Should I hedge this big season wager? No idea what to do.

[InSpades]

Got the Bucs at 8-1 to win division. I know talking about money is sort of inappropriate but it is relevant here. It is to win about $2,100.

Not sure how much faith in them winning @CAR especially after that embarrassing performance last week. I could see just about any outcome. This is the NFL where things change week to week. I know the Colts a few years ago just needed to beat Jacksonville the last week of the season to win their division and the Jags had worst record in the league. Colts loss. I don't believe it matters CAR has been awful. It is who is motivated more in a lot of these games.

Options are to take CAR +4.5 and go for a middle with my Bucs division wager. Also CAR moneyline at +185.

Then there question is how much to wager. I am thinking about wagering either a CAR +4.5 or moneyline for about a $900 win. If Bucs win I take about $1,100 if I take the CAR +4.5 or $1,600 if I take the CAR moneyline.

A little bit of early steam on CAR. If I do take the line should I wait for a better #?

[OldBill]

hold up i can get you a winner using my ATS charts

ok TB is down at negative 12.5 ats s/u fav loss Panthers ate bagel 26-0 - 22.5 ats

i would side with TB better QB panthers do not want to win i think they just fired all coaches too

teams in this mindset play carefully do not get hurt and get back on the bus

[InSpades]

hold up i can get you a winner using my ATS charts

ok TB is down at negative 12.5 ats s/u fav loss Panthers ate bagel 26-0 - 22.5 ats

i would side with TB better QB panthers do not want to win i think they just fired all coaches too

teams in this mindset play carefully do not get hurt and get back on the bus

I a considering not hedging at all. I would just hate to walk away with nothing.

When they played in Tampa, they only lost by 2.

[Optional]

I would just hate to walk away with nothing.

With that in mind, I'd hedge with the minimum amount you need to not hate it on Car +4.5, and root for both to pay.

[DwightShrute]

With that in mind, I'd hedge with the minimum amount you need to not hate it on Car +4.5, and root for both to pay.

I am in total agreement. Unless you have that sports almanac from Back to the Future.

That's the benefit of betting futures or a parlay where the last leg is at a later time. Being able to hedge. How nice is it going into a game knowing you are going to win no matter what? Sports betting is a long term thing for most bettors, so take a profit whenever you can.

I had a similar situation once and I thought it was a sure thing so I never bother hedging. Sure enough the dog not only covered the game, but won outright. I don't remember the exact details because I put it out of my mind. All I know is I wouldn't make that mistake again.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I'd probably just bet $200-300 on Carolina ML so you profit either way but much more so if TB wins.

[terpkeg]

What's your average play and bank roll

[InSpades]

What's your average play and bank roll

Don't play very much. Here and there only if I like the wager a lot. Average play $300

[BigOrange]

If you tied up roughly $250 for a whole season, it doesn't make sense to hedge now. Let it ride unless your current finances dictate a need to guarantee a win.