotic.

              Patriots fly and respect the flag. We don't harass you socialists or march in your fugging section 8 housing projects.
              Comment
              • King Mayan
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-22-10
                • 21326

                #917
                Originally posted by vitterd
                You say you’re patriotic and you have a flag but you would never fight for your country, you root against American teams if they don’t like the president. You just have words....your actions are very unamerican
                Fake ass patriots are always drenched in flags. Trumptards don’t care about the USA, they only care about a reality tv host
                Comment
                • vitterd
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-14-17
                  • 58460

                  #918
                  Originally posted by RoyBacon
                  OK, nice to see you agreeing/deflecting.

                  I just don't get how you guys can hate the country and potus. Even when Obama was in there you guys were not patriotic.

                  Patriots fly and respect the flag. We don't harass you socialists or march in your fugging section 8 housing projects.
                  Trump hates America and especially American people. How can you be so easily conned? He’s made America worse.

                  You don’t know anything but what you see on Fox. A flag doesn’t make you patriotic. You are the least patriotic poster here....you care about Bacon and that’s it.
                  Comment
                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 11-29-07
                    • 26068

                    #919
                    Originally posted by vitterd
                    Trump hates America and especially American people. How can you be so easily conned? He’s made America worse.

                    You don’t know anything but what you see on Fox. A flag doesn’t make you patriotic. You are the least patriotic poster here....you care about Bacon and that’s it.
                    You are blind
                    Comment
                    • RoyBacon
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 09-21-05
                      • 37074

                      #920
                      Originally posted by vitterd
                      Trump hates America and especially American people. How can you be so easily conned? He’s made America worse.

                      You don’t know anything but what you see on Fox. A flag doesn’t make you patriotic. You are the least patriotic poster here....you care about Bacon and that’s it.
                      You NEVER see a flag at one of your socialist events unless you fuggers are burning it. So true.

                      You obviously don't have a flag and to this day have NEVER claimed to love the country. That's what you are; a hater.

                      Bacon is a great patriot. Pays tons of taxes, gives generously to charities($400 in your name) and have many a family buried in beautiful US military cemeteries.
                      Comment
                      • vitterd
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-14-17
                        • 58460

                        #921
                        Originally posted by RoyBacon
                        You NEVER see a flag at one of your socialist events unless you fuggers are burning it. So true.

                        You obviously don't have a flag and to this day have NEVER claimed to love the country. That's what you are; a hater.

                        Bacon is a great patriot. Pays tons of taxes, gives generously to charities($400 in your name) and have many a family buried in beautiful US military cemeteries.
                        You wouldn’t know what I see and where I go. You are not a patriot and you’re the kind of person nobody wants their kids to be like. You are Bacon first and that’s why nobody wants to be around you. The flag might be your only friend.
                        Comment
                        • RoyBacon
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-21-05
                          • 37074

                          #922
                          Originally posted by vitterd
                          You wouldn’t know what I see and where I go. You are not a patriot and you’re the kind of person nobody wants their kids to be like. You are Bacon first and that’s why nobody wants to be around you. The flag might be your only friend.
                          You would love to burn it....LOL....ain't happening so forget that fantasy.

                          It's a beautiful flag and I had to fight to get a HOA variance to get that beautiful 30 ft flag pole.

                          My deflection buddy sometimes you have to come clean. You are in NO way patriotic. You've had post after post to say Mr Bacon I love this country too and you can't do it. You're not a patriot, you're not a true American.
                          Comment
                          • vitterd
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-14-17
                            • 58460

                            #923
                            Originally posted by RoyBacon
                            You would love to burn it....LOL....ain't happening so forget that fantasy.

                            It's a beautiful flag and I had to fight to get a HOA variance to get that beautiful 30 ft flag pole.

                            My deflection buddy sometimes you have to come clean. You are in NO way patriotic. You've had post after post to say Mr Bacon I love this country too and you can't do it. You're not a patriot, you're not a true American.
                            Why so you can say “ you’re my puppet, I made you say it”. I’m too smart for that Roy. I don’t need to say anything. I’ve done more for the country than you ever could. You are what we teach are kids not to be. You claim to love America but hate Americans.....same as trump. You’d both sell out this country in a second if it would make your life better.
                            Comment
                            • homie1975
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-24-13
                              • 15453

                              #924
                              So I ran through another very viable scenario on 270towin and it landed 269 to 269, right on the nose.
                              Comment
                              • vitterd
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-14-17
                                • 58460

