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  • grim259
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-04-12
    • 187

    #2626
    Take the spurs at +6 for -120 or just go with 5.5? PS stupid bovada, gotta wait for ML to open, if it ever does.
    Comment
    • Dollars2Donuts
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-07-13
      • 8803

      #2627
      Take the +5.5. I hate to buy points like that....money means more than a half a point....saying that, memphis will probably win by 6 now...lol.
      Comment
      • grim259
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-04-12
        • 187

        #2628
        Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
        Take the +5.5. I hate to buy points like that....money means more than a half a point....saying that, memphis will probably win by 6 now...lol.
        Meh, I will take that risk for the money. Your picks are more consistent winners that if I lost on that .5 I would easily shrug it off.
        Comment
        • ItsMeMrMattE
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-30-10
          • 5294

          #2629
          what are some of your points for backing STL tomorrow? i see the value being in LA. STL 0-4 vs LHP. STL .219 hitting average vs LHP. STL 2-6 in LA. STL lost at -160 in Lynn last start. LA is coming into this game after cashing a blowout dog win. imo line movement so far favors LA, and LA only being at around +110 against a 6-1 pitcher makes me believe books are favoring LA as well.
          Comment
          • keamster
            SBR Rookie
            • 05-21-13
            • 16

            #2630
            D2D, Thanks to your picks I picked a few I liked a parlayed them. hit a 5 way parlay! Thanks! wasn't for much but it saved me for the day. Wasn't able to get all your picks in time picked a couple loser ones, but all good! BOL TOMMOROW!
            Comment
            • Dollars2Donuts
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-07-13
              • 8803

              #2631
              Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
              what are some of your points for backing STL tomorrow? i see the value being in LA. STL 0-4 vs LHP. STL .219 hitting average vs LHP. STL 2-6 in LA. STL lost at -160 in Lynn last start. LA is coming into this game after cashing a blowout dog win. imo line movement so far favors LA, and LA only being at around +110 against a 6-1 pitcher makes me believe books are favoring LA as well.
              St. Louis is 16-5 in their last 21 games
              St. Louis is 16-8 on the road
              St. Louis, tomorrow's lineup at least, traditionally hits lefties just fine
              Lynn has pitched well against LA and is coming off of his poorest start of the season and I believe this will be a bounce back game for him
              Capuano gives up a ton of runs to St. louis (6.58 ERA in last 10 starts vs St Loo)
              Capuano is coming off of 2 quality starts in a row.....and he sucks....also he is on 6 days rest instead of 5 and he had a leg issue after his last start
              The Dodgers are playing eratic ball at home and are still underperforming

              Until I see a marked imporvement from the Dodgers I am willing to award their opponents added value. Also, this is still just a 2 unit play...it may look like a bigger play, but that is only because the last few days I have been avoiding any large plays except in ++++games.
              Comment
              • ItsMeMrMattE
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-30-10
                • 5294

                #2632
                those are all valid points and i appreciate the response. still on the fence on this one tho. for some reason i see this one going like STL's last series, where they lose the the first one as the fav. then win the next 2. i guess the main point we disagree on is you see Lynn bouncing back and i dont. however i think STL does have the advantage in the bullpen. decisions decisions. im gonna need more time with this one before i lock anything in. GL with your pick tho.
                Last edited by ItsMeMrMattE; 05-24-13, 03:06 AM.
                Comment
                • Dollars2Donuts
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-07-13
                  • 8803

                  #2633
                  Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
                  those are all valid points and i appreciate the response. still on the fence on this one tho. for some reason i see this one going like STL's last series, where they lose the the first one as the fav. then win the next 2. i guess the main point we disagree on is you see Lynn bouncing back and i dont. however i think STL does have the advantage in the bullpen. decisions decisions. im gonna need more time with this one before i lock anything in. GL with your pick tho.
                  No worries...that's the best thing about handicapping sports....there is always an equal arguement for either side. Now, you just need to get on the right side and you will be alright!

