Lkid1's Plays

[Louisvillekid1]

Last play Tulane/So Miss u138 $200

[Louisvillekid1]

NBA

Mavs/Rockets u207.5 $200

[Louisvillekid1]

NHL
pitt/Tampa O5.5 -115 $200

[funnyb25]

Lets gooooo

[HeeluvaGuy]

Answering your question on my thread ... the Bonnies game was close for me. I think over is the right way, but I felt like I missed the good line.

The Tulane game is the type I try to avoid. I don't like contrasting styles (slow vs fast) when playing totals. It gets harder to predict the number of possessions, which I think is critical.

BOL

[Louisvillekid1]

Ty just respect you and DD numbers

much sharper than me

[HeeluvaGuy]

Buddy I'm about as dull as it gets today. This OU game has taken a bad turn on me.

[Louisvillekid1]

Hope you all are rooting for me tonight!

C mon Lamar 100-1

[rgrant2214]

Lamar?

[jakejd82]

Hope you all are rooting for me tonight!

C mon Lamar 100-1

should be a lock! Excellent bet

[Louisvillekid1]

Lamar?

Don't hurt me like that one of my fav posters

cmon!

granted if I wasn't UL fan I'd never of bet it

so stars aligned and lucky I guess

[jakejd82]

It's nice when the Homerism pays off.

[HeeluvaGuy]

No such thing as a lock, but I like your spot. GL!

[Louisvillekid1]

Army!!!!!! Fukk yes

[Louisvillekid1]

Only 30 points 12 min in , on $200 wave u

[rgrant2214]

Gotcha!

[rgrant2214]

Took me a minute to figure out what you were talking about Kid....good luck tonight....go Stanford! Oh shit I mean Louisville Hahahaha

[Grivas_Digeni]

It's nice when the Homerism pays off.

Homerism coinciding with value is better than fading your team just because. I've done that too often in my life lol

[Louisvillekid1]

Bang army

bang so miss/Tulane u

[Louisvillekid1]

Yo I need points for poker

it's keeps me discipline

not begging just asking

ship me a few k

ty

ill pay back or PayPal

[Louisvillekid1]

Someone who bets Oklahoma State will do a write up like the one below but books know all that and the play is Tulsa +8.5.

Square Oklahoma State write up....

This one is all about matchups. Tulsa is one of the worst teams in the country in terms of turning the ball over, with nearly one quarter of their possessions ending in a turnover. They average 15.6 turnovers per game, No. 308 in the country. The Golden Hurricanes are facing an Oklahoma State team that is No. 2 in the country in turnovers forced, with 20.4 per game. So Tulsa's biggest weakness plays right into Oklahoma State's biggest strength. And if you give the Cowboys an extra 10-12 possessions (assuming around 20 turnovers for Tulsa and 10 for OSU) then you are talking about giving the Cowboys around nine extra points in this game. And I would've played this game - not as large, but still would've bet it - up to a 10.0 spread.

No team in the country lost more production from last year. Tulsa lost eight of its top nine scorers. They lost over 90 percent of their assists and rebounds. They lost everyone. This is a completely new team made up of transfers, JUCO players and young guys in over their heads. This is not a good team. Tulsa lost by 11 points at home to Jacksonville State! The only other Top 80 team that they have played this year, Wichita State, beat them by 27 points. Tulsa was down 14 in the second half in their last game to a decent, but not great, Illinois State team (that sucks on the road) before ISU went ice cold (one field goal the last 6:30) and the officials went crazy. So Tulsa has not done anything to make me think that they are capable of finishing over .500, much less beat a team like Oklahoma State.

Ok. State is one of the most improved teams in the country. This is an NCAA Tournament-caliber team. With Juwan Evans and Phil Forte they have one of the best backcourts in the country and this team has a whole host of athletes and experienced players - like Jeff Carroll, Leyton Hammonds and Mitchell Solomon - to lean on. Add in a host of talented newcomers and the Cowboys can play. They already have wins over Connecticut and Georgetown and they were flat-out screwed out of a win at Maryland last Saturday. The Cowboys were up 10 with 10 minutes left on the road and then the refs grabbed the wheel.

