11/29 NCAA hoops plays and discussion thread!!

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1
    11/29 NCAA hoops plays and discussion thread!!
    As always I appreciate everyone who participates which imo the reason this a great daily thread! Like I always say, I'm just the trigger man, without ya'll helping push the discussion the thread wouldn't be nearly as informative or worth reading!!

    Another solid day yesterday as we starting to gain a little consistency with 3 straight winning days to bring record to 46-30 overall.

    Bare with me I'm at dr office with my woman so doing everything from my phone at the moment. Per usual just wanted to get thread up so you guys ahead of me can start discussing, I'll add where I can and gonna start capping some games and posting as I find plays.. look forward to hearing what ya'll have thus far, at 1st glance looks like pretty good card!!

    Go go go go
  • GPrime19
    SBR MVP
    • 11-03-17
    • 1276

    #2
    I see LSU as almost being a carbon copy to your Cal play yesterday.. interested to see if you feel the same.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      Originally posted by GPrime19
      I see LSU as almost being a carbon copy to your Cal play yesterday.. interested to see if you feel the same.
      I'll jump right to that one since I'm just doing some random stuff from phone till I get home..

      Kinda proud of myself for the cal play, as we talked about earlier playing dd favs is way out of my comfort zone but something I'm intent on changing as obviously there just as much opportunity to find value on the favs. Clearly I'm not one to like passing on perceived value!! Lol.,

      actually she just came out of doctor office so give me 15 minutes to get home and I'll start attacking card!!
      Comment
      • Wesley
        SBR MVP
        • 10-06-09
        • 1734

        #4
        Why is Evansville +7 already? The Spread started at +3...4 points is a big movement...any reasons for it?
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Originally posted by Wesley
          Why is Evansville +7 already? The Spread started at +3...4 points is a big movement...any reasons for it?
          Without looking im fairly confident it one of 2 things, either injuries or if none then most likely a syndicate play.
          Comment
          • Wesley
            SBR MVP
            • 10-06-09
            • 1734

            #6
            What do you think about Rider 1H +8 banker?
            Comment
            • HeeluvaGuy
              SBR MVP
              • 02-15-14
              • 3449

              #7
              Originally posted by Wesley
              Why is Evansville +7 already? The Spread started at +3...4 points is a big movement...any reasons for it?
              Ryan Taylor is out up to 6 weeks.
              Comment
              • Louisvillekid1
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-17-07
                • 52143

                #8
                I wrote on a few in my thread I’ll share here

                801 SUU +7 $200

                -They played a tougher schedule -They take better care of the ball-They are much more experienced-They have a better inside game vs a bottom 50 defense -They shoot it better from the line

                725 Columbia +11 $200

                Uconn long flight back from Oregon trip off 2 blow outs losses - Gilbert , Cobb, & Larrier all banged up -lions been local and played one off toughest schedules -will not be intimidated -Columbia should make several 3 having strong shooters vs a banged up already bad Uconn permitter defense-Uconn scores a big chunk from the line and lions don’t foul much -Uconn obv edge inside - I just couldn’t decide if 1h was better - feel free to split if you prefer

                781 Mercer +11 -115 $200

                But they are a very experienced team who could easily give the young vols everything they want and more -Tenny thrives off TO’s and this experience values every position-they had perfect warm game after the Virginia trip, while just back from Bahamas -Tenny fouls a ton trying to get turnovers and Mercer not only gets to the line, but capitalizing when they do The question mark is the health of Ria’n Holland , he is listed as questionable currently every where I look(if you find some info lmk)

                803 No Rado +6 -115 $100

                They meet uc Davis for the second time Lost 15 @ Home but it was uc Davis opener and no Rado had just played Rado So uc Davis had video on them Also since then, the bears have rattled off 5 str8 However books are sharp here with the line Lose by @ Home 2 weeks ago and and only getting 5 on road

                780 Coastal Carolina -8 $100

                3rd Str8 road game this week for Wofford -coastal week prep for the neighbors down the road -Chanticleers should destroy them on the glass -it’s gonna be a 3 point shooting contest -think the fresher legs will benefit us a lot and being @ home combine with o rebounds kick outs
                Comment
                • Wesley
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-06-09
                  • 1734

                  #9
                  Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                  Ryan Taylor is out up to 6 weeks.
                  thanks
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Wow you guys all way ahead of me! I'm home now so will start on card and try to answer/respond to any questions, just bare with me and don't take it as me ignoring anyone as I try to catch up!
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      LK bringing it, I love it!!
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        Originally posted by GPrime19
                        I see LSU as almost being a carbon copy to your Cal play yesterday.. interested to see if you feel the same.
                        I would mostly agree, only thing I see that would concern me a little or maybe I should say reason I liked cal a little better is lsu defensive numbers are really poor and tenn Martin has played some competitive road games unlike cal's opponent yesterday.

