One of the best total plays I've seen in a long time.. Buffalo/Cleveland Under 47

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  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #1
    One of the best total plays I've seen in a long time.. Buffalo/Cleveland Under 47
    Under 47
    Buff/Clev


    Buffalo has a lot of trouble scoring on the road.. Total is 6 points off IMO.. Would like your thoughts on this one....
  • louis
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-23-06
    • 763

    #2
    Why not bet just the buffalo team total under? Olympic offers this bet. Keep in mind that Lynch has been out for some of Buffalo's road games, and now he is back in. The Bills now have a running game, which is pretty good. Cleveland should win this game, unless they turn the ball over to Buffalo throughout the game as did Miami. I'm not betting this one, but stopping Lynch and not turning the ball over are the keys to Cleveland's victory here.
    Last edited by louis; 12-10-07, 12:52 AM.
    Comment
    • SBR Lou
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-02-07
      • 37863

      #3
      One thing that worries me is Trent Edwards is coming off a 4 TD game. He didn't toss it much but he's smart when he does. The Bills hung 38 this week, no matter who they played that at least establishes confidence and they are still mathematically in the playoff hunt.

      The Browns defense isn't scaring anybody. They would've given up another 7 vs the Jets, but intercepted Clemens in the endzone while the Jets were at the 2. And the Bills defense has been raped a few times already, I'm not saying I'm banking on it going over 47 but a 27-23 game wouldn't surprise me either.. they are both hungry.
      Comment
      • imgv94
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-16-05
        • 17192

        #4
        Number is at 46 now.. Makes me feel a little better, Totals are so sketchy I thought about putting 5 units, glad I didn't.

        GL
        Comment
        • imgv94
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-16-05
          • 17192

          #5
          Line is down to 44 at most places.. So at least I know I got a damn good line.
          Comment
          • Skidcom
            SBR MVP
            • 11-17-06
            • 1796

            #6
            This is a solid play.I agree.
            Comment
            • louis
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-23-06
              • 763

              #7
              line is down because of weather

              I doubt the total dropped because of weakness in buffalo's offense.
              Comment
              • RageWizard
                SBR MVP
                • 09-01-06
                • 3008

                #8
                Originally posted by louis
                I doubt the total dropped because of weakness in buffalo's offense.
                I think that the total is dropping because of some crappy weather moving in for the weekend. Well actually at least here in the Lehigh Valley ( 60 miles north of Philly) the weather has been crappy for about two weeks straight, and is pedicted to remain crappy with a slight chance of a reach around for the holidays.
                But really this will be like a playoff game, so I don't expect a lot of cheap scores. Having said that both of these teams have great returners that can change an under to an over very easily.
                Comment
                • eglickman
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-06-07
                  • 203

                  #9
                  Stay away. Both defenses blow.
                  Comment
                  • mark wahlberg
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 11-07-07
                    • 93

                    #10
                    nice job imgv line is down to 43
                    Comment
                    • Silverbullet
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-14-07
                      • 105

                      #11
                      Originally posted by imgv94
                      Under 47
                      Buff/Clev


                      Buffalo has a lot of trouble scoring on the road.. Total is 6 points off IMO.. Would like your thoughts on this one....
                      I see this one going over both teams gives up too much on defense and both teams looking for miracle wild card
                      Comment
                      • McBa1n
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-02-06
                        • 2642

                        #12
                        i hope it keeps going down - betting the over in cle games has been very nice this season... and buffalo can score some points, not a ton - but some.
                        Comment
                        • agentwalrus
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 12-10-07
                          • 36

                          #13
                          Its at over 43 now... I wont touch the over. Under might start looking good if a couple more points come off.
                          Comment
                          • VegasDave
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-03-07
                            • 8056

                            #14
                            Bet half of your original wager on the over 43 and you have a nice middling opp here
                            Comment
                            • BuddyBear
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 7233

                              #15
                              Buffalo is pretty bad offensively but CLEV's defense is suspect. Could see a 13-10 type game or 31-27 game too. That being the case, I think the weather may have an influence. I still think the under is a strong bet...however it's cutting it very close now at 43. You almost have to think about taking O42 if it appears.
                              Comment
                              • mark wahlberg
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 11-07-07
                                • 93

                                #16
                                people reading this weather is suppose to be bad really really bad does that mean less points always ive seen bad weather games where lots of points were scored
                                Comment
                                • Ditaln1
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-26-07
                                  • 588

                                  #17
                                  Snow Shower / Wind High
                                  28°F

                                  Precip
                                  50%

                                  Wind: NNW 21 mph
                                  Max. Humidity: 72%
                                  UV Index: 1 Low
                                  Sunrise: 7:47 AM ET
                                  Avg. High: 37°F
                                  Record High: 64°F (1984)

                                  That is what weather.com is saying for Sunday for the game.
                                  Comment
                                  • imgv94
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-16-05
                                    • 17192

                                    #18
                                    Total is now down to 40..
                                    Comment
                                    • jackpot269
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-24-07
                                      • 12842

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by imgv94
                                      Total is now down to 40..
                                      SHIT !!!!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • SBR Lou
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-02-07
                                        • 37863

                                        #20
                                        You got a great number man, it's a freaking blizzard out there on the field!
                                        Comment
                                        • Illusion
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-09-05
                                          • 25166

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by crazyl
                                          You got a great number man, it's a freaking blizzard out there on the field!
                                          No doubt, that's the same storm that hammered us late last night.
                                          Comment
                                          • imgv94
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-16-05
                                            • 17192

                                            #22
                                            Thanks guys.. Probably the easiest win I've ever had LOL.
                                            Comment
                                            • B1GER1C828
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-31-07
                                              • 10244

                                              #23
                                              came down to the wire...
                                              Comment
                                              • imgv94
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-16-05
                                                • 17192

                                                #24
                                                Couldn't believe it
                                                Comment
                                                • SexyMit
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-12-06
                                                  • 6139

                                                  #25
                                                  I took it at 39 and man I was sweating my balls off all day watching tv in my warm house and was happy I wasn't out there playing in that shit weather...
                                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • outdrawed
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-21-07
                                                    • 388

                                                    #26
                                                    You got really lucky. A couple more TDs here and there and you could have lost this one.

                                                    Nice bet.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stumpage
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-21-05
                                                      • 2906

                                                      #27
                                                      How'd you ever get through this nail biter?.....

                                                      Congrats
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Illusion
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-09-05
                                                        • 25166

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice hit imgv. I also heard that this was the first 8-0 game in the NFL since 1929.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigBollocks
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-11-06
                                                          • 2045

                                                          #29
                                                          Damn, damn, damn good play that you pegged well in advance. Solid capping IMGV...
                                                          Comment
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