Okay, first and foremost, this is my first post here. And overall, I must say this has been a successful year betting on the NFL. In fact, it's been the third good year in a row. Obviously, I cannot prove that to you guys unless I copy and paste every bet I've made in three years, and that's not going to happen. This is, of course, my first post. I've posted on the regular site before and I have been reading this forum for a while honestly for laughs of some people's post. For example, the "if I lose, I will never post here again" threads. Anyway, here is why I believe 49ers over Packers is the best pick of the week.
Surely, I can keep telling you the 49ers will beat them until I become blue in my face, but without substance behind my prediction, it lacks credibility. This game reminds me of the Ravens vs. Patriots in 2009. The Patriots were predicted to win, despite the fact that Ravens were the more talented team. The main reason people were predicting the Patriots was because of the substantial difference in QB. Despite that, Ravens were better in almost every other facet of the game besides perhaps coaching. While I am not saying this game is going to be a blow-out, the 49ers are just the better team overall.
The match up that will determine this game will not be the Quarterback play. It will be decided at the line of scrimmage. According to Football Outsiders and my naked eye, the 49ers dominate the Packers in that aspect of the game. Packers offensive have struggled against great pass-rushing teams, and 49ers might be the best one in the league. They have several players that have versatile techniques to get to the QB. And unlike the Vikings game, Aaron Rodgers will not have WRS wide open while he's on the run. The 49ers rank 4th in passing yards given up and 4th against the rush.
The Packers rushing game is almost non-existent, which means the 49ers are going to expect pass at least 70 percent of the time. People, especially Packers, may not like to hear this, but they are a fairly soft team. Against teams I consider physical, they are 0-3 this year. They lost to the Niners, Seahawks, and Giants by a combined 38 points. The Packers are also only 4-4 on the road, while the 49ers are 6-1-1 at home.
The better Quarterback usually wins in this league. However, this will be an exception. The 49ers are the more physical team and the more balanced team. Expect the 49ers to be able to do a lot in this game, while the Packers find themselves one-dimensional. 28-17
Surely, I can keep telling you the 49ers will beat them until I become blue in my face, but without substance behind my prediction, it lacks credibility. This game reminds me of the Ravens vs. Patriots in 2009. The Patriots were predicted to win, despite the fact that Ravens were the more talented team. The main reason people were predicting the Patriots was because of the substantial difference in QB. Despite that, Ravens were better in almost every other facet of the game besides perhaps coaching. While I am not saying this game is going to be a blow-out, the 49ers are just the better team overall.
The match up that will determine this game will not be the Quarterback play. It will be decided at the line of scrimmage. According to Football Outsiders and my naked eye, the 49ers dominate the Packers in that aspect of the game. Packers offensive have struggled against great pass-rushing teams, and 49ers might be the best one in the league. They have several players that have versatile techniques to get to the QB. And unlike the Vikings game, Aaron Rodgers will not have WRS wide open while he's on the run. The 49ers rank 4th in passing yards given up and 4th against the rush.
The Packers rushing game is almost non-existent, which means the 49ers are going to expect pass at least 70 percent of the time. People, especially Packers, may not like to hear this, but they are a fairly soft team. Against teams I consider physical, they are 0-3 this year. They lost to the Niners, Seahawks, and Giants by a combined 38 points. The Packers are also only 4-4 on the road, while the 49ers are 6-1-1 at home.
The better Quarterback usually wins in this league. However, this will be an exception. The 49ers are the more physical team and the more balanced team. Expect the 49ers to be able to do a lot in this game, while the Packers find themselves one-dimensional. 28-17
