Leans for the week

[outdrawed]

TB -3

Better team, and at home. Public loves the Giants all of a sudden and are pretty low on a very unflashy TB team. The Bucs are efficient, though, and take care of the ball.

Leaning U39.5. Both teams defenses match up well with their opponent's offense. (Both run the ball well and defend it well.) I'm looking for a 20-13ish game.

Seattle -3.5

Gonna wait for Bodog to put up their lines so I can buy the half point, or hope it drops to -3. The line is inflated due to Washington's resurgence in the past couple of weeks, but don't forget how dominating Seattle can be at home. Not to mention, FO has Seattle as around 2 points better than Washington on a neutral field.

Pittsburgh +7.5/SD -3

Both of these lines actually look good, so I'm going to do an almost basic teaser at -110 I hope. I think most of the public money is going to be on Jax, so I'm comfortable going the other way. I may do +8/-2.5 and take a little bit of extra juice as insurance. I don't think betting either of these lines straight up offers any value.

[SBR Lou]

I was on Jacksonville for their regular season game, and I'm considering taking Pittsburgh here at +3 or better. I am hoping that becomes available.

[imgv94]

Public all of a sudden likes the Giants? Thats not true

[LT Profits]

Public all of a sudden likes the Giants? Thats not true

It's still early (although there are already over 13,000 bets on game), but as of 1:00 ET today (Tuesday), 59% of bets are on Giants. Yet, line moved from -1 to -3. Hmmm?

[durito]

It's still early (although there are already over 13,000 bets on game), but as of 1:00 ET today (Tuesday), 59% of bets are on Giants. Yet, line moved from -1 to -3. Hmmm?

When did this line move from -1 to -3?

The greek opened it at 3. (it did go to -2.5 +105 for a second, despite what SBR Odds said, as i bet it) but otherwise its been at 3 with varying odds

Pinnacle did have -1, but it was really -3, as -1 was -130 - but this was after it opened at the greek

[LT Profits]

durito,

I didn't mean it went from -1 to -3 in one flash, I meant it went from an opener of -1 to the current -3 despite 59% being on Giants. Apparently, Sports Insights uses Pinny as their openers. They actually opened at -1 -120 on Sunday night at 7:24 et.

You are right though, it did go to -3 even at Pinny on Sunday night, so forget about the line movement here, as most of the betting has taken place at -3. But the issue I was really addressing was that the Giants are indeed the public play for now.

[durito]

Happy New Years LT

[LT Profits]

Happy New Years LT

Right back at you buddy!

[outdrawed]

I'm loving the dialogue, guys. Still very new to betting and line movements is something I need to get much better at. Thanks.

[imgv94]

I think the public would of still liked the Giants even if they got blown out by NE. Public doesn't like TB, there was a lot of talk on the radio and even on other forums with TB being the worst playoff team ever.

[outdrawed]

Which is funny, because FO has them ranked as the 7th best team, ahead of the Steelers, Seahawks, Titans, Redskins, and the team that barely cracked the top half....the Giants.

[outdrawed]

Think I'm going to put a unit or two on the Titans/Chargers U40. Both teams have solid defenses, and the Titans are pretty woeful on offense.