                  Comment
                  • bostonphoenix
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 04-16-13
                    • 137

                    #2634
                    I assume your POD will involve the penguins?

                    I also circled ATL and Pitt for tonight.

                    ATL v. NYM (Medlen-Hefner)

                    The initial juice is too high to play so I would play it at -1 (-135).

                    Braves are running hot, 7-3, and have Medlen going tonight. While Medlen doesn't get great run support he still pitches terrificly and has had recent good outings. The braves should at some point SHOULD give him more runs. The Mets, 3-7, meanwhile have Hefner going and he looks good to give up 4/5 runs a game.

                    Pitt v. MIL (Burnett-Estrada)

                    Even money on a better team with a better pitcher going against a weaker team with a weaker pitcher. I like the pitching matchup and I like the pirates at the moment. I do think Pittsburgh isn't this good and Milwaulke isn't this bad, though.

                    What made you pass on these games?

                    Thanks!

                    ----

                    Pallo had a good tournament, is he ranked lower than he should be, playing out of his mind or his opponents aren't trying as they should?
                    Last edited by bostonphoenix; 05-24-13, 08:31 AM.
                    Comment
                    • SpreadSniper
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-17-09
                      • 6125

                      #2635
                      Originally posted by Coreos

                      Dude what happened to your other avatar w/the Leafs? Cracked me up every time I looked at it. If that's not a sign of being a good sport, then I don't know what is.
                      Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

                      I miss that avatar as well!!! It was the best avatar on the entire site.

                      It's bad enough I have to watch the Bruins go on to the ECF, serving as a constant reminder.... Looking at anything Leafs fukkin disgusts me at the moment - jerseys, hats, shirts, boxers (yes, I have leafs boxers) have all been packed away... had to put the pic to rest as well.


                      BOL on the plays fellas
                      Comment
                      • tto827
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-01-12
                        • 9078

                        #2636
                        Edit: Me so stupid
                        Comment
                        • Dollars2Donuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-07-13
                          • 8803

                          #2637
                          Originally posted by tto827
                          Edit: Me so stupid
                          I wish I had read what you said PRIOR to you editing it out! Where were you yesterday?
                          Comment
                          • tto827
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-01-12
                            • 9078

                            #2638
                            Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                            I wish I had read what you said PRIOR to you editing it out! Where were you yesterday?
                            Last day of finals, had to write a 5 page paper, give a presentation, and study for a final that evening, absolutely miserable.
                            Comment
                            • tto827
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 10-01-12
                              • 9078

                              #2639
                              And my post had to do with Nieminen holding serve twice to cover, but I typed 3.5 instead of 2.5, and though oh shit, he can't cover that... but then realized it was 2.5 and we were actually looking good. And mentioned that Andujar had a huge break down 5-3, and could he force a tiebreak, but mid-sentence he lost the set.

                              Edit: Sorry saw you had Nieminen at 3, guess you'll take the tie on that one after losing the second set... I'm quite happy DSI was offering -2.5 -120 instead
                              Comment
                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-07-13
                                • 8803

                                #2640
                                Well, we are 4/5 of the way done our day in the ATP and we are sitting at 2-1-1. A little upset because I switched at the last minute from Nieminin -2.5 to Nieminen -3 to get a better $ line. Of course, even at the time I thought 'this could come back to haunt me'...lol. At least we got the push there.

                                Andujar is now behind after losing his first set 7-5, where they were tied at 5-5....if he takes it to 6-6, even if he loses there we are set up to take the win with a 6-4 loss in the 2nd set. Now we are left hoping he wins the 2nd set or takes it to a tie break, which is unlikely given the number of breaks so far. If Andujar can pull it off it will be a great start to the day, and if he can't then we will be down the juice from our two losses....

