Dexter - 2012/2013 - NFL Plays

[Dexter]

These lines seem especially tight ... my leans are actually lining right up with your picks. New Orleans stood out to me the most and likely will be my biggest play this week. Where'd you get Steelers -3? I liked them to start the week and then the injuries were talked about. They seem to always give up a final drive score to beat me ATS. It's a tough spot for Philly. Any thoughts on totals? I might lean towards a few of those ... best of luck this week boss

i dont bet at online books but i see 3 at half the shops on my sbr live odds feed.

thats prob it for me...will fade the bears small
like under arz/sea but see if public drives tv total over 40
like under mia/arz a little and over balt/kc
phi/pitt under and over was/atl

just added the pats small above...have a feeling den will be fade road/play at home type of team. pats 2-2 need to get rolling...

[r1kkie]

Rough start Dex, hope you turn this around on Sunday!

[StackinGreen]

just added the pats small above...have a feeling den will be fade road/play at home type of team. pats 2-2 need to get rolling...

Agreed on Denver, had already begun thinking that ... I'm just not convinced with Manning, and love the hype keeping some lines down.

[Dexter]

(1u) Under Cards/Rams 39.5

[doublecreek]

Here is trend to use during the season:

Outright underdog winner the previous week favored on the road this week. Does not cover 80% of the time

keeping with this idea it is 3-1 so far this year (just about 80%)

I will take Jacksonville +5.

[Dexter]

I'm waiting. Why take an odd # like 5. Wait for 6 or 7.

[Dexter]

Sunday 10/7:

(1u) Panthers -3
(1u) 49ers -9
(1u) Saints -3
(2u) Over Saints/Chargers 53.5

(3u) Redskins +3 (A3)
(3u) Steelers -3 (A2)
(1u) Patriots -6.5

(1u) Over Ravens/Chiefs 46.5

[memo99]

Hey Dexter does it concern you that the NO/SD game has dropped to 52? I thought it would be going up if anything

[Dexter]

Hey Dexter does it concern you that the NO/SD game has dropped to 52? I thought it would be going up if anything

No it doesnt - lines go up and down and almost never trend in one direction...

[Dexter]

(1u) Browns +8

[joco]

I like all of ur plays. I dont know if thats gonna b a good thing or a bad thing

[Dexter]

(2u) Saints -3

[StackinGreen]

(1u) Browns +8

wow - vick fumbles at the 1.....he is a disaster....why did i draft him.

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Loved this play but didn't fire on it ... wanna hit up some halftimes today with me? Let's do it boss

[Dexter]

I like all of ur plays. I dont know if thats gonna b a good thing or a bad thing

thats a very bad thing....this is just embarrassing now.

drilled at 1pm....0-4 (-8.8)

[StackinGreen]

(2u) Saints -3

[bhodgin]

Texans -9 tonight? Monday nite games always scare me bc it seems the ref's do anything to keep the games close. But the Texans look scary good right now..thoughts? HOU -5.5 1HALF might be better?

[16johnnymac]

I like the half play i got hus -6 for the half

Texans -9 tonight? Monday nite games always scare me bc it seems the ref's do anything to keep the games close. But the Texans look scary good right now..thoughts? HOU -5.5 1HALF might be better?

[Dexter]

Monday 10/8:

(2u) Texans -7

(1u) Under Texans/Jets 41

[Dexter]

Sunday October 14th:

(5u) Browns +3 (A1)
(3u) Seahawks +4 (A3)
(1u) Falcons -9
(1u) Lions +5.5
(1u) Rams +3.5

[Dexter]

Monday October 15th:

(2u) Over Chargers/Broncos 49.5

[Dexter]

Week 4: 7-8 (-10.25u)

A3: 0-2
=======================
YTD: 28-25 (-16.95u)

A2: 1-0
A3: 0-2
A4: 1-1

Week 5: 6-6 (-3.1u)

A2: 0-1
A3: 0-1
====================
YTD: 34-31 (-20.05u)

A2: 1-1
A3: 0-3
A4: 1-1

[bane]

Noob question & I know next to nothing about pro football. What does the "A" stand for A1-A4? Figured it's meaningful or you wouldn't be tracking it...

[Dexter]

Noob question & I know next to nothing about pro football. What does the "A" stand for A1-A4? Figured it's meaningful or you wouldn't be tracking it...

A stands for "Automated" play....see page 1 of this thread. Specific criteria i follow to make plays without thinking. I do the thinking in preseason to avoid bad bets when on tilt...

[Dexter]

(1u) 49ers -5
(2u) Packers +4

[StackinGreen]

I'm liking most of your plays again. It's gonna be a tough week but we'll sift it out. good luck

[Dexter]

Thursday 10/11:

(1u) Titans +6

[StackinGreen]

Thursday 10/11:

(1u) Titans +6

Regardless of the result, this was the right pick. I'm on 2h under and feel the same way.

[StackinGreen]

Let's get'em. I am finally starting to like your avatars, too

[Dexter]

Sunday October 14th:

(5u) Browns +3 (A1)
(3u) Seahawks +4 (A3)
(1u) Falcons -9
(1u) Lions +5.5
(1u) Rams +3.5

(1u) 49ers -5
(2u) Packers +4

Thursday 10/11:

(1u) Titans +6

(1u) Under Chiefs/Bucs 40
(2u) Over Falcons/Raiders 49
(1u) Under Rams/Dolphins 38.5

[StackinGreen]

I was just going to tell you I like most of the unders today, but mostly the 2nd games. We'll see which I lock on. Weeden got his man, don't worry, we're on the right side there. (I see you're on it for 5u, good stuff)

[Dexter]

i have had the eagles game circled vs the falcons in week 8 (andy reid off a bye)....i have a feeling it will be nick foles and not michael vick prepping during the 2 weeks. this guy is a disaster....

[StackinGreen]

Lions backers are looking genius right now, yes. We'll see if it holds

[Dexter]

did anyone see the end of that falcons game? they almost covered and the game went over on the last play....it looked like they picked it up at the 1 and went in...that would have been sweet

[Dexter]

(1u) Vikings -2.5

[StackinGreen]

(1u) Vikings -2.5

Vikes cover and I'm perfect today ... btw Romo has been amazing here on the last 2 drives, and he might get the win!