Lkid1's Plays

**Stackzilla** · 04-29-16, 10:46 AM

Fade Marlins today? After the Dee Gordon situation do they have another lead-off man and good 2nd baseman in line?

**mlb** · 04-29-16, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Fade Marlins today? After the Dee Gordon situation do they have another lead-off man and good 2nd baseman in line?

just posted this in my thread ....

throw in a sweep on the West Coast of a top team - then long travel on top of the Gordon news.

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 10:52 AM

Man jiri just collapsing

**Stackzilla** · 04-29-16, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by mlb

just posted this in my thread ....

throw in a sweep on the West Coast of a top team - then long travel on top of the Gordon news.

Literally after posting, went to check lines before post Brew +125, now -105. Im rolling the dice with 1 unit

**Stackzilla** · 04-29-16, 11:21 AM

Anyone using Bitcoin for withdraws? Today will be a good day to take some out market could reach $470 within the next few hours. Personally I'm taking out a couple hundred at $465

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 11:28 AM

-$60 to start day

**iloseagain** · 04-29-16, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by Rose'

I got a 25 dollar 5 team open parlay I need one more game what's the safest bet today Kid? I might just go Portland money line any suggestions

cubs at home against the braves.. lester will shut down that AAA lineup.

Braves Vs lefties: .216 BA, 2.8 R/9.
Cubs Vs righties: .262 BA, 7.02 R/9.

**iloseagain** · 04-29-16, 12:12 PM

Last 5 games is even worse
Last 5
Braves vs L: .217 BA, 2.25 R/9
Cubs vs R: .285 BA, 7.28 R/9

**funnyb25** · 04-29-16, 12:17 PM

I have never seen a team play a late night game then travel 1,000 miles and play a day game the next day. Mlb messed up

**iloseagain** · 04-29-16, 12:21 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

I have never seen a team play a late night game then travel 1,000 miles and play a day game the next day. Mlb messed up

add that in too and cubs should be an easy win.. key word, should

**funnyb25** · 04-29-16, 12:23 PM

Could be a prime opportunity for books to cash huge. (More than they already do) only thing i could even consider playing here is a total but imo its a complete stay away from game

**Stackzilla** · 04-29-16, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Could be a prime opportunity for books to cash huge. (More than they already do) only thing i could even consider playing here is a total but imo its a complete stay away from game

Agreed if there's a game today public will be on is this. I'm going with other obv choice Brew Crw and the Under

**funnyb25** · 04-29-16, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by Stackzilla

Agreed if there's a game today public will be on is this. I'm going with other obv choice Brew Crw and the Under

I dont believe brewers and obvious choice belong in the same sentence, but i do hope you hit as i have no dog in that fight. Bol!

**iloseagain** · 04-29-16, 12:47 PM

public wins too.. you cant just fade the public and expect to win. dont overthink it. cubs win

**jgold254** · 04-29-16, 12:50 PM

Cubs better win today... I've got them in 2, two-team parlays. They lose and its an automatic negative day for me.

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 01:01 PM

Ok so I'm free rolling pacers series for $290

but I like the raps tonight

gonna bet $200 on Toronto +105

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 01:11 PM

Mlb
Rays -119 $100 list smyly

nba
Raptors +105 $200

nhl
Stars -110 $200

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 01:25 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Mlb
Rays -119 $100 list smyly
cards +126 $100 action
royals +144 $300 action

nba
Raptors +105 $200

nhl
Stars -110 $200

2 adds

royals & cards

**tcarn01** · 04-29-16, 01:25 PM

Is that hedging or pacers series bet?

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 01:28 PM

Pretty sure that's the final card, unless I find new info

**iloseagain** · 04-29-16, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

2 adds

royals & cards

good value on royals.. Felix just doesnt get run support when he pitches. Guys got a 1.80 ERA and Sea is 1-3 in his starts.

Games finished
2-4
3-2
1-2
2-3

Crazy

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by tcarn01

Is that hedging or pacers series bet?

Its not really a hedge , as we already did that... We're free rolling pacers for just shy of $300 w/ no risk

I just think raps take it tonight , I mean I guess it could be considered a hedge but I would bet Toronto tonight even if we didn't have the pacers wager in play...

gl

**Capybara** · 04-29-16, 01:30 PM

Royals, wow. Why fading the King at home?

