Mr October’s NFL Season Long thread

Hman · 09-12-21, 07:57 AM

Best of luck

Mr0ctober · 09-14-21, 06:30 AM

Week 1:
Texans +3.5 (-113) (1u)✅ +1u
Patriots -3 (-120) (1u)❌ -1.2u
Saints +4 (-118) (1u)✅ +1u
Washington -115 (1u)❌ -1.15u
Eagles +3.5 (1u)✅ +1u
Cardinals +3 (1u)✅ +1u
Giants/Denver under 42 (1u)✅ +1u
Ravens/Raiders under 51 (1u)❌�� -1.1u

week 1: 5-3 +1.55u✅

not going to complain about winning week but highly annoyed about losing the under last night. I was mad enough that I thought it would end in a push. 17-10 with 10 mins to go and lose the under 51!! BRUTAL (side note at least raiders won for our win total)

Nfl season 5-3 +1.55u✅

Mr0ctober · 09-17-21, 09:41 AM

My advice for all you serious cappers or people that want to get better. Be careful with the overreactions in week 2. That being said it is okay to adjust your view on teams at a more drastic measure early in the year. So it’s a balance between tempering your overreactions and making the correct adjustments. Very tough task. For sure. Putting some of these out there bc some are starting to move. Will recap THem and have adds Sunday morning.

Week 2:
Philly/SF under 50 (1u)
Panthers +4 (-117) (1u)
Eagles +3.5 (-115) (1u)
Bills -3 (-120) (1u)

Mr0ctober · 09-19-21, 11:16 AM

WEEK 2 full card:

Philly/SF under 50 (1u)
Panthers +4 (-117) (1u)
Eagles +3.5 (-115) (1u)
Bills -3 (-120) (1u)
Jets/Pats Under 43 (-106) (1u)
Colts +4 (-103) (1u)
Jags +6 (-105) (1u)
Vikings +4 (1u)

Good luck Kids!

Conqueror · 09-19-21, 11:29 AM

BOL!

Mr0ctober · 09-19-21, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by Conqueror

BOL!

Thanks! Same to you!

Mr0ctober · 09-19-21, 01:42 PM

Adding a prop:

tannehill over 1.5 pass tds (-110) (0.5u)

Conqueror · 09-19-21, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by Mr0ctober

WEEK 2 full card:

Philly/SF under 50 (1u)
Panthers +4 (-117) (1u)
Eagles +3.5 (-115) (1u)
Bills -3 (-120) (1u)
Jets/Pats Under 43 (-106) (1u)
Colts +4 (-103) (1u)
Jags +6 (-105) (1u)
Vikings +4 (1u)

Good luck Kids!

Did your book pay you extra on that pick?

Mr0ctober · 09-20-21, 11:04 AM

WEEK 2 full card:

Philly/SF under 50 (1u)✅ *yes it should pay double*
Panthers +4 (-117) (1u)✅
Eagles +3.5 (-115) (1u)❌
Bills -3 (-120) (1u)✅
Jets/Pats Under 43 (-106) (1u)✅
Colts +4 (-103) (1u)✅
Jags +6 (-105) (1u)❌
Vikings +4 (1u) ✅

tannehill over 1.5 pass tds (-110) (0.5u)❌

Week 2: 6-2 +3.8u✅
props 0-1 -0.55u

Nfl season 11-5 +5.35u✅
Props season 0-1 -0.55u❌

Mr0ctober · 09-26-21, 08:35 AM

Let’s get after it

Week 3:
Jags +8 (-108) (1u)
Colts +6 (-115) (1u)
Chargers +7 (-108) (1u)
Falcons +3 (-115) (wait live if you can’t +3) (1u)
Bears +7.5 (-108) (1u)
dolphins +4 (1u)

total:
ravens under 50.5 (1u)

props:
Fields over 204.5 pass yards (1u)
Emmanuel sanders under 47.5 rec yards (1u)

Mr0ctober · 09-27-21, 11:25 AM

Let’s get after it

Week 3:
Jags +8 (-108) (1u)❌ brutal -1.08u
Colts +6 (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u
Chargers +7 (-108) (1u)✅ +1u
Falcons +3 (-115) (wait live if you can’t +3) (1u)✅
Bears +7.5 (-108) (1u)❌-1.08u
dolphins +4 (1u)✅

total:
ravens under 50.5 (1u)✅

props:
Fields over 204.5 pass yards (1u)❌ -1.1u
Emmanuel sanders under 47.5 rec yards (1u)❌ -1.1u

