TommyKarate NFL 2016

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  • BigdaddyQH
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-09
    • 19530

    #36
    The only solid wager I see this weekend is taking the Over in the Atlanta-Oakland game. Neither team has a defense and both teams can light up the score board. I got over 48 1/2 at the MGM Grand.
    Comment
    • twestacott
      SBR MVP
      • 01-02-14
      • 1044

      #37
      Bills is a solid play. Also like Lions
      Comment
      • Tommy Karate
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-12-13
        • 13445

        #38
        Sun 9.18

        (6u) Panthers -13.5
        (2u) Giants*
        (2u) Over Lions/Titans 47.5

        Comment
        • Tommy Karate
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-12-13
          • 13445

          #39
          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
          Sun 9.18

          (6u) Panthers -13.5
          (2u) Giants -3.5
          (2u) Over Lions/Titans 47.5

          (1u) Jaguars*
          (2u) Over Raiders/Falcons 48
          (4u) Over Giants/Saints 54
          (2u) Vikings*
          (1u) Colts*
          Comment
          • SBRMAN23
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-07-11
            • 6905

            #40
            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
            (1u) Jaguars*
            (2u) Over Raiders/Falcons*
            Love the Jags play GL TK
            Comment
            • StackinGreen
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-09-10
              • 12140

              #41
              I might have a few system plays at half here if you guys are interested. It's ~80% over the last 2 years ...
              Comment
              • StackinGreen
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-09-10
                • 12140

                #42
                Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                The only solid wager I see this weekend is taking the Over in the Atlanta-Oakland game. Neither team has a defense and both teams can light up the score board. I got over 48 1/2 at the MGM Grand.
                I see Oakland squeaking a win out; this looks like a solid play, BigD
                Comment
                • StackinGreen
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-09-10
                  • 12140

                  #43
                  Saints/Giants 2H under 27.5
                  Comment
                  • StackinGreen
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-09-10
                    • 12140

                    #44
                    Bengals/Steelers 2H under 24
                    Comment
                    • Tommy Karate
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-12-13
                      • 13445

                      #45
                      Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                      The only solid wager I see this weekend is taking the Over in the Atlanta-Oakland game. Neither team has a defense and both teams can light up the score board. I got over 48 1/2 at the MGM Grand.
                      nice call
                      Comment
                      • Tommy Karate
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-12-13
                        • 13445

                        #46
                        Mon 9.19

                        (2u) Eagles +3
                        Comment
                        • Tommy Karate
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-12-13
                          • 13445

                          #47
                          9/8 - 9/19: 12-10 (+14u)
                          Comment
                          • Capybara
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-17-08
                            • 11803

                            #48
                            TK, I just realized you never post prices. When you have losses, are you just deducting 1.10 per unit or do they all have different juice and you're just doing that accounting separately? Just curious. Nice job so far!
                            Comment
                            • StackinGreen
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-09-10
                              • 12140

                              #49
                              Week 3

                              Jacksonville +1.5, 5 units
                              Green Bay -7 (-115), 5 units
                              Cincinnati -3
                              (-125), 4 units
                              San Francisco +10, 3 units
                              Pittsburgh/Philadelphia over 46.5, 3 units
                              Oakland/Tennessee under
                              47, 3 units
                              Minnesota/Carolina under 43, 2 units

                              Teasing these as well. If anyone is interested, let me know.

                              ---
                              straights 0-0
                              2H 1-0-1, +5 units
                              Comment
                              • BigdaddyQH
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-13-09
                                • 19530

                                #50
                                Everyone is fading Cleveland because they are 0-2. What they forget is that their opponent this week, Miami, is also 0-2 and giving 10 points. That is too many points for a team that is offensively challenged to give to anyone.
                                Comment
                                • survive
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-11
                                  • 2388

                                  #51
                                  Miller over 82.5 rush yards (+100) and miller over 20.5 rush attempts (-110) are two props I like tonight TK
                                  Comment
                                  • KRIT
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-11-14
                                    • 12878

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by survive
                                    Miller over 82.5 rush yards (+100) and miller over 20.5 rush attempts (-110) are two props I like tonight TK
                                    Solid prop, definitely agree on the rush attempts. I knew he'd get heavy workloads, but not this much. O'Brien is just like, penetrate it, run him into the ground i don't care.
                                    Comment
                                    • survive
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-08-11
                                      • 2388

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by KRIT
                                      Solid prop, definitely agree on the rush attempts. I knew he'd get heavy workloads, but not this much. O'Brien is just like, penetrate it, run him into the ground i don't care.
                                      Yep he loves running the rock. Miami barely used miller so maybe he can handle the workload over the season. Anyways to add NE giving up 4.67 ypc and still missing Hightower. Should be a tight game so I don't see game flow as an issue either. Props are always risky but I'll take my chances with the favorable odds 5d is giving right now
                                      Comment
                                      • StackinGreen
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-09-10
                                        • 12140

