Lkid1's Plays

[Manny0825]

Just curious, why the twins? Is this more a value bet or do you see something else?

[ATLIEN6]

AIK Stockholm ML i am pounding this.

[iloseagain]

AIK Stockholm ML i am pounding this.

i just looked at this and thought the same thing.. Looks really good. GL

[Stackzilla]

Stack's Play of the Day

Sweden Allsvenskan

Gefle/AIK o2.5 -140 $60

[iloseagain]

Stack's Play of the Day

Sweden Allsvenskan

Gefle/AIK o2.5 -140 $60

really like this one as well..

[Swingman]

Stack's Play of the Day

Sweden Allsvenskan

Gefle/AIK o2.5 -140 $60

On this, lets get it Stack.

[ATLIEN6]

i just looked at this and thought the same thing.. Looks really good. GL

I dont want to sound like an absolute jackass or anything on here but i fukk with people on twitter. and i found this dude who i dont really want to go into all the details but basically somehow in someway picks up or gets tipped off on some of these matches, i just checked him out on them and hes 5/5. he just gave me the nod on that AIK ML. He says 4 big bets were placed on AIK, 2 from HK and one from Europe but all in all the money on AIK is 7.8 mill. 89% rate for an away team he says is suspicious. Long story short i just tail the man.

Im not telling anyone to tail it but i will be following this cat and keeping up with him and passing along the info if you guys would like me to continue to do so. I dont even know if i explained that properly.




The last 5 bets he gave out BEFORE the match were these....

-Higuain to score
-Frosinone to get a red card
-Ternana over
-Beroe to win
-Metallurg ML

[iloseagain]

Gefle has lost their L5 home matches in a combined total of 13-4.

[Stackzilla]

Gefle has lost their L5 home matches in a combined total of 13-4.

I'm in the process of developing an over/under system, still testing but this game fits all needed points. I did a small sample yesterday with all Argentina, Bolivia, and Colombia game 9Ws 2Ps 4Ls, so I used the system against all league games played not using any playoff/relegation/international games with this yesterday and the win rate was much higher than I predicted. In fact the 2 Sweden games I posted yesterday missed in the system but the MLS game was a perfect play and was a winner.

[Stackzilla]

Now I'm only posting premium picks here on the thread.

[iloseagain]

I'm in the process of developing an over/under system, still testing but this game fits all needed points. I did a small sample yesterday with all Argentina, Bolivia, and Colombia game 9Ws 2Ps 4Ls, so I used the system against all league games played not using any playoff/relegation/international games with this yesterday and the win rate was much higher than I predicted. In fact the 2 Sweden games I posted yesterday missed in the system but the MLS game was a perfect play and was a winner.

what filters does it use if you dont mind sharing some basic info

[Stackzilla]

Day 3 4-4
Cle/Box o8.5 EV L
Mia/Wash FF u3.5-115 W
Tor -169 W

Adding on LAA +108 W

Just a reminder my baseball picks are not official I am tracking to see how I do

Day 4 7-5

NYM/Wash o7.5 -120
CLE/CWS u9 +105 Game 1
TB +117
PHI/DET u8.5 -105

[Stackzilla]

what filters does it use if you dont mind sharing some basic info

Ancient chinese secret..but I'm looking at overalls total, last 5 totals overall, last 5 totals h/a

[iloseagain]

Ancient chinese secret..but I'm looking at overalls total, last 5 totals overall, last 5 totals h/a

lol.. fair enough.. beware of that cws/cle under.. latos is a gas can now that hes fallen out of his streak

[HeeluvaGuy]

This is my play tonight in the Arena League:


Cleveland/Tampa Bay u91
I have this game in the mid 70s. (A little difficult to pin an exact number because of limited home/away games for these two teams.) These teams are last and next to last in plays and total offense. Tampa has the lowest ppg average in the league by a wide margin at just 27.5 and has only gone over 29 points once this season. These two played to a 49-21 final earlier this year, but both teams are starting different QBs this time around so that outing is of limited utility. Cleveland is more capable offensively than Tampa, but the Storm's defense has been pretty good this year and held Orlando 20 points below its season average in the last game. The under is 6-0 in Tampa games, and I'm hoping that trend continues tonight.

