Genius BBall Picks

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  • PerfectGrape
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-20-11
    • 6761

    #1
    Genius BBall Picks
    GP #1 5/24 Heat -3 -106
    Heat are the better team even with the injuries and suspensions. They look like the more comfortable team right now who takes care of business after "adversity". Public and geniuses should be all over this pick.

    GP #2 5/27 Thunder/Spurs U204.5 -105
    Two fast paced teams will not try to run in Game 1, I expect some lockdown d and lower fg%s. If either or both teams has a bad shooting night it will hit.

    GP #3 5/24 LA Sparks +8.5 -110
    2 undefeated teams, pulling for a close one
  • heck_nasty
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-30-11
    • 18

    #2
    Taken the Heat no doubt ...But that O/U scares me
    Comment
    • PerfectGrape
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-20-11
      • 6761

      #3
      Heat came to play, kicking myself for not taking Heat future at +330 after Game 3, would've bet Spurs/Thunder in Finals for guaranteed money.

      Record 2-0 +2u

      GP #4 5/25 SA Silver Stars +7 -102
      Rolling the dice early in the season because Conn got off to some big wins, spread seems too high.

      GP #5 5/26 76ers/Celtics O170 -102
      Hoping for a fast start, might take a live bet U depending on what I see.
      Comment
      • PerfectGrape
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-20-11
        • 6761

        #4
        Record 3-0 +3u

        GP #6 5/26 LA Sparks -2 -105
        Phoenix Mercury have a bunch of people out, Sparkin it for 1u

        GP #7 5/26 LA Sparks/Pho Mercury U177 -105
        Can't see a WNBA game going over 150 pts, just joking.
        Comment
        • PerfectGrape
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-20-11
          • 6761

          #5
          Thought Taurasi was out for the Mercury, but she wasn't and sent that game over. I shouldn't have joked about the lack of scoring but lack of defense. Chased the Boston game and bet the O149.5 before the 4th q, just to brag.

          Record 4-2 +1.93u

          GP #8 5/27 Minnesota Lynx -12 -105
          Going with the hottest team vs struggling Storm.

          GP #9 5/27 Fever/Dream O166 -105
          Thinking about taking Fever at +2 but went with the over with 2 fast paced high scoring teams.

          GP #10 5/27 Spurs -5 -108 2u
          Gotta respect the win streak.
          Comment
          • PerfectGrape
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-20-11
            • 6761

            #6
            Should've taken the Spurs in live betting instead of the -5, history shows they've been the comeback team and would've prob gotten a good 3Q line. Tried to get Clips +7.5 early but the juice was too high so let it ride.

            Record 6-4 +0.72u

            GP #11 5/29 Tulsa Shock +15 -110
            Tulsa kept it close first few games of the season. Even though they lost by a bunch last year on the road, still early in the season and I think there's great value in the huge spread.
            Comment
            • PerfectGrape
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-20-11
              • 6761

              #7
              GP #12 5/29 Spurs -4.5 -107
              Comment
              • PerfectGrape
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-20-11
                • 6761

                #8
                GP #13 5/29 Spurs/Thunder U202.5 -108
                Comment
                • PerfectGrape
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-20-11
                  • 6761

                  #9
                  Thunder +10 -110 1u Live TAKE IT
                  Comment
                  • PerfectGrape
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-20-11
                    • 6761

                    #10
                    Stupid call on the under, although some pathetic defense witnessed. My grandma could hit those wide open shots. Had a 6 pt window for profit and cashed both spreads, good day for America with a 6unit profit between bases and hoops. Genius player of the week goes to Alfonso Soriano for a diving catch to save a runline and homer in the next inning.

                    Record 9-5 2.64u

                    GP #15 5/30 Silver Stars -3.5 -105
                    Comment
                    • PerfectGrape
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-20-11
                      • 6761

                      #11
                      Took a bad line at -3.5, hopefully Silver Stars are gold tonight. Like the over with a chance to shoot for a middle live depending on what I see.

                      GP #16 5/30 Celtics/Heat O178 -107
                      Comment
                      • PerfectGrape
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-20-11
                        • 6761

                        #12
                        Record 10-6 +2.59u

                        GP #17 5/31 Spurs/Thunder O206.5 -102

                        GP #18 5/31 5/31 Spurs +160 0.5u
                        Always have the chance for Thunder at + money in the live betting depending on how things play out. Good price, huge winning streak, worth a shot at +160.
                        Comment
                        • PerfectGrape
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-20-11
                          • 6761

                          #13
                          GP #19 5/31 Mercury/Dream U183 -105
                          Comment
                          • PerfectGrape
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-20-11
                            • 6761

                            #14
                            Was gonna buy out Thunder at -140 and take U202.5, but wussied out and lost it all. Figured Spurs would start trading buckets and hit the over. This one is going 7.

