Monday Plays?? Dead Card

**Sam Odom** · 08-26-19, 07:08 AM

JJ

maybe we should WALK this one

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 03:05 PM

Nothing yet, but the market just closed.

I did buy these plays on August 1st for this weekend...

Originally posted by KVB

I have another basket to introduce. The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket will have an initial screen of competitive underdogs, primarily on the road. This is a moneyline basket of bets that uses a stacking percentages forecast along with market analyses to determine the appropriate play.

There could be quite a few plays in this basket as well. It will be tracked and again it can be used as a gauge but has had a very decent ROI over the last few years by itself. There will not be large underdogs in this basket as one of the factors will be competitive underdogs. If a competitive underdog is mispriced and is large upset in the market, it won’t fall into this basket, even though it may be a good bet.

Just like the last basket…

While each bet is, of course, one unit, the plan is to track this basket, it can be a gauge, and determine a time to for the Total Return Fund to take a position.

Early season stacking forecasts should not do as well as when the market matures but evidence over the years shows the difference isn’t enough to overcome the market analysis of the early season...

Last year's performance was disappointing, though profitable...

Date	NCAAF UPSET Basket	1 Unit	Closing	Beat	BTC ML
		per bet	Line	Closer?	Average

	Total	2.5		88-35-3	0.15

The KVB NCAAF UPSET Basket has picked up...

133	29-Aug	UCLA +140
137		FL INT +135
147	30-Aug	UTAH ST +150
193	31-Aug	SMU +140

This is value investing.

It's on muthafukkas!!!...

This Fund is also a market function or gauge and looking at that chart could that be a little head and shoulder's reversal developing in the short term part of the a long term pattern?

We are optimistic.

**GzaTheGenius** · 08-26-19, 03:06 PM

I'm on the Doyers, not sure why

Just random selection, GL

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by GzaTheGenius

I'm on the Doyers, not sure why

Just random selection, GL

Good Luck!!

**SBR Tony** · 08-26-19, 03:08 PM

this might be the worst card I've seen in years

pass

**BIGDAY** · 08-26-19, 03:13 PM

**GzaTheGenius** · 08-26-19, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Good Luck!!

I know they've been struggling to score runs, I know Dustin May is young and unproven but they're still the dodgers and it's still the Padres

Basically a dart toss though..

Waiting on a yankees line too, they could be a play

**ThaTopMoron** · 08-26-19, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Phils maybe

you degenerate

I'm waiting for thursday

ppl are going to lose in weird ways the next couple of days... always happens before bunch of college games get played early in the season

get ready for threads to be created by ppl to vent the next couple nights after they lose with flukes/bad beats

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

you degenerate

I'm waiting for thursday

ppl are going to lose in weird ways the next couple of days... always happens before bunch of college games get played early in the season

get ready for threads to be created by ppl to vent the next couple nights after they lose with flukes/bad beats

Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it.

**BigdaddyQH** · 08-26-19, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Nothing yet, but the market just closed.

I did buy these plays on August 1st for this weekend...

This Fund is also a market function or gauge and looking at that chart could that be a little head and shoulder's reversal developing in the short term part of the a long term pattern?

We are optimistic.

He posted this today. This is what lying arseholes do. Notice how he failed to mention the book he allegedly played these games at. The problem is this. UCLA is nowhere near +140. +110 to119 is what is showing as of NOW. Florida Int is +105 to 113. Utha State is between +147 and 150. SMU is between +110 and 118. I say that this S.O.B. should be banned from this site for posting numbers that obviously are fradulent. You guys are willing to jump Thomo's case, why not this sorry Ba**ard?

**hubie69** · 08-26-19, 03:38 PM

Looking hard at the Dbacks FF, more a fade of beebe than a bet on the dbacks....

We'll see

**pilebuck13** · 08-26-19, 03:43 PM

Walking the card.

**shocka1212** · 08-26-19, 03:44 PM

on the phillies. maybe Brewers.. we'll see though

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 03:46 PM

KC is on the Contrarian Fund radar.

The raw forecast has a dead tie and my sources show the bets and money on Oakland yet we are looking at a bit of a line freeze across the marketplace.

The books appear to be taking a position on KC and the Contrarian tends to identify with that.

Let's see of the market blinks.

**ThaTopMoron** · 08-26-19, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it.

I may be eating my words because I only bet ATP tennis a little during the 4 majors and didn't even realize first round is going on today...

now I'm staring down lines and looking into a couple match ups

some guy has his dream match of getting to play Roger and he's just so excited... so he will probably piss himself and lose the first set 6-0 or 6-1 and Roger is -9.5

seen that happen before

**jjgold** · 08-26-19, 04:13 PM

your all good guys here!!

I never admit it but I tail some plays HIDDEN OFF MY SHEET

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Phils maybe

Going to disagree here and took Pit in the Fund...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

953	26-Aug	PIT +130
960		SF -102

...

