Week 3: Time to hit the soft lines early.

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  • slacker00
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-06-05
    • 12262

    #1
    Week 3: Time to hit the soft lines early.
    Here's my early leans, in bold & underlined.
    397 Indianapolis Colts -4.5 -108
    10:00 AM 398 Houston Texans +4.5 +100

    Sun 9/23 399 San Diego Chargers Offline
    10:00 AM 400 Green Bay Packers Offline

    Sun 9/23 401 Minnesota Vikings +3 -121
    10:00 AM 402 Kansas City Chiefs -3 +113

    Sun 9/23 403 Detroit Lions Offline
    10:00 AM 404 Philadelphia Eagles Offline

    Sun 9/23 405 Buffalo Bills Offline
    10:00 AM 406 New England Patriots Offline

    Sun 9/23 407 Miami Dolphins +3 -104
    10:00 AM 408 New York Jets -3 -104

    Sun 9/23 409 San Francisco 49ers +9 -123
    10:00 AM 410 Pittsburgh Steelers -9 +115

    Sun 9/23 411 Arizona Cardinals +9 -123
    10:00 AM 412 Baltimore Ravens -9 +115

    Sun 9/23 413 St Louis Rams +3.5 -101
    10:00 AM 414 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 -107

    Sun 9/23 415 Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 -108
    01:05 PM 416 Denver Broncos -3.5 +100

    Sun 9/23 417 Cincinnati Bengals +3 +105
    01:05 PM 418 Seattle Seahawks -3 -113

    Sun 9/23 419 Cleveland Browns +3.5 -112
    01:05 PM 420 Oakland Raiders -3.5 +104

    Sun 9/23 421 Carolina Panthers -4 -106
    01:15 PM 422 Atlanta Falcons +4 -102

    Sun 9/23 423 New York Giants Offline
    01:15 PM 424 Washington Redskins Offline

    Sun 9/23 425 Dallas Cowboys +3.5 -118
    05:15 PM 426 Chicago Bears -3.5 +110

    NFL Football - Mon 9/24
    Mon 9/24 427 Tennessee Titans +5 -104
    05:30 PM 428 New Orleans Saints -5 -104
    I really love the Titans at those odds. I'm so-so on the rest.

    Dallas is maybe my 2nd favorite play, I'm not sold on the Bears at all whatsoever after watching today's game. It's sad when special teams & defense provides more offense than the actual offense.
  • imgv94
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-16-05
    • 17192

    #2
    SF +9

    Buffalo was +10 vs the Steelers
    and SF is waaay better than Buffalo.
    Comment
    • Dark Horse
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-14-05
      • 13764

      #3
      Early fades: Cardinals, Tampa, and Chicago. No need to play them early with those lines.
      Comment
      • onlooker
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 08-10-05
        • 36572

        #4
        Originally posted by imgv94
        SF +9

        Buffalo was +10 vs the Steelers
        and SF is waaay better than Buffalo.
        I was actually looking at the Steelers here. I just hope I can get a better line. Remember, the 49ers have squeaked by the last 2 weeks.
        Comment
        • EGGY6199
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-05-07
          • 530

          #5
          Right I will be hitting the Cards very Heavy this weak +9. Baltmore have a shocking Off and the Cards can D.

          The other side we all know the Ravens are good but the Cards have an Off I would expect to score 13. There is no way the Ravens will score 21+ against the Card new improved D.

          This is a gift
          Comment
          • EGGY6199
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-05-07
            • 530

            #6
            Also surely the Vikings +3

            You can pass on the Vikings but can the cheifs!!!
            Comment
            • Doc JS
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-15-06
              • 6885

              #7
              Originally posted by onlòóker
              Remember, the 49ers have squeaked by the last 2 weeks.
              Looker,
              I agree with you. The Niners are 2-0 but they've had less than 200 yards of total offense in both games. That will be difficult to impossible to sustain. I know they did enough to win, but I think it will be hard to continue to win with so little offense.
              Comment
              • slacker00
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-06-05
                • 12262

                #8
                Originally posted by EGGY6199
                Also surely the Vikings +3

                You can pass on the Vikings but can the cheifs!!!
                I watched both games this weekend. The more I think about it, the more I like the Chiefs. I see it's down to -2 1/2 now. Time to hammer it!!!

                Chiefs were able to move the ball against Chicago, which is saying a lot. I really respect Chicago's defense even if I laugh out loud at their offense. Minnesota's offense is about on par with Chicago, which is to say that they've got a lot of work to do. I think Tavaris Jackson may mature into a decent NFL QB, but at this stage of his career, he's still cutting his teeth. Minny's defense is good, but they're not Chicago, IMO. Plus this game is in KC, which is one of the better home fields in the league. KC is 0-2 and have got a lot of pride, being a playoff team from last year. I think they get it done and cover. They are playing fine football right now, despite the results.
                Comment
                • EGGY6199
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-05-07
                  • 530

                  #9
                  Okay the Vikings have a much better running game than the Bears.

                  They also have a very good run D which means the cheifs will have to pass to victory.

                  Not saying you are wrong but this is a game peterson can own.

                  Betting on the cheifs against anyone is dangerous plus most of their yards where in the last quarter after grossman had plaied like a prick and kept the Bears D out on the pitch hence they where tried.

                  I was surprised the cheifs scored in this game and it screwed my bet
                  Comment
                  • Wassymac
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-22-06
                    • 1090

                    #10
                    I played the Chiefs -2.5 for next week. Probably my favorite play of the week (college or nfl).
                    Comment
                    • slacker00
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-06-05
                      • 12262

                      #11
                      Originally posted by EGGY6199
                      Okay the Vikings have a much better running game than the Bears.

                      They also have a very good run D which means the cheifs will have to pass to victory.

                      Not saying you are wrong but this is a game peterson can own.

                      Betting on the cheifs against anyone is dangerous plus most of their yards where in the last quarter after grossman had plaied like a prick and kept the Bears D out on the pitch hence they where tried.

                      I was surprised the cheifs scored in this game and it screwed my bet
                      I'm not convinced that the Vikings running game is that much better than the Bears.

                      I was suprised the Bears offense scored in this game. So, touche.
                      Comment
                      • austintx05
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-24-06
                        • 3156

                        #12
                        Indy exploited the Titans secondary early, but Fisher knows how to play Indy...

                        NO will blow out Tenn
                        Comment
                        • austintx05
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-24-06
                          • 3156

                          #13
                          Originally posted by EGGY6199
                          Right I will be hitting the Cards very Heavy this weak +9. Baltmore have a shocking Off and the Cards can D.

                          The other side we all know the Ravens are good but the Cards have an Off I would expect to score 13. There is no way the Ravens will score 21+ against the Card new improved D.

                          This is a gift
                          Arizona scored 17 in SF.
                          To assume they score 13 in Baltimore would be a little naive

                          I see 2 games including a 9 point spread..would think the matchup for Baltimore is one you could lay 9 with....but only if McNair is playing
                          Comment
                          • slacker00
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-06-05
                            • 12262

                            #14
                            Originally posted by austintx05
                            Indy exploited the Titans secondary early, but Fisher knows how to play Indy...

                            NO will blow out Tenn

                            Huh?

                            Week 1: Indy blows out NO, Ten beats tough Jax.
                            Week 2: Ten almost beats Indy, NO gets blown out again.
                            Week 3: NO blows out Ten?! Give me a break.
                            Comment
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