Week 3: 4-3 +0.69u✅
props 0-2❌ -2.2u

Nfl season 15-8 +6.04u✅
Props season 0-3 -2.75u❌

Mr0ctober · 09-30-21, 07:14 PM

9/30:
Teaser: Bengals -1.5/Seahawks +9 -120 (1u)

Mr0ctober · 10-03-21, 08:27 AM

Pending: bengals -1.5/Seahawks +9 teaser -120 (1u)

Adds for week 4:
Giants +7.5 (-108) (1u)
Eagles +7.5 (1u)
Patriots +7 (1u)
Teaser: vikings +8.5/Colts +8 (-120) (1u)

Props:
Van Jefferson under 3.5 Receptions -160 (1u)
Mecole Hardman under 3.5 Receptions -110 (1u)
Rashard Higgins under 24.5 Rec yards (-114) (0.7u)
Moss over 45.5 Rush Yards (-110) (0.7u)

Mr0ctober · 10-10-21, 11:48 AM

10/10:

Jags +4.5 (1u)
Cincinnati +3 (1u)
49ers +5 (+100) (1u)
bills +3 (1u)
Dallas -1/ Ravens -1 (1u) teaser -120

good luck!

Mr0ctober · 10-14-21, 02:39 PM

9/30:
Teaser: Bengals -1.5/Seahawks +9 -120 (1u)✅
Giants +7.5 (-108) (1u)✅
Eagles +7.5 (1u)❌
Patriots +7 (1u)✅
Teaser: vikings +8.5/Colts +8 (-120) (1u)✅

(4-1 +2.9u)

Props:
Van Jefferson under 3.5 Receptions -160 (1u)❌
Mecole Hardman under 3.5 Receptions -110 (1u)✅
Rashard Higgins under 24.5 Rec yards (-114) (0.7u)❌
Moss over 45.5 Rush Yards (-110) (0.7u)✅

(2-2 -0.70u)

10/10:

Jags +4.5 (1u)❌
Cincinnati +3 (1u) Push
49ers +5 (+100) (1u)❌
bills +3 (1u)✅
Dallas -1/ Ravens -1 (1u) teaser -120✅

2-2 -0.1u)

Nfl season 21-11 +8.84u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 10-14-21, 02:43 PM

Week 6: (May have an add or two later in the week)

Sides:
Steelers -5 (1u)
Eagles +7 (-115) (1u)
Steelers -5 (1u)
Ravens -140 (1u)
Vikings -120 (1u)
Bears +5 (1u)
Browns -3 (-115) (1u)
Patriots +4 (-115) (1u)
Titans +6 (-115)

Totals:
Bengals Under 48 (1u)
Vikings under 46 (1u)

Mr0ctober · 10-22-21, 08:35 PM

Week 6: (May have an add or two later in the week)

Sides:
Steelers -5 (1u)❌
Eagles +7 (-115) (1u)✅
Ravens -140 (1u)✅
Vikings -120 (1u)✅
Bears +5 (1u)❌
Browns -3 (-115) (1u)❌
Patriots +4 (-115) (1u)❌
Titans +6 (-115)✅

Totals:
Bengals Under 48 (1u)✅
Vikings under 46 (1u)❌

Week 6: 5-5 -0.6u❌

Nfl season 26-16 +8.24u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 10-22-21, 08:41 PM

Week 7:
Texans +18 (1u)
Lions +17 (-120) (1u)
Patriots -0.5/Dolphins +8.5 Teaser -120 (1u)
Panthers -2.5 (1u)
Bears +13 (-120) (1u)
Washington +9 (-115) (1u)
Chiefs -4.5 (-105) (1u)
Eagles +3.5 (-120) (1u)

Totals:
Panthers under 43 (1u)

Mr0ctober · 10-28-21, 03:25 PM

Week 7:
Texans +18 (1u)❌ -1.1u
Lions +17 (-120) (1u)✅ +1u
Patriots -0.5/Dolphins +8.5 Teaser -120 (1u)✅ +1u
Panthers -2.5 (1u)❌ -1.1u
Bears +13 (-120) (1u)❌ -1.2u
Washington +9 (-115) (1u)❌ -1.15u (insane loss)
Chiefs -4.5 (-105) (1u)❌ -1.05u
Eagles +3.5 (-120) (1u) ❌ -1.2u