                            Record 11-8 +2.07u

                            GP #20 6/1 Minnesota Lynx -1.5 -110 2u
                            I think Sun are just on a hot streak and the shooting will not continue. Lynx are the better team who will break down the d.
                            Comment
                            • PerfectGrape
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-20-11
                              • 6761

                              #15
                              GP #21 6/1 Tulsa Shock +9.5 -103

                              GP #22 6/1 Heat +130 0.5u
                              Comment
                              • PerfectGrape
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-20-11
                                • 6761

                                #16
                                Record 12-10 +2.54u

                                GP #23 6/2 Thunder -3.5 -105
                                Comment
                                • PerfectGrape
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-20-11
                                  • 6761

                                  #17
                                  GP #24 6/2 Chicago Sky +5 -107
                                  Comment
                                  • PerfectGrape
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-20-11
                                    • 6761

                                    #18
                                    GP #25 6/2 Indiana Fever -9.5 -105 0.5u
                                    Fading Liberty seem to do worse on the road.
                                    Comment
                                    • PerfectGrape
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-20-11
                                      • 6761

                                      #19
                                      Record 15-10 +5.04u

                                      GP #26 6/3 Heat/Celtics U180 -105
                                      Booked this morning, forgot to post but can be gotten at 179.5. Afraid of an early Heat run, but will roll the dice on the classic Celts D.
                                      Comment
                                      • PerfectGrape
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-20-11
                                        • 6761

                                        #20
                                        Record 15-11 +3.99u

                                        GP #27 6/4 Thunder/Spurs 1st half U100.5 -107
                                        Comment
                                        • PerfectGrape
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-20-11
                                          • 6761

                                          #21
                                          Record 16-11 +4.99u

                                          GP #28 6/6 Storm/Lynx O146 -110
                                          Comment
                                          • PerfectGrape
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-20-11
                                            • 6761

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                            Record 16-11 +4.99u

                                            GP #28 6/6 Storm/Lynx O146 -110
                                            Record 16-12 +3.89u

                                            GP #29 6/7 Heat -2 -103 3u
                                            Think home factor will not play huge into this game. Missed out on a better line but think Heat will win tonight with the full squad.
                                            Comment
                                            • PerfectGrape
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-20-11
                                              • 6761

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                              Record 16-12 +3.89u

                                              GP #29 6/7 Heat -2 -103 3u
                                              Think home factor will not play huge into this game. Missed out on a better line but think Heat will win tonight with the full squad.
                                              Record 17-12 +6.89u

                                              GP #30 6/8 New York Liberty +3 -105

                                              Liberty are coming to form after bad start...Mystics are not.
                                              Comment
                                              • PerfectGrape
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-20-11
                                                • 6761

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                Record 17-12 +6.89u

                                                GP #30 6/8 New York Liberty +3 -105

                                                Liberty are coming to form after bad start...Mystics are not.
                                                Record 18-12 +7.89u

                                                GP #31 6/12 Heat +5 -104 0.5u

                                                Always have the chance for a live bet OKC if the Heat take the lead. This isn't the earlier rounds anymore, Heat have to play to win every minute with the intensity that's been lacking consistently.
                                                Comment
                                                • PerfectGrape
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-20-11
                                                  • 6761

                                                  #25
                                                  GP #32 Storm/Sky O139 -110 0.5u

                                                  GP #33 Heat +210 2u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PerfectGrape
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-20-11
                                                    • 6761

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                    GP #31 6/12 Heat +5 -104 0.5u

                                                    GP #32 Storm/Sky O139 -110 0.5u

                                                    GP #33 Heat +210 2u
                                                    Record 18-15 +4.82u

                                                    GP #34 6/15 Lynx -13.5 -105
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PerfectGrape
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-20-11
                                                      • 6761

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                      Record 18-15 +4.82u

                                                      GP #34 6/15 Lynx -13.5 -105
                                                      Record 19-15 +5.82u

                                                      GP #35 6/18 Mystics +9 -101
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PerfectGrape
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-20-11
                                                        • 6761

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                        Record 19-15 +5.82u

                                                        GP #35 6/18 Mystics +9 -101
                                                        Should've respected the Sparks at home.