                                So, Go ANDUJAR!
                                Comment
                                • loodachris99
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-04-11
                                  • 414

                                  #2641
                                  Great picks on the tennis ml's... I've never bet tennis before in my life until today.. Decided to tail.. Three 1 unit on the early match in Nice n then I noticed u posted the other play at 168 or so n by time I checked it was at -208 so I figured that line movement indicated I could hammer the play a little extra... Was that a correct thought process? Also I'm gonna start tailin n the ATP plays.. My question is my local only offers money lines.. Is it safe for me to tail only your money line plays? Sorry for the noobish questions n the wall of text I'm on my phone so that's why... Thanks and good work today brotha
                                  Comment
                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-07-13
                                    • 8803

                                    #2642
                                    Originally posted by tto827
                                    And my post had to do with Nieminen holding serve twice to cover, but I typed 3.5 instead of 2.5, and though oh shit, he can't cover that... but then realized it was 2.5 and we were actually looking good. And mentioned that Andujar had a huge break down 5-3, and could he force a tiebreak, but mid-sentence he lost the set.

                                    Edit: Sorry saw you had Nieminen at 3, guess you'll take the tie on that one after losing the second set... I'm quite happy DSI was offering -2.5 -120 instead
                                    I had the option....didn't want to pay the -125.....my bad, but I really thought we were in for a 6-3, 6-2 victory of some sort here. Sijsling, even with the crowd on his side, got in deeper than he ever expected, and for Jarko this is a much needed deep run and a good pay day.
                                    Comment
                                    • Dollars2Donuts
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-07-13
                                      • 8803

                                      #2643
                                      Originally posted by loodachris99
                                      Great picks on the tennis ml's... I've never bet tennis before in my life until today.. Decided to tail.. Three 1 unit on the early match in Nice n then I noticed u posted the other play at 168 or so n by time I checked it was at -208 so I figured that line movement indicated I could hammer the play a little extra... Was that a correct thought process? Also I'm gonna start tailin n the ATP plays.. My question is my local only offers money lines.. Is it safe for me to tail only your money line plays? Sorry for the noobish questions n the wall of text I'm on my phone so that's why... Thanks and good work today brotha
                                      I would say it is safe to play my ML bets, but one caution, when I am betting a dog at +4 games for 2 units and then the ML at 1 unit, I generally do that because I feel great about the +games so I am willling to take a shot at the ML. Because you do not have that option please just be a little bit cautious.

                                      GL and welcome to the thread.
                                      Comment
                                      • loodachris99
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-04-11
                                        • 414

                                        #2644
                                        Great ill make sure to be conscious of that.. Thanks for the speedy response and gl!
                                        Comment
                                        • Dollars2Donuts
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-07-13
                                          • 8803

                                          #2645
                                          Andujar breaks....and let's Monfils break right back.....that was a rough break for us....come on Pablo, get your shit together.
                                          Comment
                                          • thes0vereign
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-13-12
                                            • 712

                                            #2646
                                            Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                            Andujar breaks....and let's Monfils break right back.....that was a rough break for us....come on Pablo, get your shit together.
                                            With you, my man. Here's hoping Andujar pushes back on Monfils. I'm down with a 7-6 set for Monfils!


                                            EDIT: Oh well! Plenty more games to play today. You going to be on Pitt tonight, D2D? I know I'm taking a stab.
                                            Last edited by thes0vereign; 05-24-13, 11:38 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • Dollars2Donuts
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-07-13
                                              • 8803

                                              #2647
                                              Wow....Andujar up 4-3 and up a BREAK, gets broken twice in a row to lose 6-4....he should be embarrassed. Frankly, that is just gross. He should close that set out at 4-3 and up a break 9 times out of 10, and AT WORST he should get to a tiebreak.

                                              2-2-1 for -$40

                                              Could have been SOOO much better as Andujar lost by .5 about the sickest way possible and Jarko pushedon us (some of you got that win). If Andujar wins there it becomes at + $190.....meh.
                                              Comment
                                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-07-13
                                                • 8803

                                                #2648
                                                Now, this is a sick amount of juice on a regulation play in Pittsburgh.....but I still think it is the right play.