Totals:
Panthers under 43 (1u)✅ +1u

3-6 -3.8u❌

Nfl season 29-22 +4.44u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 10-28-21, 03:44 PM

Week 8:
Colts -120 (1u)
Steelers +4 (1u)
Texans +14.5 (-105) (1u)
Jets +10.5 (-108) (1u)
Jags +3.5 (1u)
Vikings +2 (1u)

teasers 6pt
Vikings +8/Panthers +9 (-120) (1u)

Sweetheart 10pt teaser:
Saints +15/Patriots +15/Steelers +14 (-120) (1u)

Totals:
packers/Cardinals under 51 (-115) (1u)
Tampa/New Orleans Under 51 (-118) (1u)
Titans/Colts under 51 (1u)

money line parlay:
Cardinals/Bills/Chiefs (-117) (1u)

hope to do better this week! Good luck!

Mr0ctober · 11-07-21, 11:23 AM

Week 8:
Colts -120 (1u)❌
Steelers +4 (1u)✅
Texans +14.5 (-105) (1u)❌
Jets +10.5 (-108) (1u)✅
Jags +3.5 (1u)❌
Vikings +2 (1u)❌

teasers 6pt
Vikings +8/Panthers +9 (-120) (1u)✅

Sweetheart 10pt teaser:
Saints +15/Patriots +15/Steelers +14 (-120) (1u)✅

Totals:
packers/Cardinals under 51 (-115) (1u)✅
Tampa/New Orleans Under 51 (-118) (1u)❌
Titans/Colts under 51 (1u)❌

money line parlay:
Cardinals/Bills/Chiefs (-117) (1u)❌

5-7 -2.9u❌

Nfl season 34-29 +1.54u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 11-07-21, 11:36 AM

Week 9:

Denver +10 (1u)
Falcons +7 (1u)
Panthers +4 (-120) (0.5u)
49ers/warriors (nba) money line parlay (-140) (1u)
texans +4.5 (0.5u)
Chargers pk (0.5u)
vikings/ravens over 50 (1u)
chargers/eagles over 49.5 (1u)

teaser 6 pt:
browns +8/chiefs -1 (1u)

sweetheart teaser 10pt
Chargers +10/Texans +14.5/panthers +14 (-120) (1u)

Conqueror · 11-07-21, 04:14 PM

How about that Ravens OVER?
Haha!

Mr0ctober · 11-14-21, 12:41 PM

Week 10;
browns +3 (-120) (1u)
Saints +3 (1u)
Lions +7 (-130) (1u)
Panther +10 (1u)

teasers
briwns +8.5/eagles +8.5 (1u)
Seattle +9.5/Dallas -2 (1u)

Mr0ctober · 11-14-21, 11:55 PM

week 9 recap:

Week 9:

Denver +10 (1u)✅ +1u
Falcons +7 (1u)✅ +1u
Panthers +4 (-120) (0.5u)❌ -0.6u
49ers/warriors (nba) money line parlay (-140) (1u)❌ -1.4u
texans +4.5 (0.5u)❌ -0.55u
Chargers pk (0.5u)✅ +0.5u
vikings/ravens over 50 (1u)✅ +1u
chargers/eagles over 49.5 (1u)✅ +1u

teaser 6 pt:
browns +8/chiefs -1 (1u)✅ +1u

sweetheart teaser 10pt
Chargers +10/Texans +14.5/panthers +14 (-120) (1u)❌ -1.2u

week 9: 6-4 +1.75u✅

Nfl season 40-33 +3.29u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 11-14-21, 11:57 PM

Week 10;
browns +3 (-120) (1u)❌ -1.2u
Saints +3 (1u)✅ +1u
Lions +7 (-130) (1u)✅ +1u
Panther +10 (1u)✅ +1u

teasers
briwns +8.5/eagles +8.5 (1u)❌ -1.2u
Seattle +9.5/Dallas -2 (1u)❌ -1.2u

3-3 -0.6u❌

Nfl season 43-36 +2.69u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 11-18-21, 05:49 PM

