Going ALL-IN on Bucks/Hawks Over 173.5

xxdjstriderxx · 03-15-11, 12:14 PM

if boston and jersey can go 167, then these 2 teams can go under 173

GTS925 · 03-15-11, 12:18 PM

Not again! Don't chase man. I bet the game total would be around 150 to 160.

Bostongambler · 03-15-11, 12:21 PM

Why not.

ncsubowen · 03-15-11, 12:26 PM

Between you me and the gatepost... stop chasing man.

Petenana15 · 03-15-11, 12:30 PM

Agreed stop chasing.. you will only lose money.. do some research and bet on some games that look good. don't throw all your money in one basket.

That being said, Bucks played terrible the other night and with a couple days rest they will for sure score more than they did the other night. Im not sure it will be enough...

sportman1313 · 03-15-11, 12:38 PM

appreciate the concern everyone....these two teams typically are able to score against one another. The only concern is that all 3 games they've played this season has gone over 173.5. The lowest scoring one was 175 and the other two were higher scoring.....i think bucks will want to try and get better shots in this one for sure, maybe the line is deflated bc of the bucks/celts game? Bucks have 2 days rest and hawks with 3 days.....line is sooo low tho, not sure what i'll do here

clamchowder · 03-15-11, 12:49 PM

It went from 175.5 to 173.5, that's a lot of money on the under.

ManBearPig · 03-15-11, 01:04 PM

MIL and ATL are two of the slowest paced teams in the League, (4 & 6). MIL is like 21-7 on the under in the last 28. ATL is 11-3 on the under in the last 14. Coincidentally, they are 13-5 in favor or the over in the last 18, but I wouldn't do it. I would not play the over when these two teams play. At 173...this line is sharp as a pin, and your wiggle room is small. Even the refs in this game are 1-7 in favor of the under for games under 185...there is nothing indicating that you should even consider the over.

Either lay off tonight or look at some of the college games tonight. Why do you feel the need to go all in on one play? You can break these things up and play 3 or 4 games. You can't get it all back at once so why try...steady wins the race. The rest will be eaten by the books.

Petenana15 · 03-15-11, 01:10 PM

Lay off... doesnt seem anywhere close to a lock.. I would look into maybe the clemson game in ncaab

jubuck757 · 03-15-11, 01:13 PM

man you only live life once. Go ahead and get your money back. I got that game going over 175. i got that game going over 190 really. Dont know if the bucks can win tho, but i do think they is gonna come with a chimp on there backs after last game performance.

Petenana15 · 03-15-11, 01:14 PM

pray for OT or a close game..

jsmithj88 · 03-15-11, 01:19 PM

u have a lean in this game and ur all in
this is nothing more than u chasing ur losses
how would u feel if u lost this by 1 point?

sportman1313 · 03-15-11, 01:19 PM

thanks for the insight everyone.....except for certain exceptions, typically games between two teams going under often hits over when playing one another. Both these teams have some rest and against one another can score in my opinion....I'll wait a few hours and decide if I wanna go with this or not. I actually see these two teams putting up closer to 190 or more in this one. I also looked into the refs as well and their record favors the under when total is 184.5 or less but I feel that over time they balance out....this may be a good situation for the over

CHAZ · 03-15-11, 01:27 PM

Either UNDER or no play. Have you watched the Bucks this season? They are ridiculously slow paced and both teams are defensive minded.

tanner40 · 03-15-11, 01:28 PM

sportman1313 · 03-15-11, 01:32 PM

I've watched many of their games and agree with you....I think they will focus more on the offensive end in this one though.

Originally posted by CHAZ

Either UNDER or no play. Have you watched the Bucks this season? They are ridiculously slow paced and both teams are defensive minded.

BimmerMan · 03-15-11, 01:35 PM

im with you on the over, dont think i will play it though. good luck

ManBearPig · 03-15-11, 01:42 PM

Based on recent these two recent performances and trends these two teams have been averaging about 177/gm. Recent match-ups between the two indicates that this line is about 10 pts off in favor of the over, although it appears that they score more in ATL than MIL. The average line has been around 182 with them scoring 185, hence the over trend, but they have only played one game in ATL this year.

