Celtics vs Lakers 1st two games

mundane · 06-05-08, 03:27 AM

Originally posted by FreeFall

Does anyone really see BOS not winning one of the first two games of these series?

i dont. but i dont mind being wrong!

let's go lakers!

goodluck bud!

Wheell · 06-05-08, 01:28 PM

Boston will probably win at least one of the first two games, but what would you set the moneyline of game 2 at if Bostin wins game 1? I estimate about -150. I have the Lakers starting 2-0 a little under 17% of the time.

FreeFall · 06-05-08, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by Wheell

Boston will probably win at least one of the first two games, but what would you set the moneyline of game 2 at if Bostin wins game 1? I estimate about -150. I have the Lakers starting 2-0 a little under 17% of the time.

I wouldn't bet the 2nd game if I won the first one.

Wheell · 06-05-08, 02:10 PM

I understand, but I think you have a little under a 17% chance of cutting your bankroll in half.

rake922 · 06-05-08, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by Wheell

I understand, but I think you have a little under a 17% chance of cutting your bankroll in half.

Show the math? How did you get 17%

rake922 · 06-05-08, 02:29 PM

The team with the best regular season record has never lost both game 1 and 2 of the NBA finals

LT Profits · 06-05-08, 02:32 PM

The thing is, I don't see the LAKERS not winning one of the first two games, so I'd rather go for the dog value. Lakers +130 tonight, and if they lose, a little heavier at a minimum of +120 in Game 2.

LT Profits · 06-05-08, 02:33 PM

rake,

Yes but the difference is that the Celtics are no longer the best team in the NBA. The Lakers are since the Gasol trade and they will prove it on the court.

LT Profits · 06-05-08, 02:36 PM

wheel,

I get 19.7% on Lakers winning first two. If they lose at +130 tonight, I think they will be slightly LESS at +120 in Game 2. So 43.48%(+130) x 45.45%(+120) = 19.7%

Wheell · 06-05-08, 02:37 PM

Rake asked how I did the math:

Game 1 Celtics -141

Game 2 if Celtics win

Celtics -130

Game 2 if Lakers win:

Celtics -154.

LT Profits · 06-05-08, 02:40 PM

So we agree that Lakers will be +120 in Game 2 if they lose tonight.

Wheell · 06-05-08, 02:47 PM

Well, my lines are intended to be vig free, so at MB you should be able to get +126 after commission.

Wheell · 06-05-08, 02:47 PM

Also, if you think the lakers should only be +130, Pinnacle and Matchbook would like to talk to you and your bankroll..

FreeFall · 06-05-08, 03:25 PM

what are the odds of the lakers not winning one of the first two?

Wheell · 06-05-08, 03:30 PM

About 33% Boston 2-0.

FreeFall · 06-05-08, 03:52 PM

83% or 66% chance to hit. The odds seem to be in favor of picking the Celtics.

rake922 · 06-05-08, 10:54 PM

piles and piles of money....

polishkielbasa10 · 06-05-08, 11:17 PM

ARE YOU FREAKING KIDDING ME...WHEN ARE YOU LAKER MORONS GONNA FIGURE OUT THE CELTICS ARE THE BETTER TEAM AND WILL DOMINATE THIS SERIES...STOP LISTENING TO THESE DUMBASS ANALYSTS....Gasol what???bench what????that's what I thought
PS. shut your mouth magic,

mundane · 06-05-08, 11:35 PM

Originally posted by polishkielbasa10

ARE YOU FREAKING KIDDING ME...WHEN ARE YOU LAKER MORONS GONNA FIGURE OUT THE CELTICS ARE THE BETTER TEAM AND WILL DOMINATE THIS SERIES...STOP LISTENING TO THESE DUMBASS ANALYSTS....Gasol what???bench what????that's what I thought
PS. shut your mouth magic,

wow one game and u got the series all figured out? i hope u eat ur words!

lakers in 6 games! bilid dat!

LT Profits · 06-06-08, 05:29 AM

Lakers win the next 4 straight. Unfortunately, I may have to settle for only +115 in Game 2. But that's still profit for the first two games if they win though, especially since I am betting 3.5% of BR in Game 2 (lost 2.5% tonight).

And by the way, I am not a Laker "fan", nor a fan of any team except the one I bet on. I just think the Lakers are the best team in basketball since the Gasol trade, and they will prove it the next four games.

rake922 · 06-06-08, 08:26 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Lakers win the next 4 straight. Unfortunately, I may have to settle for only +115 in Game 2. But that's still profit for the first two games if they win though, especially since I am betting 3.5% of BR in Game 2 (lost 2.5% tonight).

And by the way, I am not a Laker "fan", nor a fan of any team except the one I bet on. I just think the Lakers are the best team in basketball since the Gasol trade, and they will prove it the next four games.

The Lakers went 27-9 SU following the trade (reg season)

The Celtics went 30-8 SU in that time frame Feb 5th to Apr 16th

LT Profits · 06-06-08, 08:38 AM

Yes but look at the differences in the conferences, West is much stronger, and frankly it's not even close.

rake922 · 06-06-08, 08:52 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Yes but look at the differences in the conferences, West is much stronger, and frankly it's not even close.

Lakers went 37-15 against the western conference a 71.2 winning%

Lakers went 20-10 against the eastern conference a 66.7 winning%

Celtics went 25-5 against the western conference a 83.3 winning%

Celtics went 41-11 against the eastern conference a 78.8 winning%

FreeFall · 06-06-08, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by rake922

piles and piles of money....

Nicely done.

Not really sure about game two now. Might have to do celtics again. I didnt see much out of the lakers last night. Wouldn't be near as close as big to last nights bet tho.