Big East Monday 12-8 [60%] + 4.05 units

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Big East Monday 12-8 [60%] + 4.05 units
    MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES 20-6 @ VILLANOVA WILDCATS 17-9
    February 25, 7:00 PM | Villanova Pavilion

    The only Big East matchup on Monday Night is going to be a good one. Marquette is on a roll right now winning 4 straight and playing their best basketball of the season. During the streak they are out scoring their opponets by 20 points per game. Now granted besides Pittsburgh it was a favorable schedule but reguardless this team is clicking right now. They are 10-5 in conference and only 1 game out for the 4th spot, which is the cut off for receiving a bye in the first round of the Big East Tourney.

    The Biggest reason for their success is the play for Lazar Hayward. This team came into the season very guard heavy but really needing one more scorer from the forward poistion. Well, they called and he answered by leading the team in scoring. He is very tough to defend because he can shoot for the perimiter and also take it to the hoop. Their other big man is Ousmane Barro and he has stepped up as of late. He does the dirty work underneath and his defense is improving.

    The Golden Eagles as a team have turned it up a notch on the defensive end since letting Louisville and Notre Dame score at will on them. They are only giving up 57.5 ppg during their current streak while putting up 78 themselves. Their perimiter defense is really strong and its lead by Jerel McNeal who is a nationally known defender. He has very quick hands and causes alot of deflections. Dominic James is their leader and PG. He also is a hard worker on defense along w/ their 3rd guard Welsey Matthews. Tom Crean is finally getting his guys to understand the importance of team defense. All three of their starting guards also provide scoring threats on the other end. McNeal is fearless attacking the basket and has a nice midrange game. You all know about DJ he doesn't shoot it well from distance but his quickness allows him to slip by defenders giving him easy layups. He makes everybody better on the floor. Dan Fitzgerald is their 6th man and gives them more perimiter play.

    The wildcats are also at their best right now. They have won 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5. Their lone loss was against Georgetown and the refs didn't even give them an chance in OT when they called a foul w/ 0.1 tics left in regulation.

    Scottie Reynolds just continues to impress, this guy is relentless and wants the ball in crunch time. I've raved about this kid in previous write ups, but that is not going to stop me from doing it here as well. He doesn't understand the concept of range because he can shoot from all over the court. He can attack the basket and brings the intensity that reminds me of a young Allen Iverson. Corey Fisher rounds out the backcourt and does a nice job scoring the ball avg 10ppg. Corey Stokes is a very streaky shooter who can give some quality minutes in the backcourt as well. They rotate several players down low Dante Cunningham, Shane Clark, and Antonio Pena. Also Casiem Drummond but im not sure if he is playing due to a recent injury.

    The Wildcats are 7-7 in conference w/ 4 games to play. After this they travel to Louisville and round out their season @ home against South Florida and on the road @ Providence. They probaly have to get to 10 wins in the conference that would put them at 20-10 (10-8) and win a game or two in the tournament to get an atlarge bid. That still might not be enough.

    Marquette's motivation is a chance for a bye in the tournament. They have to continue this streak if they want any chance of earning that free pass.

    It's a very tough task that Coach Wright is asking of his players. To beat marquette after beating UConn and WVU.

    This is a tough matchup to call because both teams are firing on all cylinders right now. Im going with the Golden Eagles as they are the more talented team, and I just don't see nova having the ablitity on defense to stop their scoring. I think Nova hangs around for 35 minutes or so, but Marquette pulls it out when nova can't keep up.

    Score Prediction: Marquette 77 - Villanova 70

    Plays
    Marquette -1
    Over 142
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    Total is posted at 142.5 at my book. Not sure about this play yet. I'm leaning to Nova. They're hot.
    Comment
    • diogee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-11-08
      • 19477

      #3
      Nice write-up LK1...I saw this game going about 145 so was leaning the over as well. Good luck tomorrow.
      Comment
      • Quebb Diesel
        SBR MVP
        • 01-26-08
        • 3045

        #4
        yeah im leaning towards nova too...they are finally getting back on track after that losing skid a few weeks ago...i mean they just beat uconn at home and uconn brought a lot harder match up problems than marquette will tomorrow
        Comment
        • buztah
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-07
          • 7470