                                                180921101-1 5/24/13 12:45pm $284.00 $200.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:35pm NHL Hockey 52 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -142* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators (1st 60 min)
                                                Comment
                                                • Dollars2Donuts
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-07-13
                                                  • 8803

                                                  #2649
                                                  Adding:

                                                  180921508-1 5/24/13 12:52pm $113.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 51 Ottawa Senators/Pittsburgh Penguins Under 5½ -113*
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                    • 8803

                                                    #2650
                                                    OK, here we go......it has been a while since we threw a teaser on the board, and if you have been following for a few months you will know that historically we have been very solid.....and I LOVE this teaser.

                                                    180921924-1 5/24/13 12:59pm $200.00 $156.25 Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
                                                    Pending 5/24/13 8:35pm NBA Basketball 507 Indiana Pacers +13 * <small>vs</small> Miami Heat
                                                    Pending 5/25/13 9:05pm NBA Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs +11 * <small>vs</small> Memphis Grizzlies
                                                    180921817-1 5/24/13 12:57pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 507 Indiana Pacers/Miami Heat Over 181½ -108*
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Avala7ch3
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 06-04-12
                                                      • 257

                                                      #2651
                                                      How are you doing guys? any good? I've been banned for a while, but now I am on line 24/7....I hope you're not missing me too much, missing me?!

                                                      So what's the record?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dollars2Donuts
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-07-13
                                                        • 8803

                                                        #2652
                                                        Click image for larger version

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                                                        And of course, as is inevitable, I have had a message asking me to prove what I am doing.....of course, wanting screen shots. Well, just like every other time anyone has ever asked.....see above.

                                                        And of course, to my good friend Avala7ch3, I welcome you back with open arms. I believe we may have gotten off on the wrong foot. Good to see you back in the game.

                                                        D2D
                                                        Comment
                                                        • amrit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-30-12
                                                          • 1307

                                                          #2653
                                                          Hey D2D, just thought I'd ask for your input on this. Do you think the Pittsburgh PL at +135 is worth a play today?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dollars2Donuts
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-07-13
                                                            • 8803

                                                            #2654
                                                            Originally posted by amrit
                                                            Hey D2D, just thought I'd ask for your input on this. Do you think the Pittsburgh PL at +135 is worth a play today?
                                                            I am assuming you mean at -1.5 goals? If so, I would not chance it.....there is every chance that this is a one goal game.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • amrit
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-30-12
                                                              • 1307

                                                              #2655
                                                              Yes -1.5 goals sorry. You'd rather just play the ML or regulation right?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-07-13
                                                                • 8803

                                                                #2656
                                                                Originally posted by amrit
                                                                Yes -1.5 goals sorry. You'd rather just play the ML or regulation right?
                                                                IMO regulation is the ONLY play here. -230 on the ML is not a play I would ever take in the playoffs....just way too much juice. to gain +87 points on your money just by saying 'no OT' is great value and this bet is the only one (aside from the under 5.5) that I see value in on the board.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • amrit
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-30-12
                                                                  • 1307

                                                                  #2657
                                                                  Thanks D2D!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-07-13
                                                                    • 8803

                                                                    #2658
                                                                    Ok, adding one more play, PLUS a recap of all picks out there, Series bets, tomorrow's NBA, etc.

