Easiest Way To Bet = Follow Streaks

brahmabull117 · 04-07-11, 06:52 PM

Bump

pattymayo · 04-07-11, 06:57 PM

so... does that mean the Lakers will lose a 4th straight? Or is there streak over and now they will win? Knicks covered 3 straight.. are they going to cover 4 in a row or is their streak done?

LLXC · 04-07-11, 06:58 PM

Add this to myth in gambling thread. It's hard to know when to get on/off streaks.

ReignMaker · 04-07-11, 07:03 PM

but by the time you realize it's a streak, it's too late~

pattymayo · 04-07-11, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by ReignMaker

but by the time you realize it's a streak, it's too late~

yup the key is to catch them right in the middle... but how do you know? how do you know when a streak is about to end or begin? no one does that's why the guy who made this thread had to bump it himself

brahmabull117 · 04-07-11, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

so... does that mean the Lakers will lose a 4th straight? Or is there streak over and now they will win? Knicks covered 3 straight.. are they going to cover 4 in a row or is their streak done?

knicks will cover

new jersey is really really struggling and they will likely be playing without Deron Williams so I expect that game to be a blowout

depends on the line though. I wouldn't play NYK if it's more than 4 or 5 points simpy because that's a ton of points for a road game

I haven't evaluated the lakers game yet so I dunno

I will tell you that Dallas has really been struggling and I don't see any way that they cover the 10 or 11 points they will get against LAC

JOHON8 · 04-07-11, 07:06 PM

Just post your plays, keep a record and let's see how this goes.

Simple. GL.

brahmabull117 · 04-07-11, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by LLXC

Add this to myth in gambling thread. It's hard to know when to get on/off streaks.

not really

I jumped on Dallas when they had lost 2 straight and have faded them last 2 games, also will fade them tomorrow

I jumped on the knicks after they blew out Cleveland because they seemed to be really clicking (and they're a very streaky team)

I also jumped all over LA vs GSW. Lakers tend to lose games in large stretches and then go on to dominate again

also I knew the bulls wouldn't cover against Phoenix after they struggled to dominate against Toronto

brahmabull117 · 04-07-11, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by pattymayo

yup the key is to catch them right in the middle... but how do you know? how do you know when a streak is about to end or begin? no one does that's why the guy who made this thread had to bump it himself

I should reiterate this is not a fullproof automatic tool. You gotta still do your work to evaluate matchups and past history

in terms of spotting streaks, you jump on the streaks when it's 2 or 3 and they're facing a favorable opponent

for example the heat had lost 2 straight and they were playing San Antonio the next day. I knew that was gonna be a blowout because Miami was playing with no confidence and I knew they wouldn't show up against a great SA team

The denver nuggets on the other hand have been streaking for 20+ games now. 18-3 last 21 ATS. If you haven't made huge money on that team, you're a damn fool

cleaveland · 04-07-11, 08:05 PM

This method is fantastic with baseball. When a team's on a winning or losing streak it doesn't matter what the odds are or who's pitching or who's playing. They keep winning or losing no matter what. Baseball is probably the streakiest game though.

Of course this method works well with basketball too.

BernardMadoff · 04-07-11, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

fade cold streaks
tail hot streaks

IMO, gambling is like Real Estate. Teams go through highs and lows (both in terms of SU and ATS), so it's all about catching teams at the right time

the key is to recognize streaks as early as possible so you can maximize your money

example of what I'm talking about

Lakers have lost 3 straight after dominating there for a while
Knicks have covered 3 straight after having a horrendous ATS record there for a while
the bulls are 2-5 ATS last 7 after dominating for a long while before that

my key is though to spot streaking teams facing struggling teams. That's the best way to bet. You take a team playing with a lot of confidence facing a team without much confidence

The number is pretty much adjuusted for that which is why even the best teams usually have mediocre ATS records.

