Kentucky derby 2019

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  • cankid
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-22-08
    • 7209

    #1
    Kentucky derby 2019
    Who do you like, sounds like one of the more open fields in a long time ..... Omaha Beach a scratch now how does that affect your pick(s) and outlook on the race?
  • kidcudi92
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-11
    • 15434

    #2
    Maximum Security
    Comment
    • SBR Genie
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-20-14
      • 5459

      #3
      Try to visit the Kentucky Derby Betting Odds. Good luck, guys!
      Comment
      • The General
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-10-05
        • 13279

        #4
        I may post winning super if I get time.
        Comment
        • cankid
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-22-08
          • 7209

          #5
          Originally posted by The General
          I may post winning super if I get time.
          Thanks General

          Wonder if the weather will change

          Anyone like any matchups?
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            Just put in my bet for Improbable.

            Comment
            • RangeFinder
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-27-16
              • 8041

              #7
              It's going to be a wet track. #1 War of Will fits on a wet track. Hate the post but if he guns out he'll be ok. He's the one I'm playing WPS.

              Good luck boy's
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #8
                Good Luck Range.

                Are you looking at an MLB spots for today?

                Contrarian Fund is on the UNDER 8.5 in Wrigley.

                Comment
                • goduke
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-10
                  • 11580

                  #9
                  I like roadster but may change if the track is too wet
                  Comment
                  • RangeFinder
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-27-16
                    • 8041

                    #10
                    Originally posted by KVB
                    Good Luck Range.

                    Are you looking at an MLB spots for today?

                    Contrarian Fund is on the UNDER 8.5 in Wrigley.

                    I like the Halo's and Cahill as a dog today.

                    Good luck on your Derby horse. There are 7 horses that could easily win. Good thing about that is if you're right you're going to get paid today
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      Originally posted by KVB
                      Good Luck Range.

                      Are you looking at an MLB spots for today?

                      Contrarian Fund is on the UNDER 8.5 in Wrigley.

                      Bankers square fund is on the over in wrigley! Lol.

                      Scrubbies have murdered wacha, 5 of their starters have a ops above 1,000 against him!

                      Yu is a dumpster fire especially when it comes to control (kinda a big thing for a pitcher!) guy is walking almost 7 batters per 9 innings!

                      Cards offense been in bit of a funk lately, the last 2 been horrendous! how the hell Kendricks shuts ya out only needing 81 pitches to do so is beyond me! Both these starters today will be above 81 pitches by the 4th inning most likely!! Even before the last 2 games w no offense cards been somewhat struggling, most the nats series they managed 1 big inning but then nothing else the other 8 innings, not good and certainly not sustainable.

                      So I understand why you playing the under but think they will put some runs up today as all it take is couple yu walks and a blast. I think both teams will get to 4 in this one. Wanted to play cards at plus money but scrubbies numbers vs wacha scared me away, lol.
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        Angels a very good luck Range.

                        I may be about to buy them in fact.

                        The are on the radar and looking strong. I identify what I consider sharper moves on the Angels here and I can't see any in the market on the other side.

                        The Contrarian Fund likes the play with one exception. The base forecast I'm working with favors Houston just a little too much.

                        Things can change, including the odds, that can change the opinion and trigger a play.

                        Just a little more volume and I'll know for sure.

                        Contrarian Fund or not, I'll have some sort of LAA tonight.

                        Glad you like then as well.

                        Good Luck today on all the bets.

                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Was hoping to come in here and see 3-4 guys opinion I respect on different horses so I could put together a exacta and tri box!! Lol. Cmon guys let’s give me some winners!!!
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #14
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            Bankers square fund is on the over in wrigley! Lol.

                            Scrubbies have murdered wacha, 5 of their starters have a ops above 1,000 against him!

                            Yu is a dumpster fire especially when it comes to control (kinda a big thing for a pitcher!) guy is walking almost 7 batters per 9 innings!

                            Cards offense been in bit of a funk lately, the last 2 been horrendous! how the hell Kendricks shuts ya out only needing 81 pitches to do so is beyond me! Both these starters today will be above 81 pitches by the 4th inning most likely!! Even before the last 2 games w no offense cards been somewhat struggling, most the nats series they managed 1 big inning but then nothing else the other 8 innings, not good and certainly not sustainable.

                            So I understand why you playing the under but think they will put some runs up today as all it take is couple yu walks and a blast. I think both teams will get to 4 in this one. Wanted to play cards at plus money but scrubbies numbers vs wacha scared me away, lol.

                            Not gonna lie, I have St. Louis winning basically what translates to 5.5 -3.5.

                            That's 9 points, and we aren't the only ones figuring on over score for sure.

                            When I start laying market figures down, and adjust the numbers, the contrarian side knocks down my number.

                            The Contrarian Fund has a Wrigley Field adjustment that over the years has led to success but in all honesty might level out between last year, this year, and next year. It's still good for me even if it is heading towards level. As the sample increases, we'll know.

                            Also, an adjustment that has absolutely taken off over the last 8 years with the Contrarian look deals with the successful, sometimes public, teams meeting up in these conditions. The bettors and money line up to push the line a little further than it belongs.

                            Finally that 8.5 barrier is a big, broad one. It's a good Under play as it is so that once you put all the factors together the Contrarian was willing to pay -110 or so for it but was fortunate to get -105.

