El Niño's NHL Thread

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  • El Nino
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-03-12
    • 18426

    #946
    Originally posted by therealJ$
    I actually hope Quick starts too..Yotes better win this one against a division rival or pack it in for the year..I think they got one last push in them though and you know how tough Phoenix can be. Kings are the better playoff team but will they be all out today? Kings playing for the #3 spot in the playoffs which I think they'll get by playoffs whether they win today or not 1 point back. Phoenix looking to make its 4th straight playoffs is within reach.. H2H is disturbingly in Kings favor but Yotes have managed to win 4 of last 7 in the desert.. Labarbara in net.. Hanzal and Doan to step up tonight. Not a single soul on the Yotes from what I see but I'll give them a shot in this situation 4-3 Yotes prediction for 1 unit +115
    I hear ya, but LaBarbara is terrible. I cannot back him.
    Comment
    • bald_guy
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-02-12
      • 990

      #947
      Washington game was a great call. 1-0 so far tonight. I like how you knew enough to stay away from the Pens tonight.
      Comment
      • ch3ss
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-18-13
        • 208

        #948
        Make me 4-0 on the Caps

        The Pens penetrating me completely out of some good parlay $$$
        Comment
        • ch3ss
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-18-13
          • 208

          #949
          Originally posted by ch3ss
          Vegas: you better get on the Caps.... I am 3-0 on them in the past 3 weeks....
          Vegas I gave ya a heads up buddy.... start listening
          Comment
          • bald_guy
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-02-12
            • 990

            #950
            Not too bad a loss last night. Nino should only be down one unit due to the great line he got on the Washington game. I nearly got that line, but when I finally selected it it degraded to -105. So I lost 1.05 of a unit.

            Looking forward to tonights games!! Thanks for the good work, Nino.
            Comment
            • El Nino
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-03-12
              • 18426

              #951
              Originally posted by bald_guy
              Washington game was a great call. 1-0 so far tonight. I like how you knew enough to stay away from the Pens tonight.
              Yeah, that was a big no play all around.
              Comment
              • El Nino
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-03-12
                • 18426

                #952
                Originally posted by ch3ss
                Make me 4-0 on the Caps

                The Pens penetrating me completely out of some good parlay $$$
                You're the resident Capitals sharp. They have been cashing with very reasonable lines. Ovi is heated up.
                Comment
                • El Nino
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-03-12
                  • 18426

                  #953
                  Originally posted by therealJ$
                  I actually hope Quick starts too..Yotes better win this one against a division rival or pack it in for the year..I think they got one last push in them though and you know how tough Phoenix can be. Kings are the better playoff team but will they be all out today? Kings playing for the #3 spot in the playoffs which I think they'll get by playoffs whether they win today or not 1 point back. Phoenix looking to make its 4th straight playoffs is within reach.. H2H is disturbingly in Kings favor but Yotes have managed to win 4 of last 7 in the desert.. Labarbara in net.. Hanzal and Doan to step up tonight. Not a single soul on the Yotes from what I see but I'll give them a shot in this situation 4-3 Yotes prediction for 1 unit +115
                  Good hit, pal.
                  Comment
                  • Russian Rocket
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-02-12
                    • 43910

                    #954
                    Pittsburgh regulation ML looks tempting for tonight
                    Penguins won last 7 matches with Rangers - all in regulation
                    Comment
                    • El Nino
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-03-12
                      • 18426

                      #955
                      YTD
                      84-62-2 +36.06u

                      Short card tonight with only 5 games. Leaning on two games but going to watch the lines and wait for the goalies to be announced. I can't say I love any of the games. It very well could be a day off.
                      Comment
                      • El Nino
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-03-12
                        • 18426

                        #956
                        Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                        Pittsburgh regulation ML looks tempting for tonight
                        Penguins won last 7 matches with Rangers - all in regulation
                        Yet it's a pick 'em with a Rangers team that has been blah at best this season. I am avoiding the Penguins until Malkin or Iginla step up. Crosby out puts a huge dent in their team in every aspect. He's always the most dynamic and dangerous skater on the ice. Now the streak is over and a back to back? Rocket, stay away pal. Trust me
                        Comment
                        • Russian Rocket
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-02-12
                          • 43910

                          #957
                          Originally posted by El Nino
                          Yet it's a pick 'em with a Rangers team that has been blah at best this season. I am avoiding the Penguins until Malkin or Iginla step up. Crosby out puts a huge dent in their team in every aspect. He's always the most dynamic and dangerous skater on the ice. Now the streak is over and a back to back? Rocket, stay away pal. Trust me
                          10-4
                          Comment
                          • Dollars2Donuts
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-07-13
                            • 8803

                            #958
                            Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                            10-4
                            This is a scary spot imo.....I would avoid at all costs.....
                            Comment
                            • ch3ss
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 03-18-13
                              • 208

                              #959
                              Pens let me down big time last night..I just dont foresee them playing like dogshit again tonight......

