Advanced System Strategies NFL/CFB

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva Plays (Week 14) NFL
Based on early lines.

Teaser - ties push - NFL 7 pts -125
Pittsburgh Steelers -1 (-8)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -½ (-7½)
187.50/150

Teaser NFL 7 pts -130
Cleveland Browns 0 (-7)
Carolina Panthers +10½ (+3½)
195/150

Teaser- ties win -NFL 7 pts -133
Houston Texans +10½ (+3½)
Game Total OVER 44 (51)
199.50/150.00

Thanks CypherNautz
Points Awarded: CypherNautz gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Shiva Play (Week 14) NFL
Baltimore Ravens v Washington Redskins
Washington Redskins -120
150/125

A/I Over the Total Plays
Post #698

[ShivaBowl]

NFL (9/12/12)

**FL&A**

StL +2 or >

SD

TB

NYG

SF -10 or <

Indy

Oak L

Cinn -3.5 or <

Wash

Chi -2 or <

Atl

Sea -10.5 or <
**AI**

SD

Jax +2.5 or <

Atl -2.5 or <

TB

Cinn -3.5 or <

Arz +10.5 or >

NE

**PR**

Clev -6 or <

SD

Atl -3.5 or <

NYG

GB

Bump

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva I follow a lot of your plays and think you do a great job, I have one question for you. Before coming to this thread my original pick was to do a teaser (Steelers -1, Chiefs +14) now that I see your teaser with Steelers and Tampa Bay, I am leaning towards doing that. I also noticed you picked the Browns. Esentially my question to you is if you like my original teaser and if not, why are you against the chiefs today? Thank you

Thanks for the kind words Jkosack7
I think Cleveland is quietly playing good football right now.
Also, I like the line value in which I only need Cleveland to win it home.
Teasing up big dogs, have not been kind to me this year, while
+14 1/2 points may look good, it just hasn’t worked out.
Be aware, that the last two or three weeks have been unbelievable
for me $$$ and I am now overdue, to give some back $$$.
Thanks BOL

[JKosack7]

Thanks for the response, went ahead and sent in Steelers -1/Chiefs +14...hopefully we can have a solid middle here and both walk away winners. Cheers.

[cash$bro91]

Nice TD run by Kaepernick to make that MIA/SF game go over!

[WarEagle43]

Green Bay down to 48- is it still an over play? Thanks in advance. Just looked back, a NP

[werd2525]

3 games 3 overs...love it...great job shiva.

I too was wondering about the pack over...it is calling for light snow there...but these 2 teams should bust that over in a tornado

[ShivaBowl]

ST Pro Football Artificial Intelligence
Team Projected Points for 12/9/2012 (Week 14)

A/I Over the Total Plays
Never lay a 1/2-point, buy it down.
Plays based on early lines.
1 Unit Plays
Updated

NFL: Dec 9 1:00 PM ET Chargers @ Steelers 38 -120

NFL: Dec 9 1:00 PM ET Jets @ Jaguars 37 -120

NFL: Dec 9 4:05 PM ET Dolphins @ 49ers 38 -120

NFL: Dec 9 4:25 PM ET Cardinals @ Seahawks 36 -120

NFL: Dec 9 8:20 PM ET Lions @ Packers As of right now N/P

A/I Over The Total Plays 12/9/2012 (Week 14)
Went 3-1 yesterday +$270.00

NFL: Dec 9 1:00 PM ET Chargers @ Steelers 38 –120 WIN

NFL: Dec 9 1:00 PM ET Jets @ Jaguars 37 –120 Loss

NFL: Dec 9 4:05 PM ET Dolphins @ 49ers 38 –120 WIN

NFL: Dec 9 4:25 PM ET Cardinals @ Seahawks 36 –120 WIN

NFL: Dec 9 8:20 PM ET Lions @ Packers As of right now N/P

AI Record: CFB & NFL 2012
89-51-1
+$5,368.75
Post #666 and #677 are incorrect, +$4,098.75
I shaved 1000 off my record, should have been +$5,098.75

No AI total plays today.

Thanks franklee168
Points Awarded:
franklee168 gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

[bigelv]

Shiva great job yesterday. I went with you on the jets but should of stayed away like I originally planned. But still a positive day. Thanks for all the hard work and picks.

[CypherNautz]

Again, thank you Shiva!

[ShivaBowl]

College Football Artificial Intelligence
Team Projected Points 2012 BOWL GAMES
Never lay a 1/2-point, buy it down.
Based on early lines. 1.5 Units
A/I Over the Total Plays

New Mexico Bowl
Updated
Dec 15 1:00 PM ET Nevada Wolf Pack @ Arizona Wildcats 75 -110

[groovybrandone]

hey shiva, when you post something like you did above, does that mean youre already bought into the play, or is that something to watch for?

[HoulihansTX]

Bowl Season $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

[ShivaBowl]

hey shiva, when you post something like you did above, does that mean youre already bought into the play, or is that something to watch for?

Great question groovybrandone.


