Donald Trump To Run For President in 2016!!!!!!!!

**smoke a bowl** · 03-29-16, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by jtoler

Doesnt matter. Donald has to outrun the bear not just his contemporaries. The bear being 1237.

If he doesn't get 1237 he will get close enough to where he would be the only candidate to have any shot at the nomination. Not saying he can win it but it would be detrimental to the GOP in general if they nominate anyone else if one of the candidates has over 90% of the required delegates and the next best has 70% or less. It would be a complete injustice to the people who voted.

**brooks85** · 03-29-16, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by rkelly110

Yeah, Republicans.

Why? They represent the corporate world. Turning their backs on illegals and not prosecuting companies that hire them so they can have cheap labor is why we have a problem.

Before you bring up Obama and liberals, Obama has sent more back across the border than all of the previous presidents combined.

lol rkelly and his lies

remember the other day when you said the economy was doing well because jobs were up, lol, and I had to explain to the simple math of why you were wrong? This is exactly the same, if you actually understood the numbers you'd know Obama's deportation numbers are inflated because they are counting "removals" as "deportations" which they did not do before.

removal =/= deportation

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by brooks85

lol rkelly and his lies

remember the other day when you said the economy was doing good because jobs were up, lol, and I had to explain to the simple math of why were wrong? This is exactly the same, if you actually understood the numbers you'd know Obama's deportation numbers are inflated because they are counting "removals" as "deportations" which they did not do before.

removal =/= deportation

You and many get it Brooks. Obviously many don't or just refuse to acknowledge it.

**JIBBBY** · 03-29-16, 05:10 PM

Trump vs Hillary coming up!!! Bring on the Hildebeast...

**jordanft19** · 03-29-16, 05:14 PM

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by jordanft19

nonsense

I only got through the first 4 minutes which were simple minded comments without any basis to them. Once he falsely stated that David Duke endorsed Trump, I stopped the video. Just more race baiting. Nothing to gain.

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 05:26 PM

,,,,

**ACoochy** · 03-29-16, 05:26 PM

Drumpfs snivelling little bitch of a campaign manager subpoenaed to appear in a florida court on charges of assault after the infamous arm grabbing incident...

What a shit show circus this clowns entire life has become

**ACoochy** · 03-29-16, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

,,,,

You reupped yet whitey dwighty?

Haha edits his lost as knows he's wrong

**rkelly110** · 03-29-16, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by brooks85

lol rkelly and his lies

remember the other day when you said the economy was doing well because jobs were up, lol, and I had to explain to the simple math of why you were wrong? This is exactly the same, if you actually understood the numbers you'd know Obama's deportation numbers are inflated because they are counting "removals" as "deportations" which they did not do before.

removal =/= deportation

Hmm, sounds like a typical tighty righty spin job to me. Like the unemployment rate isn't 5%, Obama is a complete
and utter failure, yada yada yada.

So tell me oh wise one, what have the Repubs done for us in 7 years again? I await your loooong list.

**TheSideBet** · 03-29-16, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by ACoochy

Drumpfs snivelling little bitch of a campaign manager subpoenaed to appear in a florida court on charges of assault after the infamous arm grabbing incident...

What a shit show circus this clowns entire life has become

I cannot believe how much that stupid incident has blown up. She ran up and grabbed Trump, the manager grabbed her, she cries that he brutally assaulted her and dragged her to the ground nearly and once the tapes come out she backed off and said well he did touch me. Bitch, you started it by grabbing the Trumpster I hop he files battery charges on her now

**smoke a bowl** · 03-29-16, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Trump is around -200 to be nominee
Contested convention is around -150 to happen

Makes perfect sense. Nobody else is going to be nominee without contested convention. So this gap recognizes that there is a chance, albeit a very slight one, that Trump will emerge nominee from contested convention. The odds though make it clear that the chance of that is low.

Really? If he is roughly 66.7% to be the nominee and there is only 40% chance at no contested convention trump wins basically that whole 40% that means that trump has a 27/60 or 45% chance to win if contested convention right?

**MoneyLineDawg** · 03-29-16, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

Really? If he is roughly 66.7% to be the nominee and there is only 40% chance at no contested convention trump wins basically that whole 40% that means that trump has a 27/60 or 45% chance to win if contested convention right?

That's what I'm saying man....look at my original post, I thought I had it right. d2bets ya killin me

Trump -200 to win nominee
No Contested Convention +150

Huge inconsistency for everyone saying he doesn't have a shot in a contested convention

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by ACoochy

You reupped yet whitey dwighty?

Haha edits his lost as knows he's wrong

I clicked and it posted twice.

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by TheSideBet

I cannot believe how much that stupid incident has blown up. She ran up and grabbed Trump, the manager grabbed her, she cries that he brutally assaulted her and dragged her to the ground nearly and once the tapes come out she backed off and said well he did touch me. Bitch, you started it by grabbing the Trumpster I hop he files battery charges on her now

no shit. What a disgusting woman.

**smoke a bowl** · 03-29-16, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

That's what I'm saying man....look at my original post, I thought I had it right. d2bets ya killin me

Trump -200 to win nominee
No Contested Convention +150

Huge inconsistency for everyone saying he doesn't have a shot in a contested convention

For sure. My gut is Trump is better than 45% to win a brokered convention being that he will be so close to the delegates needed. So I guess I'm saying that I like Trump -200 to win nomination, -150 on a brokered convention or some combination of both.