                                                                    180923261-1 5/24/13 1:22pm $101.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:10pm MLB Baseball 969 New York Yankees -101* <small>vs</small> Tampa Bay Rays (D Phelps - R must Start R Hernandez - R must Start)
                                                                    180921924-1 5/24/13 12:59pm $200.00 $156.25 Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
                                                                    Pending 5/24/13 8:35pm NBA Basketball 507 Indiana Pacers +13 * <small>vs</small> Miami Heat
                                                                    Pending 5/25/13 9:05pm NBA Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs +11 * <small>vs</small> Memphis Grizzlies
                                                                    180921817-1 5/24/13 12:57pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 507 Indiana Pacers/Miami Heat Over 181½ -108*
                                                                    180921508-1 5/24/13 12:52pm $113.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 51 Ottawa Senators/Pittsburgh Penguins Under 5½ -113*
                                                                    180921101-1 5/24/13 12:45pm $284.00 $200.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:35pm NHL Hockey 52 Pittsburgh Penguins (1st 60 min) -½ -142* <small>vs</small> Ottawa Senators (1st 60 min)
                                                                    180905425-1 5/24/13 2:49am $50.50 $50.00 Pending 5/25/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs +5½ -101* <small>vs</small> Memphis Grizzlies
                                                                    180905425-2 5/24/13 2:49am $50.00 $102.50 Pending 5/25/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs +205* <small>vs</small> Memphis Grizzlies
                                                                    180905340-1 5/24/13 2:43am $102.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 507 Indiana Pacers +7½ -102* <small>vs</small> Miami Heat
                                                                    180905327-1 5/24/13 2:42am $118.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 961 St Louis Cardinals -118* <small>vs</small> Los Angeles Dodgers (L Lynn - R must Start C Capuano - L must Start)
                                                                    180905327-2 5/24/13 2:42am $53.00 $50.00 Pending 5/24/13 10:15pm Reduced Baseball 963 Colorado Rockies/San Francisco Giants Over 7½ -106* (T Chadwood - R must Start T Lincecum - R must Start)
                                                                    180905327-3 5/24/13 2:42am $50.00 $53.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 966 Toronto Blue Jays +106* <small>vs</small> Baltimore Orioles (C Tillman - R must Start S Nolin - L must Start)
                                                                    180905327-4 5/24/13 2:42am $61.50 $50.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 965 Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays Under 9½ -123* (C Tillman - R must Start S Nolin - L must Start)
                                                                    180905327-5 5/24/13 2:42am $110.00 $100.00 Pending 5/24/13 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 968 Detroit Tigers -1½ -110* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Twins (S Deduno - R must Start A Sanchez - R must Start)
                                                                    180905327-6 5/24/13 2:42am $50.00 $52.50 Pending 5/24/13 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 971 Cleveland Indians/Boston Red Sox Under 9 +105* (J Masterson - R must Start J Lackey - R must Start)
                                                                    180829930-1 5/23/13 12:04pm $101.00 $100.00 Pending 5/25/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs +5 -101* <small>vs</small> Memphis Grizzlies
                                                                    180829808-1 5/23/13 12:04pm $105.00 $100.00 Pending 5/25/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 509 San Antonio Spurs/Memphis Grizzlies Over 177½ -105*
                                                                    180571820-1 5/21/13 4:29am $172.85 $579.05 Pending 5/21/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 847 New York Rangers (Series) +335* <small>vs</small> Boston Bruins (Series)
                                                                    179932042-1 5/16/13 7:09pm $210.00 $200.00 Pending 5/16/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 848 Boston Bruins (Series) -105* <small>vs</small> New York Rangers (Series)
                                                                    179747582-1 5/15/13 11:42am $255.00 $100.00 Pending 5/15/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 846 Chicago Blackhawks (Series) -255* <small>vs</small> Detroit Red Wings (Series)
                                                                    179616177-1 5/14/13 2:29pm $140.00 $100.00 Pending 5/14/13 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 844 Los Angeles Kings (Series) -140* <small>vs</small> San Jose Sharks (Series)
                                                                    179616151-1 5/14/13 2:29pm $369.00 $300.00 Pending 5/16/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 848 Boston Bruins (Series) -123* <small>vs</small> New York Rangers (Series)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bostonphoenix
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 04-16-13
                                                                      • 137

                                                                      #2659
                                                                      I dont do well on totals.

                                                                      But what is your reasoning about the under here? EVERYTHING is screaming at me that Pittsburgh wins this by multiple goals. Though I'm not sure Ottawa will score at all.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • thes0vereign
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-13-12
                                                                        • 712

                                                                        #2660
                                                                        Originally posted by bostonphoenix
                                                                        I dont do well on totals.

                                                                        But what is your reasoning about the under here? EVERYTHING is screaming at me that Pittsburgh wins this by multiple goals. Though I'm not sure Ottawa will score at all.
                                                                        4-1, 5-0 game.
                                                                        Comment
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