New Hockey System "3-to-4" Trial For Live Betting (System Explanation Inside)

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 04:29 PM

This is a live betting system that is played ideally in the NHL when the score is 3-2 in the 1st, or 2nd period. When Team A is leading Team B 3-2 in the 1st or 2nd Period, bet the option "Race to 4 goals" and take Team A. Since Team A is winning 3-2, they will reach 4 most of the time before Team B. So, what we do is bet Team A "First to 4 goals". For example, the odds will roughly be -155 for Team A to reach 4. So if we bet $155 on Team A, and they score the next goal, you will win $100. HOWEVER, if Team B ties it up 3-3 this is when we HEDGE and bet the option " Team to score Next Goal" and take Team B to score next. The odds for both teams to score next will both be +money. So, we bet $100 on Team B at lets say +115 and we take our loses of $35 overall. This system gives you the option to cut your losses when it is 3-3 but also to make 3 times the amount you can potentially lose. Most of the time you will win when betting Team A to hit 4 first, but when it is 3-3, you will only lose a little when hedging. However, if Team A still scores to make it 4-3 you could potentially break even give or take a little. I will be tracking this system here and I hope others can track it too. When played everytime, it is projected to make you money. I am still studying the system, but input would be nice.

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 04:46 PM

Will keep on eye on it tonight. Will be using Bet365

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 04:52 PM

Some people might say "What if it finishes 3-2?" When it is 3-2 in the 2nd period (lets say, half way through the game) The game almost 90 percent of the time does not finish 3-2. 90 percent of the time another goal will be scored.

**James Marques** · 11-09-14, 05:24 PM

I would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by James Marques

I would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.

Earlier in the 2nd period, higher the percentage.

**Let's Go Rangers** · 11-09-14, 05:29 PM

interesting concept Seaweed.

I personally think the "fade Russian Rocket" system is a lot more reliable ...
and it is tried and true

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by Let's Go Rangers

interesting concept Seaweed.

I personally think the "fade Russian Rocket" system is a lot more reliable ...
and it is tried and true

If both have been proven to be profitable, choose the system you have had a higher success rate at.

**James Marques** · 11-09-14, 05:40 PM

This strategy has an expected value of roughly -$3.50 for $100 units every time it is tried. Assuming your 90% figure earlier is accurate.

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 05:41 PM

Seaweed unlike homoranger...I actually will help you out here

I'm pretty sure you won't understand much...but nonetheless give it shot:

http://hockeyanalytics.com/Research_files/Interarrival%20Times%20of%20Goals%20in%20Ice%20Hockey.pdf

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

Seaweed unlike homoranger...I actually will help you out here

I'm pretty sure you won't understand much...but nonetheless give it shot:

http://hockeyanalytics.com/Research_...e%20Hockey.pdf

Thanks for the article. I remember reading this in the Spring of 2008.

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 07:30 PM

This can also be applied to games where the score is "2-1" with good value on team A. So here it is. Take Edmonton "Race to 3" vs New York. (Current score 2-1 in 2nd) Live Bet Oilers to 3 @-125

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 07:38 PM

Need to add : Do not bet if line is over -160, only under when Team A is winning and the line to score is -160 or under.

**Let's Go Rangers** · 11-09-14, 07:43 PM

So 8n play on TB

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by James Marques

I would love to see something... anything... that proves "90%" of 3-2 NHL games in the second period don't finish 3-2.

James you would have to look deep into his anal cavity, because that's where he pulled that number from
...and I'm pretty sure you don't want to do brother

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

Thanks for the article. I remember reading this in the Spring of 2008.

and how did you apply those principals and stats into your formula here?

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

This can also be applied to games where the score is "2-1" with good value on team A. So here it is. Take Edmonton "Race to 3" vs New York. (Current score 2-1 in 2nd) Live Bet Oilers to 3 @-125

Did u bet live Oilers to 3?

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:04 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

Did u bet live Oilers to 3?

ohh I know...you'll give me an answer with one minute left on the clock

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:06 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

Did u bet live Oilers to 3?

Yes

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:07 PM

I posted it so I played it. The one's I post are the ones I played. I wont be able to post all plays that fit into the criteria, but you can follow it as well.

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

Yes

ok I'm on bet365...let me know when and what you gonna do next I wanna see it

**Booya711** · 11-09-14, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

ohh I know...you'll give me an answer with one minute left on the clock

Comical watching 2 mentally challenged fukks discuss hockey scenarios

Go Rangers and seaweed...not a coincidence the new dumb and dumber movie comes out this week

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

I posted it so I played it. The one's I post are the ones I played. I wont be able to post all plays that fit into the criteria, but you can follow it as well.

yeah and you have a separate thread for that

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by Booya711

Comical watching 2 mentally challenged fukks discuss hockey scenarios

Go Rangers and seaweed...not a coincidence the new dumb and dumber movie comes out this week

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by Let's Go Rangers

So 8n play on TB

That game did not qualify as a bet. Line was too high.

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

yeah and you have a separate thread for that

This is a separate thread to track strictly system plays.

**MoMoneyMoVaughn** · 11-09-14, 08:10 PM

Weeder you can still get Race to 3 at +135 for oilers.

Go all fukkin in.

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by Seaweed

This is a separate thread to track strictly system plays.

got it

but you're going to count that towards your overall record right?

**Let's Go Rangers** · 11-09-14, 08:26 PM

Blackhawks up 3-2

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:29 PM

Seaweed so all the lines are now closed for that game

**Russian Rocket** · 11-09-14, 08:31 PM

here comes the goal

**MoMoneyMoVaughn** · 11-09-14, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by Let's Go Rangers

Blackhawks up 3-2

Race to 4 -250...

Seaweed this system doesn't seem particularly promising.

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:32 PM

System Plays:

1-0

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn

Race to 4 -250...

Seaweed this system doesn't seem particularly promising.

No, do not bet it. Only -160 or under. Line is way too high.

**Seaweed** · 11-09-14, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by Russian Rocket

got it

but you're going to count that towards your overall record right?

of course