Nba road system 2011- 12

[airattackers]

Hopefully someone will post plays this season.

[imzdeals]

I have a version 2.0 of this system. I applied this system to any Team playing 3 or more games in a row at home that the home team will cover 1 of the halves. For example, if Boston is beginning a homestand where they play 3 or more games in a row at home, take Boston to cover 1st half in game one. If they win, series is over. If they do not cover 1st half, you will place a "B" bet on them second half and so on. Thoughts? Backtested it and it was highly successful.

what was the record when backtested? How many went to the sixth bet?

[Kalmerandy1582]

Last year it went to a 6th bet only once.

[daneault23]

Does anyone know if there was a way to get the excel sheet on an android phone? I tried downloading it, and it said download was unsuccessful

[Nitro3]

Fellas,

I updated the Spreadsheet TeamNookmum did, And Im also attaching the one I did as well, which will give you all of the road games, not just the 3 for the series play.

Good Luck!

[Brix]

So first two bets tonight, yeah? Sixers and Bulls (v. Denver and Sacramento, respectively).

[J.M. Disciple]

Does anyone know if there was a way to get the excel sheet on an android phone? I tried downloading it, and it said download was unsuccessful

I suggest just saving the date and the next few teams you are fading to keep track or book mark this thread, since plays will be posted on here anyways.

[Nova99]

what are everyone's thoughts/concerns?

You truly need to do your money mgmt for this system and ensure you have enough BR. Also you will need guts of steel because some of the plays (esp 2h) will look insane. Good luck to those who will play this!

[J.M. Disciple]

As previously discussed labby is the best way to go with this to have a safe bankroll. Instead of chasing for 1 unit per series, just run a labby line with all the plays. Make less profit, but if there is a loss you will still be up on the season.

[thebestthereis]

Blame on the train but the bus is already there

[john360180]

What is the stratergy if there is a Push.

I had Bulls -4 first half.

Do we continue to chase? Or do we just accept it is a squared series and be happy not have lost?

All the best.

[cmdyrds]

i believe if it pushed a half you just wager the same amount on the next half. because if you were on the 4th half, etc. you would be out a first, second and third wager.

What is the stratergy if there is a Push.

I had Bulls -4 first half.

Do we continue to chase? Or do we just accept it is a squared series and be happy not have lost?

All the best.

[shinnman]

this system does not start until after first couple weeks of season, also a push is just looked at as no play, you could have a series with only 4 or 5 plays, labby is it with this, jm is right on that

[john360180]

Thanks your advice in respect of The Push makes sense.
However I believe this system was designed as a chase system and that's the way I will be playing.
I understand the risk if a series is lost and have set my unit at a modest amount.
All the best.

[daneault23]

I believe we're not supposed to start tol after 10 days to let the fatigue factor set in

[cmdyrds]

yet another excel version for anyone who wants.

[dogs]

thanks for all the xls! went 2-0 last night. spurs tonight 3 games at home.

[dogs]

thanks for all the xls! went 2-0 last night. spurs tonight 3 games at home.

oops 1and 1 last night!

[playr101]

Original system rules state NO PLAYS FOR THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.

First play is Nov 10 - Wizards @ Pacers

GL if you are playing the system now...

-playr101

[Brix]

For those who are already playing, did the Magic cover the second half today?

[dogs]

sure did!

[nbk]

How many days between road games disqualify a series from the system?

[EasyPicks]

How many days between road games disqualify a series from the system?

is that a rule of the system?

[BetaB]

game will qualified as long as the away team did not head back home during their trip.

[crackerjack]

Original system rules state NO PLAYS FOR THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.

First play is Nov 10 - Wizards @ Pacers

GL if you are playing the system now...

-playr101

So unofficially...how has the system done thus far this year?

[nbk]

is that a rule of the system?

Yes I believe so.

NBA ROAD SYSTEM .... HALVES / ATS
(EXPLANATION REVISTED FOR 2011 - 12)

THE PLAN: The idea of the nba road system (halves/ats) is to play against a road team that is out of its comfort zone and with the fatigue factor to consider, so we play up to the last 6 halves of a 3 or more games road trip. Stop the series when a cover is made by the home team. Find your best line for the first half and if the first half loses bet at half-time for the 2nd half.Betting progression: To win one unit... double bet plus juice until it covers. See below for more details.

RULES FOR THE ROAD SYSTEM WITH HALVES (ATS)

1. Bet against the road team (ats) on a road trip of three or more games.
2. Play up to the LAST 3 games of a road series until a cover is made. Of course on a 3 game road trip it would all 3 games.
3. Find your best line for the first half and if it does not cover place your bet at half-time for the second half for the second play of the series. If there is still a no cover after two plays, your third play would be the first half of the second game of the series and etc.
4.Betting progression: the goal is to win one unit. (see below for more details)
5. Series games must be 3 games or less between games or the series is a no play.
6. The main problem with this system: You must be available to make half-time wagers.

* 6 game series ... start with the 4th game of the series
* 5 game series ... start with the 3rd game of the series
* 4 game series ... start with the 2nd game of the series
* 3 game series ... start with the 1st game of the series

BETTING PROGRESSION TO WIN ONE UNIT (based on -110)

First play .......... risk 1.1 to win 1.0
Second play .... risk 2.3 to win 2.1
Third play ......... risk 4.85 to win 4.41
Fourth play ...... risk 10.2 to win 9.26
Fifth play .......... risk 21.4 to win 19.46
Sixth play ......... ????????

