NCAA Basketball with John Ryan

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  • coachkap
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-03-09
    • 746

    #386
    Originally posted by John Ryan
    5* graded play on New Mexico as they host San Diego State in a huge Mountain West Conference showdown set to tip at 10:00 PM ET. Both teams enter this fray with identical 15-2 records, but it is the San Diego State Aztecs getting the respect as the No. 16 ranked team in the nation. This certainly has rubbed the Lobos and their head coach Steve Alford in a constructive way as they have ripped off 13 straight wins after a mediocre 2-2 start. get the rest of the reprot on the site..

    Let me know your thoughts today on this game, and any others you think are good ones.
    IMHO.... the play is SDSU getting the 10.5 points.... I know "the PIT" is one of the toughest places to win a college basketball game, however, SDSU has won outright there in 3 out of their last 5 games played.... Plus, the SDSU program is perceived to be "down" after losing players from their sweet sixteen push last year and New Mexico is a very deep team which might be "over-valued"..... "My play OF THE DAY" and I've already placed my 3X wager on SAN DIEGO STATE UNIVERSITY.... GOOD LUCK
    Comment
    • justwinthisone
      SBR MVP
      • 09-27-10
      • 1604

      #387
      John what do u think of k state vs Texas? I would think k state rolls here but who knows...
      Comment
      • John Ryan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-20-10
        • 2428

        #388
        Originally posted by justwinthisone
        John what do u think of k state vs Texas? I would think k state rolls here but who knows...
        I agree, BUT I have s light lean on the Longhorns. In my opinion, it is a no-play or a little taste on Texas.
        Comment
        • John Ryan
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-10
          • 2428

          #389
          you know what that means with the public betting that much adn the line climbing.. big best are on new Mexico and we got this play early too.
          Comment
          • Lazyboy311
            SBR Sharp
            • 05-04-10
            • 409

            #390
            Originally posted by John Ryan
            you know what that means with the public betting that much adn the line climbing.. big best are on new Mexico and we got this play early too.
            I pay quite a bit of attention to RLM, but at the same time, wouldn't you have to say that SDSU catching 11 right now is quite a bit for two seemingly evenly matched teams coming off great defensive efforts? Also considering the Aztec's most lopsided loss was by 10 to a far superior (compared to NM) opponent in Baylor on the road?
            Comment
            • l@@kin4nedge
              SBR Rookie
              • 01-08-12
              • 15

              #391
              This fits into a nice methodology that I've been tracking on CBSC TV whereas the Fav is 7-0 when it lines up this way, so I've gotta think
              it's a good one. At least I've had a few of the previous seven already. TC
              Comment
              • zoo youk
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-23-11
                • 10701

                #392
                Like the Lobos play but i think first half may be the better play as the pit will be rocking as loud as ever its going to be impossible for sdsu to match that energy. The first ten min or so and sdsu could get in quite a hole, than possibly settle in 2nd half
                Comment
                • zoo youk
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-23-11
                  • 10701

                  #393
                  Got off to a 10 nothing start

                  Now 12 10

                  Ugh
                  Comment
                  • zoo youk
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-23-11
                    • 10701

                    #394
                    Xavier Thames playing game of his life
                    Comment
                    • JJJ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-03-11
                      • 2610

                      #395
                      Comment
                      • justwinthisone
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-27-10
                        • 1604

                        #396
                        Originally posted by John Ryan
                        I agree, BUT I have s light lean on the Longhorns. In my opinion, it is a no-play or a little taste on Texas.
                        I guess I didn't think k state would shoot 21 for 39 from the free throw line....what is that 54 percent? They could have won that game by dd if they did a little better from the charity stripe. Did they bring in Shaquille oneal to shoot those for them? I can't imagine they will go far in the tourney if they do that.......
                        Comment
                        • John Ryan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-20-10
                          • 2428

                          #397
                          Originally posted by zoo youk
                          Xavier Thames playing game of his life
                          yep, you were right on that. Out of his body experience.
                          Comment
                          • John Ryan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-20-10
                            • 2428

                            #398
                            42-42 with 5* Titans, 5-0 ATS with 10* Titans and 1-0 ATS with 20* Titans. That play was Temple plus eight defeating then No. 4 Duke 78-73.