                        Another thing, I don't think the perception of lsu is as poor as cal. I see a high percentage of bets on the tigers while yesterday I actually saw nobody interested in cal and bets seemed fairly split.
                        Comment
                        • DOM_Toretto
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-28-13
                          • 9035

                          #13
                          Banker, I woke up thinking I liked Miami today but now I’m thinking Minnesota. Your logic would probably favor the battle tested gophers at home vs the canes who been eating cupcakes and now have their first real opponent and first road test...?
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                            Banker, I woke up thinking I liked Miami today but now I’m thinking Minnesota. Your logic would probably favor the battle tested gophers at home vs the canes who been eating cupcakes and now have their first real opponent and first road test...?
                            Let me look,,off top of my head I do seem to recall canes have played a road game tho, think they went to laSalle correct? I remember cause laSalle covered basically whole game then lost the cover by a point at the end (guess who I was on? Lol).. my 1st thought when thinking bout gophers is bama came back on them only playing 3 fukkin guys!! Craziest thing I've ever seen!!
                            Comment
                            • Louisvillekid1
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-17-07
                              • 52143

                              #15
                              Minny or pass imo

                              but better options
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                Guys I'm gonna just go down card game by game and when I get to one I see a question already in thread about I will do my best to answer ok?

                                Trying to answer questions while I'm in middle of my process has me running around like chicken with his head cut off.. just bare with me and I'll get to any questions as I get to that game on card.. please don't take it as me ignoring ya, I'll get to them all I'm just way behind on card and if I don't stick with my process I tend to make mistakes!!
                                Comment
                                • YOUNGBUCK
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-16-10
                                  • 6510

                                  #17
                                  Like the under there in Minny
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Mercer +10.5/1st half +6... splitting half and game here. Mercer a solid experienced club and vols 1st game off the island tourney. Mercer doesn't turn the ball over and do a good job getting to the charity stripe. As long as they can hold their own on the glass I think they can hang in this game..
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Just realized you have Mercer on your card as well lk, obviously I agree.. havnt looked at Columbia yet but I've always liked backing them.
                                      Comment
                                      • 2ndchance
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-14-17
                                        • 1056

                                        #20
                                        I am taking unlv and Michigan got them at +11 this morning think it's jus little to much points for a good team like Michigan.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Pen st -1.5... I said this about Wolfpack when we played uni vs them last week and I'll say it again. I truely feel the only way NCst has success scoring is when they can get out in transition off turnovers, bad shots, etc, when you play smart ball and force them into a half court game they struggle creating offense. I think psu plays smart enough not taking a lot of jumpers and pretty sound ball handling that they can force them into a half court game and psu plays strong half court defense. I was impressed with these guys when we played AM vs them, we cashed that game but thought psu represented themselves well.
                                          Comment
                                          • DnTSports
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-29-17
                                            • 15

                                            #22
                                            2daBank.... I am obviously new to the forum but not new to sports betting... However I have been in a recent funk and before I read this post and had already locked in 1 (1H Bet) and 1 (1H Parlay).... Can you tell me what you think?

                                            1H Bet (Tennessee Vol's -6) = I know you said you were on Mercer.... So I guess that one is out of the question

                                            1H Parlay (Auburn -2 / Troy -6 / Buffalo -1) Can you tell me what you think about these games?

                                            Kinda been in a funk and need all the help I can get today to get in the +!
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2ndchance
                                              I am taking unlv and Michigan got them at +11 this morning think it's jus little to much points for a good team like Michigan.
                                              I don't like unlv at all, 1st game they stepping away from comforts of the desert and they another of these teams that been feasting on cupcakes. It generally a huge culture shock when a uptempo team like them faces off with uni the ultimate grinders, and the running rebs are very young, I have a hard time believing they deal well with the style of game uni will drag them into.

                                              Rebs also have a great deal of their offensive success on easy put backs and that not happening against a well coached uni team that will put a body on them on every rebound! Rebs also get to the ft line a great deal but again a well coached team like uni doesn't give up a lot of trips to the charity stripe.,, I actually think uni wins this game by 6-8 points to be honest. Who knows tho I could be wrong but think the battle tested panthers with a great head coach will be a play for me.

                                              I haven't gotten to Michigan/unc yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by DnTSports
                                                2daBank.... I am obviously new to the forum but not new to sports betting... However I have been in a recent funk and before I read this post and had already locked in 1 (1H Bet) and 1 (1H Parlay).... Can you tell me what you think?

                                                1H Bet (Tennessee Vol's -6) = I know you said you were on Mercer.... So I guess that one is out of the question

                                                1H Parlay (Auburn -2 / Troy -6 / Buffalo -1) Can you tell me what you think about these games?

                                                Kinda been in a funk and need all the help I can get today to get in the +!
                                                Well 1st advice I can give ya to help out is stop with the parlays!! I mean they fun and all and sure I play some with beer money but it not the way to have sustained success at this!