                                #925
                                Originally posted by homie1975
                                So I ran through another very viable scenario on 270towin and it landed 269 to 269, right on the nose.
                                Biden has PA, Wisc, Mich, Minn....all other hold that puts him at 278....trump isn’t flipping any states from blue to red. So it’s a matter how much further Biden will stretch the map.
                                Comment
                                • homie1975
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-24-13
                                  • 15453

                                  #926
                                  Originally posted by vitterd
                                  Biden has PA, Wisc, Mich, Minn....all other hold that puts him at 278....trump isn’t flipping any states from blue to red. So it’s a matter how much further Biden will stretch the map.
                                  In my scenario, Joe carried those states. Donnie carried swings AZ IA GA FL NC OH
                                  Comment
                                  • homie1975
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-24-13
                                    • 15453

                                    #927
                                    Originally posted by vitterd
                                    Biden has PA, Wisc, Mich, Minn....all other hold that puts him at 278....trump isn’t flipping any states from blue to red. So it’s a matter how much further Biden will stretch the map.
                                    Donnie can flip NV NH and ME
                                    Comment
                                    • JohnGalt2341
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-31-09
                                      • 9138

                                      #928
                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                      So I ran through another very viable scenario on 270towin and it landed 269 to 269, right on the nose.
                                      Yeah, I came across a few of those in mine as well. The way this year is going it wouldn't surprise me. The simplest map I think could be likely IMO is the same as 2016 but I flip Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. This would give Biden 278 and Trump 260.

                                      There's also a few other states that I think could go either way, most of which Trump won in 2016. I'd be surprised if Trump picks up any new states though.
                                      Comment
                                      • homie1975
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-24-13
                                        • 15453

                                        #929
                                        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                        Yeah, I came across a few of those in mine as well. The way this year is going it wouldn't surprise me. The simplest map I think could be likely IMO is the same as 2016 but I flip Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. This would give Biden 278 and Trump 260.

                                        There's also a few other states that I think could go either way, most of which Trump won in 2016. I'd be surprised if Trump picks up any new states though.
                                        I'm looking hard at NV NH and ME for possible flips to Donnie
                                        Comment
                                        • vitterd
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-14-17
                                          • 58460

                                          #930
                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                          I'm looking hard at NV NH and ME for possible flips to Donnie
                                          Dems seeing huge early numbers....especially among non regular voters. A very good sign for Biden.
                                          Comment
                                          • ace7550
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-08-15
                                            • 3729

                                            #931
                                            Originally posted by homie1975
                                            So I ran through another very viable scenario on 270towin and it landed 269 to 269, right on the nose.
                                            269 to 269 would be about right for this year. Has that ever happened before?
                                            Comment
                                            • homie1975
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-24-13
                                              • 15453

                                              #932
                                              Originally posted by ace7550
                                              269 to 269 would be about right for this year. Has that ever happened before?
                                              I don't believe in the 538 current level but back in 1801 Thomas Jefferson would be one to read about
                                              Comment
                                              • ace7550
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-08-15
                                                • 3729

                                                #933
                                                Originally posted by homie1975
                                                I don't believe in the 538 current level but back in 1801 Thomas Jefferson would be one to read about
                                                haha I remember writing a paper about that in highschool. Had totally forgotten about it. Cheers
                                                Comment
                                                • RoyBacon
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-21-05
                                                  • 37074

                                                  #934
                                                  Originally posted by ace7550
                                                  269 to 269 would be about right for this year. Has that ever happened before?
                                                  You get to 269 with AZ and WI.

                                                  Keep in mind you may not be able to "certify" states with junk mail ballots so it's possible neither wins PA or MI. In that scenario, like a tie, it will end up in the House where republicans will almost certainly have the advantage. Their current advantage is 26-24.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • homie1975
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                    • 15453

                                                    #935
                                                    Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                    You get to 269 with AZ and WI.

                                                    Keep in mind you may not be able to "certify" states with junk mail ballots so it's possible neither wins PA or MI. In that scenario, like a tie, it will end up in the House where republicans will almost certainly have the advantage. Their current advantage is 26-24.
                                                    Roy, If Joe wins by the razor thin margins in PA and MI that Donnie did in 2016 then the POTUS can take it to the courts and we'll see how that works out. It would be kind of ironic to see Donnie scream voter fraud in those two states (or any states) given the ultra slim margins he had in the three states that essentially carried him to the electoral finish line in 2016 (MI PA WI). I didn't hear Lefty Liberals screaming Voter Intimidation and Voter Suppression (which I can tell you from first hand knowledge exists) as much as I hear Right Reds scream Voter Fraud due to mail in ballots. The military has been voting this way primarily since they got Abraham Lincoln elected in 1864 but since the military typically votes Republican, I don't hear any concerns about it from the Right.

