Oh I agree man. Everyone loves bad teams in certain spots cuz of the "due factor". I am not excluded but i try my best to avoid these fallacies as much as possible these days
The Kings are basically like the wizards in he nba right now. Everyone is looking for the right spot where they snap out of it and put together a good game. It actually finally worked for wizard backers last night so sometimes it is warranted and you can kinda make that case for the kings tonight schedule wise.... but im with ya on Leafs. They are much better rated team here. I like our odds
Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
Comment
icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#38
Originally posted by AlgoLady
Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
I get what you are saying but I think that Anaheim is much closer in terms of talent to Nashville than the Kings are compared to the Leafs. The Leafs> Kings talent/ability gap is much greater.
Anaheim could at least skate with Nashville. The Kings are too slow to keep up with Toronto.
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canepole
SBR Wise Guy
02-12-10
973
#39
Originally posted by icon
Toronto Maple Leafs -125. This line is way off. I mean by at least 50 cents.
Toronto should be -180.
I would bet my entire existence that this line moves a ton and that TORONTO -125 or anything close to it will not be available come game time Tuesday night.
Leafs rested and ready to go after getting drubbed by the Bruins Sat night in the 2nd game of a B2B. Toronto can and does score in bunches, especially on the road. Kings are now old/slow and will have a very hard time keeping up with Leafs youth/speed.
LA can't score and are now down to their 3rd goaltender as their top 2 goalies are out. Leafs absolutely roll in this game.
Fk it, I'm in. Don't know shet about hockey here in Louisiana..Don't they play on horseback??
Comment
nyplayer33
Restricted User
09-27-06
8303
#40
Budja in goal kings... line was 137 heritage back to 125...the difference in these teams for tonight is a coin flip
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ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#41
The Los Angeles Kings are:
5-16 in their last 21 overall
4-9 in their last 13 home games
1-5 in their last six games against teams with winning percentages over .600
The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
6-1 in their last seven road games
12-4 in their last 16 games against the Western Conference
16-7 in their last 23 games against teams with losing records
And of course when everyone leans 1 side? You often know what Happens- bet accordingly
Comment
icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#42
Originally posted by nyplayer33
Budja in goal kings... line was 137 heritage back to 125...the difference in these teams for tonight is a coin flip
Lol, no. Not even close. This is more like the Jets vs the Patriots. Could the Jets win? Technically yes.
Budaj? Hes washed up and unwanted, he lucked out that both LA goalies got injured and a spot opened up for him.
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ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#43
Bol op
Comment
icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#44
Originally posted by ikid2groove415
The Los Angeles Kings are:
5-16 in their last 21 overall
4-9 in their last 13 home games
1-5 in their last six games against teams with winning percentages over .600
The Toronto Maple Leafs are:
6-1 in their last seven road games
12-4 in their last 16 games against the Western Conference
16-7 in their last 23 games against teams with losing records
And of course when everyone leans 1 side? You often know what Happens- bet accordingly
I hear ya and understand why some might be hesitant. Yes alot of heavy leans have gone up in flames but not all of them and certainly none of my big picks (lol).
Fear not! Bet more! (on Toronto)
Comment
icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#45
The main reason I started this thread was to inform my fellow posters that this is a solid bet and that the moneyline the books offered was very generous.
For the record I'm all in on this game, as in I have no more money in my gambling budget (bankroll) this month if it loses. My Pinnacle balance is at stake. I don't think I'm nuts.
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Golden fleece
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-18
858
#46
Originally posted by AlgoLady
Not really the "due factor" there is a reason 75% of people are pounding Toronto ML and its not budging usually that's not a good sign just like last night the best team in hockey the Predators 70% of the money was on Preds and for the first time all year the line went the opposite way against a average at best team in the Ducks and you seen what happen Ducks won in a S/O and outplayed them almost the whole game. Not saying it happens every time but usually if it's to good to be true bet the opposite way.
I know what you're saying. There is certianly some truth there from some observations ive seen in the past
However, I never ever care what other people are doing when I make a wager. Its completely irrelavant to me what 50%, 75% or 90% are out there doing. That would jus cause 2nd guessing shit and i aint playin that way
Its wins or lessons for me. Thats it
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ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#47
Leafs are playing without there best player Matthews - is Anderson goaltending tonight?
