Denver - 13 = Play of Night

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    Denver - 13 = Play of Night
    seems like a lot of points eh?


    last 5 games for denver against bad teams at home

    14 pt win vs sac, 33 pt win vs tor, 20 point win vs wash, 30 point win vs det, 40 point win vs charlotte


    minnesota has also been getting blown out a ton recently so i think you see another blowout tonight
  • politicin
    Restricted User
    • 01-14-11
    • 1647

    #2
    I think Minny covers here.
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by politicin
      I think Minny covers here.

      minny's last 3 games against good teams have resulted in losses by 17+ points... 2 of those games were home games too


      curious as to see why you think that will change now
      Comment
      • twelvejewelz
        SBR MVP
        • 01-29-11
        • 2388

        #4
        minni ML.
        Comment
        • brahmabull117
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-08-10
          • 8622

          #5
          Originally posted by twelvejewelz
          minni ML.

          Comment
          • politicin
            Restricted User
            • 01-14-11
            • 1647

            #6
            Not going to argue with you, don't care what you think. Wager points on it?
            Comment
            • twelvejewelz
              SBR MVP
              • 01-29-11
              • 2388

              #7
              Originally posted by brahmabull117
              better hope that denver dosnt want to throw the game...if they do it will be me laughing all the way to the bank and you looking like a retard. If denver wins then well they are supposed to win because they are obviously a better team. good luck either way
              Comment
              • brahmabull117
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-08-10
                • 8622

                #8
                Originally posted by politicin
                Not going to argue with you, don't care what you think. Wager points on it?

                no i don't care about points


                i'm always trying to find opposing views to my way of thinking on games. Makes me a better gambler



                i was just wondering if you had some intel that i was not aware off
                Comment
                • Johnny 55
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-16-09
                  • 1079

                  #9
                  i think you should figure out denver's playoff situation before laying the points, what do they have to play for.
                  Comment
                  • Love The Action
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 10952

                    #10
                    I have not capped the game yet (about to cap NBA right now).

                    However, my early lean is Minnesota and the points because: (1) Denver is on its 4th game in 5 nights; (2) Minnesota is well rested having the last two days off; (3) Denver is huge public favorites (over 70% of all bets on Denver); and (4) Denver has no motivation for this game and are due for a letdown (just played OKC twice, LAL and Dallas the last four games).

                    I'm not sure, this will probably be a no play for me after looking at it more in depth. The downsides to the Minnesota play are that Love and Darko are out and Minny is playing in the thin air of Denver. Plus, Denver is a much better team, and if motivated, will kill Minny.

                    Good luck with whatever you choose.
                    Comment
                    • politicin
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-14-11
                      • 1647

                      #11
                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                      no i don't care about points


                      i'm always trying to find opposing views to my way of thinking on games. Makes me a better gambler



                      i was just wondering if you had some intel that i was not aware off
                      Denver is going to be taking this game easy. They have nothing left to play for and are going to be concerned with not over working themselves. I think Denver wins it in a close one.
                      Comment
                      • SUPREME
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-23-11
                        • 211

                        #12
                        Doesn't DEN still have to lock the 5th spot? They're leading Portland by 1.5 games and New Orleans by 2. With a few games left in the season for all those teams, isn't the 5th seed something for them to play for?

                        I think the spread is still too large, but I was thinking of throwing them in an 8pt teaser to basically cover by -5pts...I think that's reasonable.
                        Comment
                        • twelvejewelz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-29-11
                          • 2388

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SUPREME
                          Doesn't DEN still have to lock the 5th spot? They're leading Portland by 1.5 games and New Orleans by 2. With a few games left in the season for all those teams, isn't the 5th seed something for them to play for? I think the spread is still too large, but I was thinking of throwing them in an 8pt teaser to basically cover by -5pts...I think that's reasonable.
                          yea and thats why they may throw the game, they do not want the 5th seed then they will have to face thunder
                          Comment
                          • SUPREME
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 03-23-11
                            • 211

                            #14
                            Yeah I actually JUST went back and did some research on who they'll face as the 5th seed...in that case, they're a no play for me lol. I'll probably just take the under.
                            Comment
                            • BookiesBernanke
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-09-10
                              • 849

                              #15
                              I was pretty shocked that Karl stated publicly that he would rather play Dallas - most coaches/ players try and avoid making statements like that
                              Comment
                              • blinky88
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-20-10
                                • 471

                                #16
                                I like it....
                                Comment
                                • Sportsbetting123
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-08
                                  • 1400

                                  #17
                                  I think the line is about right, but wouldnt be willing to touch it at this point so late in the season.
                                  Comment
                                  • lonegambler
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-15-09
                                    • 2151

                                    #18
                                    my sports book has a ml on this game and they always tell me a game that goes over 10 point spread they dont offer ml's but they have in the past and i argued with them over this and everytime they had a big fav with a ml over 1000 and they offered it the dog eithe covered or won out right ithappened with rh heat bout month ago
                                    Comment
                                    • lonegambler
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-15-09
                                      • 2151

