El Niño's NHL Thread
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El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#946Comment -
bald_guySBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-12
- 990
#947Washington game was a great call.1-0 so far tonight. I like how you knew enough to stay away from the Pens tonight.
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ch3ssSBR High Roller
- 03-18-13
- 208
#948Make me 4-0 on the Caps
The Pens penetrating me completely out of some good parlay $$$Comment -
bald_guySBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-12
- 990
#950Not too bad a loss last night. Nino should only be down one unit due to the great line he got on the Washington game. I nearly got that line, but when I finally selected it it degraded to -105. So I lost 1.05 of a unit.
Looking forward to tonights games!! Thanks for the good work, Nino.Comment -
El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#953I actually hope Quick starts too..Yotes better win this one against a division rival or pack it in for the year..I think they got one last push in them though and you know how tough Phoenix can be. Kings are the better playoff team but will they be all out today? Kings playing for the #3 spot in the playoffs which I think they'll get by playoffs whether they win today or not 1 point back. Phoenix looking to make its 4th straight playoffs is within reach.. H2H is disturbingly in Kings favor but Yotes have managed to win 4 of last 7 in the desert.. Labarbara in net.. Hanzal and Doan to step up tonight. Not a single soul on the Yotes from what I see but I'll give them a shot in this situation 4-3 Yotes prediction for 1 unit +115Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#954Pittsburgh regulation ML looks tempting for tonight
Penguins won last 7 matches with Rangers - all in regulationComment -
El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#955YTD
84-62-2 +36.06u
Short card tonight with only 5 games. Leaning on two games but going to watch the lines and wait for the goalies to be announced. I can't say I love any of the games. It very well could be a day off.Comment -
El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#956Comment -
Russian RocketSBR Aristocracy
- 09-02-12
- 43910
#957Yet it's a pick 'em with a Rangers team that has been blah at best this season. I am avoiding the Penguins until Malkin or Iginla step up. Crosby out puts a huge dent in their team in every aspect. He's always the most dynamic and dangerous skater on the ice. Now the streak is over and a back to back? Rocket, stay away pal. Trust meComment -
ch3ssSBR High Roller
- 03-18-13
- 208
#959Pens let me down big time last night..I just dont foresee them playing like dogshit again tonight......
Id take the Pens MLComment -
therealJ$SBR High Roller
- 03-29-13
- 127
#960GL tonight Nino...I think the Ducks in regulation is the best play today in hockeyComment -
El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#962No play tonight. Had a lean on Calgary at home, but not liking MacDonald between the pipes. Hopefully people avoided the Pens trap game like I warned.Comment -
fitguy67SBR Hall of Famer
- 03-13-11
- 5082
#964fitguy's -1 PL report
ANA -0.5, reg = -119 (dimey)
ANA -1 pl =-107.55 (greeky)...hand-rolled from +165pl/-185ml
these are admittedly extra-good odds (that's why i keep a LOT of books ready in my stable...u never know where the bargains pop up...greek is usually crap for hockey...but when i went shopping for Ducks lines just now...they rang the bell for both parts of the play...I'll put on the ML part wherever is best for that/and ditto for the PL part...it's quite rare that i put on both parts of a -1 handicap at the same book...-1 is kinda' like a peanut-butter sandwich...don't have to buy both parts at the same store)
even if i had to settle for more run-of-the-mill odds, you can see that the two plays (off the shelf "-0.5reg" and do-it-yourself "-1 PL")...are definitely in the same ballpark price-wise...if i did both parts at dimey...it would have come out quite close to the -119 they're selling the reg-bet at now
Go Ducks!!!Last edited by fitguy67; 04-03-13, 09:15 PM.Comment -
Huckleberry PigSBR MVP
- 02-07-13
- 2564
#966Pens were also in a B2B, tough spot there. Esp after losing the 1st and having to travel, odds were definitely stacked against them. Should have said something to ya about taking the Rangers, I had them on my picks cause of the B2B. My bad manComment -
