Dallas - 15.5 = Play of Night

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    Dallas - 15.5 = Play of Night
    I know its a huge spread to play but minnesota is godawful without kevin love (out with an injury)


    last game they lost by 30 at home and were outrebounded by 20 by an awful sacramento team


    I think Dallas will win by 25-30. I'm debating playing the first half line to avoid the backdoor cover possibility
  • ICE-BLOOD
    SBR MVP
    • 07-21-08
    • 1004

    #2
    A lot of points to give

    Dallas is real good and has a great bench
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by ICE-BLOOD
      A lot of points to give Dallas is real good and has a great bench

      should we play the 1H spread at -8 brah??


      Minnesota is gonna get their doors blown off without kevin love, but the backdoor cover really scares me
      Comment
      • iuliux
        SBR Hustler
        • 09-17-10
        • 76

        #4
        yep 15 is alot, I don't think Dirk and Kidd are going to play for alot of time
        Comment
        • JohnnyD4916
          SBR MVP
          • 04-14-10
          • 1572

          #5
          Good luck with your play
          Comment
          • brahmabull117
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-08-10
            • 8622

            #6
            Originally posted by iuliux
            yep 15 is alot, I don't think Dirk and Kidd are going to play for alot of time

            kevin love is out brah



            he only played 14 minutes vs sacramento and they lost by 30/were outrebounded by 20
            Comment
            • Crnjak
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 03-11-09
              • 588

              #7
              No play for me...maybe they cover this!
              Comment
              • brahmabull117
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-08-10
                • 8622

                #8
                bump
                Comment
                • JOHON8
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-28-10
                  • 7712

                  #9
                  The only problem is Dallas resting their players, this match up could get close to even if Dallas only put out bench players vs Minnesota's young guys late into the game.

                  You can take -15 and hedge it when Dallas are up by 20 or more I think?
                  Comment
                  • brahmabull117
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 8622

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JOHON8
                    The only problem is Dallas resting their players, this match up could get close to even if Dallas only put out bench players vs Minnesota's young guys late into the game. You can take -15 and hedge it when Dallas are up by 20 or more I think?
                    take the first half spread if you're worried about that


                    my guess is the mavs will be up by 20 at half and just finish it off winning by 20-25
                    Comment
                    • demens
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-22-10
                      • 2785

                      #11
                      I guess people bought into the Love hype? Dude puts up a crapload of empty stats. I doubt the Wolves are any worse without him. Beasley, Pekovic, Darko, Randolph, Tolliver, Wolves have plenty of bigs to fill in for Love. Mavs aren't that great covering huge spreads.

                      I would play Minny here, but there have been so many blow outs recently that its best to leave it alone.

                      Mavs are pretty good 1H team and the Wolves are a pretty bad one, so that might be worth a shot.
                      Comment
                      • bowers1989
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-04-11
                        • 396

                        #12
                        under 209.5 . sounds reasonable.
                        Comment
                        • brahmabull117
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 8622

                          #13
                          Originally posted by demens
                          I guess people bought into the Love hype? Dude puts up a crapload of empty stats. I doubt the Wolves are any worse without him. Beasley, Pekovic, Darko, Randolph, Tolliver, Wolves have plenty of bigs to fill in for Love. Mavs aren't that great covering huge spreads.

                          I would play Minny here, but there have been so many blow outs recently that its best to leave it alone.

                          Mavs are pretty good 1H team and the Wolves are a pretty bad one, so that might be worth a shot.


                          Love is a terrific force on offensive and rebounding end of the game. He's a good 3pt shooter as well as an inside scorer


                          if you doubt how much worse the t wolves are without him... He left the 2nd quarter against Sacramento at home and they ended up losing by 32 while being outrebounded by 20 (at home to an awful Sacramento team)


                          I expect them to get dominated on the glass against Dallas and they don't have the offensive firepower to play a shootout with the Mavs
                          Comment
                          • NickS8753
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-25-10
                            • 106

                            #14
                            yeah that is quite a bit of points to end by, i think with resting starters, the final will be alot closer then the actual game is....
                            Comment
                            • brahmabull117
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 8622

                              #15
                              Originally posted by NickS8753
                              yeah that is quite a bit of points to end by, i think with resting starters, the final will be alot closer then the actual game is....