**smoke a bowl** · 03-29-16, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

That's what I'm saying man....look at my original post, I thought I had it right. d2bets ya killin me

Trump -200 to win nominee
No Contested Convention +150

Huge inconsistency for everyone saying he doesn't have a shot in a contested convention

I think dbets was thinking in terms of the difference between -200 and -150 as apposed to -200 and +150. I disagree with dbets on this election but he is a smart guy in general.

**ACoochy** · 03-29-16, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by TheSideBet

I cannot believe how much that stupid incident has blown up. She ran up and grabbed Trump, the manager grabbed her, she cries that he brutally assaulted her and dragged her to the ground nearly and once the tapes come out she backed off and said well he did touch me. Bitch, you started it by grabbing the Trumpster I hop he files battery charges on her now

So not only is he already a bigoted racist incest sympathizing rapist but now we can add associative woman basher to that list as well

Waiting for the next chapter of shit show to unfold

**ACoochy** · 03-29-16, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

I clicked and it posted twice.

Whitey upset his dealer has phone on silent

Hang in there pal, the DT's should hopefully wear off in a week or two...

**MoneyLineDawg** · 03-29-16, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

I think dbets was thinking in terms of the difference between -200 and -150 as apposed to -200 and +150. I disagree with dbets on this election but he is a smart guy in general.

Yea we were taking about two different things....I tried to clarify it in the second post

It's still interesting to me that those NO contested convention/Trump to win odds are so far apart

**smoke a bowl** · 03-29-16, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

Yea we were taking about two different thing....I tried to clarify it in the second post

It's still interesting to me that those NO contested convention/Trump to win odds are so far apart

I think it is because Trump will more than likely be so close to the 1237 that it will be tough to take It away.

**MoneyLineDawg** · 03-29-16, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

I think it is because Trump will more than likely be so close to the 1237 that it will be tough to take It away.

Well yeah but everyone has been saying he needs that 1237 or he has no shot....market tells us it's a 50/50 chance he wins even if he doesn't gets there but I don't see how with the way the Establishment has been talking

**d2bets** · 03-29-16, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by smoke a bowl

I think dbets was thinking in terms of the difference between -200 and -150 as apposed to -200 and +150. I disagree with dbets on this election but he is a smart guy in general.

You're right. I totally misread. These odds imply a significant chance of Trump winning at contested convention.

**d2bets** · 03-29-16, 07:44 PM

Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg

Well yeah but everyone has been saying he needs that 1237 or he has no shot....market tells us it's a 50/50 chance he wins even if he doesn't gets there but I don't see how with the way the Establishment has been talking

I'll do the math later. It's not quite 50/50 implied. I think it's too high though.

**rkelly110** · 03-29-16, 07:48 PM

I gotta love all the irony in this election.

In 2008, an unknown black man comes out of nowhere to win the nomination and presidency.

The Repubs are so pissed, they started the voter ID laws and everything under the sun to minimize minority
voting and lean districts in their favor. 2012 comes along and they again get their asses kicked.

Instead of changing their stance, they knive behind the peoples backs.

Fast forward to today and we had/ have the sorriest lineup of presidential hopefuls ever and the only stand out
is a pompous belligerent billionaire whose only plan is to make it great again. Great like when?

Instead of getting behind this guy, they, like they do in congress, will attack their own.

Can't wait to see what the next few months will bring.

**GunShard** · 03-29-16, 08:18 PM

Trump on the CNN town hall.

**Otters27** · 03-29-16, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

Trump on the CNN town hall.

Anderson Cooper is trying to make Trump look bad

**JIBBBY** · 03-29-16, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by GunShard

Trump on the CNN town hall.

Cruz was on before him.. Trump keeps it simple and makes sense to me.. I like simple... Watching now..

**brooks85** · 03-29-16, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by rkelly110

Hmm, sounds like a typical tighty righty spin job to me. Like the unemployment rate isn't 5%, Obama is a complete
and utter failure, yada yada yada.

So tell me oh wise one, what have the Repubs done for us in 7 years again? I await your loooong list.

lol you silly sheepy

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 08:42 PM

...

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Cruz was on before him.. Trump keeps it simple and makes sense to me.. I like simple... Watching now..

yup

**jtoler** · 03-29-16, 08:50 PM

So boring, all he's talked about is the campaign manager thing, wives, and other petty stuff, this is the weirdest presidential process of all time.

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 08:56 PM

**JIBBBY** · 03-29-16, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by jtoler

So boring, all he's talked about is the campaign manager thing, wives, and other petty stuff, this is the weirdest presidential process of all time.

No he talks about protecting American lives mainly... He speaks the truth.. He's doing pretty good for not being a groomed politician with years and years of experience.. Can't expect too much from him on the fly but he's spot on and keeps it real.. Not a puppet... People like that..

His heart is in the right place and wants to fix stuff, he'll surround himself with winners and get the job done if elected I hope.. He's got my vote!!

**DwightShrute** · 03-29-16, 09:12 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

No he talks about protecting American lives mainly... He speaks the truth.. He's doing pretty good for not being a groomed politician with years and years of experience.. Can't expect too much from him on the fly but he's spot on and keeps it real.. Not a puppet... People like that..

His heart is in the right place and wants to fix stuff, he'll surround himself with winners and get the job done if elected I hope.. He's got my vote!!

he's a leader. Firm but fair guy.

Doesn't apologize for being rich and for who he is. Wants to improve his country. He is only one left running who has a chance in making it happen.