                              Id take the Pens ML
                              Comment
                              • therealJ$
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-29-13
                                • 127

                                #960
                                GL tonight Nino...I think the Ducks in regulation is the best play today in hockey
                                Comment
                                • bald_guy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-02-12
                                  • 990

                                  #961
                                  Originally posted by ch3ss
                                  Pens let me down big time last night..I just dont foresee them playing like dogshit again tonight......

                                  Id take the Pens ML
                                  I'm sure glad we didn't.
                                  Comment
                                  • El Nino
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-03-12
                                    • 18426

                                    #962
                                    No play tonight. Had a lean on Calgary at home, but not liking MacDonald between the pipes. Hopefully people avoided the Pens trap game like I warned.
                                    Comment
                                    • 70kgman
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-31-10
                                      • 4354

                                      #963
                                      Originally posted by El Nino
                                      No play tonight. Had a lean on Calgary at home, but not liking MacDonald between the pipes.
                                      You would prefer Swiss cheese Kiprusoff and his .868 SV% between the pipes?
                                      Comment
                                      • fitguy67
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-13-11
                                        • 5082

                                        #964
                                        fitguy's -1 PL report

                                        ANA -0.5, reg = -119 (dimey)

                                        ANA -1 pl =-107.55 (greeky)...hand-rolled from +165pl/-185ml

                                        these are admittedly extra-good odds (that's why i keep a LOT of books ready in my stable...u never know where the bargains pop up...greek is usually crap for hockey...but when i went shopping for Ducks lines just now...they rang the bell for both parts of the play...I'll put on the ML part wherever is best for that/and ditto for the PL part...it's quite rare that i put on both parts of a -1 handicap at the same book...-1 is kinda' like a peanut-butter sandwich...don't have to buy both parts at the same store)

                                        even if i had to settle for more run-of-the-mill odds, you can see that the two plays (off the shelf "-0.5reg" and do-it-yourself "-1 PL")...are definitely in the same ballpark price-wise...if i did both parts at dimey...it would have come out quite close to the -119 they're selling the reg-bet at now

                                        Go Ducks!!!
                                        Last edited by fitguy67; 04-03-13, 09:15 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • El Nino
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-03-12
                                          • 18426

                                          #965
                                          Originally posted by 70kgman
                                          You would prefer Swiss cheese Kiprusoff and his .868 SV% between the pipes?
                                          At home, yes.
                                          Comment
                                          • Huckleberry Pig
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-07-13
                                            • 2564

                                            #966
                                            Originally posted by El Nino
                                            No play tonight. Had a lean on Calgary at home, but not liking MacDonald between the pipes. Hopefully people avoided the Pens trap game like I warned.
                                            Pens were also in a B2B, tough spot there. Esp after losing the 1st and having to travel, odds were definitely stacked against them. Should have said something to ya about taking the Rangers, I had them on my picks cause of the B2B. My bad man
                                            Comment
                                            • El Nino
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-03-12
                                              • 18426

                                              #967
                                              Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                                              Pens were also in a B2B, tough spot there. Esp after losing the 1st and having to travel, odds were definitely stacked against them. Should have said something to ya about taking the Rangers, I had them on my picks cause of the B2B. My bad man
                                              Saul good. It was a no play for me.
                                              Comment
                                              • fitguy67
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-13-11
                                                • 5082

                                                #968
                                                Originally posted by therealJ$
                                                GL tonight Nino...I think the Ducks in regulation is the best play today in hockey
                                                nice call
                                                Comment
                                                • snapperman2
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-19-10
                                                  • 2078

                                                  #969
                                                  Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                  fitguy's -1 PL report

                                                  ANA -0.5, reg = -119 (dimey)

                                                  ANA -1 pl =-107.55 (greeky)...hand-rolled from +165pl/-185ml

                                                  these are admittedly extra-good odds (that's why i keep a LOT of books ready in my stable...u never know where the bargains pop up...greek is usually crap for hockey...but when i went shopping for Ducks lines just now...they rang the bell for both parts of the play...I'll put on the ML part wherever is best for that/and ditto for the PL part...it's quite rare that i put on both parts of a -1 handicap at the same book...-1 is kinda' like a peanut-butter sandwich...don't have to buy both parts at the same store)

                                                  even if i had to settle for more run-of-the-mill odds, you can see that the two plays (off the shelf "-0.5reg" and do-it-yourself "-1 PL")...are definitely in the same ballpark price-wise...if i did both parts at dimey...it would have come out quite close to the -119 they're selling the reg-bet at now