I think the under has definitely has lost its value and the over could be the play here, but everyone both knows these teams are more than capable of laying an egg. After scoring 7pts the other night MIL may look to show themselves they can score the ball and try and at least get to 80. I can't see this game getting out of the 80's, but of course this means that they will both score 100+ because that's how it works...right? Not seeing enough numbers to feel comfortable about either side, I think Vegas has really set a sharp line here and wouldn't feel comfortable playing anything but an under here, I'll be observing from the sidelines here for sure.

xxdjstriderxx · 03-15-11, 01:45 PM

would be surprised if both teams could score 80+

lunchbawks · 03-15-11, 01:50 PM

i think the over will hit.
173 is just too low. good luck

clamchowder · 03-15-11, 01:51 PM

A lot of people are pounding on the under. Don't be surprised if this game goes over.

DeeWizzle · 03-15-11, 01:52 PM

I hope we don't see another I want to drown myself thread......

Good luck!

hawley · 03-15-11, 02:00 PM

good luck if you do play it

Maybe with Teague in the starting line up again the hawks wont struggle to score so many points

Deep_Rest · 03-15-11, 02:06 PM

If you lose all your money tonight I'm guessing another one of these "I'm going to turn 0 points into 10,000 dollars in 5 years!" threads will sprout up. GL with that! GL with tonight, so you won't be forced into such a degrading form of making money

thaman79 · 03-15-11, 02:23 PM

Can't tell a man what to do with his own. Just want to give you a lil info if you didn't already know this.

Bucks
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Hawks
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Just my two cents: Live to fight another day. In sports betting you never want to bet all your money on one game. If you feel strong about it. Bet a good %. But not all. I think you will get alot of folks you have tried and failed at that will tell you the same. Good luck bro. And good luck to all.

HoulihansTX · 03-15-11, 02:24 PM

Going ALL-IN

BetterBizness · 03-15-11, 02:37 PM

even though that line "looks" small... 88-84 is NOT that hard to envision at All between these 2... I agree that I think the line is sharp, and I would STILL be scared if the 1H total hit 100

No coincidences · 03-15-11, 02:38 PM

IMHO, never take an over 180 or less or an under 220+ in the NBA.

sportman1313 · 03-15-11, 02:39 PM

no man, i won't be doing any of that....down close to 15k the past two days, but just had an epiphany and no reason to panic. I was up about 10k the past 2 months and then stupid plays and chasing burned me. I have to remain calm, play smartly and continue this fight....in a more efficient manner. May only go 400 on it....BOL all

Originally posted by Deep_Rest

If you lose all your money tonight I'm guessing another one of these "I'm going to turn 0 points into 10,000 dollars in 5 years!" threads will sprout up. GL with that! GL with tonight, so you won't be forced into such a degrading form of making money

zogdog · 03-15-11, 02:40 PM

The Bucks scored 56 points in their last game, I wouldn't touch this!

CHAZ · 03-15-11, 02:40 PM

Looks like the Hawks are gonna go small to run and open the lanes more....

http://blogs.ajc.com/hawks/2011/03/15/bucks-at-atlanta-hawks-hawks-staying-small-against-big/?cxntfid=blogs_hawks

stevenash · 03-15-11, 02:44 PM

It's 173.5 for a reason.
Joe Square will take one look at that number and bet the over because it looks like easy money.

I'll pass.

dimon · 03-15-11, 02:48 PM

was thiniking what game to play...now I know...Under is the play

sportman1313 · 03-15-11, 02:51 PM

AWESOME FIND WITH THAT....I just think that the line is deflated bc of the reputation of both these teams and bucks scoring only 56 against celtics. If hawks do indeed play that small-lineup, i see plenty of points on both ends....atleast for the first half. Even at 100 at halftime, the over is not guaranteed with how these teams play.

Originally posted by CHAZ

Looks like the Hawks are gonna go small to run and open the lanes more....

http://blogs.ajc.com/hawks/2011/03/1...id=blogs_hawks