2011 NFL Pro Picks with John Ryan

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  • John Ryan
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-10
    • 2428

    #2381
    Glad the play worked out.. I do think that Philadelphia was nearing the Red Zone until his receiver cut off his route and Young through the pick-6.. But, I have never seen a worse performance in the Por ranks of any sport that what the Eagles put on last night. Jackson was warming up with Defensive ends!.. What GM wou dever want him on their team. seriously.. He is a complete moron and loser whose character was always criticized from high school days. He is in his contract year and is acting worse than TO ever did. I know players - close personal and family relatives - who have played in the NFL and have always stated TO was one of the BEST teammates they ever had because HE wanted to WIN. Jackson is a flat out spoiled brat since he is not getting his prima dona contract extension he is pouting like a six year old, who just got grounded from recess. Ried has to be held accountable for once in his vastly over rated football career. You have to remember this guy has been surrounded by some of the best talent in the NFL and went to just one Super Bowl where he was vastly out-coached by Bilichick. I thought the performance by the Eagles was a complete discrace and if Ried had any balls at all he would ben Jackson the remainder of the season and trade him ASAP.
    Comment
    • calmeat
      SBR MVP
      • 05-04-11
      • 1678

      #2382
      John,
      Totally agree. The nerve of Ried saying jackson gave it his all is insane. Jackson, When watching asumga (no clue on spelling) on the ground he has the nerve to yuck it up with lynch. If i was his teammate and he was laughing and stuff when one of the soldiers is hurt on the ground i may have threw jax to the ground. There were so many idiotic plays last night its hard to narrow it all down. Eagles first 2 plays were play action pass...WHAT you havent established the run game yet and your doing play action!! 7 carries for McCoy in first half is unforgivable after he has proven to be the best player on the team. I know ried wont be fired but please GOD at least fire both coordinators cause they are absolutely horrible.
      Comment
      • chief42
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-06-10
        • 315

        #2383
        It has been time to go, for a long while now. it is finally catching a national spotlight. Reid has been this way for a while no one really noticed it because Jim Johnson was masking the deficiency of Reid's ineptness. The Eagles have never been the same since he passed, and now it it truly being exposed. Reid has lost the respect of his team and even coaches. I don't care who the eagles pick as a successor, just please do not bring Reid back!
        Comment
        • John Ryan
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-10
          • 2428

          #2384
          Originally posted by chief42
          It has been time to go, for a long while now. it is finally catching a national spotlight. Reid has been this way for a while no one really noticed it because Jim Johnson was masking the deficiency of Reid's ineptness. The Eagles have never been the same since he passed, and now it it truly being exposed. Reid has lost the respect of his team and even coaches. I don't care who the eagles pick as a successor, just please do not bring Reid back!
          Well Stated. very good. Thanks
          Comment
          • John Ryan
            SBR MVP
            • 11-20-10
            • 2428

            #2385
            Originally posted by calmeat
            John,
            Totally agree. The nerve of Ried saying jackson gave it his all is insane. Jackson, When watching asumga (no clue on spelling) on the ground he has the nerve to yuck it up with lynch. If i was his teammate and he was laughing and stuff when one of the soldiers is hurt on the ground i may have threw jax to the ground. There were so many idiotic plays last night its hard to narrow it all down. Eagles first 2 plays were play action pass...WHAT you havent established the run game yet and your doing play action!! 7 carries for McCoy in first half is unforgivable after he has proven to be the best player on the team. I know ried wont be fired but please GOD at least fire both coordinators cause they are absolutely horrible.
            I fully agree with everything you outlined. It was the worst showing of any professional team. Jax fires Del Rio for far less, in my opinion. The crazy thing is Jackson has a right to be pissed, but he is going about it the wrong way. When some guy Vick, how has never completed one full season in his career gets 100 million and then the Eagles hold off and bate Jackson. I can see how Jackson is pissed, but still he needs to be a solid teammate. The teammates are not involved with what Eagles management manipulated.
            Comment
            • spike1519
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-07-11
              • 145