In this particular case I noticed a few upticks, off of 75 so I made it official play by updating it.

Now I could be completely wrong and the line goes lower.


Anytime you see an updated play it's official and I'm all ready on it.
But it's a good idea to track them yourself.
Plays that have not been updated, I usually put half on now, this way if it goes higher, I have something on it and if the line drops, I can buy more.
BOL

[groovybrandone]

thanks shiva, i read your thread a lot- just get confused with all the types of postings there are

[ShivaBowl]

Bowl Season $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Hey Houlihan's how do you like the line action on tonight's game?
It's enough to make anyone crazy.
I mean you just have to take points with Houston what the hell
as long as everything is okay with J.J. Watt?

[HoulihansTX]

Like under, and cannot bet against Brady @ home.

[ShivaBowl]

Teaser- ties win -NFL 7 pts -133
Houston Texans +10½ (+3½)
Game Total OVER 44 (51)
199.50/150.00.

I have this teaser going Tonight otherwise I would throw little bit on Houston tonight
Also I'm in Boston and it's not raining it's just wet up here but there's no rain

[ShivaBowl]

Like under, and cannot bet against Brady @ home.

You know there's something fishy with the money.
You would think the patriots would be a little heavier than -230 at home

[JKosack7]

Thinking they're keeping it lower to entice more people to take it?

[ShivaBowl]

Houston Texans v New England Patriots
Houston Texans 2nd Half
P/K 100/100

[chinoloco]

with you on Houston Texan 2nd half

[ShivaBowl]

Houston Texans v New England Patriots
Houston Texans 2nd Half
P/K 100/100

For my San Francisco guys.
You could go ahead and put lipstick on that pig.
It's a loss that I can easily forget, because I don't know what that was on the field tonight, It's just too hard to comprehend.
That I can possibly pick a team as horrible as the Texans looked last night.
This team wasn't ready for prime time last year and is definitely not ready this year.


Sorry Loco I should just Stayed on my original plan and played the over.
But I got caught up with a teaser and teasers will do that to you sometimes.
Bol

[ShivaBowl]

Dante Stallworth
Really Dante Stallworth
I had no idea this guy was still playing football and Houston let this guy go for a 50 + yard touchdown reception you got to be kidding me. This old man has not touched a football in over three months, Jesus Christ
Alright so I lied, it'll take me at least two days to get over the god awful Texans.
On to next weeks games.
Thanks for the props guys

[chinoloco]

That is ok Shiva, you've been on fire. on to next game. cant wait for bowl season. you killing them last year.

[ShivaBowl]

That is ok Shiva, you've been on fire. on to next game. cant wait for bowl season. you killing them last year.

Hey Loco thanks, I'll do my best.

I was thinking if Tommygunn had some extra time,
maybe could post the PR plays, for the bowl games?
You never know, the system may get hot.
Thanks and take care

[ShivaBowl]

No A/I Plays for Thursday night.


Shiva Plays (Week 15) NFL
Based on early lines.

Cincinnati Bengals v Philadelphia Eagles
Game Total UNDER 45½ -110
110/100

Shiva Record CFB & NFL 2012
Straight Plays
22-10 +$2,345.55
Teaser Plays
12-14 -$52.00
Bowl Games 1-0

[ShivaBowl]

Hey guys,
the line on tomorrow nights total looks like it's starting to trend lower,
you could still get in at 45 1/2 at -120
Of course I could be wrong and it goes to 50 tomorrow.
good luck

[franklee168]

Shiva....Is under still a play for tonight? Thanks!

[degengamble]

[Tommygunn]

Hey Loco thanks, I'll do my best.

I was thinking if Tommygunn had some extra time,
maybe could post the PR plays, for the bowl games?
You never know, the system may get hot.
Thanks and take care

Sure Shiva, I'll post Saturday's NCAAFB PR plays with tonight's NFL (if there is any). Then I'll post the rest of the Bowl Games PR plays on Saturday along with Sundays NFL.

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva....Is under still a play for tonight? Thanks!

Yeah we are on the play tonight. thanks for asking.
I just hope I don't need any red lipstick, because I used all I had on HoulihansTX: last night. In a good way
BOL


PR for the Bowls.
That's great news Tommygunn, thanks a lot, looking forward to it.

[HoulihansTX]

Love the under call. Threw it on a parlay.

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva Play (Week 15) NFL
I just think the Giants are too physical for Atlanta
and they need this win.
Also, I'm hearing that White's injury could be serious.


New York Giants v Atlanta Falcons
New York Giants +2 1/2 -120
$180.00/$150.00

[Tommygunn]

NFL PR (13/12/12)

no plays

*NCAAFB Bowl Games PR (15/12/12)

Nev

Toledo

* For games in neutral sites I am only using the overall PR and not adding 3 points for HFA.

** I will use H/A PR's and 3 point HFA if a team is playing in it's home state against a team that is not from that state, e.g. SDSU, UCF.

Does this sound like it makes sense Shiva?