                                      #19
                                      with that said i will throw minn ml in a small 3 team parlay and try to hit them
                                      Comment
                                      • riskyProps
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-11-10
                                        • 2201

                                        #20
                                        The new look Nuggets are capable of destroying this team. But without rest, they will be hard press to makeup all those points
                                        Comment
                                        • twelvejewelz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-29-11
                                          • 2388

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by riskyProps
                                          The new look Nuggets are capable of destroying this team. But without rest, they will be hard press to makeup all those points
                                          its not about the rest either, the coach rotates the entire team like no other. They have a full bench of starters so the tired aspect dosnt count like it does for most teams for the most part. I really think the seeding aspect will be the reason that minny wins. Denver coach said yesterday that they would like to play dallas and they can get their wish... If this dosnt pan out then nuggest can blow minny out.
                                          Comment
                                          • Avenger
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-15-11
                                            • 2119

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Johnny 55
                                            i think you should figure out denver's playoff situation before laying the points, what do they have to play for.
                                            This.

                                            Last week before playoffs. I'm leaning Minny too.
                                            Comment
                                            • brahmabull117
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 8622

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by politicin
                                              Denver is going to be taking this game easy. They have nothing left to play for and are going to be concerned with not over working themselves. I think Denver wins it in a close one.

                                              Denver is gonna try to lock up the 5 seed where they still have some work to do


                                              i think you guys are making too much out of this playoff stuff. these are professionals who want to win every game


                                              and besides, whose to say that Minnesota will play hard? this team has been getting blown out non stop
                                              Comment
                                              • politicin
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-14-11
                                                • 1647

                                                #24
                                                Win they will. Cover 13 they will not.
                                                Comment
                                                • chargers4222
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-16-10
                                                  • 4702

                                                  #25
                                                  denver will win by 24 points
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brahmabull117
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 8622

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by politicin
                                                    Win they will. Cover 13 they will not.
                                                    and again, what do you base that on?


                                                    denver is 6-0 ATS vs bad teams last 3 weeks or so. winning every game by 14+ points



                                                    they always cover these big spreads because their new bench is so good where they can take a 13 point game in 4th quarter and turn it into a blowout




                                                    furthermore, minnesota has been godawful recently
                                                    Comment
                                                    • politicin
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-14-11
                                                      • 1647

                                                      #27
                                                      Here's something I base it on.

                                                      Denver has beaten Minny once in the last 10 games by more than 13 points. Denver is going to be in hibernation mode. 13 point cover = no way. If you don't care about points can you please wager them so I can take them off your hands?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SUPREME
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 03-23-11
                                                        • 211

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by politicin
                                                        Here's something I base it on.

                                                        Denver has beaten Minny once in the last 10 games by more than 13 points. Denver is going to be in hibernation mode. 13 point cover = no way. If you don't care about points can you please wager them so I can take them off your hands?



                                                        Comment
                                                        • mojomaker11
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-05-09
                                                          • 286

                                                          #29
                                                          too many points. im stayin away. good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • demens
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-22-10
                                                            • 2785

                                                            #30
                                                            Can someone explain to this joker that since his is poor and homeless and can't become an SBR Pro he can only bet 2 points at a time.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • brahmabull117
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-08-10
                                                              • 8622

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by politicin
                                                              Denver has beaten Minny once in the last 10 games by more than 13 points.
                                                              those were the teams with carmelo anthony that were godawful at covering big spreads



                                                              the new look nugs have been blowing out everybody in sight
                                                              Comment
                                                              • politicin
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-14-11
                                                                • 1647

                                                                #32
                                                                He'll come in now and explain about Denver's new found depth, etc. I don't buy it. Denver is an excellent team, but they're not going to exert themselves too much against the worst team in the West. Expect them to play down and win in a controlled single digit fashion.

                                                                Edit: he beat me to it.

                                                                See last sentence.

                                                                Denver will play down to Minny, they would never exert themselves this late in the season against the worst team in the West.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shafted69
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-04-08
                                                                  • 6412

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Minny covers on the road alot so I would take my chance on them.

                                                                  Goood luck either way.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • big cheyo
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-20-11
                                                                    • 337

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Minnisota!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • twelvejewelz
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-29-11
                                                                      • 2388

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                                      Denver is gonna try to lock up the 5 seed where they still have some work to do i think you guys are making too much out of this playoff stuff. these are professionals who want to win every game and besides, whose to say that Minnesota will play hard? this team has been getting blown out non stop
                                                                      Im just going by what the coach himself said, I think the playoffs are a big deal and seeding is a big deal if teams want to make it..Obviously its better to play a team you know you can beat first and try and let someone else knock out the team that you think you may have a harder time beating its common sense. So you think that teams do not blow games then? What have the lakers been doing the past few games?certainly not losing because they suck they have been losing because they dont care...
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