Blanco's Playoff Plays

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  • blanco
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-06-12
    • 876

    #1
    Blanco's Playoff Plays
    I'm starting this a little late but I'm going to be making a decent number of plays so it'll be nice to keep track and not make a million threads. I'm going to include the plays I already made today- my 2 Ws I created separate threads for anyways:

    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post14578274


    Units are $1000. BOL


    Saturday 4/28

    Bulls -8.5 (-110). 2.2 to win 2
    Knicks -1.5 2H (-120). 1.2 to win 1
    Magic +3.5 Q1 (-105). 2.1 to win 2
    Dallas +345. .733 to win 2.528


  • blanco
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-06-12
    • 876

    #2
    I have not booked Utah for tomorrow yet. Debating how I want to play them (FG 1H ect). Spurs will not be winning games by the type of margins they have been in the regular season and I want to take advantage of this before any adjustments are made to the lines.
    Comment
    • blanco
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-06-12
      • 876

      #3
      Leaning on all the dogs tomorrow. Haven't decided which ones to pull the triggers on yet, though.

      Jazz +10.5
      Simply too many points. The Jazz have nothing to lose and will come out fighting.

      Nuggets +4.5
      My only concern here is obviously the Lakers home court referee advantage, especially come playoff time. Will most likely pass, but in a fairly officiated game I love the Nuggets getting 4.5. Hard to believe Stern lets the Lakers lose round 1, especially to a team like Denver, so it will be important the Lakers win game 1.

      Celtics +1.5
      The Celtics are a veteran team and know how important winning the first game of the series is.

      As well:

      The Celtics didn’t have to go all-out to get home-court advantage, either. The Hawks opened the door with that ugly home loss to the Raptors. Doc just shrugged.
      “I’m taking rest and rhythm over home court,” he said over and over.
      The unstated implication, of course, is that the Celtics don’t think they need home-court advantage beat the Hawks.

      Clippers +5.5
      Everyone keeps talking about how dangerous Memphis is in the playoffs, but I like them more as an upset team getting +whatever. They didn't do a whole lot for me in the regular season so I will fade until they prove some worth. These games will be played close. You better believe Chris Paul will keep them in these games. 5.5 is too much.
      Comment
      • blanco
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-06-12
        • 876

        #4
        BOOK BULLS -5.5 NOW for 4/30.

        OFFICIAL PLAY: Bulls -5.5, 2.2 to win 2.

        I know the Bulls better than most and I have a fantastic record picking their games this season. They are going to be giving 300% without Rose, especially the first game, to make a statement. The rest of the team will have enough confidence against a team like Philly and Philly won't bring what it takes. If it were someone else, it would be a different story. Bulls win by 8-12 again.
        Comment
        • blanco
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-06-12
          • 876

          #5
          OFFICIAL PLAY: Mavs +6.5 2H, 2.2 to win 2.
          Comment
          • Sunde91
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-26-09
            • 8325

            #6
            Like the dogs except Jazz. Spurs remember last year's embarrassment too well, game 1 loss especially. This is just about their last real shot at a run and they cant let another 8th seed sneek up on them
            Comment
            • blanco
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-06-12
              • 876

              #7
              That's a good point. Leaning towards just Celtics and Clippers
              Comment
              • ren2_laurence
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-28-12
                • 206

                #8
                We have opposite plays (Sas, and Atlanta)! Leaning on LA also because of the size advantage down low. Leaning also to Memphis cause LAC isn't playing at a high level lately. But will study this game more later! Good luck to us tomorrow, pal!
                Comment
                • blanco
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-06-12
                  • 876

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ren2_laurence
                  We have opposite plays (Sas, and Atlanta)! Leaning on LA also because of the size advantage down low. Leaning also to Memphis cause LAC isn't playing at a high level lately. But will study this game more later! Good luck to us tomorrow, pal!
                  Either is Memphis but I don't think it means much and we shouldn't put much stock into how teams played the final week or 2 in the meaningless games. Games like LAC @ OKC and MEM @ SAS are more telling of what we can expect from these teams in the playoffs.

