Bball 🎁 ‘22-‘23

[flakeandbake]

Thurs 11/17:

Asu +7.5 -112 (fd): $700
asu ml +280 (fd): $125
asu 1h +4.5 -125 (pb): $250
asu 1h +3.5 -102 (fd): $102
ash 1h ml +198 (fd): $50

[flakeandbake]

Michigan +11.5 Live -120 (FD): $110
Michigan ML Live +560 (FD): $20

46-28 at half time. Going for a small middle. And cover my ass a bit

[flakeandbake]

Had a convo before the game that I wouldn’t go for the middle (just did the same thing with Texas last night). But I always do. And I always wonder if there’s someone with the balls to ride these lines all the way out to -20 (but I assume it’s just the house at that point).

Only gifts. And will call out once I stop seeing them.

[flakeandbake]

Fri 11/18:

Xavier +3.5 -110 (PB): $700
Xavier ML +130 (PB): $200

I will consider whether or not to bet 1st half when more information is available

[flakeandbake]

Xavier +1.5 1H -120 (FD) $200
Xavier ML 1H +112 (FD) $50

[flakeandbake]

The 1 thing I’ll say is Xavier is an average team at best (and Indiana is ok). My only issue with this is that although the ticket % aligns, I know there are people chomping at the bit to hop on Xavier (that was the issue with them last year and I see people hoping right back on).

[flakeandbake]

Fri 11/18: (Play #2)

UCF +6 -110 (PB) $330
UCF +3.5 1H (PB) $125
UCF ML +190 (PB) $100

[flakeandbake]

Fri 11/18: (Plays #3-4)


Nova +6.5 -110 (FD) $220
Nova +3.5 1H -114 (FD) $220
Nova ML +235 (FD) $50

FSU +7.5 -115 (FD) $220
FSU +3.5 -105 (FD) $220
FSU ML +245 (FD) $50

[flakeandbake]

Was skeptical of Nova when the announcers in the Xavier/Indiana game felt the need to mention MSU about 3x during the game. Was already in on it though and wouldn’t have changed anything either way

[flakeandbake]

Saturday 11/19:

St Louis ML -175 (DK) $300

Miami U ML -137 (FD) $500

Parlay - St Louis ML, Providence ML +169 (DK) $50

Too early to see what % tickets are being bet on each side yet.

1st H isn’t up yet either. May place these in the morning

50 parlay: St Louis 1H ML, Miami 1H ML

50 parlay: St Louis 1H ML, Miami ML for the game

50 parlay: St Louis ML for the game, Miami 1H ML

[flakeandbake]

The 1 thing I’ll say is Xavier is an average team at best (and Indiana is ok). My only issue with this is that although the ticket % aligns, I know there are people chomping at the bit to hop on Xavier (that was the issue with them last year and I see people hoping right back on).

The same guy who was on Xavier tonight is also on St Louis tomorrow. That’s really my only issue, but if St Louis wins it’ll be a barn burner

I’ll be looking at these too:

Maryland +4.5 (FD) $60
Tease/Parlay - Maryland +10.5 & Providence +8.5 (DK) $60

[flakeandbake]

Saturday 11/19: (added the parlays)

Parlay - St Louis ML 1H, Providence ML 1H +175 (DK) $50

Parlay - St Louis ML, Miami ML 1H +175 (DK) $100

[flakeandbake]

Also.. some stats

54% of bettors on Maryland spread
73% of betters Slu ML

The line move Slu-1.5 to -4.5 back to -2.5 on FD

I typically do not bet that early on a game for these reasons. So this game is a straight dice role

[flakeandbake]

Saturday 11/19: (added a middle)

Providence +10.5 Live -118 (FD) $118

[flakeandbake]

Added:

Providence +8.5 -115 Live (FD) $115

[flakeandbake]

Sunday 11/20: (Plays #1-3)

Illinois ML -110 (PB) $150 3:00PM

Providence +3.5 -115 (PB) $150 3:30PM

UCLA +2.5 -110 (DK) $300 5:30PM
UCLA ML +120 (DK) $100
UCLA 1H +1.5 -130 (PB) $130