                                                    I like to take shots at both sides because I'm a lot like Bill Maher ie I'm a Libertarian and I think both sides are fulla shitt but you wana know what I've noticed the most about the Right in my 45+ years on earth? Ya'all can be some very sore losers.

                                                    Joe will win his battleground states by much larger margins than Trump will win his, and any judge worth her/his weight in salt will laugh the cases by Donnie right outta court.

                                                    I voted Gary Johnson the last two elections and Jo Jorgensen in this one. Donnie? I've supported the border wall, the strong military, the standing up vs China and other countries to get better trade deals, and my stocks have soared under him.

                                                    However.......as a born and raised in America but nonwhite son of hard working immigrants, and a father of young children, I can no longer ignore Donnie's dog whistles to white supremacist org's so I not only want to see him lose this election, but I want to see him get embarrassed.

                                                    As a PROUD NONWHITE AMERICAN, I want MY COUNTRY BACK. I want to feel safe again.

                                                    GOD BLESS THE USA.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • maggiethebestdog
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-21-13
                                                      • 6700

                                                      #936
                                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                                      Roy, If Joe wins by the razor thin margins in PA and MI that Donnie did in 2016 then the POTUS can take it to the courts and we'll see how that works out. It would be kind of ironic to see Donnie scream voter fraud in those two states (or any states) given the ultra slim margins he had in the three states that essentially carried him to the electoral finish line in 2016 (MI PA WI). I didn't hear Lefty Liberals screaming Voter Intimidation and Voter Suppression (which I can tell you from first hand knowledge exists) as much as I hear Right Reds scream Voter Fraud due to mail in ballots. The military has been voting this way primarily since they got Abraham Lincoln elected in 1864 but since the military typically votes Republican, I don't hear any concerns about it from the Right.

                                                      I like to take shots at both sides because I'm a lot like Bill Maher ie I'm a Libertarian and I think both sides are fulla shitt but you wana know what I've noticed the most about the Right in my 45+ years on earth? Ya'all can be some very sore losers.

                                                      Joe will win his battleground states by much larger margins than Trump will win his, and any judge worth her/his weight in salt will laugh the cases by Donnie right outta court.

                                                      I voted Gary Johnson the last two elections and Jo Jorgensen in this one. Donnie? I've supported the border wall, the strong military, the standing up vs China and other countries to get better trade deals, and my stocks have soared under him.

                                                      However.......as a born and raised in America but nonwhite son of hard working immigrants, and a father of young children, I can no longer ignore Donnie's dog whistles to white supremacist org's so I not only want to see him lose this election, but I want to see him get embarrassed.

                                                      As a PROUD NONWHITE AMERICAN, I want MY COUNTRY BACK. I want to feel safe again.

                                                      GOD BLESS THE USA.
                                                      LOL

                                                      Do you hear Trump's "dog whistles" through you special TDS decoding headphones????
                                                      Comment
                                                      • homie1975
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-24-13
                                                        • 15453

                                                        #937
                                                        Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                                                        LOL

                                                        Do you hear Trump's "dog whistles" through you special TDS decoding headphones????
                                                        Anyone with an IQ over 100 can hear it. Mine is significantly higher than that.
                                                        If you think I have TDS after I stated the areas I support him in, then you simply don't operate on an intellectual plane within 10 levels of me.

                                                        You're just another reason why the smartest people in this country (there are about 70M of us who fit this bill) want to see this POS removed from the highest seat of our Great Country.

                                                        Take a seat, son.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • maggiethebestdog
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-21-13
                                                          • 6700

                                                          #938
                                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                                          Anyone with an IQ over 100 can hear it. Mine is well over that.
                                                          If you think I have TDS after I stated the areas I support him in. Then you simply don't operate on an intellectual plane within 19 levels of me.

                                                          You're just another reason why the smartest people in this country (there are about 70M of us who fit this bill) want to see this POS removed from the highest seat of our Great Country.