bangemout · 04-07-11, 11:11 PM

I feel u madoff but im going to side the other way. Look no further then the patriots of a few yrs ago. The lines adjusted and they still blew everyone out. NBA and MLB are longer seasons. So streaks can be longer than in other sports. I see his reasoning.

sweethook · 04-08-11, 12:18 AM

i no what you saying , gl

brahmabull117 · 04-08-11, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

The number is pretty much adjuusted for that which is why even the best teams usually have mediocre ATS records.

they usually have mediocre ATS records for the course of the year but lots of teams have very good ATS records for long stretches

the heat had a stretch there where they were like 16-3 ATS
The bulls had a stretch where they they were 21-7 after the break
nuggets have been 18-3 ATS last 21 games

brahmabull117 · 04-08-11, 07:48 PM

told ya guys on knicks and clippers

knicks will cover easily (up huge) and clippers are up 6 early

sneak-a-peak · 04-08-11, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

fade cold streaks
tail hot streaks

IMO, gambling is like Real Estate. Teams go through highs and lows (both in terms of SU and ATS), so it's all about catching teams at the right time

the key is to recognize streaks as early as possible so you can maximize your money

example of what I'm talking about

Lakers have lost 3 straight after dominating there for a while
Knicks have covered 3 straight after having a horrendous ATS record there for a while
the bulls are 2-5 ATS last 7 after dominating for a long while before that

my key is though to spot streaking teams facing struggling teams. That's the best way to bet. You take a team playing with a lot of confidence facing a team without much confidence

I'm surprised you did not mention Utah's 13-32 run ATS!

I wish i would have jumped on that gravy train a lot sooner!

I've been amaze at just how OVER valued this team has been since Jan 1st in Vegas......

Its like the lines makers still think Sloan, Williams and Boozer are all still there

Phillth · 04-08-11, 08:36 PM

dumb thread

JOHON8 · 04-08-11, 08:44 PM

Originally posted by Phillth

dumb thread

Kinda what I was thinking. This is such an obvious concept, there is so much more that goes into actually make the bets.

If OP wants, he could open a thread and keep a record and see how he does instead of saying "told you so". Not trying to disrespect but this thread does not read like it's coming from someone who has been doing this for a while.

Git Lo · 04-08-11, 09:11 PM

But how long does it take before the lines start adjusting? Recently I have been red hot betting on the Heat to cover but lately I've been not taking them at all and they haven't been covering. I don't even look at the stats either I just try to predict the game in my head before wagering. Does anyone else have this problem? Instead of fading a team/prop you normally like to tail you just don't bet at all. For example I usually bet MIA games because they usually cover but today I didn't think they would cover 14 so instead of betting against them I just didn't bet at all, I've been doing this a lot lately but I just don't have the guts to go against it.

brahmabull117 · 04-08-11, 09:46 PM

Originally posted by Git Lo

But how long does it take before the lines start adjusting? Recently I have been red hot betting on the Heat to cover but lately I've been not taking them at all and they haven't been covering. I don't even look at the stats either I just try to predict the game in my head before wagering. Does anyone else have this problem? Instead of fading a team/prop you normally like to tail you just don't bet at all. For example I usually bet MIA games because they usually cover but today I didn't think they would cover 14 so instead of betting against them I just didn't bet at all, I've been doing this a lot lately but I just don't have the guts to go against it.

bro I only bet 1-2 games a day

only 1-2 games a day qualify as a good bet after i do all the proper analysis

BernardMadoff · 04-08-11, 09:58 PM

You might have spoke too some about the Clip joint, good luck.

brahmabull117 · 04-08-11, 10:11 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

You might have spoke too some about the Clip joint, good luck.

ya snapped a 5 game win streak i had there

it's all good though, as long as my wins are by a large margin and my losses are close, i know i'm doing the right thing

BernardMadoff · 04-08-11, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by brahmabull117

ya snapped a 5 game win streak i had there

it's all good though, as long as my wins are by a large margin and my losses are close, i know i'm doing the right thing

I agree with you there.