Spurs/Clips...

bleek88 · 05-20-12, 03:42 PM

Looks can be deceiving.

shawnjohn5 · 05-20-12, 03:49 PM

Werent you all over the heat today"?!?

Speedy88 · 05-20-12, 03:55 PM

I hate comparing two seperate games/series, but game 4 of SA/LAC is shaping up to look a lot like game 4 of MIA/NY.

Game 3 of MIA/NY:

- Line is NY +5.5 (line was LAC +5 in gm3)
- NY holds a lead going into 2H and blows it away in front of their home crowd, LAC did the same in gm 3.

Game 4 of MI/NY opens at NY +8, LAC is +7.5 for gm 4. Does LAC follow the trend and win game 4? I kind of like LAC plus the points. Hard to imagine the Clipps don't cover one game of this series. UTA didn't cover games 1-3 but managed to backdoor and cover game 4.

betcha_bottom$ · 05-20-12, 03:56 PM

The spurs will sweep but I don't feel comfortable with the line. -7.5 is way too much on the road. I wouldn't bet against them either. Might lay off this one but I'd lean toward clips. I feel like spurs by 6

shawnjohn5 · 05-20-12, 04:00 PM

I can easily see the clippers not covering, and i'm not one to compare series to series with different inferior teams. I dont really buy into the conspiracy theory or vegas lines coming out and games mirroring each other in completely different series in completely different conferences...

shawnjohn5 · 05-20-12, 04:13 PM

Betcha, you could be right, we shall see...

flyboy · 05-20-12, 04:26 PM

Clippers have covered once in about the last 10 games. I'm not betting this one but if I was it would be the spurs.

blanco · 05-20-12, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

I hate comparing two seperate games/series, but game 4 of SA/LAC is shaping up to look a lot like game 4 of MIA/NY.

Game 3 of MIA/NY:

- Line is NY +5.5 (line was LAC +5 in gm3)
- NY holds a lead going into 2H and blows it away in front of their home crowd, LAC did the same in gm 3.

Game 4 of MI/NY opens at NY +8, LAC is +7.5 for gm 4. Does LAC follow the trend and win game 4? I kind of like LAC plus the points. Hard to imagine the Clipps don't cover one game of this series. UTA didn't cover games 1-3 but managed to backdoor and cover game 4.

Meh I wouldn't put much stock into this. It's the spurs

IamAmonkey · 05-20-12, 05:18 PM

bet the spurs 10 games in a row.. won 10 in a row..spurs lost one. faded the spurs 2 games..lost 2..spurs the only bet..covering machines

Pauulzcappin · 05-20-12, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

I hate comparing two seperate games/series, but game 4 of SA/LAC is shaping up to look a lot like game 4 of MIA/NY.

Game 3 of MIA/NY:

- Line is NY +5.5 (line was LAC +5 in gm3)
- NY holds a lead going into 2H and blows it away in front of their home crowd, LAC did the same in gm 3.

Game 4 of MI/NY opens at NY +8, LAC is +7.5 for gm 4. Does LAC follow the trend and win game 4? I kind of like LAC plus the points. Hard to imagine the Clipps don't cover one game of this series. UTA didn't cover games 1-3 but managed to backdoor and cover game 4.

Speedy, lay off the Clippers bro. I think they will start up strong and fold late. Gonna take Spurs LIVE if there's a chance.

Speedy88 · 05-20-12, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Speedy, lay off the Clippers bro. I think they will start up strong and fold late. Gonna take Spurs LIVE if there's a chance.

I know. I want to look into the game more, but +7.5 is incredible value for home team facing elimination. Believe it or not, but my biggest playoff bet so far was on NY +8 in game 4. Your probably right that I should lay off though. I've been getting burned like no other. My last three bets have been on dogs who have all given up DD leads, and none of them have covered for me (IND +2 today, LAL +2.5 yesterday, and LAC +5 yesterday).

Loola · 05-20-12, 05:45 PM

How do you guys like Clippers +2.5 1Q -125?

thetrinity · 05-20-12, 05:47 PM

clippers suck dont like em at all, also dont like laying that much on the road in an elimination scenario. definitely passing going to sleep early.

ud have to have a big set of balls to back the clippers here.

Roadtrip635 · 05-20-12, 05:52 PM

I like the Spurs again tonight, but only a 1 unit bet. I think the Spurs win easily, the real question is what Coach Pop will do towards the end of the game and how quick he pulls the starters. I think back to the closeout game against the Jazz, Pop pulled the starters fairly quick in the 4th, that allowed that cheap last second uncontested back door cover. Gonna do the same as Paulzcappin and look for a Live in-game opportunity.