              #2386
              I'm curious what people think of an under play in the atlanta / houston game. Atlanta granted seems to be seriously coming alive but are 6 - 0 under after coming off s/u wins and houston is 7 - 1 under as a favorite think theres anything to this?. Houston seems to be falling apart at the seams weekly. Only thing worries me is an uprising atlanta team about that could blow the under I'd be interested in what people have to say about this under play ? I'm also curious what people think of taking colts with the points here. there's only been I believe 9 teams favored by more than 21 points since late 70's and the record is 7-1-1 for the dog to cover. My personal belief is when they give you this many points and these kinda odds it would not be an unwise move to maybe place a smaller wager on colts to cover this weekend maybe there defense can give them enough points to cover what my sportsbook is now saying 23.5 i mean come on this may be the best play you see spread wise in a long time in pro ball? You could even take this up to 30 with a teaser ( which i dont like to do) with teams like dallas s/u and say saints s/u what you guy's think?.....spike.......
              Last edited by spike1519; 12-03-11, 01:01 AM.
              Comment
              • John Ryan
                SBR MVP
                • 11-20-10
                • 2428

                #2387
                Originally posted by spike1519
                I'm curious what people think of an under play in the atlanta / houston game. Atlanta granted seems to be seriously coming alive but are 6 - 0 under after coming off s/u wins and houston is 7 - 1 under as a favorite think theres anything to this?. Houston seems to be falling apart at the seams weekly. Only thing worries me is an uprising atlanta team about that could blow the under I'd be interested in what people have to say about this under play ? I'm also curious what people think of taking colts with the points here. there's only been I believe 9 teams favored by more than 21 points since late 70's and the record is 7-1-1 for the dog to cover. My personal belief is when they give you this many points and these kinda odds it would not be an unwise move to maybe place a smaller wager on colts to cover this weekend maybe there defense can give them enough points to cover what my sportsbook is now saying 23.5 i mean come on this may be the best play you see spread wise in a long time in pro ball? You could even take this up to 30 with a teaser ( which i dont like to do) with teams like dallas s/u and say saints s/u what you guy's think?.....spike.......
                After I get my CFB, CBB, and NHL work done I will give my two cents to your excellent questions. I di like the sides you are thinking.
                Comment
                • aussieH
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-04-11
                  • 1188

                  #2388
                  Are you doing NHL as well John?
                  Comment
                  • suitor
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 10-15-09
                    • 27

                    #2389
                    John Ryan, any leans today? Been a quiet follower, making lots of money on your picks this year. Let's make a late year run!
                    Comment
                    • matelionis
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-27-09
                      • 214

                      #2390
                      John, wouldn't it make more sense to place more 2H bets than full game bets? Especially if you are watching the game it seems it would be a lot easier to analyze the emotion of the game, injuries, weather, etc.
                      Comment
                      • VTranX
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-02-10
                        • 1975

                        #2391
                        So quiet.
                        Comment
                        • spike1519
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-07-11
                          • 145

                          #2392
                          The more I look at this weeks schedule it appears to me there are some clear winners and I'm super tempted to do a teaser and just take like 3 or 4 winners adding say 7 points to them. I would normally not do this but with teams like the texans down to there third string quarterback and new england playing the colts the K.c game was a win for the bears but with cutler out it still doesnt look all that bad Falco reminds me of the guy from bill and ted's excellent adventure in that movie about the year the N.F.L went on strike lol. 49's will win and I think with a teaser like that you could even include teams like the saints and get rid of that ugly -2100 line or whatever it is, this would give you a 4 or 5 team teaser that would pay nicely thoughts? you could get them all s/u instead of losing by a half a point or 1 point wich seems to be happening to me alot lately I'm in the mood to just pick some winners without worrying about the spread. Maybe it's just me. That said can't wait to see the picks this week from you John. As far as making haltime bets it just ends up hedging the bet you already have and I for one don't think that my pick is out of it at halftime not to mention the crappy odds you get at the half and I always look at gameday weather prior to the game you can get that three or 4 days in advance as well. Playing craps I'll put out Hedge bets all day but in sports gambling I'm learning there's a time and place for it and for my money Haltime isnt always the time for it(obviously sometimes it is), as always B.O.L to all .........spike.............( maybe this will stir things up a bit this a.m thread seems to be hung over lol)
                          Last edited by spike1519; 12-04-11, 11:57 AM.
                          Comment
                          • Jempa
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-21-10
                            • 123

