San Antonio Spurs +4 is a gift.

Sportsbetting123 · 03-23-11, 07:01 AM

I like under 210.5 in this game.

secret007 · 03-23-11, 07:02 AM

Yea Timmy is hardly a big factor nowadays..

Dark Horse · 03-23-11, 07:08 AM

Good luck. Denver is 14-1 ATS in L15. You could win, but you're still trying to catch a falling knife. This Denver team is focused.

mann2chc · 03-23-11, 07:11 AM

I like the over... I know the spurs cn play defense but they can get scored on and if anybody can score on them its a deep balanced denver team, IN DENVER!!! I also think denver will win tonite but ill wait a little later to see if i wanna pull the trigger... GL!!!

darren125 · 03-23-11, 07:15 AM

Nuggets are a different team now, at home they are very tough, what are the Spurs playing for at this point, they already have number 1 seed locked up.

M.W. · 03-23-11, 07:17 AM

I'd be on Denver even if Duncan were playing.

Vaioice · 03-23-11, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by bleek88

No timmy d, no problem. They dont even play thru him anyways. Look for novak to get a chunk of minutes and look for him to shoot the three ball well. Get on the Spurs +4 this is a gift agaisnt denver. Theres teams that wanna run like denver but play no D, the spurs can do both, and thats why they win.

i want some of whatever ur smokin.

10-4 SU, 13-1 ATS since the trade. Defense is giving up an avg. 97.4ppg, play no D?

Denver takes this one by DD.

-vai

Sfritts8 · 03-23-11, 07:24 AM

Really love the Nugs in this one. T. Lawson is a burgeoning star.

MarlinsFan2212 · 03-23-11, 07:32 AM

I like Denver. Probably will score around 110 vs SAS.

Broken-Ear Glen · 03-23-11, 07:36 AM

Yeah there games seem to have been pretty high scoring lately. I think I may go with the over.

thebestthereis · 03-23-11, 08:20 AM

Agree, people seen to wanna pick a good spot to fade a winning steak, bad idea. Wait for it to develop, it will.

Originally posted by Dark Horse

Good luck. Denver is 14-1 ATS in L15. You could win, but you're still trying to catch a falling knife. This Denver team is focused.

Pherst · 03-23-11, 08:23 AM

Spurs are too hot and cold for me at the moment. I like Denver to cover.

QUEST001 · 03-23-11, 08:27 AM

Denver is the play here. Line telling if there ever was one.............GL

million2one · 03-23-11, 08:36 AM

How do you figure.
Denver is red hot right now, and have already lost to the Spurs three times this year.
Denver is jockeying for playoff positioning where as Spurs are pretty much locked into the #1 seed.

I don't think there is much value here and I am not playing this game, but I do like Denver and would pick them to cover.

FateSealWithJace · 03-23-11, 08:59 AM

I've been Thinking the same thing

portnoy65 · 03-23-11, 10:39 AM

Spurs the game for me... easy money

Broken-Ear Glen · 03-23-11, 10:42 AM

This thread title is why i'll be on Denver. "Gift"...there's no gift in gambling.

Vulcan300 · 03-23-11, 11:00 AM

people are all over when to fade the nuggets but spurs are known to not giving a shit since they're leading the west.
too much effort into this game for spurs is my take and leaning to the side of nuggets covering.

Avenger · 03-23-11, 11:11 AM

Timmy affects the over/under, not who wins. Spurs change their playing style when Timmy is out (just as they change their play style when Parker is out).

Novak, who replaced him last game, is a shooter. Timmy is a guard. Expect lot more long range 2 and 3 from everyone (Ginobili, Parker, Hill, Bonner, Novak). Sometimes this line up is hot, sometimes not. My take is teams that resort to 3s are ALWAYS a crapshoot (Suns, Magic, Warriors). You live by the 3, you die by the 3.

My advice, stay away or bet small and wait 2H. Undeniable that Nuggets are HOT right now, hard to predict, give them time to establish a pattern.
The Spurs shooters (as all shooters) have off days (remember the Heat game, then remember when they played the Heat earlier.... ya, big difference). And don't think the over is good either.... if the shooters are cold, the score could be way under.

bleek88 · 03-23-11, 01:14 PM

I think the Spurs come out focused to start this stretch without Duncan, esp., to a non contender team, sure Denver has been better since the trade, but I dont think that effects the Spurs.

Spurs win tonight.

Pauulzcappin · 03-23-11, 01:24 PM

Hm, number 7 rule when betting nba basketball: When the BEST TEAM IN THE NBA is +5, the line is never a gift.

yisman · 03-23-11, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by bleek88

I think the Spurs come out focused to start this stretch without Duncan, esp., to a non contender team, sure Denver has been better since the trade, but I dont think that effects the Spurs.

Denver is a contender.

wikkidinsane · 03-23-11, 01:32 PM

I have nothing to contribute to this thread whatsoever just wanted to get my posts up.

crustyme · 03-23-11, 01:38 PM

smart bet.

often when a star goes down, the rest of the team picks up their slack.

denver wins by 2.

sweetjones55 · 03-23-11, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by bleek88

No timmy d, no problem. They dont even play thru him anyways. Look for novak to get a chunk of minutes and look for him to shoot the three ball well. Get on the Spurs +4 this is a gift agaisnt denver. Theres teams that wanna run like denver but play no D, the spurs can do both, and thats why they win.

Teams like Denver want to run but play no D, Spurs play both? You are mistaken here. Denver is allowing 93.6ppg their last 5 games while SA is allowing 100.4. Denver is also averaging more points than SA their last 5 games. Spurs defense is having it's worst year in a long time.

NBA_Brosuf · 03-23-11, 01:46 PM

Games like these where duncun is out, the public would bet the obvious, denver. Obvious is not really obvious until proven.

Not playing this game but if I had, I'm taking spurs and under.

paciophobia · 03-23-11, 01:47 PM

the spurs consistency will lead them to the W down the stretch. spurs take this one. duncan's absence will hardly be a factor.

NBA_Brosuf · 03-23-11, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Teams like Denver want to run but play no D, Spurs play both? You are mistaken here. Denver is allowing 93.6ppg their last 5 games while SA is allowing 100.4. Denver is also averaging more points than SA their last 5 games. Spurs defense is having it's worst year in a long time.

The differential in the bold is what made me not playing on this game. How much is the difference in average points in 5 games?

I hope my math is right.

spurs 102.4
nuggets 103.8

Denver should give only 1.5 spread.

nanozane · 03-23-11, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by wikkidinsane

I have nothing to contribute to this thread whatsoever just wanted to get my posts up.

me too

bleek88 · 03-23-11, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

Hm, number 7 rule when betting nba basketball: When the BEST TEAM IN THE NBA is +5, the line is never a gift.

We shall see.

rake922 · 03-23-11, 02:15 PM

NBA_Brosuf · 03-23-11, 02:31 PM

Don't look now but spurs line went up to +5.

Temping to buy spurs but NOPE!!!!! Get it to 8 and I'm buying. LOL

yisman · 03-23-11, 02:39 PM

The spread went up to 5 hours ago.

bleek88 · 03-23-11, 02:45 PM

Yah, it did go up a few hours ago brosuf :P