          #5
          Marquette by DD.
          Comment
          • Quebb Diesel
            SBR MVP
            • 01-26-08
            • 3045

            #6
            Originally posted by buztah
            Marquette by DD.
            why do ya think they will blow them out by DD? theyve (nova) beaten quality big east teams at home recently w/ uconn, wvu, and seton...i think the home court will win this game
            Comment
            • buztah
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-23-07
              • 7470

              #7
              Quebb, I've watched them play and don't think Nova will keep up. See Quette pulling away in the final 5 mins or so.
              Comment
              • MoneySportsGuy
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-07
                • 4891

                #8
                I like Marquette as well in this game. Nice writeup Louisville, always do a great job and appreciate the time and effort you put into it.
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Thanks fellas, lets cash this one.
                  Comment
                  • moneyline
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-18-08
                    • 1748

                    #10
                    Forgot to mention Marquette is 5-4 on the road (with their only impressive win coming against WI at the beginning of the season) and Villanova is 11-2 at home ...

                    Just something else to consider ...
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      Yea Im aware of the records, but the timing of this game favors marquette. Nova coming off a really tough/emotional game against UConn, and Marquette coming off an easy 30 point blow out.
                      Comment
                      • TPowell
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-21-08
                        • 18842

                        #12
                        finally! I'm gonna have to go against you tonight. Is Scotty playing tonight? I saw where he was probable against West Virginia and didnt know wtf was going on. I just dont trust Marquette on the road. At home, I'll take the Golden Eagles minus at least 5, but not at the Pavillion
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #13
                          Scottie is playing.
                          Comment
                          • TPowell
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 18842

                            #14
                            what kind of old information was that **** lol? Scotty probable against West Virginia? Anyways that got me worried for a second
                            Comment
                            • awhitejackson
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-15-07
                              • 2265

                              #15
                              Definately on Marquette with you here
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #16
                                awhite,

                                nice to see your w/ me on this one. Gl on the rest of your plays.

                                By the way, It wasn't the same when you took your WVU avatar away. Nice to see it back.
                                Comment
                                • MoneySportsGuy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-07
                                  • 4891

                                  #17
                                  awhite, glad your on board as well with Marquette.

                                  Louisville, glad you got Marquette as well I think this is a solid play and think this is game I can turn my streak around!

                                  Marquette -1.5 - lets cash this guys!
                                  Comment
                                  • diogee
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-11-08
                                    • 19477

                                    #18
                                    I am staying far far away from this one...I would lean Marq but Nova has been very solid lately.
                                    Comment
                                    • 5 star bomb
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-12-07
                                      • 5370

                                      #19
                                      I like Marquette also but Reynolds scares the shit out of me. Lets get this one Lkid.... Great write-up by the way
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        Thanks 5 star, yea I know he is one of the scariest players to bet against. I have to hold my breathe every time he shoots the ball. Im hoping Tom Crean allows Jerel McNeal to shadow him all night long. McNeal is a harrassing defender who could contain scottie, If Coach Crean plays a box and 1 tonight. I hope im not screaming at the tv tonight, telling him how to coach.
                                        Comment
                                        • MoneySportsGuy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-07
                                          • 4891

                                          #21
                                          What makes you guys think this is going so much over 142? For some reason first time I looked at this, I saw this game being under 142....but that was just first instinct.

                                          Not sure if going to play the over/under or not.

                                          Kinda sucks I was submitting my Marquette -1.5 had to do something, came back and tried to do it, had to relogin into my book and then when it was offered it jumped to -2 but still got it. So lets hope they win by 4
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #22
                                            1st Half UNDER @ 66.
                                            Comment
                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-17-07
                                              • 52143

                                              #23
                                              The game is going just about as I thought it would. Im happy w/ the first half. Thought it would be 3-5 point lead but that is ok. Its a game of runs, and nova has to score to cover the over anyway, so its all good. Look for lazar haywood to get more touches and more points in transition in the 2nd half.
                                              Comment
                                              • awhitejackson
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-15-07
                                                • 2265

                                                #24
                                                Just got in and Im glad with the ways things are lookin.. Im on KState with you lville... Money sports did you take anyone in KState game??? GL
                                                Comment
                                                • MoneySportsGuy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-09-07
                                                  • 4891

                                                  #25
                                                  goodjob on the win guys I got Marquette as well...

