Nadal line keeps being pounded. Injury news anybody?
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MiDNiTe
SBR Hall of Famer
11-11-13
7684
#108
Before the semis i was hoping rafa would pound andy so the odds would be good for joker now bit worried but im just going with my gut and going for it with joker
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#109
Originally posted by Marillion
Nadal line keeps being pounded. Injury news anybody?
there seems to be news of novak not in tip top shape for him to be able to win this, but i think its out there for a reason.
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Hardcoar
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-13
15606
#110
Originally posted by frugalgambler
Even better, he was @+170 before the QF. But I still think -120 is a decent price on Nadal in a RG final against anybody.
It may well be, but my point still stands: Who the f*ck apart from a retard who knows nothing about prior odds would bet big on Rafa at negative odds???
The only mitigating factor is that Novak's line reeks with trap.
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AceKingHigh
SBR MVP
10-23-09
3888
#111
All those saying's are just BS right now...
It's anyone game, Personally, I hope Rafa wins it.
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FoxMulder
SBR MVP
05-02-13
1139
#112
my prediction is 3-2 but can't pull the trigger on who's going to win. safer for me to play over 4.5 sets
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oldscho0led
SBR MVP
01-18-11
1407
#113
Originally posted by FoxMulder
my prediction is 3-2 but can't pull the trigger on who's going to win. safer for me to play over 4.5 sets
lol why not Over 3.5 sets when it already gives good odds on this line?! You're risking too much on Over 4.5
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Hardcoar
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-13
15606
#114
Originally posted by AceKingHigh
All those saying's are just BS right now...
It's anyone game, Personally, I hope Rafa wins it.
Massive correction: If Novak is perfectly healthy, it truly is anyone's game.
If he's anywhere near as bothered as he was against Gulbis it's an easy sweep.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#115
Only one edge Joker has is court intimidation
Nadal has that edge over everyone in the game but Novak
Nadal at times gets timid vs him and has cost him
only factor here
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Ontnr
SBR Hustler
03-02-12
75
#116
Originally posted by Hardcoar
It may well be, but my point still stands: Who the f*ck apart from a retard who knows nothing about prior odds would bet big on Rafa at negative odds???
The only mitigating factor is that Novak's line reeks with trap.
This sounds a helluva lot like letting irrevocable (alternative) costs influencing one's decision making...,
For sure, everyone with a brain who knows the prior odds, also knows that at this point there was a lot of value to be had with Rafa previously, compared to the current line, value which is now gone. It's like buying an ice cream..., if I got to the store and they just removed the sign saying 50% off for ice cream, then I just missed a lot of value. Shouldn't really influence my decision making as I was about to buy ice cream for regular price anyways...,
The only reasonable explanation is that this line is more efficient than the future based line, due to more information and time to let the market correct itself... Of course that's the conservative explanation, sometimes lines get less efficient, sometimes the market doesn't have good information, but yea gen speaking..
I don't get how it could be a trap? Is it like.. 2.30 sounds real good, while at the same it's actually a bad bet.., cause it's a trap. So really it should be higher, let's say 2.50. I mean... how can 2.30 be a trap cause it sounds too good, when the real implied odds actually sound even better? I will never get that..
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FoxMulder
SBR MVP
05-02-13
1139
#117
Originally posted by oldscho0led
lol why not Over 3.5 sets when it already gives good odds on this line?! You're risking too much on Over 4.5
line for over 3.5 is too low for my taste, I prefer trying to maximize my profit at a greater risk. will try over 4.5 medium stake, get a six pack, enjoy the match and try not to worry much about it if it holds, it holds.
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sbavi
SBR Hustler
05-09-13
99
#118
This is a pretty tricky match in my opinion.Went with a safe bet just for the sake of some action.
Djokovic to win a set @ 1.23
Stake = 520$
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poet
SBR Wise Guy
08-11-13
796
#119
Originally posted by GoBlue77
why was joker wearing a wrist wrap while playing chess with boris becker?? the pic is on twitter. interesting..
I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
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Hardcoar
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-13
15606
#120
Originally posted by poet
I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
So this is why he sucked his own ass from a straw against Gulbis!
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SirtySree
SBR MVP
12-19-13
2370
#121
Originally posted by poet
I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
not playing head games wen Novak has been below par the whole tourney. only reason y im going with nadal wen ive backed novak past two times
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#122
Have to go Nadal here. Not sure how you go against him at this point.
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MiDNiTe
SBR Hall of Famer
11-11-13
7684
#123
Novak hasnt been playing below par all tourney he crushed jo and cilic just was iffy against gulbis
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w@lt
SBR MVP
10-08-10
2594
#124
I love the people who don't watch/follow/know anything about tennis, that drop in for a grand slam final and give their opinion.
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#125
Originally posted by poet
I think Djoker might be playing head games with Nadal, who keeps bringing up his back as a possible issue.
less to do with nadal more to do with what it can do to the line imo.
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#126
Originally posted by w@lt
I love the people who don't watch/follow/know anything about tennis, that drop in for a grand slam final and give their opinion.
who did you bet w@lt?
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#127
what time does it start and what channel?
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FoxMulder
SBR MVP
05-02-13
1139
#128
Well I couldnt resist taking Djokovic ML. over 4.5 and Djoker for me.
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#129
now nbc
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w@lt
SBR MVP
10-08-10
2594
#130
Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
who did you bet w@lt?
Just a little on Nadal.
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#131
same here, but on novak.
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#132
who is gonna get the first break?
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GoBlue77
SBR Hall of Famer
03-20-11
9166
#133
Live betting best route for this match for sure
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#134
early on Joker is slightly better
Better angles and deeper hitting
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makman
SBR MVP
10-31-10
1019
#135
Nadal is defending good. but his balls are short. Djokovic has long balls. How long Nadal can run like a dog, i dont know, but sooner or later Joker will get the control of this final
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#136
Typical Joker/Nadal match
Joker always has him on the run
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MiDNiTe
SBR Hall of Famer
11-11-13
7684
#137
First blood joker aww yeahh cmon serve it out
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Steamroller
SBR MVP
11-30-12
1003
#138
Novak, Novak, Novak!!!!
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ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#139
lets go joker you need this first one.
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makman
SBR MVP
10-31-10
1019
#140
Novak is toying with Nadal, he will make him his bitch