[Louisvillekid1]

Just curious, why the twins? Is this more a value bet or do you see something else?

Im
not on twins

who is?

[Louisvillekid1]

Tailing stack play #6

$84/60

[Stackzilla]

lol.. fair enough.. beware of that cws/cle under.. latos is a gas can now that hes fallen out of his streak

I'm not going by the traditional picking using hot/cold pitchers or players, I'm tracking trends and in some cases going against the trend. For instance last 14 of 19 times these teams met in Chicago unders were the play I'm also considering the fact it's not a normal doubleheader were teams get a few hours break between they are pretty much playing Game 2 right after Game 1 finishes my thought process here is get it over quick and in Game 2 run up the score or it could be backwards Game 1 run it up, game 2 get it over with. Thanks tho.

[iloseagain]

I'm not going by the traditional picking using hot/cold pitchers or players, I'm tracking trends and in some cases going against the trend. For instance last 14 of 19 times these teams met in Chicago unders were the play I'm also considering the fact it's not a normal doubleheader were teams get a few hours break between they are pretty much playing Game 2 right after Game 1 finishes my thought process here is get it over quick and in Game 2 run up the score or it could be backwards Game 1 run it up, game 2 get it over with. Thanks tho.

well G2 looks like a good over bet with both pitchers going back to AAA after the start (tip to LT on this one), so if you play that doubleheader bet where if G1 goes cle/under, then G2 would be Cws/over, etc... then maybe G1 will be the under bet.. GL

[Louisvillekid1]

This is my play tonight in the Arena League:


Cleveland/Tampa Bay u91
I have this game in the mid 70s. (A little difficult to pin an exact number because of limited home/away games for these two teams.) These teams are last and next to last in plays and total offense. Tampa has the lowest ppg average in the league by a wide margin at just 27.5 and has only gone over 29 points once this season. These two played to a 49-21 final earlier this year, but both teams are starting different QBs this time around so that outing is of limited utility. Cleveland is more capable offensively than Tampa, but the Storm's defense has been pretty good this year and held Orlando 20 points below its season average in the last game. The under is 6-0 in Tampa games, and I'm hoping that trend continues tonight.

Was looking at this also , might tail

nice write up

[Stackzilla]

I might actually play both unders today so far no double header games have reached over 10 in game 1 and game 2. So if Game 1 goes over might double down on Game 2's under

[Manny0825]

Im
not on twins

who is?

sorry, didnt mean to say twins. I meant the mets.

[ATLIEN6]

Got Malmo -2 and over 3 on the board...2-0 13' in lets go Malmo!!!!

[iloseagain]

Got Malmo -2 and over 3 on the board...2-0 13' in lets go Malmo!!!!

nice

i put malmo/aik/goteborg all ML in a parlay.. Little more than 2:1 odds. Wish i took that over haha

[ATLIEN6]

Goaaaalllll aik

[SFGiants93]

We need to over as well. 2 more goals please.

[HeeluvaGuy]

I dont want to sound like an absolute jackass or anything on here but i fukk with people on twitter. and i found this dude who i dont really want to go into all the details but basically somehow in someway picks up or gets tipped off on some of these matches, i just checked him out on them and hes 5/5. he just gave me the nod on that AIK ML. He says 4 big bets were placed on AIK, 2 from HK and one from Europe but all in all the money on AIK is 7.8 mill. 89% rate for an away team he says is suspicious. Long story short i just tail the man.

Im not telling anyone to tail it but i will be following this cat and keeping up with him and passing along the info if you guys would like me to continue to do so. I dont even know if i explained that properly.




The last 5 bets he gave out BEFORE the match were these....