                            #2393
                            So there is one hour until early games start and we're starting to see some heavy line movement. Is it probable that John is waiting for the late games this evening?
                            Comment
                            • spike1519
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-07-11
                              • 145

                              #2394
                              Originally posted by John Ryan
                              Glad the play worked out.. I do think that Philadelphia was nearing the Red Zone until his receiver cut off his route and Young through the pick-6.. But, I have never seen a worse performance in the Por ranks of any sport that what the Eagles put on last night. Jackson was warming up with Defensive ends!.. What GM wou dever want him on their team. seriously.. He is a complete moron and loser whose character was always criticized from high school days. He is in his contract year and is acting worse than TO ever did. I know players - close personal and family relatives - who have played in the NFL and have always stated TO was one of the BEST teammates they ever had because HE wanted to WIN. Jackson is a flat out spoiled brat since he is not getting his prima dona contract extension he is pouting like a six year old, who just got grounded from recess. Ried has to be held accountable for once in his vastly over rated football career. You have to remember this guy has been surrounded by some of the best talent in the NFL and went to just one Super Bowl where he was vastly out-coached by Bilichick. I thought the performance by the Eagles was a complete discrace and if Ried had any balls at all he would ben Jackson the remainder of the season and trade him ASAP.
                              couldn't agree more I haven't heard many positive statements from the team either. They seem to be biting there toungues being diplomatic about it but you can tell there disapointed...........spike............
                              Comment
                              • John Ryan
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-20-10
                                • 2428

                                #2395
                                Well, yep I have been watching the line movements and I made Noon my personal deadline for final decisions. Here are the plays for today

                                10* 'OVER' GREEN Bay/NY Giants under 54 -110
                                5* Houston + 2 1/2 -110


                                I will have some for tonight's Sunday Night game.
                                Comment
                                • John Ryan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-20-10
                                  • 2428

                                  #2396
                                  5* graded play on Houston as they take on Atlanta set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The one thing that Houston truly does well is run the ball in a powerful and pounding fashion. Houston ranks third in the NFL running the ball and the two teams ahead of them, Philadelphia, and Denver, are NOT traditional fundamentally sound power running schemes. So, I see Houston as the dominant urning team in the NFL and it will be featured against the Falcons in this game. The Falcons rank second defending the run, but that is more reflective of a weak secondary that opposing offenses have attacked and exploited. Moreover, Houston has two running backs in Arian Foster and Ben Tate, who are on track to both have 1000 yards rushing for the season. Houston has a top-5 overall defense and since Wade Phillips has come in as defensive coordinator, Houston loves to bring pressure from all directions and angles and Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan is just not mobile enough to extend the play and make plays. Moreover, we have seen defensive units, whose offensive unit have been decimated at quarterback and running back, raise their level of play to even greater levels. Houston’s defense will play a very strong game today. Atlanta’s running game will not be at 100% with Michael Turner nursing a goring injury. One strong hit or a aggressive cutback can aggravate that injury and he may be largely ineffective in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has gone 40-18 ATS since 1983. Play on dogs or pick after beating the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games and is a good team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and playing a team with a winning record. I like Houston to win this game easily.
                                  Comment
                                  • frostie
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-16-11
                                    • 277

                                    #2397
                                    were are you john im liking CIN +7 alot anybody else on that?
                                    Comment
                                    • John Ryan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-20-10
                                      • 2428

                                      #2398
                                      Supporting the ‘over’ play is a system that has gone 68-24 for 74% winners since 2005. Play ‘over’ with any team against the total after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games and is an elite team winning 75% or more of their games with the game taking place in the second half of the season. The Giants have been largely inconsistent, but this is a home game where the matchups favor them to do well. I do believe Manning will have a big game and the sim shows a high probability that he will average better than eight yards per attempt. In past games where GB has allowed more than eight yards per attempt they have posted a 5-0 ‘Over’ record this season, 10-0 ‘over’ mark the past 10 seasons, and 44-13 ‘over’ mark since 1992. In this role, they are a miserable 12-45 ATS since 1992 so you can see how this situation under scores both the side and total for this game.
                                      Comment
                                      • John Ryan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-20-10
                                        • 2428