                              Dallas has a good bench though and Minnesota doesn't have much behind Love


                              if you're worried about a backdoor cover, I would play the 1H spread. Dallas will blow their doors off regardless
                              Comment
                              • JOHON8
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-28-10
                                • 7712

                                #16
                                Interesting to note is Minnesota plays OKC tomorrow... then Boston-chicago-miami.
                                Comment
                                • PorkyPig
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-05-09
                                  • 257

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JOHON8
                                  Interesting to note is Minnesota plays OKC tomorrow... then Boston-chicago-miami.
                                  they gonna get raped in each of those games, including this one
                                  Comment
                                  • Untied
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-11
                                    • 1294

                                    #18
                                    Beasley is still banged up from that shot he took from Andrew Bynum. He only played 15 minutes when they were crushed by the Kings in their last game.
                                    Comment
                                    • ohnevah
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-02-11
                                      • 151

                                      #19
                                      i think they win by 18 at least
                                      Comment
                                      • brahmabull117
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 8622

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Untied
                                        Beasley is still banged up from that shot he took from Andrew Bynum. He only played 15 minutes when they were crushed by the Kings in their last game.
                                        keeps getting better and better
                                        Comment
                                        • face
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-31-11
                                          • 14740

                                          #21
                                          i'm going to try my new theory- fading popular reasoning such as injured star or not enough rest. timberwolves+16.5 (bought 1 point)
                                          Comment
                                          • Bswitz32
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 07-24-09
                                            • 460

                                            #22
                                            I dont understand why you would even play this game. Yes KL is out but Min (or any NBA team) getting 15+ points is crazy

                                            If you made me take a pic I would say MIN


                                            BOL
                                            Comment
                                            • M.W.
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-07-08
                                              • 1668

                                              #23
                                              Dallas is healthy for the first time in a long time. Should be ready to go tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-14-11
                                                • 2489

                                                #24
                                                Sucker bet is Parlay ML dallas + under.

                                                Better bet is just going under.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheDane
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-09-11
                                                  • 642

                                                  #25
                                                  I'll buy half a point.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • og4667
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-17-09
                                                    • 2438

                                                    #26
                                                    took mavs 1st half -9, see them gettting it done and getting off to a good start. Wolves could get the backdoor if Mavs take out their starters.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • demens
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-22-10
                                                      • 2785

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                      Love is a terrific force on offensive and rebounding end of the game. He's a good 3pt shooter as well as an inside scorer


                                                      if you doubt how much worse the t wolves are without him... He left the 2nd quarter against Sacramento at home and they ended up losing by 32 while being outrebounded by 20 (at home to an awful Sacramento team)


                                                      I expect them to get dominated on the glass against Dallas and they don't have the offensive firepower to play a shootout with the Mavs
                                                      Dude, stop talking about this ONE GAME. One game where he left proves nothing. Its not even a whole game you're talking about. He left in the 2nd qtr and the 3rd qtr score was 28-27, so you have 12 minutes of basketball that back-up the idea that the Wolves are horrible without Love.

                                                      I know this, they are horrible WITH Love, despite his stats, his rebounding and 3pt shooting he doesn't make enough impact for them not to suck so i dont think him missing is gonna be that drastic of a change. Minny has decent talent to fill in for him and not lose a whole lot.

                                                      People backing Dallas should not be doing so because Love is out.

                                                      The terrible Kings just went to Milwaukee and won. They are not as terrible as you think.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NBA_Brosuf
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-14-11
                                                        • 2489

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
                                                        Sucker bet is Parlay ML dallas + under.

                                                        Better bet is just going under.
                                                        Actually, if you are playing the totals, add ML dallas to the card to get a little bit of a bonus.

                                                        Actually, if you are playing anything else for that matter, add dallas ML parlay for that little bit of a kick to your spicy card. That little kick will pay off your juice.

                                                        Just sharing a style of bet that not many people would even think of. LOL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • demens
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-22-10
                                                          • 2785

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Untied
                                                          Beasley is still banged up from that shot he took from Andrew Bynum. He only played 15 minutes when they were crushed by the Kings in their last game.
                                                          Which was 4 days ago.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brahmabull117
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 8622

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
                                                            Sucker bet is Parlay ML dallas + under. Better bet is just going under.

                                                            why do you like under so much??


                                                            dallas could easily score 120 points by themselves
                                                            Comment
                                                            • NBA_Brosuf
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 02-14-11
                                                              • 2489

                                                              #31
                                                              The moneyline on Dallas just dropped guys. What does that mean?

                                                              it was -3000 and now -2500
                                                              Comment
                                                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-14-11
                                                                • 2489

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                                why do you like under so much??


                                                                dallas could easily score 120 points by themselves
                                                                I'm not fading the public but perhaps I'm fading your type of thinking?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vyomguy
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-08-09
                                                                  • 5794

                                                                  #33
                                                                  anthony randolph is starting for wolves. he is pretty good. 15.5 is a lot of points...But I think dallas covers.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • NBA_Brosuf
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-14-11
                                                                    • 2489

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I practice what I preach LOL

                                                                    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
                                                                    [802] DALLAS -3000
                                                                    [808] WISCONSIN -4½-110

                                                                    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
                                                                    [802] DALLAS -3000
                                                                    [812] DUKE -9½-110
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigJ
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-14-09
                                                                      • 369

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I agree with most people here.

                                                                      A stay away game.

                                                                      Dallas 1H does seem like a good play tho.
                                                                      Comment
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