Week 11:
Falcons +7 (-118) (1u)
Steelers +6 (-115) (1u)
Texans +10.5 (1u)
Minnesota +2.5 (1u)
Kansas City -2.5 (1u)
Seahawks +3 (-122) (1u)

Totals:
Bills/Titans Under 50 (1u)
Washington/Caronlina Under 43 (1u)
Dolphins/Jets under 45 (1u)
Browns/Lions under 45 (1u)

Teaser:
Vikings +8.5/Seattle +8.5 (1u) (-120)
Saints +8/Raiders +8 (1u) (-120)

Mr0ctober · 11-22-21, 12:14 PM

Week 11:
Falcons +7 (-118) (1u)❌
Steelers +6 (-115) (1u)✅
Texans +10.5 (1u)✅
Minnesota +2.5 (1u)✅
Kansas City -2.5 (1u)✅
Seahawks +3 (-122) (1u)❌

Totals:
Bills/Titans Under 50 (1u)❌
Washington/Caronlina Under 43 (1u)❌
Dolphins/Jets under 45 (1u)✅
Browns/Lions under 45 (1u)✅

Teaser:
Vikings +8.5/Seattle +8.5 (1u) (-120)❌
Saints +8/Raiders +8 (1u) (-120)❌

6-6 Week -1u❌

Nfl season 49-42 +1.69u✅
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 11-28-21, 12:17 PM

Week 12
Carolina -120 (1.5u)
Houston -2.5 (1.5u)
Rams +1 (1.5u)

teaser 7pt
Denver +10/Vikings +10.5 (2u)

Mr0ctober · 12-09-21, 07:46 PM

Week 12
Carolina -120 (1.5u)-1.8u❌
Houston -2.5 (1.5u)-1.65u❌
Rams +1 (1.5u) -1.65u❌

teaser 7pt
Denver +10/Vikings +10.5 (2u)✅ +2u

Nfl season 50-45 -1.41u❌
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 12-09-21, 08:02 PM

Back in full force. My work gets crazy this time of year but the rush is over for the most part. As for tonight’s game we have a pretty much must win for both teams. The Steelers coming off a huge hard fought battle and gutsy win vs the ravens. While the Vikings come off the worst loss of the season by any team this year.

The situational spot sets up nicely for the Vikings in terms of coming home and you know they want to come out and right the ship after last weeks loss. Vikings defense also getting healthier and should give the Steelers offense plenty of trouble. And they should be able to shut down Harris out of the backfield forcing Big Ben to beat them. However, the loss of Thielen on offense is catastrophic. He’s Cousins 3rd down safety net and Redzone threat. He also takes tremendous pressure off Jefferson. No Thielen is a huge loss. Cook is active but his shoulder injury worries me from a blocking/catching standpoint. Matison is a more than serviceable back up though.

The Steelers find themselves right in the middle of a stacked AFC North. And if you follow Mike Tomlin teams they usually preform as well as anyone in the underdog role. The hard fought win at the Ravens on a short week worries me. But no one is as good at motivating as Mike Tomlin. TJ Watt who was expected to miss last week with Covid was able to clear protocol and piled up a ridiculous 3.5 sacks against Lamar Jackson. I expect Watt to be at it again tonight against a rather immobile Cousins.

Vikings have done nothing but play close games this year I think tonight is another one.

I didn’t play any side straight up or the total. I do lean to the under and the Steelers +3.5. Or if you wanted to Tease the Steelers to +9.5 or 10 and pair them with a Denver or Seattle that makes plenty of sense to me as well.

Nothing for me tonight but will look to get in live if we get an early score on the under. Or if I can get a Steelers + price. I’ll post anything live on the Twitter feed! Best of luck guys!

DFS/props likes: Diontae Johnson! And also Conklin if your looking for a touchdown dart.

lean Harris under 76.5 rush yards as well.

Mr0ctober · 12-09-21, 09:39 PM

Steelers/Vikings live under 48 (1u) (-115)

Mr0ctober · 12-29-21, 02:13 PM

Nfl season 50-46 -2.51u❌
Props season 2-5 -3.45u❌

Mr0ctober · 12-29-21, 02:14 PM

Week 17: (will have adds)
Ravens +4 (-108) BM (1.5u)
Washington +3.5 (-108) (1.5u)