Oklahoma State is the No. 3 scoring team in the country. They average 95 points per game. Tulsa averages 69.9 (No. 268). And it is not that Tulsa is some grinder; they play at a perfectly average tempo (No. 160 in the country). If Tulsa was some Princeton-offense playing, slow-it-down team then I would be worried that they could win a pace war with Oklahoma State. But that's not the case. Oklahoma State is going to swarm. They are going to speed the Hurricanes up. They are going to turn them over. OSU is going to get out in transition and get easy baskets and open shots. Tulsa will try to hang around by hitting the offensive boards. But the Hurricanes don't have the depth and they flat-out don't have the talent to stay competitive in this one.

Further, Tulsa isn't that big. Size is the equalizer to Oklahoma State's speed. But Tulsa only starts one guy taller than 6-4 (and that guy is just 6-8). And the big men that Tulsa bring off the bench aren't that good and don't play much. Tulsa also isn't a great 3-point shooting team. So they could struggle to take advantage of what has been a real problem for the Cowboys (3-point defense).

These teams have one common opponent this year: New Orleans. Tulsa beat them by 9. Oklahoma State beat them by 45. That's not a great indicator (teams matchup differently). But add in some of Tulsa's other efforts and it start to fit a pattern here.

Finally, and this one is the clincher (as if we needed more advantages besides being the flat-out better, more talented, more experienced team with a huge matchup advantage): Oklahoma State has revenge. The Cowboys lost by 10, at home, to Tulsa last year. The Cowboys were a mess last year; so much worse than this year's team. And Tulsa was so much better. But that was still a tied game, 49-49, with just over 10 minutes to play. Now the tables are turned. This is an in-state rivalry game. And that ugly loss was one of the nails in former coach Travis Ford's coffin. New coach Brad Underwood won't be screwing around here. He, and the players, will want to avenge that loss. They will want to make a statement. I think Oklahoma State is going to kick the $h!# out of Tulsa today. I think they win this one 81-66 in a game that isn't as close as the final score indicates.

Who's write up is this? Sounds like doc feringo garbage

but either way wanna hear more from you

think I like you

too early to tell

also you didn't state it you played haith

2h was rough

[Louisvillekid1]

NBA
Bulls -9.5 1k
Bulls 1h -5.5 1k

[Louisvillekid1]

Best play of year so far

[Mackballs]

Is this lkid endorsed?

[Louisvillekid1]

Mma
Cerrone -300 $200
Swanson +190 $200
Kennefdy -140 $200
Holloway -250 $200

[Mackballs]

Mma
Cerrone -300 $200
Swanson +190 $200
Kennefdy -140 $200
Holloway -250 $200

Agree with all except cub. Think he gets an education on the feet before he can get it to the ground. Choi no joke brother.

[Mackballs]

Youre betting these all to win that amount right?

[jakejd82]

Really like Letourneau here.

[Louisvillekid1]

Yes

[jakejd82]

Agree with all except cub. Think he gets an education on the feet before he can get it to the ground. Choi no joke brother.

Completely agree. Everyone overlooks Choi because he looks like he is 12. I think gastelum is the bet as a dog. It's hard to be away as long as Kennedy and come back smooth. Gastelum will be mich better in his more natural weight class.

[Mackballs]

So like letourneau in this one. How closely you guys follow MMA?

[Mackballs]

Completely agree. Everyone overlooks Choi because he looks like he is 12. I think gastelum is the bet as a dog. It's hard to be away as long as Kennedy and come back smooth. Gastelum will be mich better in his more natural weight class.

Yes, a very live dog. Kennedy also busy fending off Isis and shit. Most likely a pass for me in the end. Choi just can't be taken seriously by many fans based on appearance but he is legit. In that movement group a la Wonderboy, Cruz, McGregor even. Cub a vet though so can't count him out but would want closer to +300 for a stab

[Louisvillekid1]

I'm average mma

[jakejd82]

Letourneau should be able to keep pereira at bay with her jab. The concern is the troubled weight cut as a woman sometimes hurts more thean with men.

[Louisvillekid1]

Love the input

thanks guys