EXAMPLE SERIES: ATL @ LAC, GS, PHO

1st play: atl @ lac (1st half) risk 1.1 to win 1.0 ........ results - loss
2nd play: atl @ lac (2nd half) risk 2.3 to win 2.1 ...... results - loss
3rd play: atl @ gs (1st half) risk 4.85 to win 4.41 .... results - win

The series ends with a cover on the 3rd play for 1 unit won.

Comments: The system will start in Jan and go thru Apr with Apr being optional. During full seasons I usually stop at the end of March. I will consider no plays after the middle of Apr.

This is my 9th year and have won every year. This year will be different because of the short season.

THE SCHEDULES WILL BE POSTED BEFORE JAN.

I think rule 5 is referring to it. I think it may supposed to say 3 days instead of 3 games. I wasn't sure if that meant the next game of the series should be on the 3rd day or that only three days may be between the games.

Horseface2721...........

The road trip mentioned is a 5 game road trip starting on the 17th and ending on the 25th. The dates of the road trip are the 17th, 18th, 20th, 21st, and 25th. There are 4 days between the last 2 games which would make the series a no play but since it is a 5 game road trip I used the middle 3 games to qualify it for a series. Since there are several series starting on the 18th this series could be optional if you prefer.

Thanks for being heads-up and for your input in this thread.

Also, I found this post disqualifying a game of the series for having too many days apart. I guess by this example the next game need occur on the 3rd day after the previous game.

[JW Cash]

for those who are wary of chasing for 6 games.............

just spilt the 6 games into 2 sets of three games.....and use a labby for each one

[Huy4936]

So unofficially...how has the system done thus far this year?

I did also make a similar system, i am aware of the no play the first 10 days of the season, but the degen i am i dont play a full unit on the first series. Also did a similar system for WNBA this year and it went really good
so far looking good

Oktober
den @phi(31/10), orl(2/11), mia(3/11) – 1/6
sac @ chi(31/10), minn(2/11), ind(3/11) - 1/6

November
por @ okc(2/11), hou(3/11), dal(5/11) -1/6
utaa @ no(/2/11), sa(3/11), mem(5/11) -1/6
det @ pho(2/11), lal(4/11), den(6/11) - 1/6
cle @ mil(3/11), lac(5/11), gs(7/11) – 1/6
minn @tor(4/11), bk(5/11) - no play -1/4
pho @ orl(4/11), mia(5/11), cha(7/1) -2/6

[J.M. Disciple]

Thanks HUY for keeping track. I missed a couple myself.

Are we fading Indiana tonight 1st half?

[Huy4936]

Correct J.M, today play
ind @ sa(5/11), atl(7/11), minn(9/11)

[nbk]

for those who are wary of chasing for 6 games.............

just spilt the 6 games into 2 sets of three games.....and use a labby for each one

Hey JW Cash, could you explain this with numbers/example? I've seen a lot of people refer to the labby through this thread, and I did some research on what a labby was, but I've yet to get my head around it when used for sportsbetting with juice. I understand the original concept of starting with a progression of 1 2 3 4, and everytime you win, you mark off the end numbers, and when you lose you add the amount lost to the end, but could you explain how to use it in the context of sports betting? Thanks!

[Maleku]

Original system rules state NO PLAYS FOR THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF THE SEASON.

First play is Nov 10 - Wizards @ Pacers

GL if you are playing the system now...

-playr101

Isn't Nov 9/2012 the 11th day of the NBA schedule?

[J.M. Disciple]

Hey JW Cash, could you explain this with numbers/example? I've seen a lot of people refer to the labby through this thread, and I did some research on what a labby was, but I've yet to get my head around it when used for sportsbetting with juice. I understand the original concept of starting with a progression of 1 2 3 4, and everytime you win, you mark off the end numbers, and when you lose you add the amount lost to the end, but could you explain how to use it in the context of sports betting? Thanks!

Say your unit size is $20.

Starting labby line: 10-10-10-10

Say you bet $22 to win $20 and lost. Add that to the end of your line and your new line becomes:
10-10-10-10-22. Your next bet is to win $32 say that bet wins. now your new line is 10-10-10.

Simple really. Hope this helps.

[nbk]

Say your unit size is $20.

Starting labby line: 10-10-10-10

Say you bet $22 to win $20 and lost. Add that to the end of your line and your new line becomes:
10-10-10-10-22. Your next bet is to win $32 say that bet wins. now your new line is 10-10-10.

Simple really. Hope this helps.

Yeah, that does help. Thanks JM. So if that scenario did happen, and I lost the first play, and I won the second play, and my new line was 10-10-10.. I've won 32 and lost 22 for a profit of 10. At this point do you start a new line for next series or continue with this line until you've won your 20?

If you lose a second time and add 35.20 to your line of 10-10-10-10-22-35.20, and then place the next bet to win 45.20, and you do win that, putting you at -12.. do you just keep going with your line until you've profited, carrying it to the new series?

Thanks

[the scab man]

Hey Ive been reading this thread and have a couple comments.....
I think nbk is right when he says if there are 3 or more days in between one of the last 3 games then it is a no play therefore it eliminates about 5 plays that are posted in the spreadsheets....

I went through the first excel that was posted by TeenNookMum and I found a handful of mistakes. I was going to post an updated spreadsheet but it didnt save because i have an older version of excel or some shit. I would do it again but I don't have time right now. The only big problem I found was the entire Houston Rockets schedule, it looks like when TeenNookMum did it, he did the last 3 HOME games of the rockets instead of the ROAD games.... That was the big problem I found, other small ones were about 5 series werent plays because theres 3 or more days in between games at the end of the road trip, about 4 dates were wrong (only off by a couple days), and there were 2 series before christmas break that arent plays before they start before the break but finish after the break. Like I said I had a spreadsheet ready to post but it never saved dammit

And also, JM, so you think labbying would be better for this system?