                                                          Take a seat, son.
                                                          The term "dog whistle" is a term people use who want to push a false narrative that has no basis in fact or reality

                                                          Instead of looking at what someone actually has said, you attach a "hidden" meaning to it that fits a self serving agenda

                                                          Look at what he actually said about Charlottesville, and then what people like you made up about what he actually said

                                                          I'm not saying he is a good guy, but this fake white supremacist narrative is a joke that even the FBI deep state is promoting

                                                          The FBI's own crime statistics completely contradict this narrative

                                                          Everyone with a double digit IQ knows who commits violent crimes in this country and at what rate they do it

                                                          White supremacists don't crack the top 10

                                                          They even tried to pin the riots, or as you call them, "peaceful protests", on white supremacists until that lie became so obvious they had to stop

                                                          You should feel unsafe
                                                          Too bad you aren't smart enough to where those threats really come from

                                                          Brainwashed sheeple
                                                          Comment
                                                          • homie1975
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-24-13
                                                            • 15453

                                                            #939
                                                            Real Leaders bring people together - they do not divide them by fanning the flames of hate or through other classless and terrible means. Hitler did that. He wasn't too great a guy in history's eyes.

                                                            Donnie is cut from the same cloth. I can no longer ignore it and let my stock portfolio gains shield my eyes from the ugly truth.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • maggiethebestdog
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-21-13
                                                              • 6700

                                                              #940
                                                              Originally posted by homie1975
                                                              Real Leaders bring people together - they do not divide them by fanning the flames of hate or through other classless and terrible means. Hitler did that. He wasn't too great a guy in history's eyes.

                                                              Donnie is cut from the same cloth. I can no longer ignore it and let my stock portfolio gains shield my eyes from the ugly truth.
                                                              LOL
                                                              Hitler?????

                                                              How predictable

                                                              When people have ZERO facts to back up their nonsense, the Hitler card comes out

                                                              Pretty weak

                                                              So Biden and the Dems are trying to "bring people together"???????

                                                              That is hilarious

                                                              Their whole platform is to divide people

                                                              You really aren't equipped for anything that requires independent thought

                                                              The demand for racism is much greater than the supply

                                                              That's where the media, govt, and people like you come in

                                                              It's good for business
                                                              Last edited by maggiethebestdog; 10-19-20, 02:34 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • homie1975
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-24-13
                                                                • 15453

                                                                #941
                                                                Joe didn't get my vote but he's gona get 70M+ American votes. They'll be legit. They'll speak very loudly. The POTUS has a little north of 3 mos left in office. We should only hope he doesn't attempt to leave scorched earth while he exits, ie lobs a missile at NK or sends a fleet of fighter jets to Iran, or tries to tank our markets by some other means...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • maggiethebestdog
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-21-13
                                                                  • 6700

                                                                  #942
                                                                  Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                  Joe didn't get my vote but he's gona get 70M+ American votes. They'll be legit. They'll speak very loudly. The POTUS has a little north of 3 mos left in office. We should only hope he doesn't attempt to leave scorched earth while he exits, ie lobs a missile at NK or sends a fleet of fighter jets to Iran, or tries to tank our markets by some other means...
                                                                  Once again, completely out of touch with reality

                                                                  Trump has not only not started any military conflict, he has tried to get out of the ones we have been in for far too long

                                                                  Obama was a war monger compared to Trump

                                                                  Trump has also negotiated peace deals

                                                                  You are totally detached from reality
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • homie1975
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-24-13
                                                                    • 15453

                                                                    #943
                                                                    He's liable to raise HELLLL if he gets voted out of office. He may likely fly completely off the rails.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • maggiethebestdog
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-21-13
                                                                      • 6700

                                                                      #944
                                                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                      He's liable to raise HELLLL if he gets voted out of office. He may likely fly completely off the rails.
                                                                      Wow, this is what you have been reduced to


                                                                      "May likely fly completely fly off the rails"????????

                                                                      "Liable to raise hell"????????

                                                                      LOL

                                                                      It's hard to argue with facts like these
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • rkelly110
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 10-05-09
                                                                        • 39691

                                                                        #945
                                                                        Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                                                                        Wow, this is what you have been reduced to


                                                                        "May likely fly completely fly off the rails"????????

                                                                        "Liable to raise hell"????????

                                                                        LOL

                                                                        It's hard to argue with facts like these
                                                                        So margarete, I'm confused. You bipolar? When not trolling, you are against rump, when trolling you are for him. So which is it?
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...