                                                        Record 19-16 +4.81u

                                                        GP #36 6/19 Liberty +5.5 -105
                                                        Liberty "due" for a win. Hoping they bounce back after the bad performance, playing worse than they truly are right now.

                                                        GP #37 6/19 Fever/Sun U164 -105 2u
                                                        Leaning Fever, but don't think this will be a scoring fest, big game for both teams will be defensive minded.

                                                        GP #38 6/19 Thunder/Heat U192.5 -105
                                                        Might shoot for an over 180 if it presents itself.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PerfectGrape
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-20-11
                                                          • 6761

                                                          #29
                                                          GP #39 6/19 Fever +188 0.5u

                                                          Thunder/Heat U193 -101 2u additional to GP38
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PerfectGrape
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-20-11
                                                            • 6761

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                            Should've respected the Sparks at home.

                                                            Record 19-16 +4.81u

                                                            GP #36 6/19 Liberty +5.5 -105
                                                            Liberty "due" for a win. Hoping they bounce back after the bad performance, playing worse than they truly are right now.


                                                            GP #37 6/19 Fever/Sun U164 -105 2u
                                                            Leaning Fever, but don't think this will be a scoring fest, big game for both teams will be defensive minded.

                                                            GP #38 6/19 Thunder/Heat U192.5 -105 3u
                                                            Might shoot for an over 180 if it presents itself.

                                                            GP #39 6/19 Fever +188 0.5u
                                                            Record 20-19 +0.14u
                                                            Lost under to OT in WNBA, should've taken points with the Fever. Regret going big on Heat under, have to manage my risk better.

                                                            GP #40 6/20 Sparks -13.5 -105 0.5u

                                                            GP #41 6/20 Mercury -1 -105 0.5u
                                                            edit: dupree out, wouldnt take mercury anymore, might buy out
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PerfectGrape
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-20-11
                                                              • 6761

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                              Record 20-19 +0.14u
                                                              Lost under to OT in WNBA, should've taken points with the Fever. Regret going big on Heat under, have to manage my risk better.

                                                              GP #40 6/20 Sparks -13.5 -105 0.5u

                                                              GP #41 6/20 Mercury -1 -105 0.5u

                                                              edit: dupree out, wouldnt take mercury anymore, might buy out
                                                              Record 22-19 +1.14u

                                                              GP #42 Sky +15 -105 2u

                                                              GP #43 Sky +1300 2u
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PerfectGrape
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-20-11
                                                                • 6761

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                                Record 22-19 +1.14u

                                                                GP #42 Sky +15 -105 2u

                                                                GP #43 Sky +1300 2u
                                                                Record 23-20 +1.14u

                                                                GP #44 Mercury/Silver Stars O166.5 -110
                                                                Going with the 2 hot offensive teams, hopefully Mercury isn't blown out or I think it will cash.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PerfectGrape
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-20-11
                                                                  • 6761

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                                  Record 23-20 +1.14u

                                                                  GP #44 Mercury/Silver Stars O166.5 -110
                                                                  Going with the 2 hot offensive teams, hopefully Mercury isn't blown out or I think it will cash.
                                                                  Hit the 2h line to recoup the losses, just lost at 163pts scored. Back to 0 units, time to focus and hit one out the park.

                                                                  Record 23-21 +0.04u
                                                                  GP #45 7/12 Tulsa Shock +18 -105 2u
                                                                  Way too high of a spread, the Lynx had some uncharacteristic offensive performances. Tulsa put up some good offensive games too, going with the value. I think win records are disrespecting Tulsa so hard.

                                                                  GP #46 7/12 Tulsa Shock +1700 0.25u
                                                                  Might arb it up at halftime.

                                                                  GP #47 7/12 LA Sparks/Indiana Fever O163.5 2u
                                                                  Big game, 2 potent offenses, Sparks have had some high scoring games against worthy opponents, hope the trend continues.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PerfectGrape
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-20-11
                                                                    • 6761

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Starting over flat betting.

                                                                    1. 8/23 Liberty -7.5 -105
                                                                    2. 8/23 Fever/Storm U144.5 -105
                                                                    3. 8/23 Silver Stars/Sparks O161.5 -108

                                                                    Fading struggling Mercury. Like the under because 2 teams are low reb %s limiting 2nd chance points and it will be a close game. Playing the over because of 2 offensive teams.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PerfectGrape
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-20-11
                                                                      • 6761

                                                                      #35
                                                                      4. 8/24 Sky -2 -105
                                                                      Comment
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