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John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread -
Sportsbook Review Forum
Wallco NBA Chase 110 2012-13 System to date: 24-0 (fin. series) System profit/loss: +24.00 units (fin. series) Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)
(12/18/12): #25Philadelphia (+6½)(A) – Loss
v1 Plays (A) 16-9
(B) 5-3 (C) 3-0 (D) 0-0
Games for (12/19/12): #25 Philadelphia (+6½) @ Houston (B)(8:05 pm EST) #26 Cleveland @ Boston (M/L)(A)(7:35 pm EST)
** Denotes line not available at time of post
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.
thanks to some of you who have my back, but ill take care of myself. This thread is mostly cluttered cause everyone wants to defend wallco or limit on their post or people being confused about the system and what the plays are. I'll handle my own beef.
1) i only quoted limits post because there were no plays on the day, so if there are no spreads to post, then the post will not change. I have never quoted their "plays" when there are actually spreads to be posted or teams for that matter.
2) i am pretty sure some of you received emails from john morrison last season or two seasons ago where he asked to take a vote on if the game should count as a loss or not. I believe this was when he incorporated his ml filter.
3) you (wallco & limit) talk about consistency in your back test, but want to negate a loss on the lal game! Yes bet 2 was a push, but just because most people won on "replay of bet 2" does not negate the loss. Do other people make the rules for 7/5 now or does thelimit?
Not counting it as a loss and than saying from this point forward if it happens again it will count as a loss sounds a lot like john morrison covering up losses or padding his record. It will still be a profitable season in the end, so covering up a 7 unit loss from bet1 to provide consistency is more important then padding a record i would think.
4) 7/5 is up 30 units you said? My system is still above that in less time. Of course i have had more plays, but yes you are right that your "system(s)" together are still doing better then mine; they also have high risk ratio. I might as well compare stiff's + my system to your and wallco's system lol. Whatever... Its not a competition and i do not really care. Season to season mine will go above and beyond 7/5 on average. If you want it to be a competition you can go ahead and look at my thread at season end and compare it to 7/5.
Good luck rest of the season.
Ps
just pretend i am not the one who wrote the response to lal bet 1 being a loss, would it still be ignored? If stiffler or grinder came in here and backtested 7/5 and got different unit amounts for their back test what would be the reason? "oh, it was a situation series where most people won so we counted it as a win..." wallco weren't you on stiffler for betting 2 units on a on a situational series on the spurs series? If you are going to complain about being consistent, than practice what you preach.
Good night
you're the one who keeps clogging up this thread with your attention whore responses. We get it....you are the labby king & you've been done wrong. Now stfu and move on with your life.
Comment
MARCUS
SBR Sharp
06-19-09
358
#1474
Originally posted by thelimit0310
JMD, I did apply that rule. I'm going to clear this up for you instead of argue back. The Lakers Bet 2 was a PUSH officially, not a loss. Because they had another road game in their trip we would replay Bet 2 because it PUSHed, not lost. The replay won officially, so Bet 2 is now a WIN. There was never a question of whether or not to count it as a loss because neither bet lost. When I said I would count the next situation as a loss, what I meant was that if this type of situation occurs again, Bet 2 pushes, but then the subsequent Bet 2 Replay lost (the difference here is the Replay loses, not wins like what happened with the Lakers), I would count the series as a loss, not a push. Just as I counted this series as a win, not a push. This is the rule. It was not padding the unit count in any way.
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1475
Originally posted by wmu35
thanks bud
No problem.
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1476
Originally posted by CrazyCarl
Beware of January 11th!!!!
Yes, we have to hope there isn't a Phoenix (C) bet that day.
Comment
thelimit0310
SBR MVP
01-24-11
1233
#1477
7/5 Plays DEC 18
Boston +1.5 vs Chicago - Bet 2
7/5 Plays DEC 19
No Plays
Results:
Bet 1: 7-8
Bet 2: 5-3 Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Comment
adidas-b 88
SBR High Roller
06-26-11
151
#1478
boston -400 !!
Comment
adidas-b 88
SBR High Roller
06-26-11
151
#1479
Hey Limit I think Boston is a B bet for the 7/5 system?
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#1480
Thelimit, thanks for not arguing. Instead of arguing this whole thing could of easily been a discussion.
I do have one more question. in your back test during the 4-5 game road trip when the bet 2 pushes, did you replay bet2 or count the series over with a 7.7unit loss from bet 1. As wallco does often whenever he applies a filter, may have to go back through your 9 year back test to fix common occurrences.
Also with rules being on post 149, you stated pushes do not count as losses when referring to the A-bet losing by 3.5pts. I would suggest either reposting the rules with what happens given particular situations. kinda like when jm refers to a rare D-bet. just a suggestion.
Thanks again for responding in a non troll fashion. I've been trying to formulate a discussion over last two pages about this, but couldn't get an appropriate answer.
Good day.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#1481
Originally posted by adidas-b 88
Hey Limit I think Boston is a B bet for the 7/5 system?
Boston started their road trip 12/14. There in the middle of it still.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#1482
Adidas kinda triggered something from a jm rule. if first three games loses by 3pts ats in a 6-7 game road trip start a new series on the 4th game. is that still one of jm filters.
Comment
thelimit0310
SBR MVP
01-24-11
1233
#1483
JMD,
I would replay Bet 2 if there was an extra game in the road trip. Just as many systems do, including Wallco and Stifler's. It's just the best way to go rather than taking a loss. I omitted this from my way-to-play post because i thought it was a given, and it was a very very rare occurrence to begin with, though looking back I should have noted it. The only reason there was confusion before is because I recorded the game as a temporary push on the record before the replay when I shouldn't have, and that is my mistake.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#1484
Omitting your mistake is quick easy way to clear it up instead of optional or most people won. ok moving on, won't bring it back up.
all plays @-110
A) 1.1 to win 1.00 units
B) to recover your loss from A + 3 additional units of profit
C) recover losses from A+B and 5 additional units of profit.
