Al McMordie: Bills +11½ at Colts

[SBRforum Staff]

Bills +11½ at Colts

Game Time: 11/12/2006 1:00:00 PM
By: Al McMordie

http://www.phoenixsports.com

After two big wins over the Broncos and Pats the last two weeks, look for a letdown by the Colts in Indianapolis this week when they host the Bills.

Last week, Buffalo won and covered as a 3½-point home favorite over Brett Favre and the Green Bay Packers, while Indianapolis had a big emotional win over its rival, the New England Patriots.

This is a perfect letdown spot for Indy and we'll play on the Bills who fall into a 60-34 ATS system. That angle plays on any road dog of eight or more points that is off a win and cover as a home favorite. Take the points with Buffalo.

Play: Bills +11½

[patswin]

Careful with this one, I believe McGhee is out for Buffalo

[nosuzieno]

bills banged up and memories of the thrashing they took at chi still linger...

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

Sorry bud, have to disagree with taking the Bills and the points... With McGahee and Josh Reed out with injuries, I look for the Colts to win this game by atleast 2 touchdowns... Still riding high after their last two wins, Dungy and Manning will have the team focused on taking things one game at a time. Colts win this one big...

[bigboydan]

I do like the Bills plus the points in this game myself.

[Illusion]

I also like the Bills, but will wait closer to gametime for a better number.

[Art Vandelay]

I'd love to see the Bills cover - The Prick has Indy!

[Checkerboard]

I like IND here, small. Their win streak ATS is at three since their bye, so normally I might go against them for value. but with the spread over ten at home, I'll go with them to keep the momentum going . . . IMO, the PS itself, is indicating that
the value is with IND. (Doesn't mean BUF won't cover, just means I see some value in playing IND).

GL everybody this weekend!

[primo_skillz]

i can imagine some big line movement by the time gametime rolls around

i am going to wait on this game myself before firing.