22 point favorites

[imgv94]

Wow, thats all I gotta say.

[pico]

taking the eagles. this is not college fb

[SBR Lou]

I think there's only two games I passed on with New England all year up till now, that's the most I've bet a team so far ever. I'll probably ride the wave if it goes under 20, playing at home in another primetime game.

[slacker00]

taking the eagles. this is not college fb

I agree. Strange that the line suddenly explodes to 22, when it's been around 17 every week for the past few months. Why are the Eagles so terrible? I guess McNabb concerns has influenced the line. Still. I'd like to keep hammering the Pats, but this one makes me stop and think. How insane good are the Patriots? Really?

[idontlikerocks]

perhaps back-up A J Feeley can usher in the years of the philadelphia dynasty with a rousing victory over the patriots.....

[patsfan2727]

why the line is justified

I agree. Strange that the line suddenly explodes to 22, when it's been around 17 every week for the past few months. Why are the Eagles so terrible? I guess McNabb concerns has influenced the line. Still. I'd like to keep hammering the Pats, but this one makes me stop and think. How insane good are the Patriots? Really?

I'll try to explain why this line (-22.5) makes sense:

1) Pats beat EVERYONE (except indy) by 17 points or more.

2) Pats have home field advantage (thats another 3)

3) Pats devour unexperienced qb's with blitz schemes(picks/ff's/hurries)
(I don't even know if McNabb gives them any edge over Feeley)

4) Pats = AFC Eagles = NFC(sucks)

5) The Eagles were losing to the crappy Fins at home last week for a little bit...

6) The Eagles might not score


GO PATS!

[Doc JS]

I'll try to explain why this line (-22.5) makes sense:

1) Pats beat EVERYONE (except indy) by 17 points or more.

2) Pats have home field advantage (thats another 3)

3) Pats devour unexperienced qb's with blitz schemes(picks/ff's/hurries)
(I don't even know if McNabb gives them any edge over Feeley)

4) Pats = AFC Eagles = NFC(sucks)

5) The Eagles were losing to the crappy Fins at home last week for a little bit...

6) The Eagles might not score


GO PATS!

7) and if the line were 17, the whole world would pound the Pats!!!! By raising the line to 22, maybe somebody jumps on the Eagles!

[SBR Lou]

you know an NFL team is sick good when you find yourself hoping they're favored by 17 points

[Sportsgirl]

taking the eagles. this is not college fb

i'm no Pats fan, and I'm not an Eagles hater, either, but by the end of this game, the Pats will have won by more than 22 points and Philly will look like a college team.

[Sportsgirl]

5) The Eagles were losing to the crappy Fins at home last week for a little bit...

I actually picked the fins in that game.

[tblues2005]

I think the Pats win by more than the 22 points also, I wouldn't be surprised if it is a repeat of last week like 56-10 again. I say take the Pats in this game even though the line is that large.

[etothep]

you guys seeing more people taking eagles today or pats? i only ask cause if it's going to go down to 20 or 21, ill wait to take the pats, but otherwise i'll grab it now at 22

[Doc JS]

you guys seeing more people taking eagles today or pats? i only ask cause if it's going to go down to 20 or 21, ill wait to take the pats, but otherwise i'll grab it now at 22

I think that history shows that teams favored by 18 or more points tend to NOT cover the spread. But history isn't the 2007 Patriots. I'm not willing to bet against them even at 22.

[Dark Horse]

I'll wait for 21. Pats aren't kicking FG's, so that extra point is a TD.

[etothep]

my theory is that i see the pats scoring 42 (or more) and thus the question is can the eagles post 20 or more on the pats d

my guess is that no, they won't

[biggamer3]

Guys is Mcnabb playing or no?

[azgrande18]

my theory is that i see the pats scoring 42 (or more) and thus the question is can the eagles post 20 or more on the pats d

my guess is that no, they won't

I agree they won't score 20 or more.

[VegasDave]

I'll wait for 21. Pats aren't kicking FG's, so that extra point is a TD.

Yeah, but the Eagles might.

35 - 10? Minimum?

Point is people sportsbooks are winning the battle by making you think 22 is ridiculous and betting the Eagles. Pats will cover... again.

[mgcolby]

One strategy that has worked well for me so far this season with the Pats is:

1) Bet heavy on the 1st half, I usually play 2 units on the half for every unit I put on the game

Other strategies that I employ that have also covered every week except for the Colts game is:

1) Parlay the Pats and the over in the 1st half

2) Play the over for the game

[mark wahlberg]

pats all the way for me brady to moss and walker all day

[DoctorX79]

But remember that N-E won 8 of their 10 games by 21 pts or more...
and 3 of 4 games in N-E ended by 24 pts or more..

[Doc JS]

I'll wait for 21. Pats aren't kicking FG's, so that extra point is a TD.

DH,
Good point!

[cartay]

7) and if the line were 17, the whole world would pound the Pats!!!! By raising the line to 22, maybe somebody jumps on the Eagles!

Excellent point!

[Teasem]

This is insane

[area51steve]

Yeah, but the Eagles might.

35 - 10? Minimum?

Point is people sportsbooks are winning the battle by making you think 22 is ridiculous and betting the Eagles. Pats will cover... again.

I agree.. Taking the eagles is a sucker bet. The books are hoping people jump on the eagles. I remember when people thought the patriots wouldn't cover the redskins or buffalo just recently. Tom Brady even said himself their trying to blow out everyone they play. The eagles are gonna get their brains blown out.

[Crutch]

go with pats till they dont cover

[Crutch]

Eagles are horrible, pats try to humiliate everyone, thats why i like them, they go for it on 4th down when they are up 20 points

[roasthawg]

my system has the pats winning by 21...i'm not touching this game, no value on either side.

[t2wentyfou4r]

When was the last time a line was this big? I can't remember if the Rams (Kurt Warner) were ever favored this big during the early 2000 time period. I still would take the Pats.

[Teasem]

24 points !

[LT Profits]

t2wentyfou4r,

It wasn't 22, but the last time any NFL team was favored by 20 points or more was 2001. Rams (-20) 48, Carolina 14.

[roasthawg]

t2wentyfou4r,

It wasn't 22, but the last time any NFL team was favored by 20 points or more was 2001. Rams (-20) 48, Carolina 14.

i had the rams that game!!! the yards per play differential was INSANE though, panthers i think were last and rams obviously were first...philly's not HALF that bad but of course the pats are on a whole different level then any other team...

[Ganchrow]

When was the last time a line was this big? I can't remember if the Rams (Kurt Warner) were ever favored this big during the early 2000 time period. I still would take the Pats.

Steve Young's 49ers were 24 point favorites over David Klingler and the Bengals on December 5^th, 1993.

Final score: SF 21 CIN 8

Source: covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/teams/pastresults/1993-1994/team5.html

[Dead Money]

A 10pt 3 team teaser looks good.

This has backdoor cover screaming all over it.
Pats would have to be up by 29/30 points to get that "safe feeling" damn!!!

[dudefrompa]

Don't even worry about the points, the Pats are going to beat the Eagles 45 - 14. No McNabb and A.J. Feeley sucks and even if McNabb was playing they would still not cover the point spread.