It plays all versions of John Morrison system @-110 (no buying points). Its not really a separate system, more of a different betting strategy.
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1489
Originally posted by wero76
where can I find 1-3-5 system rules?
It's pretty simple. I came up with it 2 years ago after Wilba came up with the 3/3. We are basically just playing ALL Jm games (A, B, and C) at -110 odds. We are looking to win 1 unit on A bets, if that loses, looking to win 3 units on B bets, and 5 units on C bets if B should lose. A total loss is 17.28 units, that's less than a JM loss. But keep in mind, there may be a few more losses as a result of not buying 3 points. I love this strategy.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#1490
Originally posted by Wallco99
It's pretty simple. I came up with it 2 years ago after Wilba came up with the 3/3. We are basically just playing ALL Jm games (A, B, and C) at -110 odds. We are looking to win 1 unit on A bets, if that loses, looking to win 3 units on B bets, and 5 units on C bets if B should lose. A total loss is 17.28 units, that's less than a JM loss. But keep in mind, there may be a few more losses as a result of not buying 3 points. I love this strategy.
should probably edit your post in #1486 to reflect #1489
Comment
cambertos
SBR Sharp
06-16-12
329
#1491
we are all one post away from another mass argument hahaha
Comment
groovybrandone
SBR Sharp
02-22-12
456
#1492
Originally posted by Wallco99
It's pretty simple. I came up with it 2 years ago after Wilba came up with the 3/3. We are basically just playing ALL Jm games (A, B, and C) at -110 odds. We are looking to win 1 unit on A bets, if that loses, looking to win 3 units on B bets, and 5 units on C bets if B should lose. A total loss is 17.28 units, that's less than a JM loss. But keep in mind, there may be a few more losses as a result of not buying 3 points. I love this strategy.
so we could potentially run a 1-3-5 off the traditional JM that stevex is posting?
Comment
stevex
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-10
5122
#1493
JM Traditonal
12/19/2012
V2
1. Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet -6 @ Atlanta Hawks (Risking 200 TO WIN 181) Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet (since > -3 take ML) @ Atlanta Hawks
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1494
Originally posted by groovybrandone
so we could potentially run a 1-3-5 off the traditional JM that stevex is posting?
That is exactly what I designed it for, so YES.
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1495
Wallco NBA Chase 110 2012-13 System to date: 24-0 (fin. series) System profit/loss: +24.00 units (fin. series) Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)
(12/18/12): #25Philadelphia (+6½)(A) – Loss
v1 Plays (A) 16-9
(B) 5-3 (C) 3-0 (D) 0-0
Games for (12/19/12): #25 Philadelphia (+7) @ Houston (B)(8:05 pm EST) #26 Cleveland @ Boston (M/L)(A)(7:35 pm EST)
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.
1. Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet -6 @ Atlanta Hawks (Risking 200 TO WIN 181) Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet (since > -3 take ML) @ Atlanta Hawks
Hey Steve, How is this JM Traditional since the B bet would have been vs Minny? They are in the west aren't they? I haven't followed JM in a year or so so idk if he changed anything up.
Please let me know what the deal is.
Thanks
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1497
Originally posted by wmu35
Hey Steve, How is this JM Traditional since the B bet would have been vs Minny? They are in the west aren't they? I haven't followed JM in a year or so so idk if he changed anything up.
Please let me know what the deal is.
Thanks
It's a v2 play. Check post # 140
Comment
lennytia
SBR Rookie
12-21-09
31
#1498
Originally posted by Wallco99
Pay attention. Right now it is.
No, the common denominator right now is the same as it has been for the duration of those 2 years right across JM NBA/MLB/NHL threads.
The other parties change, JM Disciple just happens to be this months sparring partner.
Its all very unnecessary, Lord of the Flies bullshit
No, the common denominator right now is the same as it has been for the duration of those 2 years right across JM NBA/MLB/NHL threads.
The other parties change, JM Disciple just happens to be this months sparring partner.
Its all very unnecessary, Lord of the Flies bullshit
And this is usually how these spars start. Some cocky jackass coming in here and spewing crap and not expecting us to comment, which is exactly what you are doing now, and exactly what he did last week. So as I said, pay attention and stop trying to rehash shit that has subsided.
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1501
Wallco NBA Chase 110 2012-13 System to date: 25-0 (fin. series) System profit/loss: +25.00 units (fin. series) Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)
(12/19/12): #25Philadelphia (+7)(B) - Loss #26Boston (M/L)(A) - Win
v1 Plays (A) 17-9
(B) 5-4 (C) 3-0 (D) 0-0
There are no system plays for (12/20/12) #25 Resumes (C) on 12/21/12
We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post. System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.
Comment
MARCUS
SBR Sharp
06-19-09
358
#1502
Originally posted by Wallco99
And this is usually how these spars start. Some cocky jackass coming in here and spewing crap and not expecting us to comment, which is exactly what you are doing now, and exactly what he did last week. So as I said, pay attention and stop trying to rehash shit that has subsided.
Comment
wero76
SBR Hustler
01-26-12
81
#1503
thanks Wallco!
Comment
Wallco99
SBR Hall of Famer
01-01-11
7261
#1504
You're welcome.
Comment
petters72
SBR High Roller
05-16-09
188
#1505
Was Boston a 7/5 C-bet yesterday? Why did not anyone post it????????