Dexter - 2012/2013 - NFL Plays

[Dexter]

Dex your on tilt. Id take a break.

This has been some BS saints fukked up this over but your tilting like crazy.

i dont need a break - pay my guys and back to the drawing board. wont see any plays more then 3u from me in NFL until A1's start in week 10.

plenty of season left for me to get this back - but you're right....i was on tilt and chased tonight...

[Donkeys2012]

i dont need a break - pay my guys and back to the drawing board. wont see any plays more then 3u from me in NFL until A1's start in week 10.

plenty of season left for me to get this back - but you're right....i was on tilt and chased tonight...

Im sure piece of shit brees will throw a TD here to fukk my fantasy team but not enough for the over. FUKKIN POS

[Dexter]

Im sure piece of shit brees will throw a TD here to fukk my fantasy team but not enough for the over. FUKKIN POS

i got jimmy graham..haha

onside kick?

kickoff return td?

one time please?

nah - i need to learn my lesson and get back to being smart...

[Dexter]

i hope hillman gets the ball - hes a homerun hitter...

they did onside it....ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

[Donkeys2012]

i got jimmy graham..haha

onside kick?

kickoff return td?

one time please?

nah - i need to learn my lesson and get back to being smart...

One time luck td run

[Dexter]

YTD Update -42.85u

[Dexter]

conflicting auto-plays next week with Browns A1 vs Ravens A5....since i will go back to basics and rely on my autoplays to win the larger bets - likely do 2u on the browns (A1 is 5u and A5 is 3u)...

[Dexter]

Monday 10/29:

(3u) Cardinals +7 (A4)

(1u) Under 49ers/Cards 38.5
(1u) Under 49ers/Cards 38

[r1kkie]

Like the plays, thinking of teasing Cards and the under. Good luck tonight Dex!

[Dexter]

Sunday 11/4:

(5u) Colts +3 (A3)
(2u) Browns +3.5 (A1)
(1u) Panthers +3.5
(1u) Cowboys +5
(2u) Bengals +3.5
(3u) Raiders -120 (A3)

[StackinGreen]

Ride wit me. It'll be all good

You'll come back very soon, stay focused

[Dexter]

allright - at least the under hit.....like a lot of dogs next week.

[Dexter]

Week 7: 12-5 (+2.4u)

A3: 0-1
===============================
YTD: 54-43 (-9.45u)

A1: 1-0
A2: 1-1
A3: 1-4
A4: 1-1

Week 8: 8-8 (-34.7u)
A4: 0-1
________________________________
YTD: 62-51 (-44.15u)

A1: 1-0
A2: 1-1
A3: 1-4
A4: 1-2

[Dexter]

55% ATS and im down 44u.....think im weighting my games wrong
I had the Andy Reid game marked on my calendar since the spring. Stupid Stupid move considering i never was part of the 13-0 streak...and then the Sunday night chase. Its ok - i will grind back and get this...

[StackinGreen]

allright - at least the under hit.....like a lot of dogs next week.

Just looking at the games, I think you're on it. Was the public/square/sharp/whatever breakdown this past week pretty even?

You'll get back, Loretta

no problem

[Dexter]

Thursday 11/1:

(1u) Chargers -8

[Dexter]

i hate norv turner....just wasting away ryan matthews.

[Donkeys2012]

i hate norv turner....just wasting away ryan matthews.

I hate Norv also but hope he continues to waste Matthews the rest of the game

[Dexter]

I hate Norv also but hope he continues to waste Matthews the rest of the game

obviously you have KC - smart man...

[Donkeys2012]

obviously you have KC - smart man...

Not on KC. Hoping no Matthews shit for fantasy purposes.

[Dexter]

Sunday 11/4:

(5u) Colts +3 (A3)
(2u) Browns +3.5 (A1)
(1u) Panthers +3.5
(1u) Cowboys +5
(2u) Bengals +3.5
(3u) Raiders -120 (A3)

(1u) Over Broncos/Bengals 48
(1u) Over Texans/Bills 47.5
(1u) Jaguars +6
(1u) Under Seahawks/Vikings 38.5
(1u) Over Raiders/Bucs 47
(1u) Giants -3

[StackinGreen]

Most of my leans are on but for some reason I just don't trust these matchups ... we'll see how it shakes out.

[Dexter]

(3u) Over Falcons/Cowboys 47
(1u) Cowboys +5.5

[StackinGreen]

Isn't fantasy painful if you bet games? I couldn't fathom it being worth it ...

[fly fisher]

I had a parlay paying 20-1 if the Raiders could win. I was going to hedge it for half, but had to go do some work so didn't have a chance to hedge. Now Raiders are getting killed, wow.

[Dexter]

Monday 11/5:

(2u) Eagles +3
(4u) Saints -3
(5u) Over Saints/Eagles 51.5

[unitedlad]

(3u) Over Falcons/Cowboys 47
(1u) Cowboys +5.5

Where you getting +5.5 dex?

[Dexter]

Where you getting +5.5 dex?

i dont play with online books although i noticed some books with that line at 7:00-7:10 EST

[Dexter]

Where you getting +5.5 dex?

looks like 3.5, 4, 4.5, 5 or 5.5 wont matter....

[Dexter]

switched my play to NO....i bought into the drop to 2.5 but now that its back to 3 so quickly i do feel NO is the right play. backing brees at home over vick i can live with. backing vick in this spot i can see myself regretting the decision. either way, i put more on the over so thats what i really need.

[Dexter]

Sunday 11/11:

(3u) Ravens -8 (A3)
(4u) Under Eagles/Cowboys 45

[Dexter]

Week 8: 8-8 (-34.7u)
A4: 0-1
________________________________
YTD: 62-51 (-44.15u)

A1: 1-0
A2: 1-1
A3: 1-4
A4: 1-2

Week 9: 6-10 (-12.6u)

A1: 0-1
A3: 1-1
A5: 1-0
===============================
YTD: 68-61 (-56.75u)

A1: 1-1
A2: 1-1
A3: 2-5
A4: 1-2
A5: 1-0

[Dexter]

2 years in a row i dug myself a hole in the nfl and was able to turn a small profit after strong finishes. this hole is too deep and im not going more then 5u on any play unless i am red hot and close to even. my downfall are these high totals that go over for me in college, but in the NFL they do not. same thing the past 2 years that held me back from winning more then i have. next year i fix that with doing a 2u autoplay under on any total 50 or >......i dont even care about turning a profit on that autoplay, so long as it keeps me away from making these dumb large bets. somewhere in the area of -30u on overs 50>....im not even giving my autoplays a chance to determine my season.

[Dexter]

the greek opens the philly/dallas total @ 46? i hope my guys are somewhere around that # when they release.....that total should be around 41

i see two games with totals in the 50's....going under in both for a unit

[Dexter]

Thursday 11/8:

(3u) Jaguars +3.5