**Bostongambler** · 08-26-19, 04:56 PM

Yanks, high price but what the heck.

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by KVB

KC is on the Contrarian Fund radar.

The raw forecast has a dead tie and my sources show the bets and money on Oakland yet we are looking at a bit of a line freeze across the marketplace.

The books appear to be taking a position on KC and the Contrarian tends to identify with that.

Let's see of the market blinks...

The market with a blink, but not a very big one.

Could be an effort to initiate steam like action with out actually steaming upward. Books could be taking a position here and trying to generate action on the game. If they can maintain the percentages, an overall increase in action still enhances the position, as opposed to making it more even.

Edit: You know, the market didn't really blink that much and where it did we have already seen some RLM.

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 05:07 PM

Cards/brewers over, I got 9.5 last night but 10 is fine. I like both teams to score at least 5., of course i have lower success rate w cards overs than I do any other play on their games this season so take it w a grain of salt. Lol.

As I mentioned the other day cards offense is starting to look like the formidable unit we expected coming into the year. Not the team ranked near bottom of league in wroc+. Goldy and ozuna are finality healthy and swinging hot bats at the same time. Fowler has gotten back to being the above average on base guy we thought we were getting when we signed him. It a bummer wong took that foul ball off his foot the other day cause he was playing extremely well. Edman is a bit of a drop off but he swinging good bat as well so we got 2 guys getting on base ahead of 2 legit middle the order bats.

Both lineups have had success vs these starters and when these 2 meet in milw we tend to get much different games than the ones at Busch. Obviously no shock since milw a great hitters park while Busch is much more pitcher friendly.

Starting pitching pretty much a wash in this one imo, cards have the advantage in the pens. So give me cards +123 as well.

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 05:16 PM

Added those Marlins, a winning play I slept through yesterday...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

956

26-Aug

MIA +147

The problem here is that MIA +175 was one of the winning plays I missed yesterday. I could be on the wrong side of the market give and take here...

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Added those Marlins, a winning play I slept through yesterday...

Really wanted to play the ff under but books wernt fukkin around w that line: I can’t play it at 3.5.

**Getch13** · 08-26-19, 05:30 PM

Padres are on a 5-1 run vs the Dodgers with E. Lauer starting +7.4 units R.O.I. 123% pitching in the underdog role in all 6 starts. He has a 1.72 era to go along with a whip of 0.927 and K's 9 of 8.59. Info courtesy of Steve Makinen.

Ticket#:4233618
Aug 26 10:10 PM

Aug 26 06:16 PM

MLB

STRAIGHT BET
[962] SD +135
( D MAY -R / E LAUER -L )

100.00 /
135.00

BOL Getch

**Sam Odom** · 08-26-19, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by SBR Tony

this might be the worst card I've seen in years

pass

Originally posted by pilebuck13

Walking the card.

Slim Pickens

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

He posted this today. This is what lying arseholes do. Notice how he failed to mention the book he allegedly played these games at. The problem is this. UCLA is nowhere near +140. +110 to119 is what is showing as of NOW. Florida Int is +105 to 113. Utha State is between +147 and 150. SMU is between +110 and 118. I say that this S.O.B. should be banned from this site for posting numbers that obviously are fradulent. You guys are willing to jump Thomo's case, why not this sorry Ba**ard?

Cause unlike you kvb brings things of value to the site. Try it sometime or go away. Nobody cares what you say, if we took a vote you would be the one who got banned, nobody would miss you.

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by shocka1212

on the phillies. maybe Brewers.. we'll see though

Cardinals gonna take 2 of 3 in this series, they playing their best baseball right now. If you like milw just go w the over cause imo they gonna have to score 6+ to win, certainly not out of the question considering waino not the same away and brewers have hit him.

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Cause unlike you kvb brings things of value to the site. Try it sometime or go away. Nobody cares what you say, if we took a vote you would be the one who got banned, nobody would miss you.

He's going on about me?

Guy must really want my attention.

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by KVB

He's going on about me?

Guy must really want my attention.

Straight up clown. Wonder how much pretend money he has on Bama -10,000 this week?? Lol

**KVB** · 08-26-19, 05:46 PM

Man I have a bad feeling about tonight.

953	26-Aug	PIT +130
956		MIA +147
960		SF -102

And if KC triggers I don't really feel much better...lol.

**KiDBaZkiT** · 08-26-19, 06:02 PM

Cardinals f5 +115

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT

Cardinals f5 +115

Doesn’t make much sense to eliminate the pens if you like cards. Their pen is better than milw.

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Man I have a bad feeling about tonight.

953	26-Aug	PIT +130
956		MIA +147
960		SF -102

And if KC triggers I don't really feel much better...lol.

I guess one of us do well, I have cincy/oak/cards and over for a RR in groups of 2s. Lol

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 06:13 PM

Cards need to bust this bitch open right away!!!

**2daBank** · 08-26-19, 06:20 PM

yadi!!