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

good value on royals.. Felix just doesnt get run support when he pitches. Guys got a 1.80 ERA and Sea is 1-3 in his starts.

Games finished
2-4
3-2
1-2
2-3

Crazy

Excellent value

-his fastball velocity is down
-his 6% walk ratio has tripled
-royals finally got a day off
-Gordon Dyson hosmer moustakas Perez all over .300 vs felix

not dissing King , but he isn't -150+ here...

**Capybara** · 04-29-16, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

good value on royals.. Felix just doesnt get run support when he pitches. Guys got a 1.80 ERA and Sea is 1-3 in his starts.

Games finished
2-4
3-2
1-2
2-3

Crazy

Yeah but run support is an entirely random stat. M's are facing a starter in Medlen who is past his prime and barely holding a spot in the rotation.

**Capybara** · 04-29-16, 01:36 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

Excellent value

-his fastball velocity is down
-his 6% walk ratio has tripled
-royals finally got a day off
-Gordon Dyson hosmer moustakas Perez all over .300 vs felix

not dissing King , but he isn't -150+ here...

Okay, this is juicier, now I hear you. Well, guess we'll see. Even if King is off, hoping for a 7-4 type game for my M's run line. Someone will be right anyway.

**funnyb25** · 04-29-16, 01:59 PM

I dont play my own mlb plays but i track them. 0-5 yesterday. Coming from a guy who in the past 10 years have cleared well over 100 plus units in both college hoops and fb, not being able to find my ass with both hands in bases is pretty frusterating. One would think if i have a proven winning strategy for college i could figure out how to make money amd pick winners in bases. Im just no good at it. Lol

**iloseagain** · 04-29-16, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

Yeah but run support is an entirely random stat. M's are facing a starter in Medlen who is past his prime and barely holding a spot in the rotation.

Its not random at all. This has been an issue for him his entire career in Seattle.

**jgold254** · 04-29-16, 02:31 PM

Aaron Blair is so far no-hitting the Cubs. Gtfoh

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

I dont play my own mlb plays but i track them. 0-5 yesterday. Coming from a guy who in the past 10 years have cleared well over 100 plus units in both college hoops and fb, not being able to find my ass with both hands in bases is pretty frusterating. One would think if i have a proven winning strategy for college i could figure out how to make money amd pick winners in bases. Im just no good at it. Lol

Its a grind for sure, just gotta keep your finger on the pulse, & find the rythm..

get your nerd hat on

**Capybara** · 04-29-16, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Its not random at all. This has been an issue for him his entire career in Seattle.

Well for one thing, he pitches in a pitchers' park, that's part of it. Doubt anyone on the staff gets "great run support" when you break it down. But beyond that, there's no meaningful correlation to a pitcher and the runs he receives unless you believe his teammates somehow tense up, or relax too much. I guess it could be that the opposing SP always brings his A game, kind of like a title-defending team getting everyone's "best shot."

**dvb02** · 04-29-16, 02:40 PM

Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
Mlb
Rays -119 $100 list smyly
cards +126 $100 action
royals +144 $300 action

nba
Raptors +105 $200

nhl
Stars -110 $200

bump

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 02:45 PM

I also like the bounce back opp for medlen, as only 5 mariners have seen him for a total of 9 ab's (1hit)

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-29-16, 02:48 PM

Tried to embed pics of pitcher vs batter but you can view it here

PvB 7/23 - Daily Baseball Data

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl

daily baseball, weather, baseball contest, daily contest, baseball lineup, baseball matchup, ballpark weather, draftstreet, daily joust, draftbug, snapdraft, fantasy sports live, baseball betting, baseball analysis, fanduel, daily baseball stats, weekly contest, weekly baseball

**Capybara** · 04-29-16, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

I also like the bounce back opp for medlen, as only 5 mariners have seen him for a total of 9 ab's (1hit)

Interesting. Well, wouldn't be the first time I was dead wrong on a play.

Anxious to see how it plays out. BOL w your others, I still need to look at NBA and NHL. What, no Australian rules football play in here today, no handball, no Indian cricket league?? :P