                            We'll take it and roll those dice.



                            Good Luck today Banker, except for the Total in Wrigley, lol!!!

                            I think I said that to LT today too.

                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              Was hoping to come in here and see 3-4 guys opinion I respect on different horses so I could put together a exacta and tri box!! Lol. Cmon guys let’s give me some winners!!!
                              Comment
                              • RyanLeafOfBets
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-03-10
                                • 8164

                                #16
                                Let's go #8 Tacitus!!!
                                Comment
                                • CanuckG
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-23-10
                                  • 21976

                                  #17
                                  War of Will
                                  By My Standards
                                  Game Winner
                                  Improbable
                                  Tacitus

                                  All 5 stand out. You can make an argument for any of them. It's an open race. I also am on Maximum Security. Public is driving that price down.
                                  Comment
                                  • RyanLeafOfBets
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-03-10
                                    • 8164

                                    #18
                                    Played a 1,5,7,8 tri box and 1,5,7,8 super box
                                    Comment
                                    • gauchojake
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-17-10
                                      • 34103

                                      #19
                                      Leafer how's the liver pal???
                                      Comment
                                      • RyanLeafOfBets
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-03-10
                                        • 8164

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by gauchojake
                                        Leafer how's the liver pal???
                                        Not removed yet... haven't drank in May yet
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Anyone got something for race 8? Lol
                                          Comment
                                          • RangeFinder
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-27-16
                                            • 8041

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                            Was hoping to come in here and see 3-4 guys opinion I respect on different horses so I could put together a exacta and tri box!! Lol. Cmon guys let’s give me some winners!!!
                                            Game winner is the wise guy horse. There is a ton of liability in Vegas racebooks on that runner.
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by KVB
                                              ...Things can change, including the odds, that can change the opinion and trigger a play...
                                              Books are blinking a bit and the Angels are heading back up over +120.

                                              Comment
                                              • RangeFinder
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-27-16
                                                • 8041

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                Anyone got something for race 8? Lol
                                                I'm on #8 Mitole. He's bet down a little at 5/2 but this one makes sense. Good luck if you bet it.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by RangeFinder
                                                  I'm on #8 Mitole. He's bet down a little at 5/2 but this one makes sense. Good luck if you bet it.
                                                  Let’s get it!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RangeFinder
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-27-16
                                                    • 8041

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                    Books are blinking a bit and the Angels are heading back up over +120.

                                                    Saw that. Haven't fired yet but getting ready to at that price. I try not to let small changes scare me lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RangeFinder
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 10-27-16
                                                      • 8041

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by RangeFinder
                                                      Saw that. Haven't fired yet but getting ready to at that price. I try not to let small changes scare me lol
                                                      There were takers at +124 so I like that. If it snaps to +130 then I'm worried.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by RangeFinder
                                                        Saw that. Haven't fired yet but getting ready to at that price. I try not to let small changes scare me lol
                                                        I prefer to get better price, line moves never phase me!!

                                                        havnt paid much attention this season but last few years it practically been a death sentence when I bet overnights and smoked the line by 20 cents or more, 2 years ago I was losing games I beat the closer by that much at such a high clip I had to back off playing overnights. I hate doing that cause obviously beating the number should be a good thing in long run but damn sure wasn’t that season! Lol
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RangeFinder
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-27-16
                                                          • 8041

                                                          #29
                                                          I 've had to switch channels 3 times for horses already today. From TVG to NBCSN to NBC. Wish they would make up their minds. Irritating.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RangeFinder
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-27-16
                                                            • 8041

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                            I prefer to get better price, line moves never phase me!!

                                                            havnt paid much attention this season but last few years it practically been a death sentence when I bet overnights and smoked the line by 20 cents or more, 2 years ago I was losing games I beat the closer by that much at such a high clip I had to back off playing overnights. I hate doing that cause obviously beating the number should be a good thing in long run but damn sure wasn’t that season! Lol
                                                            Been there already a few times this year. I does suck to know you got the best number only to have teams go out and make errors all over the place or a pitcher that has a sub par game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              I prefer to get better price, line moves never phase me!!

                                                              havnt paid much attention this season but last few years it practically been a death sentence when I bet overnights and smoked the line by 20 cents or more, 2 years ago I was losing games I beat the closer by that much at such a high clip I had to back off playing overnights. I hate doing that cause obviously beating the number should be a good thing in long run but damn sure wasn’t that season! Lol
                                                              Been there pal.

                                                              For sure.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by kidcudi92
                                                                Maximum Security
                                                                Current favorite at 9/2 and the only undefeated horse in the field.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • 2daBank
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 88966

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by RangeFinder
                                                                  I'm on #8 Mitole. He's bet down a little at 5/2 but this one makes sense. Good luck if you bet it.
                                                                  Great call brother!! Off to a good start for the day!! I did 20/20/20 on win/place/show!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RangeFinder
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-27-16
                                                                    • 8041

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                    Great call brother!! Off to a good start for the day!! I did 20/20/20 on win/place/show!!
                                                                    Awesome man! Wish the price was the morning line but that's the way it goes sometimes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • 2daBank
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                                      • 88966

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Ok so what we doing for race 9???

                                                                      I talked the old lady into just chilling and watching the ponies w me!! Lol. Now that we won race 8 she all into it!
                                                                      Comment
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