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Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!
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adam3Benched
- 04-28-25
- 1
#14666Comment -
MadisonSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-16-11
- 6366
#14667Curtesy of Stansberry.
As of last Friday, the slope of the S&P 500's 200-DMA has fallen in 16 consecutive sessions.
The last time the S&P 500's 200-DMA "turned over" like this was (again) in the first half of 2022, right as a major leg down in the index took shape into summer. That year's bear market didn't bottom until that October.
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MadisonSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-16-11
- 6366
#14668Curtesy Luke Lango Investor Place
One especially powerful indicator he tracks is the Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT) indicator. This indicator triggers when the percentage of advancing stocks on the NYSE (measured over a 10-day moving average) rises from below 40% to above 61.5% within 10 trading days.
This rare surge in market breadth suggests that many stocks are suddenly moving higher, often marking the end of a bearish phase and the beginning of a major rally.
As you’re likely guessing, the Zweig Breadth Thrust indicator just triggered – last Thursday, to be exact.
Here’s Luke with more details:
The ZBT has only flashed 18 times since World War II. In every single instance, stocks were higher a year later — with average gains of 25%.
That’s not noise. That’s a signal.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 just last week notched three straight days of gains over 1.5%. That’s another rare signal. Since 1950, every time that’s happened, stocks have been higher a year later — every single time — with average gains of 10%.
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