                            entering Thursday night action
                            Comment
                            • BeardedTaco
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-18-11
                              • 647

                              #399
                              any cbb picks tonight?
                              Comment
                              • Zetterberg
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 01-18-12
                                • 12

                                #400
                                hello guys.. im from germany... what do you think about following 5 bets:

                                1 Loyola Maryland -4.5 Siena @ Loyola Maryland

                                2 Georgia Southern +14.5 Georgia Southern @ Furman

                                3 Wofford -2.5 Appalachian St @ Wofford

                                4 Davidson -3.5 Coll Of Charltn @ Davidson

                                5 Vanderbilt +11.0 Vanderbilt @ Alabama
                                Comment
                                • l@@kin4nedge
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 01-08-12
                                  • 15

                                  #401
                                  Sounds like a bunch of teasers Zetterberg. Welcome aboard.
                                  Teasers are always difficult to tie up correctly.
                                  I've only played one teaser in my life in Bkb, just recently had a winner anyway, and tied it to a FB game

                                  personally I like the other sides of 2 - 4 & 5, but my win % ordinarily isn't that good, so that bodes well
                                  for you my friend. Best of luck in your endeavors.

                                  Altho the best advice I can give you is to stay away from teasers. Its hard enough to pick one side, much
                                  less two and going in they always sound good, kinda like the lottery numbers I play sometimes. They sound
                                  like good numbers before the drawing. TC
                                  Comment
                                  • Zetterberg
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 01-18-12
                                    • 12

                                    #402
                                    Originally posted by l@@kin4nedge
                                    Sounds like a bunch of teasers Zetterberg. Welcome aboard.
                                    Teasers are always difficult to tie up correctly.
                                    I've only played one teaser in my life in Bkb, just recently had a winner anyway, and tied it to a FB game

                                    personally I like the other sides of 2 - 4 & 5, but my win % ordinarily isn't that good, so that bodes well
                                    for you my friend. Best of luck in your endeavors.

                                    Altho the best advice I can give you is to stay away from teasers. Its hard enough to pick one side, much
                                    less two and going in they always sound good, kinda like the lottery numbers I play sometimes. They sound
                                    like good numbers before the drawing. TC
                                    5/5 buddy... hole in one... i hit them 3 outta 5 times evry night
                                    Comment
                                    • l@@kin4nedge
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 01-08-12
                                      • 15

                                      #403
                                      good job Zetterberg. Can't ask for anything better than a perfect day.

                                      I told you it would bode well for you, altho straight up I was only wrong on Alabama, but didn't have a strong
                                      feel for that game and was leaning Vandy near tip off but couldn't pull the trigger myself on that game, altho in
                                      hindsight I now wish I had, but pulled thru a 4-1 day myself for a nice profit too.

                                      No offense meant when I suggested to stay with straight action, as that is what most of the experts I read
                                      recommend, But one thing I've learned in my years is stick with what you personally have figured out and what
                                      works for you -- as it is everyone's goal to cash the winners and I'd guess based on what you've indicated, you've
                                      got that figured out OK. Keep up your good work, and as I said welcome aboard. TC
                                      Comment
                                      • John Ryan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-20-10
                                        • 2428

                                        #404
                                        Nothing qualified for Friday Night, but there are several plays I am working on now for the Saturday card.

                                        I also released a RARE 20* NFC Titan Total play. You can find the research on the fornt page of the site.
                                        Comment
                                        • justwinthisone
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-27-10
                                          • 1604

                                          #405
                                          John when u make a play does any type of line movement influence your play? Is that one of your perimeters or is it considered at all? Is that built into any of your simulators? Just curious and thanks in advance
                                          Comment
                                          • John Ryan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-20-10
                                            • 2428

                                            #406
                                            5* Kentucky... sorry, we have been without internet for most of the morning due to a Northeast Snow storm.. you hopefully, saw the research on this game on the front page.. I will be back shortly with the other 5* graded plays on the Saturday card.
                                            Comment
                                            • John Ryan
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-20-10
                                              • 2428

                                              #407
                                              5* Florida -13 1/2 -110 playing LSU
                                              5* Texas A&M -3 -110 playing Oklahoma