                                                Far as games themselves I was thinking buffalo when I started capping it but there were enough things I didn't like to keep me away. Namely a road team that commits a lot of fouls and doesn't defend the perimeter very well so pass for me.

                                                Auburn I just can't justify laying points on the road with them yet as they havnt done enough vs anyone for me to have confidence in them. Another pass.

                                                Havnt looked at Troy yet.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Wesley
                                                  What do you think about Rider 1H +8 banker?
                                                  I don't really see anything that sticks out to want to play them. Doesn't mean they can't or won't cover but honestly think the line move down rather odd as I could Provo laying another beat down here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                    • 52143

                                                    #26
                                                    I have no idea why this UNLV/uni total has went up 5 points , and why UNI is only -1?

                                                    2 of the best FTA/FGA allowed per possessions in the nation (granted UNLV, has played 344th weakest schedule, but uni has played 42)

                                                    Completely contrasting styles , and UNLV first game outta Vegas, points to a struggle

                                                    Uni also better rebounding team

                                                    Both are pretty brutal from the strike And UNLV defense stars obv aren’t accurate

                                                    This is just odd I have to take It

                                                    746 UNI -1 $100

                                                    1746 UNLV/UNI 1h u67 $100
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      William and Mary -2... Marshall playing attrocious 3 point defense. Not good against a team that chucks treys like bill and Mary
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DnTSports
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-29-17
                                                        • 15

                                                        #28
                                                        LoisvilleKid1 - I think this will be my big play of the day..... UNI is very well coached and as you stated UNLV first true away game with freshmen....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • YOUNGBUCK
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-16-10
                                                          • 6510

                                                          #29
                                                          How is East Tenny St only -1 ???
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                            I have no idea why this UNLV/uni total has went up 5 points , and why UNI is only -1?

                                                            2 of the best FTA/FGA allowed per possessions in the nation (granted UNLV, has played 344th weakest schedule, but uni has played 42)

                                                            Completely contrasting styles , and UNLV first game outta Vegas, points to a struggle

                                                            Uni also better rebounding team

                                                            Both are pretty brutal from the strike And UNLV defense stars obv aren’t accurate

                                                            This is just odd I have to take It

                                                            746 UNI -1 $100

                                                            1746 UNLV/UNI 1h u67 $100
                                                            Yea bro I don't get it either. Unc was the only team that uni couldn't slow down and heels far more talented than rebs and that was on the road.. panthers grinded ncst to a halt who I think a much better comparison. Kenpom has 137 so I dunno, ppl just seeing rebs point totals and assuming that a low total?? I'd be shocked if this game wasn't played on uni's terms at home..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • YOUNGBUCK
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-16-10
                                                              • 6510

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              William and Mary -2... Marshall playing attrocious 3 point defense. Not good against a team that chucks treys like bill and Mary
                                                              I’m on this one Banker
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BreesIsTheGOAT
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 08-26-17
                                                                • 822

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                                I have no idea why this UNLV/uni total has went up 5 points , and why UNI is only -1?

                                                                2 of the best FTA/FGA allowed per possessions in the nation (granted UNLV, has played 344th weakest schedule, but uni has played 42)

                                                                Completely contrasting styles , and UNLV first game outta Vegas, points to a struggle

                                                                Uni also better rebounding team

                                                                Both are pretty brutal from the strike And UNLV defense stars obv aren’t accurate

                                                                This is just odd I have to take It

                                                                746 UNI -1 $100

                                                                1746 UNLV/UNI 1h u67 $100
                                                                I just wanna know how UNLV got one of the best recruits in the nation. How does a team have the worst year in program history and then land a top 20 player that is going to be one and done? I’m guessing they paid him.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Louisvillekid1
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-17-07
                                                                  • 52143

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Bill n Mary I think pure coin flip

                                                                  will root for you guys

                                                                  east Tenny st has some negatives going against them

                                                                  another one id tread carefully on

                                                                  but rooting your as well on that one
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
                                                                    Banker, I woke up thinking I liked Miami today but now I’m thinking Minnesota. Your logic would probably favor the battle tested gophers at home vs the canes who been eating cupcakes and now have their first real opponent and first road test...?
                                                                    I agree with lk that it Minny or nothing, not sure how much I buy into canes yet and certainly think that 10 next to their names a bit off!! Both get majority of their points from inside and both play excellent interior d.. agree with buck that under appears like best play but I'm waiting hoping it ticks up little more.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-15-14
                                                                      • 3449

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      Yea bro I don't get it either. Unc was the only team that uni couldn't slow down and heels far more talented than rebs and that was on the road.. panthers grinded ncst to a halt who I think a much better comparison. Kenpom has 137 so I dunno, ppl just seeing rebs point totals and assuming that a low total?? I'd be shocked if this game wasn't played on uni's terms at home..
                                                                      Even still, the UNC game only had 70 possessions. Not really a high paced-game, UNC shot well and got to the line a bunch.

                                                                      You guys are all over this. That total move doesn't make sense.
                                                                      Comment
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