-Higuain to score
-Frosinone to get a red card
-Ternana over
-Beroe to win
-Metallurg ML

Hold on. Am I reading right that this guy is saying there was nearly $8 million on one side on a Swedish soccer game on a Monday? Is it a championship or something? I know nothing about soccer betting, but that seems really high. The Super Bowl broke records this year at $132 million wagered.

[ATLIEN6]

Hold on. Am I reading right that this guy is saying there was nearly $8 million on one side on a Swedish soccer game on a Monday? Is it a championship or something? I know nothing about soccer betting, but that seems really high. The Super Bowl broke records this year at $132 million wagered.

I agree it sounds foolish and to be honest, i can't give you an honest answer. Dude just mentioned it saying 2 big bets outta hong kong equaling 613,000 and one from europe equaling 211,000 (yes that does not add up to 8 mill. but everyone else betting on games, how could you possibly know how much is being bet on one game with underground shops etc.) Could be high rollers, dont know where he gets this info but he seems to be sharp. i am simply just passing on info.

He also mentioned there being a 'fixed' Russian futbol game for tomorrow...so we'll see. lol this shit is interesting

[iloseagain]

I agree it sounds foolish and to be honest, i can't give you an honest answer. Dude just mentioned it saying 2 big bets outta hong kong equaling 613,000 and one from europe equaling 211,000 (yes that does not add up to 8 mill. but everyone else betting on games, how could you possibly know how much is being bet on one game with underground shops etc.) Could be high rollers, dont know where he gets this info but he seems to be sharp. i am simply just passing on info.

He also mentioned there being a 'fixed' Russian futbol game for tomorrow...so we'll see. lol this shit is interesting

so u went from 800k to 8m lol? Anyways, curious to hear about the game tomorrow

[HeeluvaGuy]

^^ Yeah, understood. Wasn't taking a shot at you. Just though that was a crazy number.

[chuckpicks298]

What's his name on Twitter

[ATLIEN6]

so u went from 800k to 8m lol? Anyways, curious to hear about the game tomorrow

Lol dude read my post, in quotations i said that does not add up to 8 million, but there were 4 BIG bets placed on the game, he only listed 3 of them 2 out of HK, 1 out Europe. As i said those are not the only 3 bets placed on that game and in TOTAL he said 7.8 mil.


Shit sounds dumb and i feel like i sound like a fool trying to even explain his shit but whatever im tailing.

[iloseagain]

Lol dude read my post, in quotations i said that does not add up to 8 million, but there were 4 BIG bets placed on the game, he only listed 3 of them 2 out of HK, 1 out Europe. As i said those are not the only 3 bets placed on that game and in TOTAL he said 7.8 mil.


Shit sounds dumb and i feel like i sound like a fool trying to even explain his shit but whatever im tailing.

oh ok i gotcha hahaha.. i thought u made that 8m number up.. my b

[ATLIEN6]

Some potential soccer for later today...just leans on typical sweden games

ALK Stockholm ml -136 W
ALK/Gefle over 2.5 L
Malmo over 3 or 2.5 if you can get it L
Malmo -2 PUSH

Denmark soccer
Brondby ML -187 L

Shitty day for soccer..i got one more futbol play its for an Argentina game tonight

Gimnasia LP -108 ML v Colon Santa Fe

[Stackzilla]

Got another variable I have to add to the system. Both Gef and AIK missing top scorers in line-up still tweaking and learning I'm sure as soon as I perfect this system all we need is a win % of 55% or better to be profitable with an avg juice of -135 but won't see juice that high very often and only playing u/o2.5. I didn't just make this a prem play because it fell into the system previous match-ups, current form, and other variables made this a play. We will get this back and then some, wish we could win them all but sometimes thats just not the case. I will continue to do my due diligence to give everyone my best plays. I've moved from picking winners to strictly dealing with o/u's better odds and more predictable. BOL today. I'm out.