                  I don't think I'm going to make the Utah play anymore. Can't bring myself to ever bet Lakers giving 4.5 in a game like this but also don't want to fade them because of what I said earlier about the refs. Faried is my man!
                  Comment
                  • blanco
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-06-12
                    • 876

                    #10
                    2 MORE OFFICIAL PLAYS:

                    LAC to win series +175. 1 to win 1.75
                    CHI to win series -360. 6 to win 1.666

                    Bulls -360 is free money.
                    Comment
                    • Sunde91
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 8325

                      #11
                      woah what where are you getting -360 on CHI series
                      Comment
                      • blanco
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-06-12
                        • 876

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Sunde91
                        woah what where are you getting -360 on CHI series
                        My local bookie uses some online site where he created an account for me and we square up in cash. I don't think you can sign up and deposit
                        Comment
                        • blanco
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-06-12
                          • 876

                          #13
                          4/28 results

                          Bulls -8.5 (-110). 2.2 to win 2- W
                          Knicks -1.5 2H (-120). 1.2 to win 1- L
                          Magic +3.5 Q1 (-105). 2.1 to win 2- W
                          Dallas +345. .733 to win 2.528- L
                          Dallas +6.5 2H (-110). 2.2 to win 2- W

                          Good start, 3-2 but 3-0 on bigger plays and 0-2 on the smaller ones.

                          YTD 3-2 (+4.267 units)
                          Comment
                          • blanco
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-06-12
                            • 876

                            #14
                            I've changed my mind about a few things. Spurs and Lakers are ticking to 11 and 5 so get on them now if you are going to bet them.

                            4/29 Official Plays

                            Spurs -10.5 2.2 to win 2
                            Celtics +1.5 2.2 to win 1
                            Lakers -4.5 1.1 to win 1

                            Comment
                            • blanco
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-06-12
                              • 876

                              #15
                              OFFICIAL PLAYS:
                              Dallas to win series (+600) 1 to win 6
                              BULLS -1.5 in series (-115) 5 to win 4.3478
                              Lakers/Denver under 201.5 2.2 to win 2


                              Absolutely love the overcompensation in the Bulls series prices after Rose's injury. This series isn't going to 7 games LOL
                              Comment
                              • blanco
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-06-12
                                • 876

                                #16
                                OFFICIAL PLAY: Lakers -1.5 (-110) Q1 2.2 to win 2
                                Comment
                                • blanco
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-06-12
                                  • 876

                                  #17
                                  Spurs don't let up.

                                  OFFICIAL PLAY: Spurs -5 2H 1.1 to win 1
                                  Comment
                                  • blanco
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-06-12
                                    • 876

                                    #18
                                    3-0 to start the day let's keep it up. Lakers D will be crucial to going 5-0
                                    Comment
                                    • blanco
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-06-12
                                      • 876

                                      #19
                                      Prove to me you can blow out a team, LA. Until then...

                                      OFFICIAL PLAYS:
                                      Denver -1 2H (-105) 1.05 to win 1
                                      Over 100 (-110) Lakers/Nuggets 2H 1.1 to win 1


                                      Going for some middles here. Need game to finish Lakers by 5-8 (9 pushes hedge and wins FG) in 191-201 points (190 pushes hedge and wins game)
                                      Comment
                                      • last-1-2-know
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 03-23-12
                                        • 151

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by blanco
                                        Prove to me you can blow out a team, LA. Until then...

                                        OFFICIAL PLAYS:
                                        Denver -1 2H (-105) 1.05 to win 1
                                        Over 100 (-110) Lakers/Nuggets 2H 1.1 to win 1


                                        Going for some middles here. Need game to finish Lakers by 5-8 (9 pushes hedge and wins FG) in 191-201 points (190 pushes hedge and wins game)
                                        missed ur previous plays but tailing on these.....lets cash'em....
                                        Comment
                                        • blanco
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-06-12
                                          • 876

                                          #21
                                          1-1 on the middles.