                                                  Go Ducks!!!
                                                  A -1 PL bet is not the same as a -0.5 regulation time bet. Suppose that your team wins by one goal in regulation time. Then a regulation time bet would win but a -1 bet would push. On the other hand, suppose that your team ties in regulation time and wins in overtime. Then a regulation time bet would lose, but a -1 PL bet would push.
                                                  Last edited by snapperman2; 04-04-13, 07:10 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bald_guy
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-02-12
                                                    • 990

                                                    #970
                                                    Originally posted by snapperman2
                                                    A -1 PL bet is not the same as a -0.5 regulation time bet. Suppose that your team wins by one goal in regulation time. Then a regulation time bet would win but a -1 bet would push. On the other hand, suppose that your team ties in regulation time and wins in overtime. Then a regulation time bet would lose, but a -1 PL bet would push.
                                                    He never said they was the same. He did the -.5 regulation from 5 dimes AND a roll your own -1 PL bet.
                                                    He does that by:
                                                    *ML..................-76.02/+45.25
                                                    *RL-1.5.............-45.25/+54.75
                                                    Total.................-121.27/+100.

                                                    Basically, on the roll your own:

                                                    if your team wins in overtime or Shootout, you break even.

                                                    If your team wins in Regulation by only one point, you again break even.

                                                    However, if you team wins by more then one point (which can only happen in regulation) you win both bets.

                                                    Of course if you team loses, you lose.

                                                    Now if they tie might be a bit interesting. Your ML should push, yet your RL-1.5 would lose. In this example, you would lose 45.25. His roll your own is effectively PL-1 except in tie situations which don't happen very often. Even then its better then a non-roll your own PL-1 as you should get some of the money you risked back, where in a non-roll your own, you wouldn't.

                                                    More information can be found by the master of the roll your own PL-1 at:
                                                    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                    Last edited by bald_guy; 04-04-13, 08:43 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ch3ss
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 03-18-13
                                                      • 208

                                                      #971
                                                      Originally posted by El Nino
                                                      No play tonight. Had a lean on Calgary at home, but not liking MacDonald between the pipes. Hopefully people avoided the Pens trap game like I warned.
                                                      Luckily I pulled out on the Pens..... Thank god... that was a ass whopping 2nd game in a row...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • El Nino
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-03-12
                                                        • 18426

                                                        #972
                                                        4/4

                                                        Los Angeles Kings Regulation (-125) 2u
                                                        Detroit Red Wings (-110) 2u
                                                        Washington Capitals Regulation (+115)

                                                        YTD
                                                        84-62-2 +36.06u

                                                        Love this card, boys. After another slow start to the month, let's get back to the winning ways. Two 2u plays which I believe are justified by the stats. Not going to post every angle here, but the Wild struggle on the road when they travel west and play the Pacific Division. The Wild are 4-1 this year at home against the Pacific Division but are 2-5 on the road against the Pacific Division with all 5 losses occurring in regulation. The Wild were big advocates in the NHL realignment for this very reason.

                                                        With the Red Wings there is not much to say. They own the Coyotes and own Jason LaBarbara. There will be more Red Wings fans than Coyotes fans at Jobbing.com Arena tonight. The Coyotes just traded away 3 grinders that epitomize the style of Coyotes hockey. The Yotes just told everyone that they are sellers and are not expecting to make a run deep into the playoffs.

                                                        Riding the wave with the Capitals. Ovi and the offense are clicking and Holtby is playing well as of late.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smoke
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-09-09
                                                          • 48111

                                                          #973
                                                          Seems like your the hockey guy round here

                                                          Tailing a hundo a piece

                                                          Dont fukk me pal
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Huckleberry Pig
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-07-13
                                                            • 2564

                                                            #974
                                                            Wild are 4-2 in B2B situations, but their 4 wins have all come at home, while their 2 losses have occurred on the road. Taking the Kings in this spot as well. GL tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-30-08
                                                              • 81450

                                                              #975
                                                              Smokey, sweet avatar, dude.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smoke
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-09-09
                                                                • 48111

                                                                #976
                                                                Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                Smokey, sweet avatar, dude.
                                                                Haha thanks bud
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Russian Rocket
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-02-12
                                                                  • 43910

                                                                  #977
                                                                  Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                  Smokey, sweet avatar, dude.
                                                                  Originally posted by Smoke
                                                                  Haha thanks bud
                                                                  you two should get a room
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Smoke
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-09-09
                                                                    • 48111

                                                                    #978
                                                                    Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                                                                    you two should get a room
                                                                    Rusher we will. I got comps at mgm detroit. You join and we'll make it a 3way
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 11-30-08
                                                                      • 81450

                                                                      #979
                                                                      I'll bring the vodka!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bald_guy
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-02-12
                                                                        • 990

                                                                        #980
                                                                        I'm locked and loaded. Cept I did the 'roll your own' ML-1 on the Los Angeles Kings Regulation game.

                                                                        Thanks a ton for the picks. Good luck to everyone who follows.
                                                                        Comment
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