                                                  awhite, nope didnt get home in time to wager the k state one...

                                                  I put a little on San Diego and thinking about Portland not sure if going to do that.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                    • 52143

                                                    #26
                                                    congrats to those that followed.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #27
                                                      NCAABB (sides) 25-15 [62.5%] +9.8 units
                                                      NCAABB (totals) 8-5 [61.5%] +2.4 units
                                                      NCAABB (MLp) 12-19 [38.7%] -1.9 units
                                                      Big East 14-8 [63.6%] +6.05 units
                                                      NBA (sides) 7-3 [70.0%] +3.7 units
                                                      NBA (totals) 1-3 [25%] -2.3 units
                                                      NBA (MLp) 1-2 [33%] -1 units
                                                      NHL (sides) 0-1 [0%] -1.1 units
                                                      NHL (MLp) 0-1 [0%] -1 units
                                                      Overall 54-49 [52.5%] + 8.5 units
                                                      (Horses 1-4 -0.3 units)
                                                      __________________

                                                      I should just stick to the Big East. Its sickning only being up 8.5 units and 6.05 of them are from just the Big East! Im done w/ the NBA and NHL and ML Parlays that sh*t is killing me. I should just stick to what I know. I was all over that marquette game and there is no reason that I should be losing my money on the wack ass NBA or NHL! Not very happy right now!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MoneySportsGuy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-07
                                                        • 4891

                                                        #28
                                                        man I never bet the NHL and only do NBA games as far as totals or spreads with teasers and parlays but NBA looks alot more stable not sure though just my view from what I have seen
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #29
                                                          I thought volume betting was the way to go, because I felt Like I could pick 55% winners. Now Im thinking of raising my unit size and spot betting, its not as entertaining but I don't know. Im just getting frustrated right now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MoneySportsGuy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-09-07
                                                            • 4891

                                                            #30
                                                            be careful though, its tough to decide. Crazy I started betting everyday last month my bets were normally $25 minimum and up to $100 I won 3X my deposit.

                                                            then I went to smaller units betting $20, sometimes even $10 and seems everytime the last 2 weeks I would triple up or double up a bet, that bet would lose and I would win $10 and lose $40 or $60. When your doing that with bunch of plays each day that crap adds up after 5 days yeesh.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #31
                                                              I hear ya, I just feel like Im pinpointing games and crushing them. But then, Im just giving that money back on games like Texas/ Kansas St that Im ify about and still want action because after 9:00p there is nothing to do! Im still learning but I should just stick to what i know! Im not maximizing profits right now, and its becoming too much entertainment then business. Its tough because Im in it for the excitment but I've reached a point where I could really make it a business venture.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MoneySportsGuy
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-09-07
                                                                • 4891

                                                                #32
                                                                Man I completely understand what your saying, same way for me I mean last month was sick I would sit here cap games myself I would go 9-2 10-3 all these runs then I would over analyze or look at too many posts about somethign and let that sway me, then I would be like well might as well and would put money on it for action without doing research and that hammered me crazy.

                                                                Love the entertainment as well but I think if smart about money management, going to start tracking everything similar how you do it, keep track of it and then just smart money management and start tripling up a deposit then cashing out at least 2X the amount then playing with rest, etc.

                                                                If you want PM me sometime we can throw around other ideas or what not.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • imgv94
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-16-05
                                                                  • 17192

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Nice job.. Big East is you my brother
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bullman
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 02-19-08
                                                                    • 15

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Great call on the Marquette win. Nice writeup. That's my problem too. I go with my one or two picks that I really like and then I look for reasons to bet on "iffy" games.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Thanks fellas, Im sticking to my money manangement system. I was just venting a little bit last night after I had a few drinks. Going to look at the board now.
                                                                      Comment
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