                                        #54
                                        I'll jump on with you boys, you like rush attempts better than yardage for Lamar?
                                        Comment
                                        • survive
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-11
                                          • 2388

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                          I'll jump on with you boys, you like rush attempts better than yardage for Lamar?
                                          I think they will either both hit or both lose, so I put a little more on the yardage due to better odds
                                          Comment
                                          • Tommy Karate
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-12-13
                                            • 13445

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Capybara
                                            TK, I just realized you never post prices. When you have losses, are you just deducting 1.10 per unit or do they all have different juice and you're just doing that accounting separately? Just curious. Nice job so far!
                                            i pay 110 unless i note otherwise on a total
                                            Comment
                                            • survive
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-11
                                              • 2388

                                              #57
                                              Damn, my bad fellas. Only thing we needed in the 2h was a competitive game to cash easily and that certainly didn't happen
                                              Comment
                                              • JayLA
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-12
                                                • 7806

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by survive
                                                Damn, my bad fellas. Only thing we needed in the 2h was a competitive game to cash easily and that certainly didn't happen
                                                Close but We got it. Good call bro
                                                Comment
                                                • survive
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-08-11
                                                  • 2388

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by JayLA
                                                  Close but We got it. Good call bro
                                                  Damn, just missed on the yards too. Oh well, 1/2
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JayLA
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-11-12
                                                    • 7806

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by survive
                                                    Damn, just missed on the yards too. Oh well, 1/2
                                                    I got 22 attempts and 84 yards on nfl.com. b365 had 20.5 and 80.5 so I'm expecting two wins.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JayLA
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-12
                                                      • 7806

                                                      #61
                                                      Wtf, 80 now. That last run wasnt Miller? Fack
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                        • 13445

                                                        #62
                                                        Sun 9.25

                                                        (4u) Over Colts/SD 51
                                                        (1u) Dolphins -10
                                                        (2u) Packers -6
                                                        (2u) Over GB/Det 47.5
                                                        (2u) Under Panthers/Min 43
                                                        (1u) Jags +2.5
                                                        (2u) Over Raiders/Tenn 47
                                                        (4u) Cards -4.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • StackinGreen
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-09-10
                                                          • 12140

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                          Sun 9.25

                                                          (4u) Over Colts/SD 51
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Trivial
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-22-09
                                                            • 1328

                                                            #64
                                                            I love this total play on the Colts.

                                                            Also thinking of going with the Jets for the +3 .. Too many people on them, which is scaring me, but I think it is the right play.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • StackinGreen
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-09-10
                                                              • 12140

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                              Week 3

                                                              Jacksonville +1.5, 5 units
                                                              Green Bay -7 (-115), 5 units
                                                              Cincinnati -3
                                                              (-125), 4 units
                                                              San Francisco +10, 3 units
                                                              Pittsburgh/Philadelphia over 46.5, 3 units
                                                              Oakland/Tennessee under
                                                              47, 3 units
                                                              Minnesota/Carolina under 43, 2 units

                                                              Teasing these as well. If anyone is interested, let me know.

                                                              ---
                                                              straights 0-0
                                                              2H 1-0-1, +5 units

                                                              2H Green Bay pk, 3 units
                                                              2H Cincinnati -3, 2 units
                                                              2H Jacksonville -1, 1 unit
                                                              Comment
                                                              • StackinGreen
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-09-10
                                                                • 12140

                                                                #66
                                                                Let's get those Jags to come back, please
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tommy Karate
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-12-13
                                                                  • 13445

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                                                  Sun 9.25

                                                                  (4u) Over Colts/SD 51
                                                                  (1u) Dolphins -10
                                                                  (2u) Packers -6
                                                                  (2u) Over GB/Det 47.5
                                                                  (2u) Under Panthers/Min 43
                                                                  (1u) Jags +2.5
                                                                  (2u) Over Raiders/Tenn 47
                                                                  (4u) Cards -4.5
                                                                  (1u) Jets +3
                                                                  (1u) Steelers -3.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • StackinGreen
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                                    • 12140

                                                                    #68
                                                                    What a weird week
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tommy Karate
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-12-13
                                                                      • 13445

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Mon 9.26

                                                                      (2u) Saints -2.5/-130
                                                                      (4u) Over Saints/Falcons 54
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                                        • 13445

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Thur 9.29

                                                                        (2u) Dolphins +7.5
                                                                        Comment
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