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ikid2groove415
SBR Posting Legend
01-08-18
11981
#48
All in bets should wait for important playoff games - this is still only 1 of 82 regular season games - never go all in on hockey/Nba regular season games - Football is different - regular season games are more critical - because there’s only 16 or college 12-11 games
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AlgoLady
SBR High Roller
10-31-18
96
#49
Originally posted by Golden fleece
I know what you're saying. There is certianly some truth there from some observations ive seen in the past
However, I never ever care what other people are doing when I make a wager. Its completely irrelavant to me what 50%, 75% or 90% are out there doing. That would jus cause 2nd guessing shit and i aint playin that way
Its wins or lessons for me. Thats it
I agree if you don't have some kind of system or model your going off of your basically throwing darts anyway no matter what sport your betting. I could care in the least what someone else bets as long as i'm winning that's all I care about. Good luck icon on your all in.
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Slipknot26
SBR Hall of Famer
07-17-15
5046
#50
Originally posted by icon
The main reason I started this thread was to inform my fellow posters that this is a solid bet and that the moneyline the books offered was very generous.
For the record I'm all in on this game, as in I have no more money in my gambling budget (bankroll) this month if it loses. My Pinnacle balance is at stake. I don't think I'm nuts.
No reason in stats , counter-stats now . It's a done deal , bet is made , nothing is changing .
Best of luck , hope you hit it
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#51
Originally posted by canepole
Fk it, I'm in. Don't know shet about hockey here in Louisiana..Don't they play on horseback??
Lmfao. Apparently LSU is pretty decent at hoops this year (believe it when i see it) over looks pretty solid tonight vs memphis.
Comment
icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#52
Just reading up on Budaj. He was put on waivers in Sept and cleared so he was sent to the minors.
At one time a few years ago Budaj used to be the Kings goto guy.
Clearing waivers = no other NHL team wanted him. They all took a pass.
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hugh_morris
SBR MVP
11-17-09
2039
#53
It must be that ace goalie for LA....n
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pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17918
#54
I wish you luck man
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icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#55
Originally posted by hugh_morris
It must be that ace goalie for LA....n
Yeah I don't see Budaj beating Anderson. I'm just stunned that this line isn't -150 yet.
Originally posted by pilebuck13
I wish you luck man
cheers!
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pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17918
#56
Well idk of it makes you feel better but bovada has it at -150 lol
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nyplayer33
Restricted User
09-27-06
8303
#57
137 heritage....close game...I'd lean kings
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#58
here we go
I tailed
It better win
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cincinnatikid513
SBR Aristocracy
11-23-17
45360
#59
bet my bankroll on this hope it wins baby needs a new pair of shoes
Nov 13 10:01 PM
NHL
STRAIGHT BET
[15] TORONTO -1½+192
31.00 / 59.52
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icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#60
Originally posted by nyplayer33
137 heritage....close game...I'd lean kings
Prediction:
Final score:
Leafs 6 Kings 1
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gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34113
#61
Originally posted by jjgold
here we go
I tailed
It better win
it starts in 20 minutes jj
are you ready????
figs? oriole cookies??? cole cuts????
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dawg58kahn
Restricted User
08-19-18
2106
#62
boom. one up already. sensational pp goal.
Comment
Fire in da hole
SBR Hall of Famer
09-29-10
6262
#63
2-0 already counting my money
nice job OP
Comment
icon
SBR MVP
01-09-18
3441
#64
Originally posted by Fire in da hole
2-0 already counting my money
nice job OP
Long way to go pal but it should be very clear to anyone that doubted that the Leafs are much faster and more skilled than the Kings. As I write this after 9 minutes played Leafs outshooting Kings 11-0.
On the power play Toronto skating circles around the Kings.
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pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17918
#65
Nice call man looks like a runaway train of cash!
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pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17918
#66
Why the fuk are the leafs -130 up a goal. Icon what’s going on here
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dawg58kahn
Restricted User
08-19-18
2106
#67
Originally posted by pilebuck13
Why the fuk are the leafs -130 up a goal. Icon what’s going on here
-130 lmao. they are -300 dawg on the 2 way ml
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odog11
SBR MVP
02-14-11
3874
#68
Originally posted by pilebuck13
Nice call man looks like a runaway train of cash!
Looks can be deceiving. That said still looks good for the Leafs.
Whats the better play Kings ml +205 or Leafs pl +110? If you HAD to pick one.
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pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17918
#69
Originally posted by odog11
Looks can be deceiving. That said still looks good for the Leafs.
Whats the better play Kings ml +205 or Leafs pl +110? If you HAD to pick one.
I know zero about hockey. I just got a bad line for about 5 minutes I figured it was bad lol... but PL +110 seems low
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FrogHorn
SBR Hustler
11-11-18
90
#70
Taking the Kings after the 1st period @ +250 because I like looking stupid.