                                              That is it. Three 5* Plays for Saturday BOL and thanks for all of your contributions
                                              Comment
                                              • chief42
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-06-10
                                                • 315

                                                #408
                                                Comment
                                                • John Ryan
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-20-10
                                                  • 2428

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by justwinthisone
                                                  John when u make a play does any type of line movement influence your play? Is that one of your perimeters or is it considered at all? Is that built into any of your simulators? Just curious and thanks in advance
                                                  Line movement has almost NEVER affected a decision to make a play.. and that is over 18 years. I think far too much attention is given to late line movement.. those movements could be smart money, but it be be smart money buying back opening line best in their favor too. So, that is just one example, but I generally do not get too caught up with the movement. I do analyze betting flows and the subsequent line movement. That can alert you to a possible situation, but i only use that analysis to support my simulator projections.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • justwinthisone
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-27-10
                                                    • 1604

                                                    #410
                                                    Originally posted by John Ryan

                                                    Line movement has almost NEVER affected a decision to make a play.. and that is over 18 years. I think far too much attention is given to late line movement.. those movements could be smart money, but it be be smart money buying back opening line best in their favor too. So, that is just one example, but I generally do not get too caught up with the movement. I do analyze betting flows and the subsequent line movement. That can alert you to a possible situation, but i only use that analysis to support my simulator projections.

                                                    Thanks....any thoughts on Kansas game, -3.5 looks very juicy
                                                    Comment
                                                    • John Ryan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-20-10
                                                      • 2428

                                                      #411
                                                      1-2 ATS yesterday. NO PLAYS even coe close to qualifying for the Sunday card.

                                                      I do have a 20* play 'under' 49ers/Giants with complete research on the front page of the site. BOL.

                                                      I will be releasing a 'Mail bag' thread starting Tuesday where posters can ask me questions and then the TOP-5 or so will be answered by me adn posted on the thread adn the site. Stay tuned for more info
                                                      Comment
                                                      • John Ryan
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-20-10
                                                        • 2428

                                                        #412
                                                        Started a new thread: Basically a mailbag where you can ask me any question about anything sports related...

                                                        Here is the link: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...l#post13405485
                                                        Comment
                                                        • John Ryan
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-20-10
                                                          • 2428

                                                          #413
                                                          baseds on the article on the front page released this morning, I do have a 5* Titan on Kansas tonight. Line I got was 18 1/2 -110..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • John Ryan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-20-10
                                                            • 2428

                                                            #414
                                                            ok. Three 5* plays for tonight.
                                                            Texas -8 -110 playing Iowa State
                                                            Purdue -5 -110 playing Michigan
                                                            Vanderbilt - - 8 1/2 -110 playing Tennessee.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • John Ryan
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-20-10
                                                              • 2428

                                                              #415
                                                              46-45 with 5* Titans, 5-0 ATS with 10* Titans and 1-0 ATS with 20* Titans. That play was Temple plus eight defeating then No. 4 Duke 78-73.

                                                              Ok for tonight's action (Wednesday)
                                                              5* graded play on Hofstra +4 -110 playing George Mason
                                                              5* NC Wilmington +4 -110 playing ODU
                                                              10* Rice +12 -110 playing Memphis

                                                              BOL and thanks
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BING23
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-28-10
                                                                • 134

                                                                #416
                                                                lets cash these tonite!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • panikpoker
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 10-25-11
                                                                  • 73

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Rice not looking good. Let's hope lakers 10* hits.. Bol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tzMoney
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 04-16-10
                                                                    • 331

                                                                    #418
                                                                    ouch bud. hope Rice can come back with 7 minutes left in Garbage Time...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JJJ
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-03-11
                                                                      • 2610

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JJJ
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-03-11
                                                                        • 2610

                                                                        #420
                                                                        John: how is your record 46-45 with 5 star plays there is no way on 1-19 you said you were 42-42 with 5 star plays since than you have gone 2-5 entering todays plays lost both 2 tonight so thats 2-7 record should be updated as 48-52 with 5 star plays only 2 you have won since saying you were 42-42 was texas a and m and vandy??? record should be 48-52 updated
                                                                        Comment
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