An ABSOLUTE NHL GIFT 11-13-2018

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  • Fire in da hole
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-29-10
    • 6262

    #36
    Tailing for 1k

    gets get this biach
    Comment
    • AlgoLady
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-31-18
      • 96

      #37
      Originally posted by Golden fleece
      Oh I agree man. Everyone loves bad teams in certain spots cuz of the "due factor". I am not excluded but i try my best to avoid these fallacies as much as possible these days

      The Kings are basically like the wizards in he nba right now. Everyone is looking for the right spot where they snap out of it and put together a good game. It actually finally worked for wizard backers last night so sometimes it is warranted and you can kinda make that case for the kings tonight schedule wise.... but im with ya on Leafs. They are much better rated team here. I like our odds
      Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
      Comment
      • icon
        SBR MVP
        • 01-09-18
        • 3441

        #38
        Originally posted by AlgoLady
        Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
        I get what you are saying but I think that Anaheim is much closer in terms of talent to Nashville than the Kings are compared to the Leafs. The Leafs> Kings talent/ability gap is much greater.

        Anaheim could at least skate with Nashville. The Kings are too slow to keep up with Toronto.
        Comment
        • canepole
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-12-10
          • 973

          #39
          Originally posted by icon
          Toronto Maple Leafs -125.
          This line is way off. I mean by at least 50 cents.
          Toronto should be -180.
          I would bet my entire existence that this line moves a ton and that TORONTO -125 or anything close to it will not be available come game time Tuesday night.
          Leafs rested and ready to go after getting drubbed by the Bruins Sat night in the 2nd game of a B2B. Toronto can and does score in bunches, especially on the road. Kings are now old/slow and will have a very hard time keeping up with Leafs youth/speed.
          LA can't score and are now down to their 3rd goaltender as their top 2 goalies are out.
          Leafs absolutely roll in this game.
          Fk it, I'm in. Don't know shet about hockey here in Louisiana..Don't they play on horseback??
          Comment
          • nyplayer33
            Restricted User
            • 09-27-06
            • 8303

            #40
            Budja in goal kings... line was 137 heritage back to 125...the difference in these teams for tonight is a coin flip
            Comment
            • ikid2groove415
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-08-18
              • 11981

              #41
              The Los Angeles Kings are:
              5-16 in their last 21 overall
              4-9 in their last 13 home games
              1-5 in their last six games against teams with winning percentages over .600
              The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
              6-1 in their last seven road games
              12-4 in their last 16 games against the Western Conference
              16-7 in their last 23 games against teams with losing records

              And of course when everyone leans 1 side? You often know what Happens- bet accordingly
              Comment
              • icon
                SBR MVP
                • 01-09-18
                • 3441

                #42
                Originally posted by nyplayer33
                Budja in goal kings... line was 137 heritage back to 125...the difference in these teams for tonight is a coin flip
                Lol, no. Not even close. This is more like the Jets vs the Patriots. Could the Jets win? Technically yes.

                Budaj? Hes washed up and unwanted, he lucked out that both LA goalies got injured and a spot opened up for him.
                Comment
                • ikid2groove415
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-08-18
                  • 11981

                  #43
                  Bol op
                  Comment
                  • icon
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-09-18
                    • 3441

                    #44
                    Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                    The Los Angeles Kings are:
                    5-16 in their last 21 overall
                    4-9 in their last 13 home games
                    1-5 in their last six games against teams with winning percentages over .600
                    The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
                    6-1 in their last seven road games
                    12-4 in their last 16 games against the Western Conference
                    16-7 in their last 23 games against teams with losing records

                    And of course when everyone leans 1 side? You often know what Happens- bet accordingly
                    I hear ya and understand why some might be hesitant. Yes alot of heavy leans have gone up in flames but not all of them and certainly none of my big picks (lol).

                    Fear not! Bet more! (on Toronto)
                    Comment
                    • icon
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-09-18
                      • 3441

                      #45
                      The main reason I started this thread was to inform my fellow posters that this is a solid bet and that the moneyline the books offered was very generous.

                      For the record I'm all in on this game, as in I have no more money in my gambling budget (bankroll) this month if it loses. My Pinnacle balance is at stake. I don't think I'm nuts.
                      Comment
                      • Golden fleece
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-25-18
                        • 858

                        #46
                        Originally posted by AlgoLady
                        Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
                        I know what you're saying. There is certianly some truth there from some observations ive seen in the past

                        However, I never ever care what other people are doing when I make a wager. Its completely irrelavant to me what 50%, 75% or 90% are out there doing. That would jus cause 2nd guessing shit and i aint playin that way

                        Its wins or lessons for me. Thats it
                        Comment
                        • ikid2groove415
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-08-18
                          • 11981

                          #47
                          Leafs are playing without there best player Matthews - is Anderson goaltending tonight?
                          Comment
                          • ikid2groove415
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-08-18
                            • 11981

                            #48
                            All in bets should wait for important playoff games - this is still only 1 of 82 regular season games - never go all in on hockey/Nba regular season games - Football is different - regular season games are more critical - because there’s only 16 or college 12-11 games
                            Comment
                            • AlgoLady
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-31-18
                              • 96

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Golden fleece
                              I know what you're saying. There is certianly some truth there from some observations ive seen in the past

                              However, I never ever care what other people are doing when I make a wager. Its completely irrelavant to me what 50%, 75% or 90% are out there doing. That would jus cause 2nd guessing shit and i aint playin that way

                              Its wins or lessons for me. Thats it

                              I agree if you don't have some kind of system or model your going off of your basically throwing darts anyway no matter what sport your betting. I could care in the least what someone else bets as long as i'm winning that's all I care about. Good luck icon on your all in.
                              Comment
                              • Slipknot26
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-17-15
                                • 5046

                                #50
                                Originally posted by icon
                                The main reason I started this thread was to inform my fellow posters that this is a solid bet and that the moneyline the books offered was very generous.

