Swampdog's Picks (Sun 11/11/2007 and Mon 11/12/2007)

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  • swampdog
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-15-07
    • 17

    #1
    Swampdog's Picks (Sun 11/11/2007 and Mon 11/12/2007)
    I'm usually silent and right, but loud and wrong... so I figure I'll type it up and look back at the outcome...

    Here are my picks for Sunday and Monday

    Buff -3 I'm not betting on a Lemon! Prove me wrong...

    NO -12 Saints Back to 06 and Def has been stopping the run while STL isn't getting any better.

    Chi -3.5 Oak offense is too conservative, Chi found it's Offense

    Dal -2 not sold on the G-men, but game will be close

    Det PK JK is balling, WR's balling, Def getting lots of TO's. poor playing Arizona Team...

    Indi -3.5 Ready to redeem them selves and should have beat NE.

    Clev +9 They can pass as well as anyone and will keep it close.

    I'm strong on all these and pushing towards Min +6 and Wash -3.
    Don't think Seattle will win by 10 but can't pull the trigger. All the other games can go either way...

    What do you think?
  • swampdog
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-15-07
    • 17

    #2
    What do you think about this teaser


    St Louis at New Orleans New Orleans -6.00
    Chicago at Oakland Chicago +2.50
    Dallas at NY Giants Dallas +4.00
    Detroit at Arizona Detroit +6.00
    Cleveland at Pittsburgh Cleveland +15.50
    Minnesota at Green Bay Minnesota +12.00
    * Combination
    * Teaser

    Teaser Type:
    6 point
    Price: +600
    Bet Amount: $150.00
    Bet Payout: $ 1050.00
    Comment
    • laxdjock
      SBR MVP
      • 09-15-07
      • 4074

      #3
      I'm with you on BUF, DET, INDY, and I think CHI will pull it out (though I didn't bet on them).

      BOL!

      *edit*

      As for your teaser...

      NO should be fine.
      Chicago should win outright
      Dallas +4.......not sure about this one. I think most of the time this holds, but I have learned to be very careful betting on DAL v. GIANT games.
      Det should win outright
      Cle.....eh. They could keep rolling, and Cle is nothing special.
      Minn...I think GB bottles of Peterson, though I don't think GB will win by 2 TDs

      I may look at that teaser....lol!
      Comment
      • swampdog
        SBR Rookie
        • 10-15-07
        • 17

        #4
        Originally posted by laxdjock
        I'm with you on BUF, DET, INDY, and I think CHI will pull it out (though I didn't bet on them).

        BOL!

        *edit*

        As for your teaser...

        NO should be fine.
        Chicago should win outright
        Dallas +4.......not sure about this one. I think most of the time this holds, but I have learned to be very careful betting on DAL v. GIANT games.
        Det should win outright
        Cle.....eh. They could keep rolling, and Cle is nothing special.
        Minn...I think GB bottles of Peterson, though I don't think GB will win by 2 TDs

        I may look at that teaser....lol!
        Lax, I agree that GB might beat Minn, but now way they win by 12 and the Dal game is a gamble but hey... that's the best price you can get for only one real bet in a 6 team teaser. Right?
        Comment
        • laxdjock
          SBR MVP
          • 09-15-07
          • 4074

          #5
          I took the following teaser.....

          Buffalo Bills ( Spread +2 )
          New Orleans Saints ( Spread -5½ )
          Green Bay Packers ( Spread +½ )
          New York Giants ( Spread +9 )
          Detroit Lions ( Spread +7 )
          Indianapolis Colts ( Spread +1½ )

          $50 for $350.
          Comment
          • swampdog
            SBR Rookie
            • 10-15-07
            • 17

            #6
            Originally posted by laxdjock
            I took the following teaser.....

            Buffalo Bills ( Spread +2 )
            New Orleans Saints ( Spread -5½ )
            Green Bay Packers ( Spread +½ )
            New York Giants ( Spread +9 )
            Detroit Lions ( Spread +7 )
            Indianapolis Colts ( Spread +1½ )

            $50 for $350.


            I think you're cutting it close with the GB game but what do I know. I'm rookie who hasn't won much.
            Comment
            • Mannheiser
              SBR Rookie
              • 10-23-07
              • 29

              #7
              havent figured out the quote post thing yet, but swampdog said

              What do you think about this teaser


              St Louis at New Orleans New Orleans -6.00
              Chicago at Oakland Chicago +2.50
              Dallas at NY Giants Dallas +4.00
              Detroit at Arizona Detroit +6.00
              Cleveland at Pittsburgh Cleveland +15.50
              Minnesota at Green Bay Minnesota +12.00

              I usually do a teaser as well every weekend, and I like yours. NO only giving 6 is nice, Chi favored is good, wouldnt touch the Dallas game, Det is good, Minn I like (they dont lose by double digit often), but I think you should go teh other way with teh pitt and cle game. Do pitt at -3. Pitt is the better team, ask anyone bet the ravens to cover on MNF.
              Comment
              • Mannheiser
                SBR Rookie
                • 10-23-07
                • 29

                #8
                Originally posted by Mannheiser
                havent figured out the quote post thing yet.
                ok, figured it out now, wasnt that hard
                Comment
                • laxdjock
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-15-07
                  • 4074

                  #9
                  Originally posted by swampdog
                  I think you're cutting it close with the GB game but what do I know. I'm rookie who hasn't won much.
                  That was my main concern, but if they can get a decent run game going, that will open up the field and they roll. Their defense can definitely punish the other team, so i'm hoping for a few sacks and TOs. The Gmen 'should' be okay with 9, I just hope Eli and the front 4 show up for the Gmen.
                  Comment
                  • swampdog
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 10-15-07
                    • 17

                    #10
                    Originally posted by laxdjock
                    I took the following teaser.....

                    Buffalo Bills ( Spread +2 )
                    New Orleans Saints ( Spread -5½ )
                    Green Bay Packers ( Spread +½ )
                    New York Giants ( Spread +9 )
                    Detroit Lions ( Spread +7 )
                    Indianapolis Colts ( Spread +1½ )

                    $50 for $350.

                    Yeah the Gia +9 is a lock! I like this better than my Dal +4... mat-o-fact. I'm going to put another teaser together later in the week with Gia spread + 6

                    We totally agree on everything else.

                    Man,

                    I'm thinking about going the other way on the Pitt/Cle Game as you suggest. I could see Pitt scoring a blowout before I can see Cleve doing it so you have a point, but I can also see Pit loosing by 3 so that's what's keeping my bet the way it is... Clev -15.5. So with us both knowing Cleveland's offense can score some points I think it's best to give them more points and take them.

                    i think I'll make the same teaser with

                    St Louis at New Orleans New Orleans -6.00
                    Chicago at Oakland Chicago +2.50
                    Dallas at NY Giants Dallas +4.00
                    Detroit at Arizona Detroit +6.00
                    Cleveland at Pittsburgh Cleveland +15.50
                    Minnesota at Green Bay Minnesota +12.00

                    and change

                    Dallas at NY Giants NY Giants +8.00
                    Chicago at Oakland Chicago +2.50
                    Cincinnati at Baltimore Cincinnati +10.50
                    Minnesota at Green Bay Minnesota +12.00
                    St Louis at New Orleans New Orleans -6.00
                    Cleveland at Pittsburgh Cleveland +15.50

                    $150 still gets 1050....
                    Comment
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