Field (-129) vs Djokovic to win Australian Open... error?

[Sam Losco]

This is crazy. Im not a big tennis guy and saw this looking around Pinnys site. One guy being a +110 fav in a field this big is nuts

Anyone else going to hammer this?

[jjgold]

That does not seem right..winning a major so hard and he is older

Anything can happen

[SamsNCharge99]

correct odds.

Bet against him and see what happens. Even money seems crazy, but if you have been watching past 6 months of tennis, it will take an amazing performance to beat Joker 3/5 sets

[Sam Losco]

no doubt he is on top of tennis right now, but in a field this big the odds are crazy. anything can happen

[SamsNCharge99]

Joker's last 3/5 set loss was in QF of French Open. Won 2 straight majors after and only 4 losses after French Open.

[jtoler]

how is it nuts if youve won it 6 times out of the last 11 years not to mention the last 2 majors of 2018

[El Nino]

He dominates this tourney. Fed down, Nadal coming off injury. Only others that have a shot are Zverev or Delpo. Cilic prob makes semis.

[SamsNCharge99]

all depends on draw too. Fed will be on opposite side of bracket so they shouldn't have potential match until finals

[Sam Losco]

how is it nuts if youve won it 6 times out of the last 11 years not to mention the last 2 majors of 2018

one injury, one bad day can put down a +110 fav in a 128 man field. thats why

[jtoler]

one injury, one bad day can put down a +110 fav in a 128 man field. thats why

and no injuries and no bad days I guess is how he's won it over 50% of the time the last 11 years. the difference here with men's tennis is when you say field youre really, even remotely, talking about 1 of 6-7 guys. so its best to think of it as Nole vs 6-7 players. thats the main reason for the odds, not just anybody can nor will win the tourney. would be different if women's tennis. in fact since 2003 there prob hasnt been that many different major winners.

[Sam Losco]

and no injuries and no bad days I guess is how he's won it over 50% of the time the last 11 years you seem to have your mind made up so why are you discussing this sammy

just wanted to see what fellow posters thought

[RudyRuetigger]

sammy doesnt really post many guys

so should i tail because he never really posts

or fade because he never really posts

i have no clue

[jtoler]

just wanted to see what fellow posters thought

I edited it bro tried to put a little more perspective on why the odds look the way they do. taking field not a bad bet of course

[Sam Losco]

sammy doesnt really post many guys

so should i tail because he never really posts

or fade because he never really posts

i have no clue

dont waste your time on this, collect aluminum

[jjgold]

great bet

[slayer14]

He is not vintage novak

[MiDNiTe]

Yastrema down 6-2 5-1 retires bet you her and inner circle bet on herself

[jjgold]

He can lose any round

Young guys getting better and better and he is getting older

Easy to get clipped

[lonegambler23]

the grigor dream might be alive and well again