                                          6-1 today, 9-3 YTD with all losses being 1u or less.

                                          OFFICIAL PLAYS:

                                          ATL 1H -.5 (-105) 1.05u to win 1
                                          Basically a small hedge. I think if Boston is close at halftime they will close out in the 2H but am a little worried about ATL coming out strong.

                                          ATL/BOS under 179.5 (-110). 2.2u to win 2
                                          Comment
                                          • blanco
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-06-12
                                            • 876

                                            #22
                                            Well ATL started hot....a little too hot for my likings. 1-0 so far on this game but doubt I'll sweep. Would be okay with a push on the under and Celtics +1.5. ATL 90 BOS 89?!
                                            Comment
                                            • blanco
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 03-06-12
                                              • 876

                                              #23
                                              Looks like the Boston game is going to finish 2-1. 11-4 YTD

                                              OFFICIAL PLAY: Clippers +1.5 Q1 (-105) 2.1 to win 2

                                              Probably last play of night, don't have any major lean on the next game and want to see how these guys play each other before I start betting the series. The Clippers are usually pretty reliable for a good Q1 though.
                                              Comment
                                              • blanco
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-06-12
                                                • 876

                                                #24
                                                Upset that the Grizzlies just went on a mini-run because I wanted to pound them 2H. Probably still will as you have to expect the squares to be on LAC
                                                Comment
                                                • blanco
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-06-12
                                                  • 876

                                                  #25
                                                  OFFICIAL PLAY: Grizzles 2H +3.5 (-110). 3.3 to win 3


                                                  BettingWizard likes it too. Upped it a unit!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • blanco
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-06-12
                                                    • 876

                                                    #26
                                                    Good start bad end.

                                                    8-4 today. +3.4u. 11-6YTD +7.667u
                                                    Comment
                                                    • blanco
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-06-12
                                                      • 876

                                                      #27
                                                      4/30 Official plays:

                                                      Okc -6 2.2 to win 2
                                                      Heat/Knicks under 184.5 2.2 to win 2
                                                      See other threads.

                                                      Pacers Q1 -3 3.3 to win 3
                                                      OKC Q1 -2 3.3 to win 3
                                                      Heat Q1 -3 3.3 to win 3.
                                                      Don't see this trend ending tonight. 2/3 minimum.

                                                      Magic +475 1 to win 4.75
                                                      Pacers should be -400 here max. Value play.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • blanco
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 03-06-12
                                                        • 876

                                                        #28
                                                        Official play:

                                                        Heat -9.5 2.2 to win 2
                                                        Heat roll again in Miami. Heat by 14
                                                        Comment
                                                        • blanco
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 03-06-12
                                                          • 876

                                                          #29
                                                          Wow heat and pacers were up 8 and 10 Q1 respectively and both found a way to push. Pacers push was really frustrating. Up 7 with under a minute left
                                                          Comment
                                                          • blanco
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-06-12
                                                            • 876

                                                            #30
                                                            OFFICIAL PLAY: Magic +7 2H (-110). 3.3 to win 3

                                                            Taking the Pacers is counting on a switch to flip. Doesn't happen enough IMO
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JT OZ
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-16-10
                                                              • 2076

                                                              #31
                                                              Any thoughts on Magic O42.5?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • blanco
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-06-12
                                                                • 876

                                                                #32
                                                                I'm not really the guy to ask about totals
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JT OZ
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-16-10
                                                                  • 2076

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I just figured with the amount of 3's they shoot its doable but I might just take the 7 instead.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • blanco
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-06-12
                                                                    • 876

                                                                    #34
                                                                    OFFICIAL PLAY: Adding 2.2 more units on OKC -6.5 to win 2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • blanco
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-06-12
                                                                      • 876

                                                                      #35
                                                                      OFFICIAL PLAY: Under 95.5 2H Dallas/OKC 1.1u to win 1
                                                                      Comment
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