NCAA Basketball with John Ryan

[Ncs87ftball]

John,

Please help me figure this out... Drexel comes out at -6.5 and moves to 8 while according to scoresandodds.com, 76% of people are betting on UMASS... A guy I bought picks from for this week (bc I was just in Vegas) is suggesting a bet on Drexel. Do you have a strong feeling in this game at the -8 spread??

Thanks,

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

John,

Please help me figure this out... Drexel comes out at -6.5 and moves to 8 while according to scoresandodds.com, 76% of people are betting on UMASS... A guy I bought picks from for this week (bc I was just in Vegas) is suggesting a bet on Drexel. Do you have a strong feeling in this game at the -8 spread??

Thanks,

I'm not John nor am i an expert, but when lines look fishy like that it usually isn't good. I'm pretty sure its called Reverse Line Movement (RLM). My buddy does college games n he leans Mass and Oregon tonight. Another buddy i work with said take Drexel. According to him Drexel is favorite by so much because of the way they have been blowing teams away. He said and there going to do it today which I'm still unsure of. However, your talking about some RLM going on in this match up and i must say it makes me like Drexel now.

[Ncs87ftball]

so I'm digging deep here...

Drexel beat N Iowa by 2 pts last game... I know, I bet on Drexel at -7... So I'm trying to figure out how good N Iowa is. Turns out, Drexel and N Iowa had a common opponent... St. Joes... Drexel got blown out 62-49 but that was back on Nov. 30th... N Iowa beat them by 2 on Wednesday before they played Drexel.


UMASS only lost to St. Bonny by 4 and just beat Seton Hall by 10 points (who I respect somewhat)... St. Bonnies beat the breaks off Xavier 67-56 before losing to Florida St. by 3. (FSU is pretty good, and thats what they do... play D, keep it close and win at the end by a few pts).

[MoreWaysThanOne]

RLM says take Drexel and most peoples gut tells them to take UMASS.

[dlunc3]

I apologize for butting in this late in the season... but I have been hearing some good things about this thread.. I noticed at the beginning the goal was to hit 60% ats for the year, and I was just curious how this has been coming along? I looked back a few pages but cant seem to find a ytd record or unit total. Does anyone have this information? Thanks and BOL tonight

[losemyloot]

Lang is on UMass so it is Drexel or nothing.

[Ncs87ftball]

Drexel 11-2 early on... for the record, I did not bet

[John Ryan]

I had nothing tonight. I had a 5* on the Miami Heat, but that is all. Remember that not making a wager based on a discplined approach is as important as making the correct ones when we do have a graded play. So, spend the night watching adn resist the temptation to make a wager just for the action

[walv89]

I had nothing tonight. I had a 5* on the Miami Heat, but that is all. Remember that not making a wager based on a discplined approach is as important as making the correct ones when we do have a graded play. So, spend the night watching adn resist the temptation to make a wager just for the action

a lesson that i badly need to learn. keep it up JR.

[All In 101]

Great thought John, Im sure we all could apply this lesson from time to time.

[John Ryan]

Looking at a 10* play on Butler tonight. Line is moving a bit too so if you agree, I would grab it now at -1 -110.

How about the Saints. I am very glad the punishment was issued. It has to stop to ensure the safety of the players and although I completely believe this was NOT an isolated event, it send s a big statement about how it will be handled in the future. Good job Goodell!

[Lazyboy311]

Looking at a 10* play on Butler tonight. Line is moving a bit too so if you agree, I would grab it now at -1 -110.

How about the Saints. I am very glad the punishment was issued. It has to stop to ensure the safety of the players and although I completely believe this was NOT an isolated event, it send s a big statement about how it will be handled in the future. Good job Goodell!

Love it. Already played that and MTSU -3.5. The latter is playing inspired ball after a very disappointing end to their season down in Hot Springs. BOL and thanks again for your great work John!!

[losemyloot]

Is Butler an official pick?

[Sacdaddy05]

What do you mean official pick. He posted it didn't he?

[losemyloot]

What do you mean official pick. He posted it didn't he?

He said "looking at"

[walv89]

He said "looking at"

you are "looking at" the official pick

[All In 101]

Definitely got screwed with Butler

[epr038]

you are "looking at" the official pick

Hahahahahaha! Nicely done walv

Damn he went 0-2 on two 10* tonight. I didn't catch this one til now. Better luck tomorrow J.R.

[IllyPhilly[DOC]]

Butler should have won. I stopped watching...

[epr038]

Agreed. It was a bad beat. They outplayed Penn damn near the entire game. I was watching but didn't know John listed it. I took a beating on the Sixers anyway. They just flat out sucked!

It's a new day. Some good games too!

[epr038]

My bad not Penn, Pitt

[jbizzle]

JR, any thoughts on Cin +7.5 or Louiy +5?

[nj412p82]

alright please give info on this teaser I know they are looked at as square losing bets but the odds on this are good considering the dogs playing good defense and the favs being so balanced! 160 to win 3.5k
wisc+8.5
cinnci+13
Ohst-2
flor+7.5
lou+10.5
msu pk
ind+14.5
bay pk
unc -5
kan-3

[Sacdaddy05]

john was also telling you to grab it while it was -1... anyways bulter choked down and lost..........

He said "looking at"

[chief42]

John, please check out my response in your Philadelphia Phillies page you started on your free picks site.http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball...eport-a-23950/. I don't know where you plan on responding but a pm or post on your baseball thread, if you started one, or a reply on that webpage would be appreciated.

[John Ryan]

Here is what we have

10 star OVER Florida/marquette 146
10 star Ohio state -7 1/2

[chief42]

Thanks for posting the numbers you get! GL tonight Mr. Ryan.

[John Ryan]

Thanks for posting the numbers you get! GL tonight Mr. Ryan.

No problem. Glad to do this and excellent question regarding the phillies.

[John Ryan]

What does everyone like tonight? Public is backing the dogs in the sweet 16 in most games, seems to always happen in this round each. Cinderella is hard not to want to win.

[Ncs87ftball]

I'm on Cuse -3, Oh St -7, Marquette -1, Hornets +5 and Bucks -4... I of course bought half points in alot of games...

[John Ryan]

Stanford is cruising. Don't believe Wisconsin has the three point perimeter shooting to come back.

[John Ryan]

I'm on Cuse -3, Oh St -7, Marquette -1, Hornets +5 and Bucks -4... I of course bought half points in alot of games...

The Florida Marquette game is going to be a good one. Florida will force the tempo. First team to 80 wins,

[Ncs87ftball]

great game... if my crystal ball told me Wiscy was going to make 14 3's... I would not have bet against them.

[Ncs87ftball]

and I agree with what you said about Marquette game... I like Marquette has all the seniors especially in the backcourt, plus Florida lost a Forward to injury a little while ago and Marquette still has the rebounding edge against Florida. Crowder HAS to stay out of foul trouble and rebound the ball.

[justwinthisone]

The Florida Marquette game is going to be a good one. Florida will force the tempo. First team to 80 wins,

Quick tempo but both teams only allow 66 ppg.....