The Limper NFL 2022 – Regular Season - Week 4

[WillyBoy]

When dogs cover, stat-based projections – like those of Number Fire, Team Rankings and The Limper get ass-kicked; and, dogs are covering at 61% after 3 weeks. A reminder that numbers are only ever a guide to the bettor, and not, by any means, slam-dunk predictions – which are up to the bettor to provide.

GLTA

[WillyBoy]

Rankings below are based on a Composite Average (C-AVE), using Win/Loss/Push (PCT), Strength of Opposition (O-AVE), and a ranked score of a number of statistical variables (R-AVE). The Value Power Ranking are similarly based but using a valuation of the strength of opposition in determining W/L/P stats.

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]

FWIW - The Offense/Defense rankings below are based on numbers from the first three weeks, with a measure of number-massaging according to my personal preferences. Which is to say that I tend to value passing numbers over rushing, redzone efficiency (where the Lions are killing it) over scoring (where they’re also killing it), and yards per play made and defended overall. Thing is, this is really early in the season to be doing this, where outliers count far too much, where teams like Detroit and Chicago look like rushing monsters, Baltimore’s passing D is the worst in league, and Tampa’s offense is 2^nd worse. It’s only 3 games’ worth of numbers - so take these rankings with a grain of salt.

[WillyBoy]

[WillyBoy]