El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#967Saul good. It was a no play for me.Comment -
snapperman2SBR MVP
- 08-19-10
- 2078
#969fitguy's -1 PL report
ANA -0.5, reg = -119 (dimey)
ANA -1 pl =-107.55 (greeky)...hand-rolled from +165pl/-185ml
these are admittedly extra-good odds (that's why i keep a LOT of books ready in my stable...u never know where the bargains pop up...greek is usually crap for hockey...but when i went shopping for Ducks lines just now...they rang the bell for both parts of the play...I'll put on the ML part wherever is best for that/and ditto for the PL part...it's quite rare that i put on both parts of a -1 handicap at the same book...-1 is kinda' like a peanut-butter sandwich...don't have to buy both parts at the same store)
even if i had to settle for more run-of-the-mill odds, you can see that the two plays (off the shelf "-0.5reg" and do-it-yourself "-1 PL")...are definitely in the same ballpark price-wise...if i did both parts at dimey...it would have come out quite close to the -119 they're selling the reg-bet at now
Go Ducks!!!Last edited by snapperman2; 04-04-13, 07:10 AM.Comment -
bald_guySBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-12
- 990
#970A -1 PL bet is not the same as a -0.5 regulation time bet. Suppose that your team wins by one goal in regulation time. Then a regulation time bet would win but a -1 bet would push. On the other hand, suppose that your team ties in regulation time and wins in overtime. Then a regulation time bet would lose, but a -1 PL bet would push.
He does that by:
*ML..................-76.02/+45.25
*RL-1.5.............-45.25/+54.75
Total.................-121.27/+100.
Basically, on the roll your own:
if your team wins in overtime or Shootout, you break even.
If your team wins in Regulation by only one point, you again break even.
However, if you team wins by more then one point (which can only happen in regulation) you win both bets.
Of course if you team loses, you lose.
Now if they tie might be a bit interesting. Your ML should push, yet your RL-1.5 would lose. In this example, you would lose 45.25. His roll your own is effectively PL-1 except in tie situations which don't happen very often. Even then its better then a non-roll your own PL-1 as you should get some of the money you risked back, where in a non-roll your own, you wouldn't.
More information can be found by the master of the roll your own PL-1 at:
Last edited by bald_guy; 04-04-13, 08:43 AM.Comment -
ch3ssSBR High Roller
- 03-18-13
- 208
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El NinoSBR Posting Legend
- 05-03-12
- 18426
#9724/4
Los Angeles Kings Regulation (-125) 2u
Detroit Red Wings (-110) 2u
Washington Capitals Regulation (+115)
YTD
84-62-2 +36.06u
Love this card, boys. After another slow start to the month, let's get back to the winning ways. Two 2u plays which I believe are justified by the stats. Not going to post every angle here, but the Wild struggle on the road when they travel west and play the Pacific Division. The Wild are 4-1 this year at home against the Pacific Division but are 2-5 on the road against the Pacific Division with all 5 losses occurring in regulation. The Wild were big advocates in the NHL realignment for this very reason.
With the Red Wings there is not much to say. They own the Coyotes and own Jason LaBarbara. There will be more Red Wings fans than Coyotes fans at Jobbing.com Arena tonight. The Coyotes just traded away 3 grinders that epitomize the style of Coyotes hockey. The Yotes just told everyone that they are sellers and are not expecting to make a run deep into the playoffs.
Riding the wave with the Capitals. Ovi and the offense are clicking and Holtby is playing well as of late.
Comment -
SmokeSBR Aristocracy
- 10-09-09
- 48111
#973Seems like your the hockey guy round here
Tailing a hundo a piece
Dont fukk me palComment -
Huckleberry PigSBR MVP
- 02-07-13
- 2564
#974Wild are 4-2 in B2B situations, but their 4 wins have all come at home, while their 2 losses have occurred on the road. Taking the Kings in this spot as well. GL tonightComment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81450
#975Smokey, sweet avatar, dude.Comment -
DiggityDaggityDoSBR Aristocracy
- 11-30-08
- 81450
#979I'll bring the vodka!!!Comment -
bald_guySBR Wise Guy
- 11-02-12
- 990
#980I'm locked and loaded. Cept I did the 'roll your own' ML-1 on the Los Angeles Kings Regulation game.
Thanks a ton for the picks. Good luck to everyone who follows.Comment
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