                                For the record I'm all in on this game, as in I have no more money in my gambling budget (bankroll) this month if it loses. My Pinnacle balance is at stake. I don't think I'm nuts.
                                No reason in stats , counter-stats now . It's a done deal , bet is made , nothing is changing .
                                Best of luck , hope you hit it
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by canepole
                                  Fk it, I'm in. Don't know shet about hockey here in Louisiana..Don't they play on horseback??
                                  Lmfao. Apparently LSU is pretty decent at hoops this year (believe it when i see it) over looks pretty solid tonight vs memphis.
                                  Comment
                                  • icon
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-09-18
                                    • 3441

                                    #52
                                    Just reading up on Budaj. He was put on waivers in Sept and cleared so he was sent to the minors.

                                    At one time a few years ago Budaj used to be the Kings goto guy.

                                    Clearing waivers = no other NHL team wanted him. They all took a pass.
                                    Comment
                                    • hugh_morris
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-17-09
                                      • 2039

                                      #53
                                      It must be that ace goalie for LA....n
                                      Comment
                                      • pilebuck13
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-15-15
                                        • 17918

                                        #54
                                        I wish you luck man
                                        Comment
                                        • icon
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-09-18
                                          • 3441

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by hugh_morris
                                          It must be that ace goalie for LA....n
                                          Yeah I don't see Budaj beating Anderson. I'm just stunned that this line isn't -150 yet.

                                          Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                          I wish you luck man
                                          cheers!
                                          Comment
                                          • pilebuck13
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 05-15-15
                                            • 17918

                                            #56
                                            Well idk of it makes you feel better but bovada has it at -150 lol
                                            Comment
                                            • nyplayer33
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-27-06
                                              • 8303

                                              #57
                                              137 heritage....close game...I'd lean kings
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388179

                                                #58
                                                here we go

                                                I tailed

                                                It better win
                                                Comment
                                                • cincinnatikid513
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 11-23-17
                                                  • 45360

                                                  #59
                                                  bet my bankroll on this hope it wins baby needs a new pair of shoes


                                                  Nov 13 10:01 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [15] TORONTO -1½+192
                                                  31.00 / 59.52
                                                  Comment
                                                  • icon
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-09-18
                                                    • 3441

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by nyplayer33
                                                    137 heritage....close game...I'd lean kings

                                                    Prediction:

                                                    Final score:

                                                    Leafs 6 Kings 1
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gauchojake
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 09-17-10
                                                      • 34113

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                      here we go

                                                      I tailed

                                                      It better win
                                                      it starts in 20 minutes jj

                                                      are you ready????

                                                      figs? oriole cookies??? cole cuts????
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dawg58kahn
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-19-18
                                                        • 2106

                                                        #62
                                                        boom. one up already. sensational pp goal.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fire in da hole
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-29-10
                                                          • 6262

                                                          #63
                                                          2-0 already counting my money

                                                          nice job OP
                                                          Comment
                                                          • icon
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-09-18
                                                            • 3441

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Fire in da hole
                                                            2-0 already counting my money

                                                            nice job OP
                                                            Long way to go pal but it should be very clear to anyone that doubted that the Leafs are much faster and more skilled than the Kings. As I write this after 9 minutes played Leafs outshooting Kings 11-0.



                                                            On the power play Toronto skating circles around the Kings.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pilebuck13
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-15-15
                                                              • 17918

                                                              #65
                                                              Nice call man looks like a runaway train of cash!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pilebuck13
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-15-15
                                                                • 17918

                                                                #66
                                                                Why the fuk are the leafs -130 up a goal. Icon what’s going on here
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dawg58kahn
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-19-18
                                                                  • 2106

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                                  Why the fuk are the leafs -130 up a goal. Icon what’s going on here
                                                                  -130 lmao. they are -300 dawg on the 2 way ml
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • odog11
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-14-11
                                                                    • 3874

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                                    Nice call man looks like a runaway train of cash!
                                                                    Looks can be deceiving. That said still looks good for the Leafs.

                                                                    Whats the better play Kings ml +205 or Leafs pl +110? If you HAD to pick one.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pilebuck13
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-15-15
                                                                      • 17918

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by odog11
                                                                      Looks can be deceiving. That said still looks good for the Leafs.

                                                                      Whats the better play Kings ml +205 or Leafs pl +110? If you HAD to pick one.
                                                                      I know zero about hockey. I just got a bad line for about 5 minutes I figured it was bad lol... but PL +110 seems low
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • FrogHorn
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 11-11-18
                                                                        • 90

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Taking the Kings after the 1st period @ +250 because I like looking stupid.
                                                                        Comment
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