                                        #2399
                                        Originally posted by frostie
                                        were are you john im liking CIN +7 alot anybody else on that?
                                        I would stay away from this game.. There are several games like this one adn the Dallas play that look 'too good to be true' Sharps are staying quiet on these pair and I think NOT making a play on either game is the right play.
                                        Comment
                                        • frostie
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-16-11
                                          • 277

                                          #2400
                                          just heard turner and jones are both assuming there full work load and both look great right now i cant take hou here i might kick myself in the ass for it but i just dont see there third string qb getting it done against the falcons strong defense
                                          Comment
                                          • fecgp40
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-01-11
                                            • 5750

                                            #2401
                                            You are the man John, but I'm taking the Falcons today. Have to fade rookie Yates. GL to everyone.
                                            Comment
                                            • illios
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-09-11
                                              • 150

                                              #2402
                                              My book has Houston +1.5 now?
                                              Comment
                                              • John Ryan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-20-10
                                                • 2428

                                                #2403
                                                I will be updating throughout the day. Cannot promise, but I do think there may be some second half plays worth of 5* status.
                                                Comment
                                                • John Ryan
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-20-10
                                                  • 2428

                                                  #2404
                                                  Originally posted by illios
                                                  My book has Houston +1.5 now?
                                                  Get what you can with all of my plays.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • drew2
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-05-10
                                                    • 1047

                                                    #2405
                                                    john over 55 its ok?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • balls2wall
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-20-09
                                                      • 2642

                                                      #2406
                                                      EDIT...

                                                      nvm

                                                      read the writeup

                                                      didn't see it at first
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NowMillionaire
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 08-23-11
                                                        • 65

                                                        #2407
                                                        Hello, is it the OVER or the UNDER you play on Packers game ??!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Deol
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-01-11
                                                          • 1340

                                                          #2408
                                                          Originally posted by John Ryan
                                                          Well, yep I have been watching the line movements and I made Noon my personal deadline for final decisions. Here are the plays for today

                                                          10* 'OVER' GREEN Bay/NY Giants under 54 -110
                                                          5* Houston + 2 1/2 -110

                                                          I will have some for tonight's Sunday Night game.
                                                          So the play is OVER on the GB/NYG game, but why does it also say under 54? little confusing, no?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Creditsforedits
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-09-11
                                                            • 149

                                                            #2409
                                                            Pretty *sure* it is an OVER play - here is the write up http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...l#post12630689

                                                            But hopefully John can confirm..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • rnoutlaw21
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 01-09-11
                                                              • 107

                                                              #2410
                                                              Originally posted by Deol
                                                              So the play is OVER on the GB/NYG game, but why does it also say under 54? little confusing, no?
                                                              I think he meant play the Over at 54 or less? Thats how I read it at least...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EvilBettor
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 01-07-11
                                                                • 159

                                                                #2411
                                                                Originally posted by John Ryan
                                                                Well, yep I have been watching the line movements and I made Noon my personal deadline for final decisions. Here are the plays for today

                                                                10* 'OVER' GREEN Bay/NY Giants under 54 -110
                                                                5* Houston + 2 1/2 -110


                                                                I will have some for tonight's Sunday Night game.
                                                                Over on the under?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Deol
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-01-11
                                                                  • 1340

                                                                  #2412
                                                                  Post 2398 he's saying ELI is gonna have a big game and have an average 8 yards per attempt. Then clearly says GB games are 5-0 on the OVER when allowing at least 8 yards. Everything he says is pointing toward the OVER.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ouman101
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-02-09
                                                                    • 2815

                                                                    #2413
                                                                    He mean's Play the over, as long as you can get a total that is 53 1/2 or less.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • crissthor
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 11-02-11
                                                                      • 24

                                                                      #2414
                                                                      Interesting, 'cause i was pretty sure that the play is "Under" in that game and i put money to the "under" so don't tell me now that is Over ....
                                                                      John, do we play Over or Under in Packers game??
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • John Ryan
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-20-10
                                                                        • 2428

                                                                        #2415
                                                                        To clarify it is 10 star OVER green bay and any line is fine. Get the lowest you can . That was what I meant by under 54. Many had 53 1/2. But whatever you book has grab it.
                                                                        Comment
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